Objectives We assessed the incremental value of baseline Q waves over time from symptom onset as a marker of clinical outcome in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). Background Time ...from symptom onset is a central focus in STEMI patients. The presence of Q waves on the baseline electrocardiogram (ECG) has been suggested to be of incremental value to time from symptom onset in evaluating clinical outcomes. Methods We evaluated baseline Q waves and ST-segment resolution 30 min after primary percutaneous intervention (PCI) ECGs in 4,530 STEMI patients without prior infarction. Additionally, peak biomarkers; 90-day mortality; and the composite of death, congestive heart failure (CHF), or cardiogenic shock were assessed. Results Fifty-six percent of patients had baseline Q waves: they were older, more frequently male and diabetic, and had a more advanced Killip class. Patients with baseline Q waves had greater mortality and a higher composite rate of death, CHF, and shock versus patients without baseline Q waves at 90 days (5.3% vs. 2.1% and 12.1% vs. 4.8%, respectively, both p < 0.001). Complete ST-segment resolution was highest, whereas 90-day mortality and the composite outcome were lowest among those randomized ≤3 h without baseline Q waves. After multivariable adjustment, baseline Q-wave but not time from symptom onset was significantly associated with a 78% relative increase in the hazard of 90-day mortality and a 90% relative increase in the hazard of death, shock, and CHF. Conclusions Baseline Q waves in STEMI patients treated with primary PCI provide an independent prognostic marker of clinical outcome. These data might be useful in designing future clinical trials as well as in evaluating patients for triage and potential transfer for planned primary PCI. (Pexelizumab in Conjunction With Angioplasty in Acute Myocardial Infarction APEX-AMI; NCT00091637 )
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GEOZS, IJS, IMTLJ, KILJ, KISLJ, NLZOH, NUK, OILJ, PNG, SAZU, SBCE, SBJE, UILJ, UL, UM, UPCLJ, UPUK, ZAGLJ, ZRSKP
Background Mortality after ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) has reduced with reperfusion by primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), which may have impacted on the adverse outcomes ...of cardiogenic shock (CS) and congestive heart failure (CHF). Methods and Results In the APEX-AMI trial, 5,745 patients with STEMI and planned primary PCI were randomly assigned pexelizumab or matching placebo. Post-randomization CS or CHF was adjudicated by a clinical endpoints committee. Treatment assignment to pexelizumab did not influence either endpoint or mortality rates. Cardiogenic shock developed in 196 patients (3.4%) at a median of 6.0 hours (interquartile range 3.9-28.3) post-randomization, and mortality at 90 days was 54.6%. Congestive heart failure occurred in 254 of patients (4.4%) at a median of 2.6 days (IQR 1.0-16.6), and mortality through 90 days was 10.2%; mortality among those with neither endpoint was 2.1%. Patients with CS or CHF were older, were more often female, and had more hypertension and diabetes, but smoked less compared with non-CS/CHF patients (all P < .05). Independent mortality predictors among those with CS or CHF were hyperlipidemia and a history of angina (interaction P = .011 and .008, respectively); procedural predictors among survivors to PCI were pre-PCI Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) flow 0-1 and post-PCI TIMI flow <3 ( P = .013 and <.0001, respectively). Conclusions Survival after CS remains poor despite aggressive reperfusion. Both CS and CHF remain the major causes of death among STEMI patients undergoing primary PCI. Future studies should examine treatments that aim to reduce mortality in these highest risk patients.
