This study provides empirical support for theoretical models that allow for time-varying rare disaster risk. Using a database of 447 international political crises during the period 1918–2006, we ...create a crisis index that shows substantial variation over time. Changes in this crisis index, our proxy for changes in perceived disaster probability, have a large impact on both the mean and volatility of world stock market returns. Crisis risk is positively correlated with the earnings–price ratio and the dividend yield. Cross-sectional tests also show that crisis risk is priced: Industries that are more crisis risk sensitive yield higher returns.
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GEOZS, IJS, IMTLJ, KILJ, KISLJ, NUK, OILJ, PNG, SAZU, SBCE, SBJE, UL, UM, UPCLJ, UPUK
This article offers a conjunctural analysis of the financial and political crisis within which Brexit occurred with a specific attentiveness to race and racism. Brexit and its aftermath have been ...overdetermined by racism, including racist violence. We suggest that the Leave campaign secured its victory by bringing together two contradictory but inter-locking visions. The first comprises an imperial longing to restore Britain's place in the world as primus inter pares that occludes any coming to terms with the corrosive legacies of colonial conquest and racist subjugation. The second takes the form of an insular, Powellite narrative of island retreat from a "globalizing" world, one that is no longer recognizably "British". Further, the article argues that an invisible driver of the Brexit vote and its racist aftermath has been a politicization of Englishness. We conclude by outlining some resources of hope that could potentially help to negotiate the current emergency.
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In this paper, I try to highlight the reasons behind the threat to a museum related to frevo in Recife -PE, after the recognition of this cultural expression as a Cultural Heritage by IPHAN and ...UNESCO. Based on an ethnography of some protests and on the recent Brazilian political context analysis, I try to shed light on the challenges regarding the maintenance of cultural equipment and the echoes of the recent crises that we have faced in the heritage field in Brazil at the local levels.
El presidente ecuatoriano se encuentra en medio de una crisis de múltiples dimensiones, agravada por las filtraciones de Pandora Papers y por su débil representación parlamentaria. No obstante, las ...divisiones en el campo progresista y el apoyo del establishment le dan algo de aire para impulsar un gobierno que se alejó de la imagen remozada de la campaña electoral y se acercó a la del neoliberalismo de los años 90.
The article examines Genoese responses to plague during the old regime. Much like the Venetian, the Genoese ruling class understood the nexus between plague, poverty, and famine, and how these, in ...turn, tied in with political unrest. Some of the Republic’s main political and diplomatic crises were indeed followed by severe outbreaks of plague. Thus, the 1528 plague marked the proclamation of the oligarchic Republic, as a Spanish protectorate, masterminded by Andrea Doria, whereas the 1579-1580 plague closed the civil wars (a struggle of the old patriciate against an alliance of the new patriciate with the popular faction, 1575-1576). While the plague that swept through northern Italy in 1628-1630 narrowly missed Genoa, it became a metaphor with Genoese political thinkers for the narrowly escaped annexation of the Republic by Charles Emmanuel I of Savoy (who died of plague in his encampment, together with scores of the heretics on his payroll). The 1656-1657 epidemic was the most severe in the Genoese old regime, capping an acute political and jurisdictional crisis with Rome and with archbishop Stefano Durazzo. Remarkable documents of this enduring state of conflict are the prayer composed by Paolo Foglietta (poet and brother to Oberto, who was a leader in the civil wars and later a historian of the Republic) invoking an end to the 1579-1580 epidemic, and the anonymous preghiera repubblicana (held at the Vatican Apostolic Archive) which the government of the Republic included in the official religious liturgy in response to a heated jurisdictional crisis with the Holy See (1605-1607). Rome ordered archbishop Orazio Spinola to have the prayer banned, but the ‘Collegi’ of the Republic attempted to have it reinstated following the 1656-1657 plague.
D. Fiasella, La peste a Genova (1658 ca.), Courtesy of Archivio Fotografico Fondazione Franzoni, ETS – Genova
Right‐wing populism has gained ground in Europe in recent years, with the greatest support among rural communities. Yet the European countryside remains largely overlooked in debates on the current ...political crisis and the ways out of it. This article aims to provide keys for understanding the connection between right‐wing populism and the rural world in Europe. Our analysis unfolds around three main ideas. First, we argue that the root cause of the spread of right‐wing populism is the fundamental, multidimensional crisis of globalised neoliberal capitalism, particularly pronounced in Europe’s countryside. Second, we examine what role historical legacies, trajectories of agrarian change, and other national, regional and local specificities play in shaping populist movements in different rural areas in Europe. Finally, we discuss the constraints and possibilities for the emergence of agrarian (populist) movements that may offer progressive alternatives to right‐wing populism in the countryside.
