OBJECTIVESTo derive and externally validate a copeptin-based parsimonious score to predict unfavorable outcome 3 months after an acute ischemic stroke (AIS).
METHODSThe derivation cohort consisted of ...patients with AIS enrolled prospectively at the University Hospital Basel, Switzerland. The validation cohort was prospectively enrolled after the derivation cohort at the University Hospital of Bern and University Hospital Basel, Switzerland, as well as Frankfurt a.M., Germany. The score components were copeptin levels, age, NIH Stroke Scale, and recanalization therapy (CoRisk score). Copeptin levels were measured in plasma drawn within 24 hours of AIS and before any recanalization therapy. The primary outcome of disability and death at 3 months was defined as modified Rankin Scale score of 3 to 6.
RESULTSOverall, 1,102 patients were included in the analysis; the derivation cohort contributed 319 patients, and the validation cohort contributed 783. An unfavorable outcome was observed among 436 patients (40%). For the 3-month prediction of disability and death, the CoRisk score was well calibrated in the validation cohort, for which the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.819 (95% confidence interval CI 0.787–0.849). The calibrated CoRisk score correctly classified 75% of patients (95% CI 72–78). The net reclassification index between the calibrated CoRisk scores with and without copeptin was 46% (95% CI 32–60).
CONCLUSIONSThe biomarker-based CoRisk score for the prediction of disability and death was externally validated, was well calibrated, and performed better than the same score without copeptin.
CLINICALTRIALS.GOV IDENTIFIERNCT00390962 (derivation cohort) and NCT00878813 (validation cohort).
Balancing the risks of recurrent ischaemic stroke and intracranial haemorrhage is important for patients treated with antithrombotic therapy after ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack. ...However, existing predictive models offer insufficient performance, particularly for assessing the risk of intracranial haemorrhage. We aimed to develop new risk scores incorporating clinical variables and cerebral microbleeds, an MRI biomarker of intracranial haemorrhage and ischaemic stroke risk.
We did a pooled analysis of individual-patient data from the Microbleeds International Collaborative Network (MICON), which includes 38 hospital-based prospective cohort studies from 18 countries. All studies recruited participants with previous ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack, acquired baseline MRI allowing quantification of cerebral microbleeds, and followed-up participants for ischaemic stroke and intracranial haemorrhage. Participants not taking antithrombotic drugs were excluded. We developed Cox regression models to predict the 5-year risks of intracranial haemorrhage and ischaemic stroke, selecting candidate predictors on biological relevance and simplifying models using backward elimination. We derived integer risk scores for clinical use. We assessed model performance in internal validation, adjusted for optimism using bootstrapping. The study is registered on PROSPERO, CRD42016036602.
The included studies recruited participants between Aug 28, 2001, and Feb 4, 2018. 15 766 participants had follow-up for intracranial haemorrhage, and 15 784 for ischaemic stroke. Over a median follow-up of 2 years, 184 intracranial haemorrhages and 1048 ischaemic strokes were reported. The risk models we developed included cerebral microbleed burden and simple clinical variables. Optimism-adjusted c indices were 0·73 (95% CI 0·69–0·77) with a calibration slope of 0·94 (0·81–1·06) for the intracranial haemorrhage model and 0·63 (0·62–0·65) with a calibration slope of 0·97 (0·87–1·07) for the ischaemic stroke model. There was good agreement between predicted and observed risk for both models.
The MICON risk scores, incorporating clinical variables and cerebral microbleeds, offer predictive value for the long-term risks of intracranial haemorrhage and ischaemic stroke in patients prescribed antithrombotic therapy for secondary stroke prevention; external validation is warranted.
British Heart Foundation and Stroke Association.
Whether MRI or CT is preferable for the evaluation of patients with suspected stroke remains a matter of debate, given that the imaging modality acquired at baseline may be a relevant determinant of ...workflow delays and outcomes with it, in patients with stroke undergoing acute reperfusion therapies.
In this post hoc analysis of the SWIFT-DIRECT trial that investigated noninferiority of thrombectomy alone vs IV thrombolysis (IVT) + thrombectomy in patients with an acute ischemic anterior circulation large vessel occlusive stroke eligible to receive IVT within 4.5 hours after last seen well, we tested for a potential interaction between baseline imaging modality (MRI/MR-angiography MRA vs CT/CT-angiography CTA) and the effect of acute treatment (thrombectomy vs IVT + thrombectomy) on clinical and safety outcomes and procedural metrics (primary analysis). Moreover, we examined the association between baseline imaging modality and these outcomes using regression models adjusted for age, sex, baseline NIH Stroke Scale (NIHSS), occlusion location, and Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Score (ASPECTS) (secondary analysis). Endpoints included workflow times, the modified Rankin scale (mRS) score at 90 days, the rate of successful reperfusion, the odds for early neurologic deterioration within 24 hours, and the risk of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage. The imaging modality acquired was chosen at the discretion of the treating physicians and commonly reflects center-specific standard procedures.
