Summary
In order to accurately assess the burden of hepatitis C (HCV) and develop effective interventions, we must understand the magnitude and trends of mortality related to the disease. In the ...United States, HCV‐related mortality is continuously increasing. We have no comparable data for Switzerland and other European countries, although a modelling study predicted a similar increase. We analysed time trends (1 January 1995‐31 December 2014) in HCV‐specific mortality rates in the Swiss general population using the death registry of the Swiss Federal Statistical Office (SFSO). We compared HCV‐related mortality to HIV‐related and hepatitis B (HBV)‐related mortality. To determine potential under‐reporting in HCV‐related mortality, we probabilistically linked the SFSO data to persons who died in the Swiss Hepatitis C Cohort Study (SCCS). SFSO data showed that HCV‐related mortality more than doubled between 1995 and 2003, but has since stabilized at ~2.5/100 000 person‐years. Since 2000, HCV‐related mortality has been higher than HIV‐related mortality and was about fivefold higher in 2014. HBV‐related mortality remained low at ~0.5/100 000 person‐years. Of 4556 persons in the SCCS, 421 have died and 86.2% could be linked to the death registry. According to the SCCS, 133 deaths were HCV‐related. HCV was not mentioned on the SFSO death certificate of 45% of these (n = 60/133). In conclusion, HCV‐related mortality remained constant, possibly because quality of care was high, or because of under‐reporting or because mortality has not yet increased. However, HCV‐related mortality is now much higher than HIV‐ and HBV‐related mortality, and under‐reporting was common.
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BFBNIB, DOBA, FZAB, GIS, IJS, IZUM, KILJ, NLZOH, NUK, OILJ, PILJ, PNG, SAZU, SBCE, SBMB, SIK, UILJ, UKNU, UL, UM, UPUK
Abstract Parenteral analgesics are still diffusely administered for postoperative pain after major liver resection, while epidural analgesia is widely criticized because of possible changes in the ...postoperative coagulation profile. The safety of regional anesthesia in liver resections is based on appropriate timing of needle placement and catheter removal and on the individual's skill in performing both the puncture and the catheterization. In the absence of liver failure or in cases of only moderate hepatic dysfunction, the risk of neurologic complications and spinal hematomas does not appear greater than when an epidural is performed for routine abdominal or thoracic surgery. Various anesthetic strategies have been adopted to prevent bleeding during liver resection, such as fluid restriction, diuretic administration, and vasodilator drugs. Lowering central venous pressure (CVP) seems to play a prominent role in prevention of bleeding since an elevated CVP may be associated with increased blood loss at various phases of liver resection. However, a low CVP may not be tolerated by all patients: intraoperative hemodynamic instability may, in fact, easily ensue because of the cardiovascular depressant effects of anesthetics, surgical blood losses, and manipulation of the inferior vena cava. We suggest combining intraoperative epidural anesthesia with general (light) anesthesia as a useful strategy to keep the CVP low during liver resection without vasodilators or diuretics. Epidural anesthesia does not lead to changes in intravascular volume, but only promotes redistribution of blood, decreasing both venous return and portal vein pressure, thus contributing to reduced hepatic congestion and surgical blood loss.
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GEOZS, IJS, IMTLJ, KILJ, KISLJ, NUK, OILJ, PNG, SAZU, SBCE, SBJE, UL, UM, UPCLJ, UPUK
Abstract Portopulmonary hypertension (PPHTN) refers to the development of pulmonary arterial hypertension in the setting of portal hypertension with or without chronic hepatic failure. This syndrome ...is characterized by marked alternations of pulmonary vascular tone and obstruction of pulmonary arterial blood flow. An increased pulmonary blood flow, which is a hallmark of the hyperdynamic circulation of cirrhotic patients, seems to be present in almost all patients who develop PPHTN. The elevations of pulmonary artery pressure (PAP) and pulmonary vascular resistance (PVR) along with the transpulmonary gradient (TPG) have been considered in diagnosing PPHTN. Only a high TPG reflects the severity of obstruction to pulmonary blood flow and differentiates an elevated PAP with concomitant elevated PVR from the situation where the increase in PAP is due only to the hyperdynamic flow and elevated volume. A considerable risk for cardiovascular death arises when PAP increases significantly; this may occur in rapidly evolving syndromes, in very advanced disease, or during a complicated liver transplantation. The distinction between PPHTN and elevated PAP in the context of a hyperdynamic state is of great importance; a PAP increase of hyperkinetic origin, as opposed to PPHTN, is apparently not associated with a high risk for adverse effects during and following liver transplantation.
