Norm Chronicles Spiegelhalter, David; Blastland, Michael
2013, 2013-05-30
eBook
Meet Norm. He's 31, 5'9", just over 13 stone, and works a 39 hour week. He likes a drink, doesn't do enough exercise and occasionally treats himself to a bar of chocolate (milk). He's a pretty ...average kind of guy. In fact, he is the average guy in this clever and unusual take on statistical risk, chance, and how these two factors affect our everyday choices. Watch as Norm (who, like all average specimens, feels himself to be uniquely special), and his friends careful Prudence and reckless Kelvin, turns to statistics to help him in life's endless series of choices - should I fly or take the train? Have a baby? Another drink? Or another sausage? Do a charity skydive or get a lift on a motorbike? Because chance and risk aren't just about numbers - it's about what we believe, who we trust and how we feel about the world around us. From a world expert in risk and the bestselling author of The Tiger That Isn't (and creator of BBC Radio 4's More or Less), this is a commonsense (and wildly entertaining) guide to personal risk and decoding the statistics that represent it.
Five rules for evidence communication Blastland, Michael; Freeman, Alexandra L J; van der Linden, Sander ...
Nature (London),
11/2020, Letnik:
587, Številka:
7834
Journal Article
Recenzirano
Avoid unwarranted certainty, neat narratives and partisan presentation; strive to inform, not persuade.
One death is a tragedy, said Stalin; a million deaths is a statistic. Our minds see the individual and the mass very differently, says Michael Blastland. Is this why journalists are telling us, ...against the evidence, that we are already in recession?
Dear More or Less... Blastland, Michael
Significance,
06/2005, Letnik:
2, Številka:
2
Journal Article
Odprti dostop
More or Less, BBC Radio 4′s programme devoted to the “powerful, sometimes beautiful, often abused but ever ubiquitous world of numbers”, has now been running for 3 years and returns to the airwaves ...on June 16th. Producer Michael Blastland and presenter Andrew Dilnot look back over the topics that provoked the greatest audience reaction.
Although Michael Blastland and David Spiegelhalter think numbers matter, they can never be the final word: the stories people tell are big influences on their sense of where danger lies. Neither ...source of evidence, neither numbers nor stories is perfect. Each has strengths and weaknesses. If Blastland and Spiegelhalter had to offer advice to the wary about risk, it would be to try to get to know the data that matter to you, get to know your own mind and the stories that influence you, and so learn how both stories and numbers can help; and deceive. Then do what you feel like. This and more can be found in the book "The Norm Chronicles: Stories and Numbers about Danger" by Michael Blastland, David Spiegelhalter.
PDF
