Background:
The long-term prognosis and risk factors for quality of life and disability after anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) reconstruction remain unknown.
Hypothesis/Purpose:
Our objective was to ...identify patient-reported outcomes and patient-specific risk factors from a large prospective cohort at a minimum 10-year follow-up after ACL reconstruction. We hypothesized that meniscus and articular cartilage injuries, revision ACL reconstruction, subsequent knee surgery, and certain demographic characteristics would be significant risk factors for inferior outcomes at 10 years.
Study Design:
Therapeutic study; Level of evidence, 2.
Methods:
Unilateral ACL reconstruction procedures were identified and prospectively enrolled between 2002 and 2004 from 7 sites in the Multicenter Orthopaedic Outcomes Network (MOON). Patients preoperatively completed a series of validated outcome instruments, including the International Knee Documentation Committee (IKDC), Knee injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (KOOS), and Marx activity rating scale. At the time of surgery, physicians documented all intra-articular abnormalities, treatment, and surgical techniques utilized. Patients were followed at 2, 6, and 10 years postoperatively and asked to complete the same outcome instruments that they completed at baseline. The incidence and details of any subsequent knee surgeries were also obtained. Multivariable regression analysis was used to identify significant predictors of the outcome.
Results:
A total of 1592 patients were enrolled (57% male; median age, 24 years). Ten-year follow-up was obtained on 83% (n = 1320) of the cohort. Both IKDC and KOOS scores significantly improved at 2 years and were maintained at 6 and 10 years. Conversely, Marx scores dropped markedly over time, from a median score of 12 points at baseline to 9 points at 2 years, 7 points at 6 years, and 6 points at 10 years. The patient-specific risk factors for inferior 10-year outcomes were lower baseline scores; higher body mass index; being a smoker at baseline; having a medial or lateral meniscus procedure performed before index ACL reconstruction; undergoing revision ACL reconstruction; undergoing lateral meniscectomy; grade 3 to 4 articular cartilage lesions in the medial, lateral, or patellofemoral compartments; and undergoing any subsequent ipsilateral knee surgery after index ACL reconstruction.
Conclusion:
Patients were able to perform sports-related functions and maintain a relatively high knee-related quality of life 10 years after ACL reconstruction, although activity levels significantly declined over time. Multivariable analysis identified several key modifiable risk factors that significantly influence the outcome.
IMPORTANCE: Obesity increases the incidence and mortality from some types of cancer, but it remains uncertain whether intentional weight loss can decrease this risk. OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether ...bariatric surgery is associated with lower cancer risk and mortality in patients with obesity. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: In the SPLENDID (Surgical Procedures and Long-term Effectiveness in Neoplastic Disease Incidence and Death) matched cohort study, adult patients with a body mass index of 35 or greater who underwent bariatric surgery at a US health system between 2004 and 2017 were included. Patients who underwent bariatric surgery were matched 1:5 to patients who did not undergo surgery for their obesity, resulting in a total of 30 318 patients. Follow-up ended in February 2021. EXPOSURES: Bariatric surgery (n = 5053), including Roux-en-Y gastric bypass and sleeve gastrectomy, vs nonsurgical care (n = 25 265). MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Multivariable Cox regression analysis estimated time to incident obesity-associated cancer (a composite of 13 cancer types as the primary end point) and cancer-related mortality. RESULTS: The study included 30 318 patients (median age, 46 years; median body mass index, 45; 77% female; and 73% White) with a median follow-up of 6.1 years (IQR, 3.8-8.9 years). The mean between-group difference in body weight at 10 years was 24.8 kg (95% CI, 24.6-25.1 kg) or a 19.2% (95% CI, 19.1%-19.4%) greater weight loss in the bariatric surgery group. During follow-up, 96 patients in the bariatric surgery group and 780 patients in the nonsurgical control group had an incident obesity-associated cancer (incidence rate of 3.0 events vs 4.6 events, respectively, per 1000 person-years). The cumulative incidence of the primary end point at 10 years was 2.9% (95% CI, 2.2%-3.6%) in the bariatric surgery group and 4.9% (95% CI, 4.5%-5.3%) in the nonsurgical control group (absolute risk difference, 2.0% 95% CI, 1.2%-2.7%; adjusted hazard ratio, 0.68 95% CI, 0.53-0.87, P = .002). Cancer-related mortality occurred in 21 patients in the bariatric surgery group and 205 patients in the nonsurgical control group (incidence rate of 0.6 events vs 1.2 events, respectively, per 1000 person-years). The cumulative incidence of cancer-related mortality at 10 years was 0.8% (95% CI, 0.4%-1.2%) in the bariatric surgery group and 1.4% (95% CI, 1.1%-1.6%) in the nonsurgical control group (absolute risk difference, 0.6% 95% CI, 0.1%-1.0%; adjusted hazard ratio, 0.52 95% CI, 0.31-0.88, P = .01). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Among adults with obesity, bariatric surgery compared with no surgery was associated with a significantly lower incidence of obesity-associated cancer and cancer-related mortality.