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GEOZS, IJS, IMTLJ, KILJ, KISLJ, NUK, OILJ, PNG, SAZU, SBCE, SBJE, UL, UM, UPCLJ, UPUK
Abstract Cirrhotic patients who need critical care support show high morbidity and mortality rates compared with other critically ill patients. Their prognosis is, in fact, influenced by both the ...severity of the underlying hepatic disease and the worsening of extrahepatic organ function. Clinicians and investigators have been persistently looking for objective scoring systems capable of providing accurate information on disease severity and short-term prognosis. Risk stratification helps differentiate patients who would not benefit from admission to the intensive care unit (ICU) from those who could achieve better outcomes once aggressively treated. The most common scores, ie, multiple organ dysfunction score, sequential organ failure assessment, and acute physiology and chronic health evaluation, developed in general ICUs to evaluate illness severity, have also been validated to predict the prognosis of cirrhotic patients admitted to the ICU. However, their absolute predictive value has been questioned. A weakness of common prediction models consists in not recognizing the continuum of physiological changes in critically ill decompensated cirrhotic patients. In addition, the predictive power to stratify individual risk is relatively low due to the great variability of liver dysfunction stages, the severity of related manifestations, and the number of nonfunctioning organs on admission. Probability models are not capable of predicting whether a patient will live or die with 100% accuracy, nor can they deny or confirm the indications for mechanical ventilation, vasopressor support or renal replacement therapy, or help to decide when to withhold or withdraw support. Because there are no absolute criteria to predict which cirrhotic decompensated patients will improve with normalization of organ function or deteriorate progressively, a scoring system should be regarded as an adjunct rather than a substitute for clinical judgment in the decision process concerning whether a patient should be admitted to the ICU.
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GEOZS, IJS, IMTLJ, KILJ, KISLJ, NUK, OILJ, PNG, SAZU, SBCE, SBJE, UL, UM, UPCLJ, UPUK
Abstract Lung transplantation has become a consolidated treatment for patients with severe pulmonary hypertension (PH). Several difficulties are encountered during the procedure in such candidates, ...who are still recognized as more severely affected by perioperative morbility and mortality than those undergoing lung transplantation for other diseases. Right ventricular (RV) enlargement with tricuspid regurgitation, small left ventricle (LV) with an asymmetric hypetrophic wall, interventricular septal shift toward the left, with ventricular stiffness and diastolic incompetence, are typical preoperative echocardiographic findings of end-stage PH. A smooth induction and tracheal intubation will help prevent hypertensive crisis in highly susceptible candidates. Uncompensated vasodilatation or myocardial depression caused by anesthetics and mechanical ventilation may be responsible for acute RV dysfunction associated with low systemic blood pressure. Resuscitation and emergency adoption of cardiopulmonary by-pass (CPB) has been described for near-fatal anesthesia induction. Cardiovascular instability can develop after institution of one-lung ventilation and pulmonary artery clamping. An acute increase in pulmonary pressure results in a decrease in RV ejection fraction and then in acute RV failure. Interdependence of the right and left ventricles occurs such that RV function can alter LV function. Early detection of impending circulatory and/or respiratory deterioration is warranted to prevent an irreversible decline in cardiac output, resulting in hazardous cardiac arrest. Inhaled nitric oxide represents the first choice for treatment of PH and RV failure associated with systemic hypotension during lung transplantation. Intraoperative situations requiring CPB must be identified before development of systemic shock, which represents a late ominous sign of RV failure.
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GEOZS, IJS, IMTLJ, KILJ, KISLJ, NUK, OILJ, PNG, SAZU, SBCE, SBJE, UL, UM, UPCLJ, UPUK
This paper studies how and how much active experimentation is used in discounted or finite-horizon optimization problems with an agent who chooses actions sequentially from a finite set of actions, ...with rewards depending on unknown parameters associated with the actions. Closed-form approximations are developed for the optimal rules in these ‘multi-armed bandit’ problems. Some refinements and modifications of the basic structure of these approximations also provide a nearly optimal solution to the long-standing problem of incorporating switching costs into multi-armed bandits.
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GEOZS, IJS, IMTLJ, KILJ, KISLJ, NUK, OILJ, PNG, SAZU, SBCE, SBJE, UL, UM, UPCLJ, UPUK
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