We are pleased to add this typescript to the Bone Marrow Transplantation Statistics Series. We realize the term cubic splines may be a bit off-putting to some readers, but stay with us and don't get ...lost in polynomial equations. What the authors describe is important conceptually and in practice. Have you ever tried to buy a new pair of hiking boots? Getting the correct fit is critical; shoes that are too small or too large will get you in big trouble! Now imagine if hiking shoes came in only 2 sizes, small and large, and your foot size was somewhere in between. You are in trouble. Sailing perhaps?Transplant physicians are often interested in the association between two variables, say pre-transplant measurable residual disease (MRD) test state and an outcome, say cumulative incidence of relapse (CIR). We typically reduce the results of an MRD test to a binary, negative or positive, often defined by an arbitrary cut-point. However, MRD state is a continuous biological variable, and reducing it to a binary discards what may be important, useful data when we try to correlate it with CIR. Put otherwise, we may miss the trees from the forest.Another way to look at splines is a technique to make smooth curves out of irregular data points. Consider, for example, trying to describe the surface of an egg. You could do it with a series of straight lines connecting points on the egg surface but a much better representation would be combining groups of points into curves and then combining the curves. To prove this try drawing an egg using the draw feature in Microsoft Powerpoint; you are making splines.Gauthier and co-workers show us how to use cubic splines to get the maximum information from data points, which may, unkindly, not lend themselves to dichotomization or a best fit line. Please read on. We hope readers will find their typescript interesting and exciting, and that it will give them a new way to think about how to analyse data. And no, a spline is not a bunch of cactus spines. Robert Peter Gale, Imperial College London, and Mei-Jie Zhang, Medical College of Wisconsin and CIBMTR.
Relapse after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) is the leading cause of death in patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) entering HCT with poor-risk features
. When HCT does ...produce prolonged relapse-free survival, it commonly reflects graft-versus-leukemia effects mediated by donor T cells reactive with antigens on leukemic cells
. As graft T cells have not been selected for leukemia specificity and frequently recognize proteins expressed by many normal host tissues, graft-versus-leukemia effects are often accompanied by morbidity and mortality from graft-versus-host disease
. Thus, AML relapse risk might be more effectively reduced with T cells expressing receptors (TCRs) that target selected AML antigens
. We therefore isolated a high-affinity Wilms' Tumor Antigen 1-specific TCR (TCR
) from HLA-A2
normal donor repertoires, inserted TCR
into Epstein-Bar virus-specific donor CD8
T cells (T
) to minimize graft-versus-host disease risk and enhance transferred T cell survival
, and infused these cells prophylactically post-HCT into 12 patients ( NCT01640301 ). Relapse-free survival was 100% at a median of 44 months following infusion, while a concurrent comparative group of 88 patients with similar risk AML had 54% relapse-free survival (P = 0.002). T
maintained TCR
expression, persisted long-term and were polyfunctional. This strategy appears promising for preventing AML recurrence in individuals at increased risk of post-HCT relapse.
Most reports of chronic GVHD after cord blood transplantation (CBT) have utilized traditional diagnostic criteria. We used traditional criteria and National Institutes of Health (NIH) criteria ...prospectively to evaluate chronic GVHD in a cohort of 87 adult and pediatric recipients of single or double unrelated CBT for treatment of hematologic malignancies. Fifty-four patients developed traditionally defined chronic GVHD, for an estimated 2-year probability of 64%. Among 54 patients, 25 (46%) met the NIH criteria for persistent, recurrent or late acute GVHD at onset. Twenty-four (44%) had overlap chronic GVHD, including one who presented initially with late acute GVHD, and only seven (13%) had classic chronic GVHD, including one who also presented initially with late acute GVHD. Among patients who successfully discontinued all systemic immunosuppression (SI), the median time to discontinuation of corticosteroid treatment was 315 days (range 28-977), and the median time to discontinuation of all SI was 353 days (range 67-977). Chronic GVHD diagnosed by traditional criteria after CBT had a predominance of acute GVHD clinical features.
Hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) from a matched related donor (MRD) benefits many adults with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) in first complete remission (CR1). The majority of patients does not ...have such a donor and will require an alternative donor if HCT is to be undertaken. We retrospectively analyzed 226 adult AML CR1 patients undergoing myeloablative unrelated donor (URD) (10/10 match, n=62; 9/10, n=29) or MRD (n=135) HCT from 1996 to 2007. The 5-year estimates of overall survival, relapse and nonrelapse mortality (NRM) were 57.9, 29.7 and 16.0%, respectively. Failure for each of these outcomes was slightly higher for 10/10 URD than MRD HCT, although statistical significance was not reached for any end point. The adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) were 1.43 (0.89-2.30, P=0.14) for overall mortality, 1.17 (0.66-2.08, P=0.60) for relapse and 1.79 (0.86-3.74, P=0.12) for NRM, respectively, and the adjusted odds ratio for grades 2-4 acute graft-versus-host disease was 1.50 (0.70-3.24, P=0.30). Overall mortality among 9/10 and 10/10 URD recipients was similar (adjusted HR 1.16 (0.52-2.61), P=0.71). These data indicate that URD HCT can provide long-term survival for CR1 AML; outcomes for 10/10 URD HCT, and possibly 9/10 URD HCT, suggest that this modality should be considered in the absence of a suitable MRD.
