Objectives We sought to identify risk factors for mortality and morbidity during the Norwood hospitalization in newborn infants with hypoplastic left heart syndrome and other single right ventricle ...anomalies enrolled in the Single Ventricle Reconstruction trial. Methods Potential predictors for outcome included patient- and procedure-related variables and center volume and surgeon volume. Outcome variables occurring during the Norwood procedure and before hospital discharge or stage II procedure included mortality, end-organ complications, length of ventilation, and hospital length of stay. Univariate and multivariable Cox regression analyses were performed with bootstrapping to estimate reliability for mortality. Results Analysis included 549 subjects prospectively enrolled from 15 centers; 30-day and hospital mortality were 11.5% (63/549) and 16.0% (88/549), respectively. Independent risk factors for both 30-day and hospital mortality included lower birth weight, genetic abnormality, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) and open sternum on the day of the Norwood procedure. In addition, longer duration of deep hypothermic circulatory arrest was a risk factor for 30-day mortality. Shunt type at the end of the Norwood procedure was not a significant risk factor for 30-day or hospital mortality. Independent risk factors for postoperative renal failure (n = 46), sepsis (n = 93), increased length of ventilation, and hospital length of stay among survivors included genetic abnormality, lower center/surgeon volume, open sternum, and post-Norwood operations. Conclusions Innate patient factors, ECMO, open sternum, and lower center/surgeon volume are important risk factors for postoperative mortality and/or morbidity during the Norwood hospitalization.
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GEOZS, IJS, IMTLJ, KILJ, KISLJ, NLZOH, NUK, OILJ, PNG, SAZU, SBCE, SBJE, UILJ, UL, UM, UPCLJ, UPUK, ZAGLJ, ZRSKP
An empirically based tool for analyzing mortality associated with congenital heart surgery O'Brien, Sean M., PhD; Clarke, David R., MD; Jacobs, Jeffrey P., MD ...
Journal of thoracic and cardiovascular surgery/The Journal of thoracic and cardiovascular surgery/The journal of thoracic and cardiovascular surgery,
11/2009, Volume:
138, Issue:
5
Journal Article
Peer reviewed
Open access
Objective Analysis of congenital heart surgery results requires a reliable method of estimating the risk of adverse outcomes. Two major systems in current use are based on projections of risk or ...complexity that were predominantly subjectively derived. Our goal was to create an objective, empirically based index that can be used to identify the statistically estimated risk of in-hospital mortality by procedure and to group procedures into risk categories. Methods Mortality risk was estimated for 148 types of operative procedures using data from 77,294 operations entered into the European Association for Cardiothoracic Surgery (EACTS) Congenital Heart Surgery Database (33,360 operations) and the Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) Congenital Heart Surgery Database (43,934 patients) between 2002 and 2007. Procedure-specific mortality rate estimates were calculated using a Bayesian model that adjusted for small denominators. Each procedure was assigned a numeric score (the STS–EACTS Congenital Heart Surgery Mortality Score 2009) ranging from 0.1 to 5.0 based on the estimated mortality rate. Procedures were also sorted by increasing risk and grouped into 5 categories (the STS–EACTS Congenital Heart Surgery Mortality Categories 2009) that were chosen to be optimal with respect to minimizing within-category variation and maximizing between-category variation. Model performance was subsequently assessed in an independent validation sample (n = 27,700) and compared with 2 existing methods: Risk Adjustment for Congenital Heart Surgery (RACHS-1) categories and Aristotle Basis Complexity scores. Results Estimated mortality rates ranged across procedure types from 0.3% (atrial septal defect repair with patch) to 29.8% (truncus plus interrupted aortic arch repair). The proposed STS–EACTS score and STS–EACTS categories demonstrated good discrimination for predicting mortality in the validation sample (C-index = 0.784 and 0.773, respectively). For procedures with more than 40 occurrences, the Pearson correlation coefficient between a procedure's STS–EACTS score and its actual mortality rate in the validation sample was 0.80. In the subset of procedures for which RACHS-1 and Aristotle Basic Complexity scores are defined, discrimination was highest for the STS–EACTS score (C-index = 0.787), followed by STS–EACTS categories (C-index = 0.778), RACHS-1 categories (C-index = 0.745), and Aristotle Basic Complexity scores (C-index = 0.687). When patient covariates were added to each model, the C-index improved: STS–EACTS score (C-index = 0.816), STS–EACTS categories (C-index = 0.812), RACHS-1 categories (C-index = 0.802), and Aristotle Basic Complexity scores (C-index = 0.795). Conclusion The proposed risk scores and categories have a high degree of discrimination for predicting mortality and represent an improvement over existing consensus-based methods. Risk models incorporating these measures may be used to compare mortality outcomes across institutions with differing case mixes.