Four hundred five of 408 patients enrolled in the SWIFT-DIRECT trial were included in this substudy. Two hundred (49.4%) patients underwent MRI/MRA, and 205 (50.6%) underwent CT/CTA. Patients with MRI/MRA had lower NIHSS scores (16 interquartile range (IQR) 12-20 vs 18 IQR 14-20,
= 0.012) and lower ASPECTS (8 IQR 6-9 vs 8 IQR 7-9,
= 0.021) compared with those with CT/CTA. In terms of the primary analysis, we found no evidence for an interaction between baseline imaging modality and the effect of IVT + thrombectomy vs thrombectomy alone. Regarding the secondary analysis, MRI/MRA acquisition was associated with workflow delays of approximately 20 minutes, higher odds of functional independence at 90 days (adjusted odds ratio aOR 1.65, 95% CI 1.07-2.56), and similar mortality rates (aOR 0.73, 95% CI 0.36-1.47) compared with CT/CTA.
This post hoc analysis does not suggest treatment effect heterogeneity of IVT + thrombectomy vs thrombectomy alone in large artery stroke patients with different imaging modalities. There was no evidence that functional outcome at 90 days was less favorable following MRI/MRA at baseline compared with CT/CTA, despite significant workflow delays.
ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03192332.
The neuroprotectant nerinetide has shown promise in reducing infarct volumes in primate models of ischemia reperfusion. We hypothesized that early secondary infarct growth after endovascular therapy ...(EVT) (1) may be a suitable surrogate biomarker for testing neuroprotective compounds, (2) is feasible to assess in the acute setting using sequential MRI, and (3) can be modified by treatment with nerinetide.
REPERFUSE-NA1 was a prospective, multisite MRI substudy of the randomized controlled trial ESCAPE-NA1 (ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02930018) that involved patients with acute disabling large vessel occlusive stroke undergoing EVT within 12 hours of onset who were randomized to receive intravenous nerinetide or placebo. Patients enrolled in REPERFUSE-NA1 underwent sequential MRI <5 hours post-EVT (day 1) and at 24 hours (day 2). The primary outcome was total diffusion-weighted MRI infarct growth early after EVT, defined as the lesion volume difference between day 2 and day 1. The secondary outcome was region-specific infarct growth in different brain tissue compartments. Statistical analyses were performed using the Mann-Whitney
test and multiple linear regression.
Sixty-seven of 71 patients included had MRI of sufficient quality. The median infarct volume post-EVT was 12.98 mL (IQR, 5.93-28.08) in the nerinetide group and 10.80 mL (IQR, 3.11-24.45) in the control group (
= 0.59). Patients receiving nerinetide showed a median early secondary infarct growth of 5.92 mL (IQR, 1.09-21.30) compared with 10.80 mL (interquartile range IQR, 2.54-21.81) in patients with placebo (
= 0.30). Intravenous alteplase modified the effect of nerinetide on region-specific infarct growth in white matter and basal ganglia compartments. In patients with no alteplase, the infarct growth rate was reduced by 120% (standard error SE, 60%) in the white matter (
= 0.03) and by 340% (SE, 140%) in the basal ganglia (
= 0.02) in the nerinetide group compared with placebo after adjusting for confounders.
This study highlights the potential of using MR imaging as a biomarker to estimate the effect of a neuroprotective agent in acute stroke treatment. Patients with acute large vessel occlusive stroke exhibited appreciable early infarct growth both in the gray matter and the white matter after undergoing EVT. Acknowledging relatively small overall infarct volumes in this study, treatment with nerinetide was associated with slightly reduced percentage infarct growth in the white matter and basal ganglia compared with placebo in patients not receiving intravenous alteplase and had no effect on the total early secondary infarct growth.
ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02930018.
This study provides Class II evidence that for patients with acute large vessel ischemic stroke undergoing EVT, nerinetide did not significantly decrease early post-EVT infarct growth compared with placebo.
The "1-3-6-12-day rule" for starting direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation after acute ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack recommends timings ...that may be later than used in clinical practice. We investigated more practical optimal timing of DOAC initiation according to stroke severity.
The combined data of prospective registries in Japan, Stroke Acute Management with Urgent Risk-factor Assessment and Improvement-nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (September 2011 to March 2014) and RELAXED (February 2014 to April 2016) were used. Patients were divided into transient ischemic attack and 3 stroke subgroups by the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score: mild (0-7), moderate (8-15), and severe (≥16). The early treatment group was defined as patients starting DOACs earlier than the median initiation day in each subgroup. Outcomes included a composite of recurrent stroke or systemic embolism, ischemic stroke, and severe bleeding within 90 days. Six European prospective registries were used for validation.
