Statistical landslide susceptibility mapping is a topic in complete and constant evolution, especially since the introduction of machine learning (ML) methods. A new methodological approach is here ...presented, based on the ensemble of artificial neural network, generalized boosting model and maximum entropy ML algorithms. Such approach has been tested in the
Monterosso al Mare area
, Cinque Terre National Park (Northern Italy), severely hit by landslides in October 2011, following an extraordinary precipitation event, which caused extensive damage at this World Heritage site. Thirteen predisposing factors were selected and assessed according to the main characteristics of the territory and through variance inflation factor, whilst a database made of 260 landslides was adopted. Four different Ensemble techniques were applied, after the averaging of 300 stand-alone methods, each one providing validation scores such as ROC (receiver operating characteristics)/AUC (area under curve) and true skill statistics (TSS). A further model performance evaluation was achieved by assessing the uncertainty through the computation of the coefficient of variation (CV). Ensemble modelling thus showed improved reliability, testified by the higher scores, by the low values of CV and finally by a general consistency between the four Ensemble models adopted. Therefore, the improved reliability of Ensemble modelling confirms the efficacy and suitability of the proposed approach for decision-makers in land management at local and regional scales.
Dam monitoring represents a crucial issue in order to avoid catastrophic failures due to infrastructure aging or earthquake damages. Differential SAR Interferometry (DInSAR) is a technique suitable ...for critical infrastructure monitoring, also for the availability of free data and tools, that can be used by experts in SAR remote sensing and also by geologists and civil engineers, after having acquired the right confidence and experience in these data processing and tool use. In order to apply the DInSAR technique, in its basic and simple version, to critical infrastructure monitoring, it is very important to assess its performance. Nevertheless, validation results are not largely available in literature, because heterogeneous technical competencies are required to this aim and in situ measurements must be collected and made available. In this paper, we propose a highly reproducible DInSAR workflow that can be effectively used for dam monitoring, by validating its results with in situ measurements on some significant case studies in Italy.
The building stock around the world is exposed to different types of natural actions such as earthquakes or landslides. In particular, Italy is one of the countries worldwide most affected by ...landslides. Mitigation of landslide risk is a topic of great interest for the evaluation and management of its consequences. Periodical monitoring of the landslide-induced damage on structures require high costs due to the large number of exposed elements. With respect to the reinforced concrete structures, slow-moving landslides can affect primary structural elements, but more frequently damage occurs on the most vulnerable elements of the structure such as infills. The aim of this work is to demonstrate the potential utility of satellite data derived from a remote sensing technique, known as differential synthetic aperture radar interferometry, to support the structural health monitoring of reinforced concrete buildings affected by landslides. This article shows the structural health monitoring process for a reinforced concrete infilled building within a landslide-affected area, using the differential synthetic aperture radar interferometry data as input for the structural analysis in order to investigate the evolution of damage over the years. Three-dimensional structure, including the explicit infills consideration, has been modeled based on the information available from a visual survey, obtaining the missing parameters from a simulated design process and from the literature. In the field of the civil protection programs for the landslide risk reduction, this methodology can be quickly repeated for large sets of reinforced concrete buildings. Evidence of the visual survey showed a significant damage pattern in some infills. A good agreement has been found between analytical previsions and existing damage. Moreover, a global infills damage assessment of the case study building is proposed. Finally, assuming a constant increase in displacements in future years, a prediction of the future expected damage is shown.
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Many of the UNESCO World Heritage Sites face geological threats which could have negative effects on the value, integrity and accessibility of their heritage assets. A relevant example is the Derwent ...Valley Mills UNESCO World Heritage site, one of the key sites of Britain's industrial revolution of the 18th century and located along the Derwent River Valley. Individual susceptibility scenarios of natural hazards in the area like collapsible deposits, compressible ground, debris flow, landslide, running sands, shrink-swell, soluble rock and flooding (both riverine and groundwater) are available, but a comprehensive product able to support disaster mitigation measurement and land planning still does not exist. On this basis, a multi-hazard susceptibility analysis was completed with the added benefit of reducing the complexity and providing a methodological framework for multi-hazard estimation. The analysis was completed in a GIS environment through an Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) multicriteria decision-making process. Since the AHP method is affected by a user selection bias, a quantitative Relative significance index was derived to rank the AHP factors during the susceptibility estimation. This index suggests that flooding is the principal natural hazard for the Derwent Valley Mills UNESCO World Heritage site. The multi-hazard susceptibility map also indicates that most of the areas where the mills are located are subject to significant susceptibility to natural hazards.
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GEOZS, IJS, IMTLJ, KILJ, KISLJ, NLZOH, NUK, OILJ, PNG, SAZU, SBCE, SBJE, UILJ, UL, UM, UPCLJ, UPUK, ZAGLJ, ZRSKP
The accurate evaluation of landslide-induced damage is a necessity for planning of proper and effective mitigation measures. It requires the implementation of field investigations to identify ...structural failures to more effectively trace landslide boundaries. Many methods have been proposed to classify landslide-induced damage of buildings. The existing methods demonstrate several advantages and drawbacks depending on the parameters considered, as lack of some important features and difficulties in applicability. A new classification approach of landslide-induced damage of facilities is proposed, which specifically focuses on assessing of damage degree and its relationship to the ground motion intensity and impact severity. The new approach is designed in two steps: a chart utilized during surveys to quantify cracks on structures and ground surface; an a posteriori ranking of structures performed using a cell-grid matrix. Furthermore, a damage recording scheme useful for field surveying is proposed. This approach considers several parameters derived from different existing methodologies by smoothing out drawbacks and homogenizing the considered features. The resulting approach provides a new procedure of landslide-induced damage assessment adoptable in case of private dwellings, as it does not require internal accessibility, and it is exploitable for different landslide events and for different kinds of structures and facilities.