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GEOZS, IJS, IMTLJ, KILJ, KISLJ, NLZOH, NUK, OILJ, PNG, SAZU, SBCE, SBJE, UILJ, UL, UM, UPCLJ, UPUK, ZAGLJ, ZRSKP
The use of the Berlin Heart EXCOR in patients with functional single ventricle Weinstein, Samuel, MD, MBA; Bello, Ricardo, MD, PhD; Pizarro, Christian, MD ...
Journal of thoracic and cardiovascular surgery/The Journal of thoracic and cardiovascular surgery/The journal of thoracic and cardiovascular surgery,
02/2014, Volume:
147, Issue:
2
Journal Article
Peer reviewed
Open access
Introduction The frequency and successful use of pediatric ventricular assist devices (VADs) as a bridge to cardiac transplantation have been steadily increasing since 2003, but the experience in ...patients with complex congenital heart disease has not been well described. Using a large prospectively collected dataset of children supported with the Berlin Heart EXCOR VAD, we have reviewed the experience in children with single ventricular anatomy or physiology (SV), and compared the results with those supported with biventricular circulation (BV) over the same time period. Methods The EXCOR Investigational Device Exemption study database was retrospectively reviewed. VAD implants under the primary cohort and compassionate use cohort between May 2007 and December 2011 were included in this review. Results Twenty-six of 281 patients supported with a VAD were SV. The most common diagnosis was hypoplastic left heart syndrome (15 of 26). Nine patients were supported after neonatal palliative surgery (Blalock-Taussig shunt or Sano), 12 after a superior cavopulmonary connection (SCPC), and 5 after total cavopulmonary connection (TCPC). Two patients received biventricular assist devices, 1 after stage I surgery and 1 after stage II. SV patients were supported for a median time of 10.5 days (range, 1-363 days) versus 39 days (range, 0-435 days) for BV ( P = .01). The ability to be bridged to transplant or recovery in SV patients is lower than for BV patients (11 of 26 42.3% vs 185 of 255 72.5%; P = .001). Three of 5 patients with TCPC were successfully bridged to transplant and were supported with 1 VAD. Seven of 12 patients with SCPC were bridged to transplant, and only 1 of 9 patients supported after a stage I procedure survived. Conclusions The EXCOR Pediatric VAD can provide a bridge to transplant for children with SV anatomy or physiology, albeit less successfully than in children with BV. In this small series, results are better in patients with SCPC and TCPC. VAD support for patients with shunted sources of pulmonary blood flow should be applied with caution.
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GEOZS, IJS, IMTLJ, KILJ, KISLJ, NLZOH, NUK, OILJ, PNG, SAZU, SBCE, SBJE, UILJ, UL, UM, UPCLJ, UPUK, ZAGLJ, ZRSKP
Background We evaluated outcomes for common operations in The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Congenital Heart Surgery Database (STS-CHSDB) to provide contemporary benchmarks and examine variation ...between centers. Methods Patients undergoing surgery from 2005 to 2009 were included. Centers with greater than 10% missing data were excluded. Discharge mortality and postoperative length of stay (PLOS) among patients discharged alive were calculated for 8 benchmark operations of varying complexity. Power for analyzing between-center variation in outcome was determined for each operation. Variation was evaluated using funnel plots and Bayesian hierarchical modeling. Results Eighteen thousand three hundred seventy-five index operations at 74 centers were included in the analysis of 8 benchmark operations. Overall discharge mortality was: ventricular septal defect (VSD) repair = 0.6% (range, 0% to 5.1%), tetralogy of Fallot (TOF) repair = 1.1% (range, 0% to 16.7%), complete atrioventricular canal repair (AVC) = 2.2% (range, 0% to 20%), arterial switch operation (ASO) = 2.9% (range, 0% to 50%), ASO + VSD = 7.0% (range, 0% to 100%), Fontan operation = 1.3% (range, 0% to 9.1%), truncus arteriosus repair = 10.9% (0% to 100%), and Norwood procedure = 19.3% (range, 0% to 100%). Funnel plots revealed that the number of centers characterized as outliers were VSD = 0, TOF = 0, AVC = 1, ASO = 3, ASO + VSD = 1, Fontan operation = 0, truncus arteriosus repair = 4, and Norwood procedure = 11. Power calculations showed that statistically meaningful comparisons of mortality rates between centers could be made only for the Norwood procedure, for which the Bayesian-estimated range (95% probability interval) after risk-adjustment was 7.0% (3.7% to 10.3%) to 41.6% (30.6% to 57.2%). Between-center variation in PLOS was analyzed for all operations and was larger for more complex operations. Conclusions This analysis documents contemporary benchmarks for common pediatric cardiac surgical operations and the range of outcomes among centers. Variation was most prominent for the more complex operations. These data may aid in quality assessment and quality improvement initiatives.