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GEOZS, IJS, IMTLJ, KILJ, KISLJ, NUK, OILJ, PNG, SAZU, SBCE, SBJE, UL, UM, UPCLJ, UPUK
Abstract Background The Bleeding Academic Research Consortium (BARC) scale has been proposed to standardize bleeding endpoint definitions and reporting in cardiovascular trials. Validation in large ...cohorts of patients is needed. Objectives This study sought to investigate the relationship between BARC-classified bleeding and mortality and compared its prognostic value against 2 validated bleeding scales: TIMI (Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction) and GUSTO (Global Use of Strategies to Open Occluded Arteries). Methods We analyzed bleeding in 12,944 patients with acute coronary syndromes without ST-segment elevation, with or without early invasive strategy. The main outcome measure was all-cause death. Results During follow-up (median: 502 days), noncoronary artery bypass graft (CABG) bleeding occurred in 1,998 (15.4%) patients according to BARC (grades 2, 3, or 5), 484 (3.7%) patients according to TIMI minor/major, and 514 (4.0%) patients according to GUSTO moderate/severe criteria. CABG-related bleeding (BARC 4) occurred in 155 (1.2%) patients. Patients with BARC (2, 3, or 4) bleeding had a significant increase in risk of death versus patients without bleeding (BARC 0 or 1); the hazard was highest in the 30 days after bleeding (hazard ratio: 7.35; 95% confidence interval: 5.59 to 9.68; p < 0.0001) and remained significant up to 1 year. The hazard of mortality increased progressively with non-CABG BARC grades. BARC 4 bleeds were significantly associated with mortality within 30 days (hazard ratio: 10.05; 95% confidence interval: 5.41 to 18.69; p < 0.0001), but not thereafter. Inclusion of BARC (2, 3, or 4) bleeding in the 1-year mortality model with baseline characteristics improved it to an extent comparable to TIMI minor/major and GUSTO moderate/severe bleeding. Conclusions In patients with acute coronary syndromes without ST-segment elevation, bleeding assessed with the BARC scale was significantly associated with risk of subsequent death up to 1 year after the event and risk of mortality increased gradually with higher BARC grades. Our results support adoption of the BARC bleeding scale in ACS clinical trials. (Trial to Assess the Effects of Vorapaxar SCH 530348; MK-5348 in Preventing Heart Attack and Stroke in Participants With Acute Coronary Syndrome TRACER Study P04736; NCT00527943 )
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GEOZS, IJS, IMTLJ, KILJ, KISLJ, NLZOH, NUK, OILJ, PNG, SAZU, SBCE, SBJE, UILJ, UL, UM, UPCLJ, UPUK, ZAGLJ, ZRSKP
Abstract Background We examined warfarin use at discharge (according to Congestive heart failure, Hypertension, Age > 75 years, Diabetes, Prior Stroke/transient ischemic attack score and bleeding ...risk) and its association with 6-month death or myocardial infarction in patients with post-acute coronary syndrome atrial fibrillation. Methods Of the 23,208 patients enrolled in the Platelet IIb/IIIa in Unstable Angina: Receptor Suppression Using Integrilin Therapy, Platelet IIb/IIIa Antagonist for the Reduction of Acute Coronary Syndrome Events in a Global Organization Network A, and Superior Yield of the New Strategy of Enoxaparin, Revascularization and Glycoprotein IIb/IIIa Inhibitors trials, 4.0% (917 patients) had atrial fibrillation as an in-hospital complication and were discharged alive. Cox proportional hazards models were performed to assess 6-month outcomes after discharge. Results Overall, 13.5% of patients with an acute coronary syndrome complicated by atrial fibrillation received warfarin at discharge. Warfarin use among patients with atrial fibrillation had no relation with estimated stroke risk; similar rates were observed across Congestive heart failure, Hypertension, Age > 75 years, Diabetes, Prior Stroke/transient ischemic attack (CHADS2 ) scores (0, 13%; 1, 14%; ≥ 2, 13%) and across different bleeding risk categories (low risk, 11.9%; intermediate risk, 13.3%; high risk, 11.1%). Among patients with in-hospital atrial fibrillation, warfarin use at discharge was independently associated with a lower risk of death or myocardial infarction within 6 months of discharge (hazard ratio 0.39; 95% confidence interval, 0.15-0.98). Conclusion Warfarin is associated with better 6-month outcomes among patients with atrial fibrillation complicating an acute coronary syndrome, but its use is not related to CHADS2 score or bleeding risk.