The purpose of the study was to determine the long-term safety and effectiveness of high-dose immunosuppressive therapy (HDIT) followed by autologous hematopoietic cell transplantation (AHCT) in ...advanced multiple sclerosis (MS). TBI, CY and antithymocyte globulin were followed by transplantation of autologous, CD34-selected PBSCs. Neurological examinations, brain magnetic resonance imaging and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) for oligoclonal bands (OCB) were serially evaluated. Patients (n=26, mean Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS)=7.0, 17 secondary progressive, 8 primary progressive, 1 relapsing/remitting) were followed for a median of 48 months after HDIT followed by AHCT. The 72-month probability of worsening ≥1.0 EDSS point was 0.52 (95% confidence interval, 0.30-0.75). Five patients had an EDSS at baseline of ≤6.0; four of them had not failed treatment at last study visit. OCB in CSF persisted with minor changes in the banding pattern. Four new or enhancing lesions were seen on MRI, all within 13 months of treatment. In this population with high baseline EDSS, a significant proportion of patients with advanced MS remained stable for as long as 7 years after transplant. Non-inflammatory events may have contributed to neurological worsening after treatment. HDIT/AHCT may be more effective in patients with less advanced relapsing/remitting MS.
To determine whether receipt of an investigational anti-CD3 monoclonal antibody (BC3) increased the risk of human herpesvirus 6 (HHV-6) reactivation and development of encephalitis in bone marrow ...transplant (BMT) recipients, persons who had and had not received BC3 were compared. Odds of HHV-6 reactivation were higher among BC3 recipients than among control patients (odds ratio, 2.5; 95% confidence interval CI, 1.3–4.7). In addition, BC3 recipients were more likely than control patients to develop encephalitis (risk ratio RR, 3.5; 95% CI, 1.3–9.5), and this association followed a BC3 dose-dependent relationship (P=.03, by Mantel-Haenszel χ2 test). In a multivariable model, HHV-6 reactivation and receipt of BC3 were associated with increased risk of encephalitis (RR, 5.4; 95% CI, 1.9–15.3, and RR, 3.3; 95% CI, 1.2–9.1, respectively). In conclusion, both HHV-6 reactivation and receipt of BC3 for prophylaxis of acute graft-versus-host disease independently increased the risk of encephalitis in allogeneic BMT recipients. Prospective studies to better define the relationship between HHV-6 reactivation and encephalitis in allogeneic BMT recipients are warranted.
More effective therapeutic strategies are required for patients with poor-prognosis systemic sclerosis (SSc). A phase 2 single-arm study of high-dose immunosuppressive therapy (HDIT) and autologous ...CD34-selected hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) was conducted in 34 patients with diffuse cutaneous SSc. HDIT included total body irradiation (800 cGy) with lung shielding, cyclophosphamide (120 mg/kg), and equine antithymocyte globulin (90 mg/kg). Neutrophil and platelet counts were recovered by 9 (range, 7 to 13) and 11 (range, 7 to 25) days after HCT, respectively. Seventeen of 27 (63%) evaluable patients who survived at least 1 year after HDIT had sustained responses at a median follow-up of 4 (range, 1 to 8) years. There was a major improvement in skin (modified Rodnan skin score, −22.08; P < .001) and overall function (modified Health Assessment Questionnaire Disability Index, −1.03; P < .001) at final evaluation. Importantly, for the first time, biopsies confirmed a statistically significant decrease of dermal fibrosis compared with baseline (P < .001). Lung, heart, and kidney function, in general, remained clinically stable. There were 12 deaths during the study (transplantation-related, 8; SSc-related, 4). The estimated progression-free survival was 64% at 5 years. Sustained responses including a decrease in dermal fibrosis were observed exceeding those previously reported with other therapies. HDIT and autologous HCT for SSc should be evaluated in a randomized clinical trial.
Hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) from an HLA-A, HLA-B, HLA-C, HLA-DRB1, and HLA-DQB1 allele–matched unrelated donor is a well-recognized life-saving treatment modality for patients with ...hematologic disorders. The morbidity and mortality from clinically significant acute graft-versus-host disease (aGVHD) remains a limitation. The extent to which transplantation outcome may be improved with donor matching for HLA-DP is not well defined. The risks of aGVHD, relapse, and mortality associated with HLA-DPB1 allele mismatching were determined in 5929 patients who received a myeloablative HCT from an HLA-A–, HLA-B–, HLA-C–, HLA-DRB1–, and HLA-DQB1–matched or –mismatched donor. There was a statistically significantly higher risk of both grades 2 to 4 aGVHD (odds ratio OR = 1.33; P < .001) and grades 3 to 4 aGVHD (OR = 1.26; P < .001) after HCT from an HLA-DPB1–mismatched donor compared with a matched donor. The increased risk of aGVHD was accompanied by a statistically significantly decrease in disease relapse (hazard ratio HR = 0.82; P = .01). HLA-DPB1 functions as a classical transplantation antigen. The increased risk of GVHD associated with HLA-DPB1 mismatching is accompanied by a lower risk of relapse. Knowledge of the DPB1 matching status prior to transplantation will aid in more precise risk stratification for the individual patient.
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