Objective Congenital heart surgery outcomes analysis requires reliable methods of estimating the risk of adverse outcomes. Contemporary methods focus primarily on mortality or rely on expert opinion ...to estimate morbidity associated with different procedures. We created an objective, empirically based index that reflects statistically estimated risk of morbidity by procedure. Methods Morbidity risk was estimated using data from 62,851 operations in the Society of Thoracic Surgeons Congenital Heart Surgery Database (2002-2008). Model-based estimates with 95% Bayesian credible intervals were calculated for each procedure’s average risk of major complications and average postoperative length of stay. These 2 measures were combined into a composite morbidity score. A total of 140 procedures were assigned scores ranging from 0.1 to 5.0 and sorted into 5 relatively homogeneous categories. Results Model-estimated risk of major complications ranged from 1.0% for simple procedures to 38.2% for truncus arteriosus with interrupted aortic arch repair. Procedure-specific estimates of average postoperative length of stay ranged from 2.9 days for simple procedures to 42.6 days for a combined atrial switch and Rastelli operation. Spearman rank correlation between raw rates of major complication and average postoperative length of stay was 0.82 in procedures with n greater than 200. Rate of major complications ranged from 3.2% in category 1 to 30.0% in category 5. Aggregate average postoperative length of stay ranged from 6.3 days in category 1 to 34.0 days in category 5. Conclusions Complication rates and postoperative length of stay provide related but not redundant information about morbidity. The Morbidity Scores and Categories provide an objective assessment of risk associated with operations for congenital heart disease, which should facilitate comparison of outcomes across cohorts with differing case mixes.
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GEOZS, IJS, IMTLJ, KILJ, KISLJ, NLZOH, NUK, OILJ, PNG, SAZU, SBCE, SBJE, UILJ, UL, UM, UPCLJ, UPUK, ZAGLJ, ZRSKP
Is a hybrid strategy a lower-risk alternative to stage 1 Norwood operation? Wilder, Travis J., MD; McCrindle, Brian W., MD; Hickey, Edward J., MD ...
Journal of thoracic and cardiovascular surgery/The Journal of thoracic and cardiovascular surgery/The journal of thoracic and cardiovascular surgery,
01/2017, Volume:
153, Issue:
1
Journal Article
Peer reviewed
Open access
Abstract Background For neonates with critical left ventricular outflow tract obstruction (LVOTO), hybrid procedures are an alternative to the Norwood stage 1 procedure. Despite perceived advantages, ...however, outcomes are not well defined. Therefore, we compared outcomes after stage 1 hybrid and Norwood procedures. Methods In a critical LVOTO inception cohort (2005-2014; 20 institutions), a total of 564 neonates underwent stage 1 palliation with the Norwood operation with a modified Blalock-Taussig shunt (NW-BT; n = 232; 41%), Norwood operation with a right ventricle–to–pulmonary artery conduit (NW-RVPA; n = 222; 39%), or a hybrid procedure (n = 110; 20%). Post–stage 1 outcomes were analyzed via competing-risks and parametric hazard analyses and compared among all 564 patients and between patients who underwent propensity-matched hybrid and those who underwent NW-BT/NW-RVPA. Results By 6 years after the stage 1 operation, 50% ± 3%, 7% ± 2%, and 4% ± 1% of patients transitioned to Fontan, transplantation, and biventricular repair, respectively, whereas 7% ± 2% were alive without transition and 32% ± 2% died. Risk factors for death without transition included procedure type, smaller ascending aorta, aortic valve atresia, and lower birth weight. Risk-adjusted 4-year survival was better after NW-RVPA than after NW-BT or hybrid (76% vs 60% vs 61%; P < .001). Furthermore, for neonates with lower birth weight (<∼2 kg), an interaction between birth weight and hybrid resulted in a trend toward better survival after hybrid compared with NW-BT or NW-RVPA. For propensity-matched neonates between hybrid and NW-BT (88 pairs), 4-year survival was similar (62% vs 57%; P = .58). For propensity-matched neonates between hybrid and NW-RVPA (81 pairs), 4-year survival was better after NW-RVPA (59% vs 75%; P = .008). Conclusions For neonates with critical LVOTO undergoing single-ventricle palliation, NW-RVPA was associated with the best overall survival. Hybrid strategies are not a lower-risk alternative to Norwood operations overall; however, the impact of lower birth weight on survival may be mitigated after hybrid procedures compared with Norwood operations.