Abstract Background Patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS), especially those receiving medical management without revascularization, are at high risk for spontaneous myocardial infarction (MI), ...but its frequency and predictors are unknown. Objectives This study sought to characterize spontaneous MI events in a randomized population during 30 months of follow-up and develop a prediction model for spontaneous MI to assign risk of spontaneous MI events in ACS populations. Methods We analyzed data from the randomized TRILOGY ACS (TaRgeted platelet Inhibition to cLarify the Optimal strateGy to medically manage Acute Coronary Syndromes) trial of aspirin plus prasugrel or clopidogrel following ACS. The trial included 9,326 patients with non–ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI)/unstable angina (UA) who were managed medically without planned revascularization. Our study population included 9,294 patients. A multivariable Cox proportional hazards model was developed to determine predictors of time to first spontaneous MI event through 30 months. After model validation, we developed a calculator for model implementation. Results Among 9,294 patients, 695 spontaneous MI events occurred over a median of 17 months, representing 94% of adjudicated MI events (n = 737). The Kaplan-Meier event rate of spontaneous MI through 30 months was 10.7%. The strongest predictors of spontaneous MI were older age, NSTEMI versus UA as index event, diabetes mellitus, no pre-randomization angiography, and higher baseline creatinine values. The model exhibited good predictive capabilities ( c -index = 0.732) and had good calibration, especially for patients with low-to-moderate risk of spontaneous MI. Conclusions Spontaneous MI following a medically managed UA/NSTEMI event is common. Baseline characteristics can be used to predict subsequent risk of spontaneous MI in this population. These findings provide insight into the long-term natural history of medically managed UA/NSTEMI patients and could be used to optimize risk stratification and treatment of these patients. (A Comparison of Prasugrel and Clopidogrel in Acute Coronary Syndrome Subjects TRILOGY ACS; NCT00699998 )
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GEOZS, IJS, IMTLJ, KILJ, KISLJ, NLZOH, NUK, OILJ, PNG, SAZU, SBCE, SBJE, UILJ, UL, UM, UPCLJ, UPUK, ZAGLJ, ZRSKP
Background Patients hospitalized for acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) are at high risk for early mortality and rehospitalization. Risk stratification of ADHF using clinically available data ...on admission is increasingly important to integrate with clinical pathways. Our goal was to create a simple method of screening patients upon admission to identify those with increased risk of future adverse events. Methods Using ASCEND-HF, a pragmatic clinical trial conducted in 398 sites globally, we developed and validated logistic regression risk models for ( a ) 30-day mortality/HF rehospitalization, ( b ) 30-day mortality/all-cause rehospitalization, ( c ) 30-day all-cause mortality, and ( d ) 180-day all-cause mortality. Fifty-one candidate variables were evaluated based on prior publications and clinical review. Final models were selected based on stepwise selection with entry and a staying criterion of P < .01. The 30-day mortality model was externally validated, and coefficients were converted to an additive risk score. Results Among 7,141 patients, the median age was 67 years, 34% were female, and 80% had a left ventricular ejection fraction <40%. The models had between 5 and 12 risk factors with c-indices ranging from 0.68 to 0.75. A simplified score, including age, systolic blood pressure, sodium, blood urea nitrogen, and dyspnea at rest, discriminated 30-day mortality risk from 0.5% (score 0) to 53% (score 10). Conclusions Commonly available clinical variables provide simple risk stratification for clinical outcomes among patients with ADHF, and these models may be considered for integration into routine clinical care.
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GEOZS, IJS, IMTLJ, KILJ, KISLJ, NUK, OILJ, PNG, SAZU, SBCE, SBJE, UL, UM, UPCLJ, UPUK
Prompt reperfusion therapy in acute myocardial infarction enhances clinical outcome. However, reperfusion itself may contribute to myocardial cell death. The current review outlines the multifocal ...mechanisms of reperfusion injury and focuses on understanding the potential role of each element and its contribution to the injury pattern inflicted upon the myocardium. We evaluate the spectrum of contemporary therapies that have been tested in an attempt to reduce myocardial injury. Finally, we explore promising innovative strategies targeting novel reperfusion injury pathways to protect ischemic myocardium during reperfusion.