The integration of data from different sources can be very helpful in understanding the mechanism, the geometry, the kinematic, and the area affected by complex instabilities, especially when the ...available geotechnical information is limited. In this work, the suitability of different techniques for the study of a deep-seated landslide affecting a bridge in Alcoy (Spain) is evaluated. This infrastructure presents such severe damage that has rendered the bridge unusable, which prevents normal access to an important industrial area. Differential SAR Interferometry (DInSAR) and terrestrial Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) remote sensing techniques have been combined with ground displacement monitoring techniques, such as inclinometers and conventional geological and geotechnical investigation, electrical-seismic tomography, damage, and topographic surveys, to determine the boundaries, mechanism, and kinematics of the landslide. The successful case study that is illustrated in this work highlights the potential and the need for integrating multi-source data for the optimal management of complex landslides and the effective design of remedial measurements.
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An increasing number of satellite platforms provide daily images of the Earth’s surface that can be used in quantitative monitoring applications. However, their cost and the need for specific ...processing software make such products not often suitable for rapid mapping and deformation tracking. Google Earth images have been used in a number of mapping applications and, due to their free and rapid accessibility, they have contributed to partially overcome this issue. However, their potential in Earth’s surface displacement tracking has not yet been explored. In this paper, that aspect is analyzed providing a specific procedure and related MATLAB™ code to derive displacement field maps using digital image correlation of successive Google Earth images. The suitability of the procedure and the potential of such images are demonstrated here through their application to two relevant case histories, namely the Slumgullion landslide in Colorado and the Miage debris-covered glacier in Italy. Result validation suggests the effectiveness of the proposed procedure in deriving Earth’s surface displacement data from Google Earth images.
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Climate change has increased the likelihood of the occurrence of disasters like wildfires, floods, storms, and landslides worldwide in the last years. Weather conditions change continuously and ...rapidly, and wildfires are occurring repeatedly and diffusing with higher intensity. The burnt catchments are known, in many parts of the world, as one of the main sensitive areas to debris flows characterized by different trigger mechanisms (runoff-initiated and debris slide-initiated debris flow). The large number of studies produced in recent decades has shown how the response of a watershed to precipitation can be extremely variable, depending on several on-site conditions, as well as the characteristics of precipitation duration and intensity. Moreover, the availability of satellite data has significantly improved the ability to identify the areas affected by wildfires, and, even more importantly, to carry out post-fire assessment of burnt areas. Many difficulties have to be faced in attempting to assess landslide risk in burnt areas, which present a higher likelihood of occurrence; in densely populated neighbourhoods, human activities can be the cause of the origin of the fires. The latter is, in fact, one of the main operations used by man to remove vegetation along slopes in an attempt to claim new land for pastures or construction purposes. Regarding the study area, the Camaldoli and Agnano hill (Naples, Italy) fires seem to act as a predisposing factor, while the triggering factor is usually represented by precipitation. Eleven predisposing factors were chosen and estimated according to previous knowledge of the territory and a database consisting of 400 landslides was adopted. The present work aimed to expand the knowledge of the relationship existing between the triggering of landslides and burnt areas through the following phases: (1) Processing of the thematic maps of the burnt areas through band compositions of satellite images; and (2) landslide susceptibility assessment through the application of a new statistical approach (machine learning techniques). The analysis has the scope to support decision makers and local agencies in urban planning and safety monitoring of the environment.
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ABSTRACTSAR (Synthetic Aperture Radar) satellite interferometry is a helpful remote sensing technique for large areas analyses and monitoring, especially where the study area is difficult to access ...for practical or for legal reasons. As a result, the use of these techniques has significantly increased over the past three decades. Among the available different satellite constellations displaying different spatial and temporal resolutions, COSMO-SkyMed of the Italian Space Agency (ASI) represents a cutting-edge reality. COSMO-SkyMed constellation, launched in 2007 by ASI, is a valuable Earth observation tool that provides all-weather, day-and-night imaging capabilities with high resolution and a short revisit time. In this study, we produced an atlas for the entire Italian peninsula using two parameters (R-Index and Percentage of measurability of movement), in order to evaluate the quality and a-priori applicability of satellite interferometry data collected by the COSMO-SkyMed constellation. The atlas was obtained by means of the implementation of different model builders in the GIS (Geographical Information Systems) environment, providing a semi-automatic way to generate the above-mentioned outputs. The R-Index describes the likelihood of detecting Permanent Scatterers in mountainous areas, while the Percentage of measurability of movement indicates the percentage of real motion that interferometry can detect at a certain point in the analyzed region. A high-detail Digital Terrain Model (DTM) has been used to identify the most suitable areas for satellite interferometry monitoring and studying. The results of our analysis showed that the R-Index and the Percentage of measurability of movement could be used to pre-evaluate the quality of satellite interferometry data collected by the COSMO-SkyMed constellation. This research has important implications for disaster response, environmental monitoring, and scientific research and is one of a few cases in the world in which a unified representation for an entire country is provided.