In the 1797 derivation cohort patients, DOACs were started at median 2 days after transient ischemic attack and 3, 4, and 5 days after mild, moderate, and severe strokes, respectively. Stroke or systemic embolism was less common in Early Group (n=785)-initiating DOACS within 1, 2, 3, and 4 days, respectively-than Late Group (n=1012) (1.9% versus 3.9%; adjusted hazard ratio, 0.50 95% CI, 0.27-0.89), as was ischemic stroke (1.7% versus 3.2%, 0.54 0.27-0.999). Major bleeding was similarly common in the 2 groups (0.8% versus 1.0%). On validation, both ischemic stroke (2.4% versus 2.2%) and intracranial hemorrhage (0.2% versus 0.6%) were similarly common in Early (n=547) and Late (n=1483) Groups defined using derivation data.
In Japanese and European populations, early DOAC initiation within 1, 2, 3, or 4 days according to stroke severity seemed to be feasible to decrease the risk of recurrent stroke or systemic embolism and no increase in major bleeding. These findings support ongoing randomized trials to better establish the optimal timing of DOAC initiation.
Leptomeningeal collateral status on baseline computed tomographic angiography (CTA) is associated with clinical outcome after acute ischemic stroke treatment. However, assessment of collateral status ...is not uniform. To compare 3 different CTA collateral scores (CS) and imaging techniques about their association with clinical outcome.
Pooled analysis of patient-level data from the Highly Effective Reperfusion Using Multiple Endovascular Devices collaboration. Patients with large vessel occlusion from 7 randomized controlled trials that compared endovascular thrombectomy with standard medical care were included. Three different CS (Tan CS, regional CS rCS, and regional Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Score CS) and 2 imaging techniques (single-phase sCTA and multiphase/dynamic CTA) were evaluated. Functional independence (modified Rankin Scale score 0-2) at 3 months poststroke was the primary outcome. Furthermore, we assessed the effect of sCTA image acquisition time on collateral status assessment using an adjusted ordinal logistic regression model to obtain predicted values for the trichotomized rCS.
Among 1147 pooled patients, 948 (82.7%) had sCTA and 199 (17.3%) multiphase/dynamic CTA as baseline angiography. With all 3 collateral scales, better CSs were associated with better 3-month functional outcome. With sCTA images, the rCS (area under the curve AUC 0.63) and regional Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Score CS (AUC 0.62) better predicted functional outcome than the Tan CS (AUC 0.60, respectively;
<0.001 and
=0.02). With multiphase/dynamic CTA images, all collateral scales performed similarly in predicting functional outcome (rCS AUC 0.61; regional Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Score CS AUC 0.61 versus Tan CS AUC 0.61, respectively;
=0.93 and
=0.91). Overall, no endovascular thrombectomy treatment effect modification by collateral status (rCS) was demonstrated (
=0.41). sCTA timing independently influenced CS assessment. On earlier timed sCTA, the predicted proportions of scans with poor collaterals was higher and vice versa.
In this data set of highly selected patients with stroke, using a regional CS on sCTA likely allows for the most accurate prediction of functional outcome while on time-resolved CTA, the type of CS did not matter. Patients across all collateral grades benefit from endovascular thrombectomy. sCTA timing independently influenced CS assessment.
Introduction: Measures of cerebral small vessel disease (cSVD), such as white matter hyperintensities (WMH) and cerebral microbleeds (CMB), are associated with an unfavorable clinical course in ...stroke patients on oral anticoagulation (OAC) for atrial fibrillation (AF). Here, we investigated whether similar findings can be observed for global cortical atrophy (GCA). Methods: Registry-based prospective observational study of 320 patients treated with OAC following AF stroke. Patients underwent magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) allowing assessment of GCA. Using the simplified visual Pasquier scale, the severity of GCA was categorized as follows: 0: no atrophy, 1: mild atrophy; 2: moderate atrophy, and 3: severe atrophy. Using adjusted logistic and Cox regression analysis, we investigated the association of GCA using a composite outcome measure, comprising: (i) recurrent acute ischemic stroke (IS); (ii) intracranial hemorrhage (ICH); and (iii) death. Results: In our time to event analysis after adjusting for potential confounders (i.e., WMH, CMB, age, sex, diabetes, arterial hypertension, coronary heart disease, hyperlipidemia, and antiplatelet use), GCA was associated with an increased risk for the composite outcome in all three degrees of atrophy (grade 1: aHR 3.95, 95% CI 1.34–11.63, p = 0.013; grade 2: aHR 3.89, 95% CI 1.23–12.30, p = 0.021; grade 3: aHR 4.16, 95% CI 1.17–14.84, p = 0.028). Conclusion: GCA was associated with our composite outcome also after adjusting for other cSVD markers (i.e., CMB, WMH) and age, indicating that GCA may potentially serve as a prognostic marker for stroke patients with atrial fibrillation on oral anticoagulation.
