Topographic surveys inevitably contain error, introducing uncertainty into estimates of volumetric or mean change based on the differencing of repeated surveys. In the geomorphic community, ...uncertainty has often been framed as a problem of separating out real change from apparent change due purely to error, and addressed by removing measured change considered indistinguishable from random noise from analyses (thresholding). Thresholding is important when quantifying gross changes (i.e. total erosion or total deposition), which are systematically biased by random errors in stable parts of a landscape. However, net change estimates are not substantially influenced by those same random errors, and the use of thresholds results in inherently biased, and potentially misleading, estimates of net change and uncertainty. More generally, thresholding is unrelated to the important process of propagating uncertainty in order to place uncertainty bounds around final estimates. Error propagation methods for uncorrelated, correlated, and systematic errors are presented. Those equations demonstrate that uncertainties in modern net change analyses, as well as in gross change analyses using reasonable thresholds, are likely to be dominated by low‐magnitude but highly correlated or systematic errors, even after careful attempts to reduce those errors. In contrast, random errors with little to no correlation largely cancel to negligible levels when averaged or summed. Propagated uncertainty is then typically insensitive to the precision of individual measurements, and is instead defined by the relative mean error (accuracy) over the area of interest. Given that real‐world mean elevation changes in many landscape settings are often similar in magnitude to potential mean errors in repeat topographic analyses, reducing highly correlated or systematic errors will be central to obtaining accurate change estimates, while placing uncertainty bounds around those results provides essential context for their interpretation. Published 2018. This article is a U.S. Government work and is in the public domain in the USA.
The analysis of landscape change based on repeat topographic surveys is becoming an increasingly practical and powerful tool across many earth surface disciplines. This paper re‐iterates the importance of accounting for survey error through error propagation, including subtle systematic errors, and presents statistical methods for doing so. The common practice of removing change measurements below some limit of detection (“thresholding”) is shown to provide biased and potentially misleading results when used to assess net volumetric or mean change.
Active galactic nuclei (AGNs) that show strong rest-frame optical/UV variability in their blue continuum and broad line emission are classified as changing-look AGN, or at higher luminosities, ...changing-look quasars (CLQs). These surprisingly large and sometimes rapid transitions challenge accepted models of quasar physics and duty cycles, offer several new avenues for study of quasar host galaxies, and open a wider interpretation of the cause of differences between broad and narrow-line AGN. To better characterize extreme quasar variability, we present follow-up spectroscopy as part of a comprehensive search for CLQs across the full Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) footprint using spectroscopically confirmed quasars from the SDSS DR7 catalog. Our primary selection requires large-amplitude ( mag, mag) variability over any of the available time baselines probed by the SDSS and Pan-STARRS 1 surveys. We employ photometry from the Catalina Sky Survey to verify variability behavior in CLQ candidates where available, and confirm CLQs using optical spectroscopy from the William Herschel, MMT, Magellan, and Palomar telescopes. For our adopted signal-to-noise ratio threshold on variability of broad Hβ emission, we find 17 new CLQs, yielding a confirmation rate of 20%. These candidates are at lower Eddington ratio relative to the overall quasar population, which supports a disk-wind model for the broad line region. Based on our sample, the CLQ fraction increases from 10% to roughly half as the continuum flux ratio between repeat spectra at 3420 increases from 1.5 to 6. We release a catalog of more than 200 highly variable candidates to facilitate future CLQ searches.
