As Russia continues to wage war against Ukraine, Western calls to confiscate Russian frozen assets to aid Ukraine's reconstruction have become more urgent. Whether justice on this score will be ...ultimately delivered remains unclear. Despite many international initiatives to seize Russian assets, legal conservatism and concerns over the disruption of international rules are strong constraints. Finding a legal way to confiscate Russian sovereign assets will require political determination, international coordination and legal creativity.
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The Russia-Ukraine war has caused decision-makers worldwide to acknowledge the thinkability (plausibility) of limited nuclear war. It has probably reduced any confidence China may have about being ...able easily and quickly to invade Taiwan. It will stimulate the United States to spur allies in Northeast Asia to beef up their own military capabilities by developing, purchasing and deploying advanced defensive weapons effective in actual war. Having experienced dilemmas in the Russia-Ukraine war, the United States may be even more reluctant to use nuclear weapons in defense of its allies and it may become less strident in discouraging its vulnerable allies in NE Asia from having nuclear weapons. Experience from the Russia-Ukraine war also highlights the importance of broad-ranging economic warfare as part of a response to aggression. Also, it highlights the importance of having the industrial capacity and agility to support long wars demanding massive numbers of precision conventional weapons. Finally, experience with the war should make both analysts and policymakers even more skeptical about best-estimate predictions or assessments. In particular, they should not assume away scenarios that involve long military-economic wars, countervalue attacks that blatantly violate laws of war, or even the intendedly limited use of nuclear and other weapons of mass destruction.
This study explores public responses to large-scale, global corporate activism in which many companies departed the Russian market over Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. It aims at understanding how ...publics decide which company deserves to be rewarded when many of them take part in corporate activism. Using an experiment, this study specifically examines the impact of proactiveness (act before others) and commitment (complete and permanent exit) news information on motive attribution and subsequent consumer buycott and related communicative efforts. Our findings suggest that proactiveness and commitment in corporate activism reduce egoistic and strategic motive attribution while they increase value-driven motive attribution. Stakeholder-driven motive is not reduced by commitment, only by proactiveness. Proactiveness and commitment also have significant direct effects on public intention to participate in political consumerism. Three specific details emerge. First, how proactiveness and commitment impact reward intention is mediated by perceived egoistic and value-driven motives. Second, how proactiveness impacts strategic and stakeholder-driven motive attribution is moderated by commitment. Only when commitment is high does proactiveness significantly reduce perceived strategic motive and stakeholder-driven motive. Third, the indirect effect of proactiveness on publics’ “buycott” intention through stakeholder-driven motive attribution is contingent on corporate commitment such that the effect is stronger when commitment is high.
•Explores the large-scale, global corporate activism related to Russia-Ukraine conflict.•Proactive or highly committed stance appears to be less egoistic and more value-driven.•When commitment is high, being reactive (considered less stakeholder-driven) is also appreciated.
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GEOZS, IJS, IMTLJ, KILJ, KISLJ, NLZOH, NUK, OILJ, PNG, SAZU, SBCE, SBJE, UILJ, UL, UM, UPCLJ, UPUK, ZAGLJ, ZRSKP
At an early stage of Russia-Ukraine War, the psychological conditions of Ukraine people relocated to Russia were reported by the International Journal of Loss and Trauma. In this paper, updated ...findings evidence the war impact on quality of life, depression, loneliness, substance use, and eating behavior among refugees relocated from the Ukraine to the Russian Federation. Indicators of quality of life, mental health, depression, substance use, and unhealthy food intake tend to be attributed to the war regardless of refugee gender, age, religiosity, and marital status. These findings are consistent with those previously reported about the impact of war and location status among Ukrainian "help" professional women showing relocation associated with poor psycho-emotional well-being, increased burnout, loneliness, and substance use. Responses from the refugees continue to evidence key issues that need to be addressed by policy and program decision makers as well as service providers for prevention and treatment intervention purposes.
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This research paper examines the implications of energy imports on green innovation within the context of the Russia-Ukraine war. It utilizes panel data spanning EU countries from 1999 to 2022. ...Initially, the study explores the influence of natural gas and oil imports on the advancement of green innovation. Specifically, it reveals that the importation of natural gas facilitates progress in this area, whereas the importation of oil can impede such advancement. Following the Russia-Ukraine war, the role of gas imports in fostering green innovation within EU countries has grown, simultaneously exacerbating the adverse effects of oil imports on green innovation. Secondly, by employing a panel threshold model, the study identifies that higher energy prices make natural gas and oil imports unfavorable for the progress of green innovation in EU nations. Thirdly, an analysis of heterogeneity demonstrates that, as a result of the Russia-Ukraine war, natural gas imports have a more significant detrimental effect on the development of green innovation in EU nations with a natural gas dependency ranging from 10% to 90%. In the case of oil imports, EU nations with a dependence on Russian oil exceeding 50% experience a more pronounced negative impact on the development of green innovation. Fourthly, a mechanistic study elucidates that natural gas imports indirectly stimulate green innovation through the mechanism of energy transition, while oil imports hinder the development of green innovation by exacerbating carbon emissions. The empirical findings of this paper carry substantial policy implications for EU nations, urging the acceleration of energy transition in response to the impact of the Russia-Ukraine war on green innovation. Moreover, these findings have broader implications for global environmental management and the collective endeavor to combat climate change.