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BFBNIB, FZAB, GIS, IJS, KILJ, NLZOH, NUK, OILJ, SAZU, SBCE, SBMB, UL, UM, UPUK
The European Union member states received about 385,000 asylum applications from children and adolescents below 18 years in 2015, and 398,000 in 2016. The latest political crises and war have led to ...an upsurge in refugee movements into European countries, giving rise to a re-evaluation of the epidemiology of psychiatric disorders and mental health problems among young refugees and asylum seekers. We systematically searched five electronic databases and reference lists of pertinent review articles. We then screened the results of forward citation tracking of key articles for relevant studies in the field for the period from January 1990 to October 2017. We dually reviewed citations and assessed risk of bias. We reported the results narratively, as meta-analyses were impeded due to high heterogeneity. We included 47 studies covered in 53 articles. Overall, the point prevalence of the investigated psychiatric disorders and mental health problems varied widely among studies (presenting interquartile ranges): for posttraumatic stress disorder between 19.0 and 52.7%, for depression between 10.3 and 32.8%, for anxiety disorders between 8.7 and 31.6%, and for emotional and behavioural problems between 19.8 and 35.0%. The highly heterogeneous evidence base could be improved by international, methodologically comparable studies with sufficiently large sample sizes drawn randomly among specific refugee populations. The prevalence estimates suggest, nevertheless, that specialized mental health care services for the most vulnerable refugee and asylum-seeking populations are needed.
Registration
The systematic review protocol was registered in PROSPERO on October 19th, 2017 with the number: CRD42017080039 and is available from:
https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=80039
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DOBA, EMUNI, FIS, FZAB, GEOZS, GIS, IJS, IMTLJ, IZUM, KILJ, KISLJ, MFDPS, NLZOH, NUK, OBVAL, ODKLJ, OILJ, PILJ, PNG, SAZU, SBCE, SBJE, SBMB, SBNM, SIK, UILJ, UKNU, UL, UM, UPUK, VKSCE, VSZLJ, ZAGLJ
Politisches Patt in Belarus Sahm, Astrid
Osteuropa (Stuttgart),
01/2020, Volume:
70, Issue:
10/11
Journal Article
Peer reviewed
Die politische Krise in Belarus ist mehr als ein Konflikt zwischen Staat und Gesellschaft. Die Proteste und das gewaltsame Vorgehen der Sicherheitskräfte erschüttern das Selbstbild, das die Menschen ...in Belarus von ihrer Nation haben. Die Mobilisierung, die Solidarität, aber auch die Repression sind einzigartig in der Geschichte des Landes. Es gibt keine Kraft, die vermitteln und den Weg zu einem Kompromiss aufzeigen könnte. Belarus befindet sich somit in einem politischen Patt. Die aktuellen Trennlinien werden die belarusische Gesellschaft noch lange Zeit prägen.
The political crisis in Belarus is more than just a conflict between state and society. The protests and the violent measures taken by the security forces are shattering the self-image that people in Belarus have of their nation. The mobilisation, the solidarity and also the repression are unique in the history of the country. There is no force that could act as a broker and show the way to a compromise. Belarus thus finds itself in a political stalemate. The current dividing lines will continue to characterise Belarusian society for a long time to come.
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Durante el ano 2023, Guatemala enfrento una crisis política ma read a por eres niomentos críticos que amenazaron la estabilidad democrática. El proceso de debilitamiento democrático se intensificó ...durante las elecciones générales con la exclusión de destacados candidatos de la oposición bajo acusaciones fabricadas y el intento del Ministerio Publicó de suspender el estatus legal del partido Semilla antes de la segunda vuelta, asi como acusaciones de fraude por parte de nu eve partidos vinculados a la coalición gobernante. La amenaza a la democracia provocó una condena internacional generalizada y la intervención de la Organización de los Estados Americanos. A pesar de la abrumadora victoria de Arévalo en la segunda vuelta, nuevos intentos del Ministerio Público por revertir los resultados de las elecciones en la etapa postelectoral han sembrado dudas sobre una transmisión pacifica del poder. Sin embargo, estos ataques a la integridad electoral por parte de actores en el gobierno sirvieron como catalizadores para la acción colectiva ciudadana en defensa de los resultados électorales, respaldada por un cuidadoso apoyo internacional que ha frenado un mayor retroceso democratico. VA ensayo se propone describir los principales ataques a la integridad electoral identiticadosen las elecciones générales, identiricar causas institucionales para la incerti-dunibre electoral v reflexionar sobre ci futuro democrático de Guatemala.
19. Yüzyıl, Osmanlı Devleti için geniş kapsamlı reformların yapıldığı bir dönem olmuştur. İmparatorluk bu yüzyılda aynı zamanda iktisadi ve siyasi krizlerle uğraşmak zorunda kalmıştır. Ekonomik ve ...siyasi alanda yaşanan kriz hayatın her alanını etkilemiş, bu durum atılmak istenen pek çok adımı sekteye uğratmıştır. Bu çalışmanın konusu olan hapishaneler, diğer alanlar gibi modernleşme sürecinin bir parçası olarak ele alınmıştır. Ancak, hapishane ve çalışanların koşullarının, diğer alanlarda olduğu gibi yeterli düzeyde iyileştirilemediği görülmüştür. Bu çalışmada geç dönem Osmanlı Devleti'nden cumhuriyete kadar geçen sürede kadın cezaevlerinin ortaya çıkış süreci ve kadın gardiyanların çalışma koşulları sorgulanmak istenmiştir. Bu bağlamda, çalışmamızda ödenek yokluğu nedeniyle yaşanan olumsuzluklar ve kadın gardiyanların özlük hakları ele alınmış ve kadın gardiyanların imparatorluğun son dönemindeki koşullarına odaklanılmıştır.
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