Previous research has sought to quantify head impact exposure using wearable kinematic sensors. However, many sensors suffer from poor accuracy in estimating impact kinematics and count, motivating ...the need for additional independent impact exposure quantification for comparison. Here, we equipped seven collegiate American football players with instrumented mouthguards, and video recorded practices and games to compare video-based and sensor-based exposure rates and impact location distributions. Over 50 player-hours, we identified 271 helmet contact periods in video, while the instrumented mouthguard sensor recorded 2,032 discrete head impacts. Matching video and mouthguard real-time stamps yielded 193 video-identified helmet contact periods and 217 sensor-recorded impacts. To compare impact locations, we binned matched impacts into frontal, rear, side, oblique, and top locations based on video observations and sensor kinematics. While both video-based and sensor-based methods found similar location distributions, our best method utilizing integrated linear and angular position only correctly predicted 81 of 217 impacts. Finally, based on the activity timeline from video assessment, we also developed a new exposure metric unique to American football quantifying number of cross-verified sensor impacts per player-play. We found significantly higher exposure during games (0.35, 95% CI: 0.29-0.42) than practices (0.20, 95% CI: 0.17-0.23) (p<0.05). In the traditional impacts per player-hour metric, we observed higher exposure during practices (4.7) than games (3.7) due to increased player activity in practices. Thus, our exposure metric accounts for variability in on-field participation. While both video-based and sensor-based exposure datasets have limitations, they can complement one another to provide more confidence in exposure statistics.
Celotno besedilo
Dostopno za:
DOBA, IZUM, KILJ, NUK, PILJ, PNG, SAZU, SIK, UILJ, UKNU, UL, UM, UPUK
Mass-selected Pt n + ion deposition in ultrahigh vacuum (UHV) was used to prepare a series of size-selected electrodes with Pt n (n ≤ 14) clusters supported on either glassy carbon (GC) or indium tin ...oxide (ITO). After characterization of the physical properties of the electrodes in UHV, an in situ method was used to study electrocatalytic activity for the oxygen reduction and ethanol oxidation reactions, without significant air exposure. For each reaction studied, there are similarities between the catalytic properties of Pt n -containing electrodes and those of nanoparticulate or bulk Pt electrodes, but there are also important differences that provide mechanistic insights. For all systems, strong cluster size effects were observed. For comparison, select experiments were done under identical conditions but with the Pt n electrodes exposed to air prior to electrochemical studies, resulting in strong modification/suppression of catalytic activity due to adventitious contaminants. For ethanol oxidation at Pt n /ITO, activity varies with size nonmonotonically, by more than an order of magnitude. The sharp size dependence persists during at least 30 to 40 cycles through the Pt redox potential, indicating that processes that would tend to broaden the size distribution are not efficient. All but the least active sizes are substantially more active per mass of Pt, than Pt nanoparticles under the same conditions. The oscillatory dependence of activity on size is anticorrelated with the binding energy of the Pt 4d core level, demonstrating that activity is controlled by the electronic structure of the supported clusters. For oxygen reduction at Pt n /ITO, the branching between water and hydrogen peroxide production is strongly dependent on cluster size, with small clusters selectively producing peroxide with high activity. The selectivity appears to be related to the size of the active site, with no obvious correlation to Pt electronic properties. The most unusual effect seen was for Pt n /GC, studied under acid conditions appropriate to oxygen reduction. Pt7 and a few other cluster sizes show “normal” oxygen reduction activity, similar to what is measured for Pt nanoparticles on GC under the same conditions. Many of the small clusters, however, are found to catalyze highly efficient oxidation, by water, of the glassy carbon support, with essentially no overpotential. The high activity for carbon oxidation for many Pt n /GC electrodes and the absence of significant carbon oxidation for a GC electrode with Pt nanoparticles raise the question of whether small Pt clusters may be responsible for much of the corrosion observed in Pt/carbon electrodes. This system provides another example where activity for oxidation catalysis is anticorrelated with the Pt core level binding energies, indicating that it is electronic, rather than geometric, structure that limits activity.
Despite their factor of ∼108 difference in black hole mass, several lines of evidence suggest possible similarities between black hole accretion flows in active galactic nuclei (AGN) and Galactic ...X-ray binaries. However, it is still unclear whether the geometry of the disk-corona system in X-ray binaries directly scales up to AGN and whether this analogy still holds in different accretion states. We test this AGN/X-ray binary analogy by comparing the observed correlations between the UV-to-X-ray spectral index ( OX) and Eddington ratio in AGN to those predicted from observations of X-ray binary outbursts. This approach probes the geometry of their disk-corona systems as they transition between different accretion states. We use new Chandra X-ray and ground-based rest-UV observations of faded "changing-look" quasars to extend this comparison to lower Eddington ratios of <10−2, where observations of X-ray binaries predict a softening of OX in AGN. We find that the observed correlations between the OX and Eddington ratio of AGN displays a remarkable similarity to accretion state transitions in prototypical X-ray binary outbursts, including an inversion of this correlation at a critical Eddington ratio of ∼10−2. Our results suggest that the structures of black hole accretion flows directly scale across a factor of ∼108 in black hole mass and across different accretion states, enabling us to apply theoretical models of X-ray binaries to explain AGN phenomenology.