•Natural gas imports can promote green innovation; Oil imports inhibit green innovation; The outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine War reinforced both effects.•Rising energy prices make gas and oil imports a disincentive for green innovation in EU countries.•Natural gas imports indirectly promote green innovation through the energy transition, while oil imports inhibit green innovation by increasing carbon emissions.
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GEOZS, IJS, IMTLJ, KILJ, KISLJ, NLZOH, NUK, OILJ, PNG, SAZU, SBCE, SBJE, UILJ, UL, UM, UPCLJ, UPUK, ZAGLJ, ZRSKP
This paper shows how
, having a negative representation potential, is covered in media discourse with a focus on the first day of the Russia–Ukraine war. In this article, I specifically investigate ...the representation of otherness that weaves the web of relations within the “us
them” narrative espoused most strongly by Teun A. Van Dijk (1992. Discourse and the denial of racism.
3. 87–118, 2002. Discourse and racism. In David Goldberg & John Solomos (eds.),
, 145–159. Oxford: Blackwell) and further developed within the premises of a proximisation theory (
, Cap 2013.
. Amsterdam: John Benjamins; Chilton 2004.
. London: Routledge). This framework concerns the positive self-representation of Ukraine and its performance contrasted with Russia’s negative other-presentation. Following this account, otherness serves as means of legitimising media actions as preventive measures taken to inform society about the past, create the present state of the world through assertions (Dunmire 2011.
. Amsterdam: John Benjamins; Searle 2010.
. Oxford: Oxford University Press) which endorse media credibility and predict future outcomes with respect to the horror of the unfolding war. This study argues that the representation of otherness takes place at the proximisation level of certain lexico-grammatical choices that are used strategically by media to cover the narrative of a “permanent military standby” and the “immediacy of otherness”.
This paper investigates the impact of the Russia–Ukraine war on the transmission of volatility among financial markets. We first demonstrate that the Russia–Ukraine war instigates significant ...volatility spillovers across the stock market, currency market, commodity market, and energy market. By conducting frequency dynamic analysis, we find that the long-term responses have a predominant influence on the volatility spillovers associated with the Russia–Ukraine war. The imposition of restrictions on certain Russian banks’ access to the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunications (SWIFT) results in substantial and profound volatility spillovers from the ruble to other markets, and this volatility shock is mitigated after Russia’s response to the restrictions. Furthermore, we find that the intensity of the conflict leads to strong volatility spillovers from the ruble since the onset of the war, while this effect diminishes after investors realize that the war is likely to persist for an extended period.
•The Russia-Ukraine war triggers high volatility spillovers.•The long-term component drives the surge in volatility spillovers.•SWIFT sanctions cause deep volatility spillovers from the ruble.•Russia’s response mitigates the volatility shock on the ruble.•Conflict intensity spikes ruble volatility but fades over time.
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This study explores the impact of Russian oil and natural gas on the economic growth of the European Union. The Gradient boosting algorithm was relied on to determine this effect because of its high ...prediction metrics (MSE: 0.002, RMSE: 0.040, MAE: 0.034, R2: 99.9). The study depended on three scenarios. The first scenario is that Russia's exports of both products decline to half the year 2022, then to the quarter of 2023, and this second scenario, then the worst scenario, is to prevent Its exports of both products in 2024. But the result is a decline in the European Union's economic growth in 2022 to (-2.15%), then it turns to 2.85% in 2023, and then to 3.86% in 2024, i.e., in the worst scenario year. The evidence for this is that the economies of these countries reduced their growth rates in 2020 (the Covid-19 crisis) to -5.96%, which turned to positive growth in 2021, amounting to 5.38%. This indicates these economies' ability to adapt in the short term by providing alternatives to the crisis.
Much attention has been paid to the world economy and social situations in response to the outbreak of war between Russia and Ukraine in the context of COVID-19. However, much less attention has been ...paid to the detrimental effect of war on the atmospheric environment. Here, we used an extended deweathered-detrended technique to quantitatively evaluate changes in ambient NO2, O3, and PM2.5 AQI levels arising from emission changes (due to pandemic-driven lockdowns and war-related activities) in European cities. Results show pandemic-induced lockdowns mitigated regional air pollution in Europe, but the war activities led to an average increase of approximately 9.78% in PM2.5 and 10.07% in NO2, along with an average decrease of about 7.93% in O3 levels in cities near the war zones. Moreover, the regional air pollution exacerbated by the war activities has offset the improvements in air quality observed during the COVID-19 pandemic. The potential mechanism analysis show that the increase in atmospheric pollutant emissions driven by the war activities led to the complexity of chemical reactions in the mixed atmospheric system, which posed a huge challenge to the alleviation of air pollution in the region. This study highlights the urgent need for a ceasefire from an environmental perspective.
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GEOZS, IJS, IMTLJ, KILJ, KISLJ, NLZOH, NUK, OILJ, PNG, SAZU, SBCE, SBJE, UILJ, UL, UM, UPCLJ, UPUK, ZAGLJ, ZRSKP