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GEOZS, IJS, IMTLJ, KILJ, KISLJ, NLZOH, NUK, OILJ, PNG, SAZU, SBCE, SBJE, UILJ, UL, UM, UPCLJ, UPUK, ZAGLJ, ZRSKP
Objective The study objective was to identify factors associated with death and cardiac transplantation in infants undergoing the Norwood procedure and to determine differences in associations that ...might favor the modified Blalock–Taussig shunt or a right ventricle-to-pulmonary artery shunt. Methods We used competing risks methodology to analyze death without transplantation, cardiac transplantation, and survival without transplantation. Parametric time-to-event modeling and bootstrapping were used to identify independent predictors. Results Data from 549 subjects (follow-up, 2.7 ± 0.9 years) were analyzed. Mortality risk was characterized by early and constant phases; transplant was characterized by only a constant phase. Early phase factors associated with death included lower socioeconomic status ( P = .01), obstructed pulmonary venous return ( P < .001), smaller ascending aorta ( P = .02), and anatomic subtype. Constant phase factors associated with death included genetic syndrome ( P < .001) and lower gestational age ( P < .001). The right ventricle-to-pulmonary artery shunt demonstrated better survival in the 51% of subjects who were full term with aortic atresia ( P < .001). The modified Blalock–Taussig shunt was better among the 4% of subjects who were preterm with a patent aortic valve ( P = .003). Lower pre-Norwood right ventricular fractional area change, pre-Norwood surgery, and anatomy other than hypoplastic left heart syndrome were independently associated with transplantation (all P < .03), but shunt type was not ( P = .43). Conclusions Independent risk factors for intermediate-term mortality include lower socioeconomic status, anatomy, genetic syndrome, and lower gestational age. Term infants with aortic atresia benefited from a right ventricle-to-pulmonary artery shunt, and preterm infants with a patent aortic valve benefited from a modified Blalock–Taussig shunt. Right ventricular function and anatomy, but not shunt type, were associated with transplantation.
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GEOZS, IJS, IMTLJ, KILJ, KISLJ, NLZOH, NUK, OILJ, PNG, SAZU, SBCE, SBJE, UILJ, UL, UM, UPCLJ, UPUK, ZAGLJ, ZRSKP
Background There are a wide variety of reported techniques with few comparative trials and no current data available by which surgeons can compare their myopreservation strategies across the ...specialty. We therefore surveyed congenital heart surgeons to develop a profile of current practice. Methods One hundred twenty-two members of the Congenital Heart Surgeons' Society were surveyed, and 56 responses were analyzed. The survey focused on cardioplegia formulations, dosage and administration, and perfusion strategies for four age groups: neonates, infants, children, and adolescents. All percentages are expressed as percentage of the entire reporting cohort (n = 56). Results Eighty-six percent of surgeons use blood-based cardioplegia versus crystalloid cardioplegia. Microplegia is used in 5%. Blood-based cardioplegia additives include del Nido (38%), customized solutions (32%), St. Thomas, Plegisol, or Baxter (11%), and microplegia (5%). Crystalloid cardioplegia types are Custodiol (7%), St. Thomas, Plegisol, or Baxter (5%), and customized solutions (2%). Cold (<10°C) cardioplegia is most common (93%), and “hot shots” are used in 21%. Moderate (26° to 30°C) hypothermic cardiopulmonary bypass is more common in neonates and infants compared with older children and adolescents. Antegrade administration is most common (89%). Longer intervals between cardioplegia doses were associated with surgeons using del Nido and Custodiol solutions, and these solutions were commonly administered with a single dose regardless of aortic cross-clamp time. Conclusions Myocardial protection techniques still remained highly variable among congenital heart surgeons. This survey demonstrates that there is a perception that del Nido and Custodiol solutions can offer appropriate myocardial protection for longer intervals with decreased repeat dosing. An observational study correlating markers of postoperative myocardial performance with myocardial preservation strategies should be considered.
