Abstract Background Renal impairment is associated with increased mortality in heart failure (HF). Recently, reports suggest that worsening renal function (WRF) is another predictor of clinical ...outcome in HF. The present study was designed to establish the proportion of patients with HF that exhibits (WRF) and the associated risk for mortality and hospitalization by conducting a systematic review and meta-analysis. Methods and Results A systematic search of MEDLINE revealed 8 studies on the relationship between WRF and mortality in 18,634 patients with HF. The mortality risk associated with WRF was estimated using random-effects meta-analysis. WRF was defined as an increase in serum creatinine ≥0.2 mg/dL or a corresponding decrease in estimated glomerular filtration rate ≥5 mL·min·1.73 m2 . Subgroup analysis included differentiation between in- and out-hospital patients, degree of WRF and time until end point occurrence. WRF developed in 4,734 (25%) patients and was associated with a higher risk for mortality (odds ratio OR = 1.62; 95% confidence interval CI 1.45–1.82, P < .001) and hospitalization (OR = 1.30, 95% CI 1.04–1.62, P = .022). The severity of WRF was also associated with greater mortality. Patients with impaired renal function at baseline were more prone to progressive renal function loss. Conclusions WRF predicts substantially higher rates of mortality and hospitalization in patients with HF.
Waist‐to‐hip ratio and mortality in heart failure Streng, Koen W.; Voors, Adriaan A.; Hillege, Hans L. ...
European journal of heart failure,
September 2018, Letnik:
20, Številka:
9
Journal Article
Recenzirano
Odprti dostop
Aims
A higher body mass index (BMI) is associated with better survival in heart failure (HF) patients, also known as the obesity paradox. However, BMI does not account for body composition. We ...therefore analysed the association between abdominal fat, measured via waist‐to‐hip ratio (WHR), BMI and all‐cause mortality in patients with HF.
Methods and results
For this analysis, 1738 patients from the Scottish BIOlogy Study to TAilored Treatment in Chronic Heart Failure (BIOSTAT‐CHF) validation study were included. Patients without waist and hip measurements were excluded. WHR was defined as waist circumference/hip circumference, divided into tertiles and split for sex. A linear regression of principal components from an extensive panel of biomarkers was performed to provide insight in the pathophysiology behind a higher WHR. In total, 1479 patients were included, of which 33% were female and mean age was 75 ±11 years. A higher WHR was independently associated with a higher BMI, a higher prevalence of diabetes and higher New York Heart Association functional class. There was a significant interaction between sex and WHR on its association with mortality (P <0.001). In women, a higher WHR was associated with a higher mortality risk hazard ratio (HR) 2.23, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.37–3.63; P =0.001, whereas no significant association was found in men (HR 0.87, 95% CI 0.63–1.20; P = 0.409). We found a strong association between a higher WHR and elevated markers of inflammation and MAPK cascade in women, while these associations were less profound in men.
Conclusions
A higher WHR was associated with a higher risk of death in female but not in male HF patients. These findings challenge the obesity paradox, and suggest that fat deposition is pathophysiologically harmful and may be a target for therapy in female patients with HF.
Introduction
From a prospective multicentre multicountry clinical trial, we developed and validated risk models to predict prospective all‐cause mortality and hospitalizations because of heart ...failure (HF) in patients with HF.
Methods and results
BIOSTAT‐CHF is a research programme designed to develop and externally validate risk models to predict all‐cause mortality and HF hospitalizations. The index cohort consisted of 2516 patients with HF from 69 centres in 11 European countries. The external validation cohort consisted of 1738 comparable patients from six centres in Scotland, UK. Patients from the index cohort had a mean age of 69 years, 27% were female, 83% were in New York Heart Association (NYHA) class II–III and the mean left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) was 31%. The full prediction models for mortality, hospitalization owing to HF, and the combined outcome, yielded c‐statistic values of 0.73, 0.69, and 0.71, respectively. Predictors of mortality and hospitalization owing to HF were remarkably different. The five strongest predictors of mortality were more advanced age, higher blood urea nitrogen and N‐terminal pro‐B‐type natriuretic peptide, lower haemoglobin, and failure to prescribe a beta‐blocker. The five strongest predictors of hospitalization owing to HF were more advanced age, previous hospitalization owing to HF, presence of oedema, lower systolic blood pressure and lower estimated glomerular filtration rate. Patients from the validation cohort were aged 74 years, 34% were female, 85% were in NYHA class II–III, and mean LVEF was 41%; c‐statistic values for the full and compact model were comparable to the index cohort.