Abstract
Background and Aims
Crohn’s disease (CD) is a chronic illness that affects both the pediatric and adult populations with an increasing worldwide prevalence. We aim to identify a large, ...single-center cohort of patients with CD using natural language processing (NLP) in combination with codified data and extract surgical rates and medication usage from the electronic medical record (EMR).
Methods
Patients with CD were identified from the entire Cleveland Clinic EMR using ICD codes and CD-specific terms identified by NLP to fit a logistic regression model. Cohorts were developed for pediatric-onset (younger than 18 years) and adult-onset (18 years and older) CD. Surgeries were identified using current procedural terminology (CPT) codes and NLP. Crohn’s disease–related medications were extracted using physician orders in the EMR.
Results
Patients with pediatric-onset (n = 2060) and adult-onset (n = 4973) CD were identified from 2000 to 2017 with a positive predictive value of 98.5%. Rate of CD-related abdominal surgery over time was significantly higher in adult-onset compared with pediatric-onset CD (10-year surgery rate 49.9% vs 37.7%, respectively; P < 0.001). Treatment with biologics was significantly higher in pediatric vs adult-onset CD cohorts (63.6% vs 49.2%; P < 0.001). The overall rate of CD-related abdominal surgery was significantly higher in those who received <6 months of a biologic compared with ≥6 months of a biologic for both cohorts (pediatric 64.1% vs 39.1%, P ≤ 0.001; adult 69.3% vs 56.5%, P ≤ 0.001). Additionally, 60.9% in pediatric-onset CD and 43.5% in adult-onset CD treated with ≥6 months of biologic therapy have not required abdominal surgery. On multivariable analysis, perianal surgery was a significant risk factor for abdominal surgery in both cohorts.
Conclusion
We used a combination of codified and NLP data to establish the largest, North American, single-center EMR cohort of pediatric- and adult-onset CD patients and determined that biologics are associated with lower rates of surgery over time, potentially altering the natural history of the disease.
is a host co-receptor for cell entry of SARS-CoV-2. A prior report suggested that use of androgen deprivation therapy, which downregulates
, may protect men with prostate cancer from infection.
This ...is a cohort study of a prospective registry of all patients tested for SARS-CoV-2 between March 12 and June 10, 2020 with complete followup until disease recovery or death. The main exposure examined was the use of androgen deprivation therapy, and the outcome measures were the rate of SARS-CoV-2 positivity and disease severity as a function of androgen deprivation therapy use.
The study cohort consisted of 1,779 men with prostate cancer from a total tested population of 74,787, of whom 4,885 (6.5%) were positive for SARS-CoV-2. Of those with prostate cancer 102 (5.7%) were SARS-CoV-2 positive and 304 (17.1%) were on androgen deprivation therapy. Among those on androgen deprivation therapy 5.6% were positive as compared to 5.8% not on androgen deprivation therapy. Men on androgen deprivation therapy were slightly older (75.5 vs 73.8 years, p=0.009), more likely to have smoked (68.1% vs 59.3%, p=0.005) and more likely to report taking steroids (43.8% vs 23.3%, p <0.001). Other factors known to increase risk of infection and disease severity were equally distributed (asthma, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, coronary artery disease, heart failure and immune suppressive disease). Multivariable analysis did not indicate a difference in infection risk for those with prostate cancer on androgen deprivation therapy (OR 0.93, 95% CI 0.54-1.61, p=0.8).
Androgen deprivation therapy does not appear to be protective against SARS-CoV-2 infection.
Integration of numerous prognostic variables not included in the conventional staging of retroperitoneal soft tissue sarcomas (RPS) is essential in providing effective treatment. The purpose of this ...study was to build a specific nomogram for predicting postoperative overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) in patients with primary RPS.
Data registered in three institutional prospective sarcoma databases were used. We included patients with primary localized RPS resected between 1999 and 2009. Univariate (Kaplan and Meier plots) and multivariate (Cox model) analyses were carried out. The a priori chosen prognostic covariates were age, tumor size, grade, histologic subtype, multifocality, quality of surgery, and radiation therapy. External validation was performed by applying the nomograms to the patients of an external cohort. The model's discriminative ability was estimated by means of the bootstrap-corrected Harrell C statistic.
In all, 523 patients were identified at the three institutions (developing set). At a median follow-up of 45 months (interquartile range, 22 to 72 months), 171 deaths were recorded. Five- and 7-year OS rates were 56.8% (95% CI, 51.4% to 62.6%) and 46.7% (95% CI, 39.9% to 54.6%. Two hundred twenty-one patients had disease recurrence. Five- and 7-year DFS rates were 39.4% (95% CI, 34.5% to 45.0%) and 35.7% (95% CI, 30.3% to 42.1%). The validation set consisted of 135 patients who were identified at the fourth institution for external validation. The bootstrap-corrected Harrell C statistics for OS and DFS were 0.74 and 0.71 in the developing set and 0.68 and 0.69 in the validating set.
