As one of the important parameters of bearing operation, temperature is a key metric to diagnose the state of service of a bearing. However, there are still some shortcomings in the study of the temperature variation law for damaged bearings. In this paper, according to the structural characteristics of bearings, the influence law of thermal-solid coupling effect on bearing structure is considered, and a novel transient temperature analysis model of damaged bearings is established. First, a quasi-static analysis of the bearing is performed to obtain the variation laws of the key parameters of the bearing under thermal expansion. Then, the load variation law of the bearing under the condition of damage is discussed, and the heat generation and heat transfer of the damaged bearing during operation are studied. Based on the thermal grid method, a transient temperature analysis model of the damaged bearing is developed. Finally, the model is tested experimentally and the influence of the rotate speed and load on the bearing temperature variation is analyzed. The results show that the established model can effectively predict the temperature variation and thermal equilibrium temperature of damaged bearings.