Conclusion
A small number of variables, which are usually readily available in the routine clinical setting, provide useful prognostic information for patients with HF. Predictors of mortality were remarkably different from predictors of hospitalization owing to HF.
The aim of this study was to assess the effect of anemia on mortality in chronic heart failure (CHF).
Anemia is frequently observed in patients with CHF, and evidence suggests that anemia might be ...associated with an increased mortality.
A systematic literature search in MEDLINE (through November 2007) for English language articles was performed. In addition, a manual search was performed. We included cohort studies and retrospective secondary analyses of randomized controlled trials whose primary objective was to analyze the association between anemia and mortality in CHF. Of a total of 1,327 initial studies, we included 34 studies, comprising 153,180 patients. Information on study design, patient characteristics, outcome, and potential confounders were extracted.
Anemia was defined by criteria used in the original articles. Of the 153,180 CHF patients, 37.2% were anemic. After a minimal follow-up of 6 months, 46.8% of anemic patients died compared with 29.5% of nonanemic patients. Crude mortality risk of anemia was odds ratio 1.96 (95% confidence interval: 1.74 to 2.21, p < 0.001). Lower baseline hemoglobin values were associated with increased crude mortality rates (r = -0.396, p = 0.025). Adjusted hazard ratios showed an increased adjusted risk for anemia (hazard ratio 1.46 95% confidence interval: 1.26 to 1.69, p < 0.001). Subgroup analysis showed no significant difference between mortality risk of anemia in diastolic or systolic CHF.
Anemia is associated with an increased risk of mortality in both systolic and diastolic CHF. Anemia should, therefore, be considered as a useful prognosticator, and therapeutic strategies aimed to increase hemoglobin levels in CHF should be investigated.
Aim
Diminished diuretic response is common in patients with acute heart failure, although a clinically useful definition is lacking. Our aim was to investigate a practical, workable metric for ...diuretic response, examine associated patient characteristics and relationships with outcome.
Methods and results
We examined diuretic response (defined as Δ weight kg/40 mg furosemide) in 1745 hospitalized acute heart failure patients from the PROTECT trial. Day 4 response was used to allow maximum differentiation in responsiveness and tailoring of diuretic doses to clinical response, following sensitivity analyses. We investigated predictors of diuretic response and relationships with outcome. The median diuretic response was −0.38 (−0.80 to −0.13) kg/40 mg furosemide. Poor diuretic response was independently associated with low systolic blood pressure, high blood urea nitrogen, diabetes, and atherosclerotic disease (all P < 0.05). Worse diuretic response independently predicted 180-day mortality (HR: 1.42; 95% CI: 1.11–1.81, P = 0.005), 60-day death or renal or cardiovascular rehospitalization (HR: 1.34; 95% CI: 1.14–1.59, P < 0.001) and 60-day HF rehospitalization (HR: 1.57; 95% CI: 1.24–2.01, P < 0.001) in multivariable models. The proposed metric—weight loss indexed to diuretic dose—better captures a dose–response relationship. Model diagnostics showed diuretic response provided essentially the same or slightly better prognostic information compared with its individual components (weight loss and diuretic dose) in this population, while providing a less biased, more easily interpreted signal.
Conclusions
Worse diuretic response was associated with more advanced heart failure, renal impairment, diabetes, atherosclerotic disease and in-hospital worsening heart failure, and predicts mortality and heart failure rehospitalization in this post hoc, hypothesis-generating study.
Several clinical studies have evaluated the association between ST2 and outcome in patients with heart failure (HF). However, little is known about the predictive value of frequently measured ST2 ...levels in patients with acute HF.
This study sought to describe the prognostic value of baseline and repeated ST2 measurements in patients with acute HF.
