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Projekcije sprememb temperature zraka in padavin v Sloveniji do konca 21. stoletjaBertalanič, Renato ...Projekcije sprememb temperature zraka in padavin so bile pripravljene v okviru projekta Ocena podnebnih sprememb za Slovenijo do konca 21. stoletja (OPS21). Spremembe obeh spremenljivk so ocenjene za ... tri 30-letna obdobja v prihodnosti (2011- 2040, 2041-2070 in 2071-2100) glede na primerjalno obdobje 1981-2010. Projekcije kažejo smer in velikost sprememb ter oceno njihove zanesljivosti za tri scenarije izpustov toplogrednih plinov RCP2.6, RCP4.5 in RCP8.5. Temperatura zraka bo v prihodnosti še naprej rasla, velikost dviga pa je odvisna od scenarija izpustov toplogrednih plinov in znaša od 0,8 do 6,1 °C. Dvig temperature bo močno povečal toplotno obremenitev, znatno se bo povečalo število vročih dni, vročinski valovi bodo daljši in bolj pogosti. Višina padavin na letni ravni in pozimi se bo po scenarijih izpustov RCP4.5 in RCP8.5 sredi ali konec 21. stoletja znatno povečala. Kazalniki, s katerimi merimo izjemne padavine, kažejo, da se bosta povečali tako jakost kot pogostost izjemnih padavin, povečanje pa bo najbolj izrazito v primeru scenarija izpustov RCP8.5.Source: Raziskave s področja geodezije in geofizike 2018 : zbornik del (Str. 75-87)Type of material - conference contributionPublish date - 2019Language - slovenianCOBISS.SI-ID - 82658051
Author
Bertalanič, Renato |
Vertačnik, Gregor |
Lokošek, Neža |
Medved, Anže, fizik |
Vlahović, Živa |
Dolinar, Mojca, 1972-
Topics
podnebne spremembe |
spremembe temperature zraka |
spremembe padavin |
negotovost podnebnih projekcij |
climate change |
temperature change |
precipitation change |
uncertainty of climate projections
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Database name | Field | Year |
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Links to authors' personal bibliographies | Links to information on researchers in the SICRIS system |
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Bertalanič, Renato | |
Vertačnik, Gregor | 40164 |
Lokošek, Neža | |
Medved, Anže, fizik | |
Vlahović, Živa | 56593 |
Dolinar, Mojca, 1972- | 40651 |
Source: Personal bibliographies
and: SICRIS
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