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Kargin, Vladislav
Emerging markets review, 09/2002, Volume: 3, Issue: 3Journal Article
This paper identifies a subset of emerging markets that have higher than average expected returns and studies risk properties of this subset by investment simulations. It is found that: (1) the portfolio of ‘value’ emerging markets generates superior returns; and (2) statistical measures of its risk are close to the corresponding measures for the portfolio of all emerging markets. The statistical significance of these results has been checked by a bootstrap procedure. The results imply that the optimal share of emerging markets increases from 0% for an equally weighted portfolio to approximately 25% for the portfolio of undervalued emerging markets.
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