In the TRIUMPH (Translational Initiative on Unique and novel strategies for Management of Patients with Heart failure) clinical cohort study, 496 patients with acute HF were enrolled in 14 hospitals in the Netherlands between 2009 and 2014. Repeated blood samples (7) were drawn during 1-year follow-up. ST2 and N-terminal pro–B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels were measured in a central laboratory. The primary endpoint was the composite of all-cause mortality and HF rehospitalization. Associations between repeated biomarker measurements and the primary endpoint were assessed using a joint model.
Median age was 74 years, and 37% of patients were women. The primary endpoint was reached in 188 patients (40%) during a median follow-up of 325 days (interquartile range: 85 to 401). The median baseline ST2 level was 71 ng/ml (interquartile range: 46 to 102). After adjustment for clinical factors and NT-proBNP, baseline ST2 was associated with an increased risk of the primary endpoint, and the hazard ratio per 1 SD increase of the baseline ST2 level (on the log2 scale) was 1.30 (95% confidence interval: 1.08 to 1.56; p = 0.005). When repeated measurements were taken into account, the adjusted hazard ratio per 1 SD increase of the ST2 level (on the log2 scale) during follow-up increased to 1.85 (95% confidence interval: 1.02 to 3.33; p = 0.044), adjusted for clinical factors and repeated measurements of NT-proBNP. Furthermore, ST2 levels appeared to elevate several weeks before the time of the primary endpoint.
Repeated ST2 measurements appeared to be a strong predictor of outcome in patients with acute HF, independent of repeatedly measured NT-proBNP. Hence ST2 may be helpful in clinical practice for prognostication and treatment monitoring. (TRanslational Initiative on Unique and novel strategies for Management of Patients with Heart failure TRIUMPH; NTR1893)
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Comorbidities play a major role in heart failure. Whether prevalence and prognostic importance of comorbidities differ between heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), mid-range ...(HFmrEF) or reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) is unknown.
Patients from index (n = 2516) and validation cohort (n = 1738) of The BIOlogy Study to TAilored Treatment in Chronic Heart Failure (BIOSTAT-CHF) were pooled. Eight non-cardiac comorbidities were assessed; diabetes mellitus, thyroid dysfunction, obesity, anaemia, chronic kidney disease (CKD, estimated glomerular filtration rate < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2), COPD, stroke and peripheral arterial disease. Patients were classified based on ejection fraction. The association of each comorbidity with quality of life (QoL), all-cause mortality and hospitalisation was evaluated.
Patients with complete comorbidity data were included (n = 3499). Most prevalent comorbidity was CKD (50%). All comorbidities showed the highest prevalence in HFpEF, except for stroke. Prevalences of HFmrEF were in between the other entities. COPD was the comorbidity associated with the greatest reduction in QoL. In HFrEF, almost all were associated with a significant reduction in QoL, while in HFpEF only CKD and obesity were associated with a reduction. Most comorbidities in HFrEF were associated with an increased mortality risk, while in HFpEF only CKD, anaemia and COPD were associated with higher mortality risks.
The highest prevalence of comorbidities was seen in patients with HFpEF. Overall, comorbidities were associated with a lower QoL, but this was more pronounced in patients with HFrEF. Most comorbidities were associated with higher mortality risks, although the associations with diabetes were only present in patients with HFrEF.
•Non-cardiac comorbidities are highly prevalent in heart failure.•The highest prevalence in heart failure was found for chronic kidney disease.•Non-cardiac comorbidities influence quality of life negatively.•Most comorbidities were associated with higher mortality risks.