Reductive electrosynthesis has faced long-standing challenges in applications to complex organic substrates at scale. Here, we show how decades of research in lithium-ion battery materials, ...electrolytes, and additives can serve as an inspiration for achieving practically scalable reductive electrosynthetic conditions for the Birch reduction. Specifically, we demonstrate that using a sacrificial anode material (magnesium or aluminum), combined with a cheap, nontoxic, and water-soluble proton source (dimethylurea), and an overcharge protectant inspired by battery technology tris(pyrrolidino)phosphoramide can allow for multigram-scale synthesis of pharmaceutically relevant building blocks. We show how these conditions have a very high level of functional-group tolerance relative to classical electrochemical and chemical dissolving-metal reductions. Finally, we demonstrate that the same electrochemical conditions can be applied to other dissolving metal-type reductive transformations, including McMurry couplings, reductive ketone deoxygenations, and epoxide openings.
Summary
The retreat of alpine glaciers since the mid‐19th century has triggered rapid landscape adjustments in many headwater basins. However, the degree to which decadal‐scale glacier retreat is ...associated with systematic or substantial changes in overall coarse sediment export, with the potential to impact downstream river dynamics, remains poorly understood. Here, we use repeat topographic surveys to assess geomorphic change in four partly glaciated basins on a stratovolcano (Mount Rainier) in Washington State at roughly decadal intervals from 1960 to 2017. The proglacial extents of the four basins show distinct geomorphic trajectories, ranging from substantial and sustained net erosion to relatively inactive with net deposition. These different trajectories correspond to differences in initial (1960) valley floor gradients, and can be effectively understood as valley floor grade adjustments. Significant erosion was most often accomplished by debris flows triggered by extreme rainfall or glacial outburst floods, though a single rockfall mobilized more material than all other events combined. Year‐to‐year runoff events had little measurable geomorphic impact. Exported material tended to accumulate in broad deposits within several kilometers of source areas and largely remained there through the end of the study period. Over 10‐ to 100‐year timescales, we find that the impact of glacier retreat on coarse sediment yield may then vary substantially according to the geometry and storage trends of the newly exposed valley floor; the timing of that response may also be dictated, and potentially obscured, by stochastic and/or extreme events.
High‐resolution topography, primarily generated from historical aerial imagery, was used to document geomorphic change in four proglacial basins on Mount Rainier back to 1960. Valley gradient emerges as a key control on cross‐basin variations in recent erosion rates, though the timing of erosion was largely driven by episodic extreme events. Together, this implies that the impact of glacier retreat on sediment yields is likely both stochastic and spatially variable over decadal timescales.
The Fundamental Plane of black hole activity is a relation between X-ray luminosity, radio luminosity and black hole mass for hard-state Galactic black holes and their supermassive analogues. The ...Fundamental Plane suggests that, at low-accretion rates, the physical processes regulating the conversion of an accretion flow into radiative energy could be universal across the entire black hole mass scale. However, there is still a need to further refine the Fundamental Plane in order to better discern the radiative processes and their geometry very close to the black hole, in particular the source of hard X-rays. Further refinement is necessary because error bars on the best-fitting slopes of the Fundamental Plane are generally large, and also the inferred coefficients can be sensitive to the adopted sample of black holes. In this work, we regress the Fundamental Plane with a Bayesian technique. Our approach shows that sub-Eddington black holes emit X-ray emission that is predominantly optically thin synchrotron radiation from the jet, provided that their radio spectra are flat or inverted. X-ray emission dominated by very radiatively inefficient accretion flows is excluded at the >3σ level. We also show that it is difficult to place Fanaroff-Riley type I (FR I) galaxies on to the Fundamental Plane because their X-ray jet emission is highly affected by synchrotron cooling. On the other hand, BL Lac objects (i.e. relativistically beamed sub-Eddington AGN) fit on to the Fundamental Plane. Including a uniform subset of high-energy peaked BL Lac objects from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey, we find sub-Eddington black holes with flat/inverted radio spectra follow log L
X= (1.45 ± 0.04)log L
R− (0.88 ± 0.06)log M
BH− 6.07 ± 1.10, with σint= 0.07 ± 0.05 dex. Finally, we discuss how the effects of synchrotron cooling of jet emission from the highest black hole masses can bias Fundamental Plane regressions, perhaps leading to incorrect inferences on X-ray radiation mechanisms.
