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  • Adding stage‐structure to a...
    Chisholm, Ryan A.; Fung, Tak

    Oikos, November 2021, 2021-11-00, 20211101, Volume: 130, Issue: 11
    Journal Article

    Theoretical ecologists have analysed a range of neutral models but few including stage structure. Here we introduce a stage‐structured neutral model, by extending the standard spatial neutral model to have two‐stage classes: a juvenile stage and a reproductive stage. We find that formulas for biodiversity patterns (e.g. species–area relationships and species abundance distributions) of reproductives in the stage‐structured model can be obtained from the corresponding standard formulas via a parameter rescaling, which involves calculating an effective speciation rate parameter and an effective dispersal parameter. This is useful because it means existing knowledge about the non‐stage‐structured model can be transferred to the stage‐structured model, providing that applications focus exclusively on the reproductive stage. One surprising implication is that the presence of a juvenile stage can substantially increase the species richness of reproductive individuals: a juvenile stage with a length fraction k that of the reproductive stage increases reproductive species richness by roughly the same factor. We apply our new formulas to a case study of tropical forest trees in Panama and find that while the stage‐structured model makes different predictions than the standard model, it does not fix known problems with cross‐scale predictions. We speculate that some of our results, in particular the result that the presence of a juvenile stage increases community diversity, likely apply to non‐neutral systems as well.