Data on the effectiveness and safety of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) versus vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) in patients with stroke attributable to atrial fibrillation (AF) who were dependent on ...the daily help of others at hospital discharge are scarce.
Based on prospectively obtained data from the observational Novel-Oral-Anticoagulants-in-Ischemic-Stroke-Patients-longterm registry from Basel, Switzerland, we compared the occurrence of the primary outcome—the composite of recurrent ischemic stroke, major bleeding, and all-cause death—among consecutive patients with AF-stroke treated with either VKAs or DOACs between patients dependent (defined as modified Rankin Scale score, 3–5) and patients independent at discharge. We used simple, adjusted, and weighted Cox proportional hazards regression to account for potential confounders.
We analyzed 801 patients (median age 80 years, 46% female), of whom 391 (49%) were dependent at discharge and 680 (85%) received DOACs. Over a total follow-up of 1216 patient-years, DOAC- compared to VKA-treated patients had a lower hazard for the composite outcome (hazard ratio HR, 0.58 95% CI, 0.42–0.81), as did independent compared to dependent patients (HR, 0.54 95% CI, 0.40–0.71). There was no evidence that the effect of anticoagulant type (DOAC versus VKA) on the hazard for the composite outcome differed between dependent (HRdependent, 0.68 95% CI, 0.45–1.01) and independent patients (HRindependent, 0.44 95% CI, 0.26–0.75) in the simple model (Pinteraction=0.212). Adjusted (HRdependent, 0.74 95% CI, 0.49–1.11 and HRindependent, 0.51 95% CI, 0.30–0.87; Pinteraction=0.284) and weighted models (HRdependent, 0.79 95% CI, 0.48–1.31 and HRindependent, 0.46 95% CI, 0.26–0.81; Pinteraction=0.163) yielded concordant results. Secondary analyses focusing on the individual components of the composite outcome were consistent to the primary analyses.
The benefits of DOACs in patients with atrial fibrillation with a recent stroke were maintained among patients who were dependent on the help of others at discharge.
URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT03826927.
IMPORTANCE: Cervical artery dissection is the most common cause of stroke in younger adults. To date, there is no conclusive evidence on which antithrombotic therapy should be used to treat patients. ...OBJECTIVE: To perform an individual patient data meta-analysis of randomized clinical trials comparing anticoagulants and antiplatelets in prevention of stroke after cervical artery dissection. DATA SOURCES: PubMed.gov, Cochrane database, Embase, and ClinicalTrials.gov were searched from inception to August 1, 2023. STUDY SELECTION: Randomized clinical trials that investigated the effectiveness and safety of antithrombotic treatment (antiplatelets vs anticoagulation) in patients with cervical artery dissection were included in the meta-analysis. The primary end point was required to include a composite of (1) any stroke, (2) death, or (3) major bleeding (extracranial or intracranial) at 90 days of follow-up. DATA EXTRACTION/SYNTHESIS: Two independent investigators performed a systematic review according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines, and inconsistencies were resolved by a principal investigator. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The primary outcome was a composite of (1) ischemic stroke, (2) death, or (3) major bleeding (extracranial or intracranial) at 90 days of follow-up. The components of the composite outcome were also secondary outcomes. Subgroup analyses based on baseline characteristics with a putative association with the outcome were performed. Logistic regression was performed using the maximum penalized likelihood method including interaction in the subgroup analyses. RESULTS: Two randomized clinical trials, Cervical Artery Dissection in Stroke Study and Cervical Artery Dissection in Stroke Study and the Biomarkers and Antithrombotic Treatment in Cervical Artery Dissection, were identified, of which all participants were eligible. A total of 444 patients were included in the intention-to-treat population and 370 patients were included in the per-protocol population. Baseline characteristics were balanced. There were fewer primary end points in those randomized to anticoagulation vs antiplatelet therapy (3 of 218 1.4% vs 10 of 226 4.4%; odds ratio OR, 0.33 95% CI, 0.08-1.05; P = .06), but the finding was not statistically significant. In comparison with aspirin, anticoagulation was associated with fewer strokes (1 of 218 0.5% vs 10 of 226 4.0%; OR, 0.14 95% CI, 0.02-0.61; P = .01) and more bleeding events (2 vs 0). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: This individual patient data meta-analysis of 2 currently available randomized clinical trial data found no significant difference between anticoagulants and antiplatelets in preventing early recurrent events.
PDF