Mass-selected Ptn+ ion deposition in ultrahigh vacuum (UHV) was used to prepare a series of size-selected electrodes with Ptn (n ≤ 14) clusters supported on either glassy carbon (GC) or indium tin ...oxide (ITO). After characterization of the physical properties of the electrodes in UHV, an in situ method was used to study electrocatalytic activity for the oxygen reduction and ethanol oxidation reactions, without significant air exposure. For each reaction studied, there are similarities between the catalytic properties of Ptn-containing electrodes and those of nanoparticulate or bulk Pt electrodes, but there are also important differences that provide mechanistic insights. For all systems, strong cluster size effects were observed. For comparison, select experiments were done under identical conditions but with the Ptn electrodes exposed to air prior to electrochemical studies, resulting in strong modification/suppression of catalytic activity due to adventitious contaminants. For ethanol oxidation at Ptn/ITO, activity varies with size nonmonotonically, by more than an order of magnitude. The sharp size dependence persists during at least 30 to 40 cycles through the Pt redox potential, indicating that processes that would tend to broaden the size distribution are not efficient. All but the least active sizes are substantially more active per mass of Pt, than Pt nanoparticles under the same conditions. The oscillatory dependence of activity on size is anticorrelated with the binding energy of the Pt 4d core level, demonstrating that activity is controlled by the electronic structure of the supported clusters. For oxygen reduction at Ptn/ITO, the branching between water and hydrogen peroxide production is strongly dependent on cluster size, with small clusters selectively producing peroxide with high activity. The selectivity appears to be related to the size of the active site, with no obvious correlation to Pt electronic properties. The most unusual effect seen was for Ptn/GC, studied under acid conditions appropriate to oxygen reduction. Pt7 and a few other cluster sizes show "normal" oxygen reduction activity, similar to what is measured for Pt nanoparticles on GC under the same conditions. Many of the small clusters, however, are found to catalyze highly efficient oxidation, by water, of the glassy carbon support, with essentially no overpotential. The high activity for carbon oxidation for many Ptn/GC electrodes and the absence of significant carbon oxidation for a GC electrode with Pt nanoparticles raise the question of whether small Pt clusters may be responsible for much of the corrosion observed in Pt/carbon electrodes. This system provides another example where activity for oxidation catalysis is anticorrelated with the Pt core level binding energies, indicating that it is electronic, rather than geometric, structure that limits activity.
Abstract
The current sample of 12 radio-quiet isolated neutron stars that emit strongly in X-rays (XINSs) is both small and heterogeneous, limiting its usefulness for understanding the physics of ...neutron star atmospheres and cooling rates and for constraining the equation of state of neutron degenerate matter. Utilizing the ROSAT 1RXS and 2RXS data sets, in conjunction with the Sloan Digital Sky Survey Data Release 17 and other companion multiwavelength surveys, we have extended previous searches for blank-field X-ray source candidate XINSs, ultimately recovering two known XINSs while identifying 46 new, unstudied candidate fields devoid of likely multiwavelength counterparts. In this publication, we describe our selection approach and provide detailed information regarding our sample of new candidate XINSs. Future opportunities to verify or to refute these X-ray sources as isolated neutron stars by obtaining more accurate X-ray source positions, quality X-ray spectra, or deeper optical imaging are also discussed.
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