Future-Proof Scenarios and Risk Analysis for wheat by Agrometshell Model Şimşek, O., Ankara Univ., Faculty of Agriculture, Ankara (Turkey). Div. of Farm Structures and Irrigation; Çakmak, B., Ankara Univ., Faculty of Agriculture, Ankara (Turkey). Div. of Farm Structures and Irrigation
Journal of Agricultural Sciences (Turkey),
(2012), Letnik:
18, Številka:
3
Journal Article
Recenzirano
Climate change to be experienced within the current century and droughts significantly threatens the food security. Objective of this study is to estimate impacts of climate change on wheat ...production of Turkey by using AgroMetShell (AMS) model. Possible decreases in wheat production of the country were investigated by using future-proof scenarios and risk analyses with Water Sufficiency Index (WSI) values produced by AMS model.
Yaşadığımız yüzyılda meydana gelmesi beklenen iklim değişikliği ve kuraklık, gıda güvenliğini tehdit etmektedir. Bu çalışmanın amacı, iklim değişikliğinin Türkiyede buğday üretimini nasıl etkileyeceğinin AgroMetShell (AMS) modeli ile tahmin edilmesidir. AMS modeli kullanılarak üretilen Su Yeterlilik İndeksi (WSI) değerleri ile geleceğe dönük senaryolar ve hassasiyet analizi yapılarak buğday veriminde meydana gelmesi muhtemel düşüşler incelenmiştir.
Drought analysis for 2007-2008 gricultural year of Turkey Şimşek, O., General Directorate of State Meteorological Works, Ankara (Turkey); Çakmak, B., Ankara Univ., Faculty of Agriculture, Ankara (Turkey). Div. of Farm Structures and Irrigation
Tekirdağ Ziraat Fakültesi dergisi,
(2010), Letnik:
7, Številka:
3
Journal Article
Drought is among the most significant natural disasters and has severe economical, social and environmental impacts. It is somehow different from the other natural disasters since it is hard to ...determine exact start and end dates of drought. Drought gradually increases its severity and may keep its effects for years after the end of drought. Effects of drought is initially observed in agriculture and diffused gradually into water-related sectors.