Objectives The study sought to investigate the clinical correlates and prognostic role of anemia and changes in hemoglobin in patients hospitalized for acute decompensated heart failure (AHF). ...Background Anemia is related to a poor outcome in patients with heart failure. In addition, an increase in hemoglobin during hospitalization might be a sign of effective decongestion and therefore related to improved outcome. Methods This is a post hoc analysis of the PROTECT (Placebo-Controlled Randomized Study of the Selective Adenosine A1 Receptor Antagonist Rolofylline for Patients Hospitalized with Acute Decompensated Heart Failure and Volume Overload to Assess Treatment Effect on Congestion and Renal Function) study in 1,969 patients with AHF and mild to moderate impaired renal function. Hemoglobin levels were measured daily for the first 4 days and at day 7. The endpoint was 180-day all-cause mortality. Results Anemia at baseline was observed in 50.3% of the patients. During follow-up, 359 patients (18.2%) died. Hemoglobin increased in 69.1% and was associated with a better renal function at baseline and more weight loss, but was associated with a deterioration of renal function (p = 0.01), whereas total dose diuretics was lower in patients with hemoconcentration (p < 0.01). Interaction analysis showed that greater weight loss and better baseline renal function were associated with a more rapid increase in hemoglobin concentration (p < 0.01 for both). The absolute change in hemoglobin (g/dl) independently predicted outcome (hazard ratio: 0.66; 95% confidence interval: 0.51 to 0.86; p = 0.002), whereas baseline hemoglobin levels did not. Conclusions Patients with AHF and preserved renal function are decongested better, as shown by an increase in hemoglobin. A rapid increase in hemoglobin during the first week is independently associated with a favorable outcome, despite a slight decrease in renal function.
Aims
Both reduced glomerular filtration and increased urinary albumin excretion independently determine outcome in patients with chronic heart failure (HF). However, tubulo-interstitial injury might ...indicate renal damage, even in the presence of normal glomerular filtration. We studied the relationship between tubular damage, glomerular filtration, urinary albumin excretion, and outcome in HF patients.
Methods and results
In 2130 patients participating in the GISSI-HF trial, we measured urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR), estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), and three urinary markers of tubular damage: N-acetyl-beta-d-glucosaminidase (NAG), kidney injury molecule 1 (KIM-1), and neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL). We assessed the relationship between the individual tubular damage markers and the combined endpoint of all-cause mortality and HF hospitalizations. Mean age was 67 ± 11 years, and 21% were female. Urinary NAG 13.7 (7.8-22) U/gCr, KIM-1 1939 (671-3871) ng/gCr, and NGAL 36 (14-94) µg/gCr were markedly elevated above normal levels. All individual tubular markers were independently associated with the combined endpoint: NAG: adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.22; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.10-1.36; P< 0.001, KIM-1 HR 1.13; 95% CI, 1.02-1.24; P= 0.018 and NGAL HR 1.10; 95% CI, 1.00-1.20; P= 0.042; all per log standard deviation increase). Even in patients with a normal eGFR, increased tubular markers were related to a poorer outcome. The combination of impaired eGFR, increased UACR, and high NAG was associated with a HR of 3.00; 95% CI, 2.29-3.95; P< 0.001, compared with those without these abnormalities.
Conclusion
Tubular damage is related to a poor clinical outcome in HF patients even when eGFR is normal.
ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00336336 (for the main study).
Abstract Background Despite the introduction of targeted therapies in pediatric pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH), prognosis remains poor. For the definition of treatment strategies and ...guidelines, there is a high need for an evidence-based recapitulation of prognostic factors. The aim of this study was to identify and evaluate prognostic factors in pediatric PAH by a systematic review of the literature and to summarize the prognostic value of currently reported prognostic factors using meta-analysis. Methods and results Medline, EMBASE and Cochrane Library were searched on April 1st 2014 to identify original studies that described predictors of mortality or lung-transplantation exclusively in children with PAH. 1053 citations were identified, of which 25 were included for further analysis. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals were extracted from the papers. For variables studied in at least three non-overlapping cohorts, a combined HR was calculated using random-effects meta-analysis. WHO functional class (WHO-FC, HR 2.7), (N-terminal pro-) brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP, HR 3.2), mean right atrial pressure (mRAP, HR 1.1), cardiac index (HR 0.7), indexed pulmonary vascular resistance (PVRi, HR 1.3) and acute vasodilator response (HR 0.3) were identified as significant prognostic factors (p ≤ 0.001). Conclusions This systematic review combined with separate meta-analyses shows that WHO-FC, (NT-pro)BNP, mRAP, PVRi, cardiac index and acute vasodilator response are consistently reported prognostic factors for outcome in pediatric PAH. These variables are useful clinical tools to assess prognosis and should be incorporated in treatment strategies and guidelines for children with PAH.
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