Background The empirically derived 2014 Society of Thoracic Surgeons Congenital Heart Surgery Database Mortality Risk Model incorporates adjustment for procedure type and patient-specific factors. ...The purpose of this report is to describe this model and its application in the assessment of variation in outcomes across centers. Methods All index cardiac operations in The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Congenital Heart Surgery Database (January 1, 2010, to December 31, 2013) were eligible for inclusion. Isolated patent ductus arteriosus closures in patients weighing less than or equal to 2.5 kg were excluded, as were centers with more than 10% missing data and patients with missing data for key variables. The model includes the following covariates: primary procedure, age, any prior cardiovascular operation, any noncardiac abnormality, any chromosomal abnormality or syndrome, important preoperative factors (mechanical circulatory support, shock persisting at time of operation, mechanical ventilation, renal failure requiring dialysis or renal dysfunction (or both), and neurological deficit), any other preoperative factor, prematurity (neonates and infants), and weight (neonates and infants). Variation across centers was assessed. Centers for which the 95% confidence interval for the observed-to-expected mortality ratio does not include unity are identified as lower-performing or higher-performing programs with respect to operative mortality. Results Included were 52,224 operations from 86 centers. Overall discharge mortality was 3.7% (1,931 of 52,224). Discharge mortality by age category was neonates, 10.1% (1,129 of 11,144); infants, 3.0% (564 of 18,554), children, 0.9% (167 of 18,407), and adults, 1.7% (71 of 4,119). For all patients, 12 of 86 centers (14%) were lower-performing programs, 67 (78%) were not outliers, and 7 (8%) were higher-performing programs. Conclusions The 2014 Society of Thoracic Surgeons Congenital Heart Surgery Database Mortality Risk Model facilitates description of outcomes (mortality) adjusted for procedural and for patient-level factors. Identification of low-performing and high-performing programs may be useful in facilitating quality improvement efforts.
Objective Despite increasing use of bilateral branch pulmonary artery banding (bPAB), both as a temporary stabilizing treatment and as part of comprehensive hybrid management of hypoplastic left ...heart syndrome, little is known about the long-term outcomes of the pulmonary arteries (PAs) in banded patients. Patients and Methods We conducted a retrospective review of all patients with ductal-dependent systemic circulation (2001-2013) undergoing bPAB placement at a single institution (bPAB, n = 50); patients who underwent a stage I Norwood procedure (Norwood, n = 53) were used for comparison. The need for PA interventions (surgical arterioplasty, balloon angioplasty, and stent implantation) and PA growth were assessed. Results Bands were in place for a median of 76 days. PA growth and size were similar between groups, but bPAB patients required more interventions (1.4 ± 2.9 vs 0.5 ± 1.2, P = .01). In competing risks analysis, only 20% of bPAB patients were alive and free from intervention at 5 years after bPAB removal. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression of operative interventions within the bPAB group demonstrated the following risk factors: subsequent 2-ventricle repairs (hazard ratio HR, 2.2; 95% confidence interval CI, 0.7-6.7), smallest band diameter (HR per additional millimeter, 0.059; 95% CI, 0.004-0.849), and duration of band placement more than 90 days (HR, 3.5; 95% CI, 1.0-12.6). Hemodynamics and Fontan candidacy did not differ between groups. Conclusions Patients with bPAB require additional interventions at earlier time points than Norwood patients. Patients with smaller bands and longer duration of banding are at high risk. Despite stenoses requiring additional interventions, Fontan candidacy is maintained.
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GEOZS, IJS, IMTLJ, KILJ, KISLJ, NLZOH, NUK, OILJ, PNG, SAZU, SBCE, SBJE, UILJ, UL, UM, UPCLJ, UPUK, ZAGLJ, ZRSKP
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