In a pandemic with a novel disease, disease-specific prognosis models are available only with a delay. To bridge the critical early phase, models built for similar diseases might be applied. To test ...the accuracy of such a knowledge transfer, we investigated how precise lethal courses in critically ill COVID-19 patients can be predicted by a model trained on critically ill non-COVID-19 viral pneumonia patients. We trained gradient boosted decision tree models on 718 (245 deceased) non-COVID-19 viral pneumonia patients to predict individual ICU mortality and applied it to 1054 (369 deceased) COVID-19 patients. Our model showed a significantly better predictive performance (AUROC 0.86 95% CI 0.86-0.87) than the clinical scores APACHE2 (0.63 95% CI 0.61-0.65), SAPS2 (0.72 95% CI 0.71-0.74) and SOFA (0.76 95% CI 0.75-0.77), the COVID-19-specific mortality prediction models of Zhou (0.76 95% CI 0.73-0.78) and Wang (laboratory: 0.62 95% CI 0.59-0.65; clinical: 0.56 95% CI 0.55-0.58) and the 4C COVID-19 Mortality score (0.71 95% CI 0.70-0.72). We conclude that lethal courses in critically ill COVID-19 patients can be predicted by a machine learning model trained on non-COVID-19 patients. Our results suggest that in a pandemic with a novel disease, prognosis models built for similar diseases can be applied, even when the diseases differ in time courses and in rates of critical and lethal courses.
Intensive care units (ICU) are often overflooded with alarms from monitoring devices which constitutes a hazard to both staff and patients. To date, the suggested solutions to excessive monitoring ...alarms have remained on a research level. We aimed to identify patient characteristics that affect the ICU alarm rate with the goal of proposing a straightforward solution that can easily be implemented in ICUs. Alarm logs from eight adult ICUs of a tertiary care university-hospital in Berlin, Germany were retrospectively collected between September 2019 and March 2021. Adult patients admitted to the ICU with at least 24 h of continuous alarm logs were included in the study. The sum of alarms per patient per day was calculated. The median was 119. A total of 26,890 observations from 3205 patients were included. 23 variables were extracted from patients' electronic health records (EHR) and a multivariable logistic regression was performed to evaluate the association of patient characteristics and alarm rates. Invasive blood pressure monitoring (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 4.68, 95%CI 4.15-5.29, p < 0.001), invasive mechanical ventilation (aOR 1.24, 95%CI 1.16-1.32, p < 0.001), heart failure (aOR 1.26, 95%CI 1.19-1.35, p < 0.001), chronic renal failure (aOR 1.18, 95%CI 1.10-1.27, p < 0.001), hypertension (aOR 1.19, 95%CI 1.13-1.26, p < 0.001), high RASS (aOR 1.22, 95%CI 1.18-1.25, p < 0.001) and scheduled surgical admission (aOR 1.22, 95%CI 1.13-1.32, p < 0.001) were significantly associated with a high alarm rate. Our study suggests that patient-specific alarm management should be integrated in the clinical routine of ICUs. To reduce the overall alarm load, particular attention regarding alarm management should be paid to patients with invasive blood pressure monitoring, invasive mechanical ventilation, heart failure, chronic renal failure, hypertension, high RASS or scheduled surgical admission since they are more likely to have a high contribution to noise pollution, alarm fatigue and hence compromised patient safety in ICUs.
Background
Anticoagulation therapy with heparin is a frequent treatment in intensive care units and is monitored by activated partial thromboplastin clotting time (aPTT). It has been demonstrated ...that reaching an established anticoagulation target within 24 hours is associated with favorable outcomes. However, patients respond to heparin differently and reaching the anticoagulation target can be challenging. Machine learning algorithms may potentially support clinicians with improved dosing recommendations.
Objective
This study evaluates a range of machine learning algorithms on their capability of predicting the patients’ response to heparin treatment. In this analysis, we apply, for the first time, a model that considers time series.
Methods
We extracted patient demographics, laboratory values, dialysis and extracorporeal membrane oxygenation treatments, and scores from the hospital information system. We predicted the numerical values of aPTT laboratory values 24 hours after continuous heparin infusion and evaluated 7 different machine learning models. The best-performing model was compared to recently published models on a classification task. We considered all data before and within the first 12 hours of continuous heparin infusion as features and predicted the aPTT value after 24 hours.
Results
The distribution of aPTT in our cohort of 5926 hospital admissions was highly skewed. Most patients showed aPTT values below 75 s, while some outliers showed much higher aPTT values. A recurrent neural network that consumes a time series of features showed the highest performance on the test set.
Conclusions
A recurrent neural network that uses time series of features instead of only static and aggregated features showed the highest performance in predicting aPTT after heparin treatment.
MIMIC-IV as a Clinical Data Schema Giesa, Niklas; Heeren, Patrick; Klopfenstein, Sophie ...
Studies in health technology and informatics,
2022-May-25, Letnik:
294
Journal Article
Routinely collected electronic health records (EHR) in clinical information systems (CIS) are often heterogeneous, have inconsistent data formats and lack of documentation. We use the well-known ...open-source database schema of MIMIC-IV to address this issue aiming to support collaborative secondary analysis. Over 154 million data records from a German ICU have already been mapped and inserted into the schema successfully. However, discrepancies between the German and US health systems as well as specifics in our clinical source data hinder the direct translation to MIMIC. Evaluating and improving mapping completeness is part of the ongoing research.
PDF