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GEOZS, IJS, IMTLJ, KILJ, KISLJ, NUK, OILJ, PNG, SAZU, SBCE, SBJE, UL, UM, UPCLJ, UPUK
Aims Dynamic risk models update the risk profile of ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients over the acute period following the event and have implications to clinical practice and ...research. Methods and Results Multivariable survival models were developed in 5,745 STEMI patients undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) enrolled in the APEX-AMI trial to predict 90-day mortality from 4 clinically relevant times: baseline, 2 hours, 24 hours, and 96 hours. Culprit coronary thrombolysis in myocardial infarction flow grade, 30-minute post-PCI worst-lead ST-elevation residual, and in-hospital clinical events were considered in the models. The 90-day mortality was 4.7%; the cumulative proportion of mortality occurring within 2, 24, and 96 hours was 8%, 22%, and 40% respectively. Relative to the baseline risk factors, age and systolic blood pressure remained highly ranked in the post-baseline models. However, the relative importance of heart rate, Killip class, and creatinine declined, whereas markers of coronary reperfusion and in-hospital events (shock, congestive heart failure) became increasingly influential. The c-index increased from 0.819 at baseline to 0.847 at 96 hours. Over the forecasting periods, the proportion of “low-risk” (<1.1% 90-day mortality) patients increased from 20% to 49%. This approach derived from an unfolding series of models reveals the shifting levels of mortality risk from baseline to 96 hours. Conclusion This novel approach in STEMI patients undergoing primary PCI demonstrates the dynamic nature of risk over time and may prove useful in understanding risk and in clinical decision making.
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GEOZS, IJS, IMTLJ, KILJ, KISLJ, NUK, OILJ, PNG, SAZU, SBCE, SBJE, UL, UM, UPCLJ, UPUK
Background Despite initial in-hospital treatment of acute heart failure (HF), some patients experience worsening HF (WHF). There are limited data about the outcomes and characteristics of patients ...who experience in-hospital WHF. Methods and Results We assessed the characteristics and outcomes of patients with and without WHF in the ASCEND-HF trial. Worsening HF was defined as at least 1 symptom or sign of new, persistent, or WHF requiring additional intravenous inotropic/vasodilator or mechanical therapy during index hospitalization. We assessed the relationship between WHF and 30-day mortality, 30-day mortality or HF hospitalization, and 180-day mortality. We also assessed whether there was a differential association between early (days 1-3) vs late (day ≥4) WHF and outcomes. Of 7,141 patients with acute HF, 354 (5%) experienced WHF. Patients with WHF were more often male and had a history of atrial fibrillation or diabetes, lower blood pressure, and higher creatinine. After risk adjustment, WHF was associated with increased 30-day mortality (odds ratio 13.37, 95% CI 9.85-18.14), 30-day mortality or HF rehospitalization (odds ratio 6.78, 95% CI 5.25-8.76), and 180-day mortality (hazard ratio 3.90, 95% CI 3.14-4.86) (all P values < .0001). There was no evidence of a difference in outcomes between early and late WHF (all P values for comparison ≥ .2). Conclusions Worsening HF during index hospitalization was associated with worse 30- and 180-day outcomes. Worsening HF may represent an important patient-centered outcome in acute HF and a focus of future treatments.
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GEOZS, IJS, IMTLJ, KILJ, KISLJ, NUK, OILJ, PNG, SAZU, SBCE, SBJE, UL, UM, UPCLJ, UPUK
Furosemide is the most commonly used loop diuretic in patients with heart failure (HF) despite data suggesting potential pharmacologic and antifibrotic benefits with torsemide. We investigated ...patients with HF in Acute Study of Clinical Effectiveness of Nesiritide in Decompensated Heart Failure who were discharged on either torsemide or furosemide. Using inverse probability weighting to account for the nonrandom selection of diuretic, we assessed the relation between choice of diuretic at discharge with 30-day mortality or HF hospitalization and 180-day mortality. Of 7,141 patients in the trial, 4,177 patients were included in this analysis, of which 87% (n = 3,620) received furosemide and 13% (n = 557) received torsemide. Torsemide-treated patients had lower ejection fraction and blood pressure and higher creatinine and natriuretic peptide level compared with furosemide. Torsemide was associated with similar outcomes on unadjusted analysis and nominally lower events on adjusted analysis (30-day mortality/HF hospitalization odds ratio 0.89, 95% CI 0.62 to 1.29, p = 0.55 and 180-day mortality hazard ratio 0.86, 95% CI 0.63 to 1.19, p = 0.37). In conclusion, these data are hypothesis-generating and randomized comparative effectiveness trials are needed to investigate the optimal diuretic choice.
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GEOZS, IJS, IMTLJ, KILJ, KISLJ, NUK, OILJ, PNG, SAZU, SBCE, SBJE, UL, UM, UPCLJ, UPUK, ZRSKP
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