These nomograms accurately predict OS and DFS. They should be used for patient counseling in clinical practice and stratification in clinical trials.
Reports indicate that coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) may impact pancreatic function and increase type 2 diabetes (T2D) risk, although real-world COVID-19 impacts on HbA1c and T2D are unknown. We ...tested whether COVID-19 increased HbA1c, risk of T2D, or diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA). We compared pre- and post-COVID-19 HbA1c and T2D risk in a large real-world clinical cohort of 8,755 COVID-19(+) patients and 11,998 COVID-19(-) matched control subjects. We investigated whether DKA risk was modified in COVID-19(+) patients with type 1 diabetes (T1D) (N = 701) or T2D (N = 21,830), or by race and sex. We observed a statistically significant, albeit clinically insignificant, HbA1c increase post-COVID-19 (all patients ΔHbA1c = 0.06%; with T2D ΔHbA1c = 0.1%) and no increase among COVID-19(-) patients. COVID-19(+) patients were 40% more likely to be diagnosed with T2D compared with COVID-19(-) patients and 28% more likely for the same HbA1c change as COVID-19(-) patients, indicating that COVID-19-attributed T2D risk may be due to increased recognition during COVID-19 management. DKA in COVID-19(+) patients with T1D was not increased. COVID-19(+) Black patients with T2D displayed disproportionately increased DKA risk (hazard ratio 2.46 95% CI 1.48-6.09, P = 0.004) compared with White patients, suggesting a need for further clinical awareness and investigation.
Meta-analysis: Its strengths and limitations Walker, Esteban; Hernandez, Adrian V; Kattan, Michael W
Cleveland Clinic journal of medicine,
06/2008, Letnik:
75, Številka:
6
Journal Article
Recenzirano
Nowadays, doctors face an overwhelming amount of information, even in narrow areas of interest. In response, reviews designed
to summarize the large volumes of information are frequently published. ...When a review is done systematically, following certain
criteria, and the results are pooled and analyzed quantitatively, it is called a meta-analysis. A well-designed meta-analysis
can provide valuable information for researchers, policy-makers, and clinicians. However, there are many critical caveats
in performing and interpreting them, and thus many ways in which meta-analyses can yield misleading information.
KEY POINTS
Meta-analysis is an analytical technique designed to summarize the results of multiple studies.
By combining studies, a meta-analysis increases the sample size and thus the power to study effects of interest.
There are many caveats in performing a valid meta-analysis, and in some cases a meta-analysis is not appropriate and the results
can be misleading.
Researchers often convert prediction tools built on statistical regression models into integer scores and risk classification systems in the name of simplicity. However, this workflow discards useful ...information and reduces prediction accuracy. We, therefore, investigated the impact on prediction accuracy when researchers simplify a regression model into an integer score using a simulation study and an example clinical data set. Simulated independent training and test sets (n = 1000) were randomly generated such that a logistic regression model would perform at a specified target area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.7, 0.8, or 0.9. After fitting a logistic regression with continuous covariates to each data set, continuous variables were dichotomized using data-dependent cut points. A logistic regression was refit, and the coefficients were scaled and rounded to create an integer score. A risk classification system was built by stratifying integer scores into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk tertiles. Discrimination and calibration were assessed by calculating the AUC and index of prediction accuracy (IPA) for each model. The optimism in performance between the training set and test set was calculated for both AUC and IPA. The logistic regression model using the continuous form of covariates outperformed all other models. In the simulation study, converting the logistic regression model to an integer score and subsequent risk classification system incurred an average decrease of 0.057-0.094 in AUC, and an absolute 6.2%-17.5% in IPA. The largest decrease in both AUC and IPA occurred in the dichotomization step. The dichotomization and risk stratification steps also increased the optimism of the resulting models, such that they appeared to be able to predict better than they actually would on new data. In the clinical data set, converting the logistic regression with continuous covariates to an integer score incurred a decrease in externally validated AUC of 0.06 and a decrease in externally validated IPA of 13%. Converting a regression model to an integer score decreases model performance considerably. Therefore, we recommend developing a regression model that incorporates all available information to make the most accurate predictions possible, and using the unaltered regression model when making predictions for individual patients. In all cases, researchers should be mindful that they correctly validate the specific model that is intended for clinical use.
Summary Background Half of patients who have resective brain surgery for drug-resistant epilepsy have recurrent postoperative seizures. Although several single predictors of seizure outcome have been ...identified, no validated method incorporates a patient's complex clinical characteristics into an instrument to predict an individual's post-surgery seizure outcome. Methods We developed nomograms to predict complete freedom from seizures and Engel score of 1 (eventual freedom from seizures allowing for some initial postoperative seizures, or seizures occurring only with physiological stress such as drug withdrawal) at 2 years and 5 years after surgery on the basis of sex, seizure frequency, secondary seizure generalisation, type of surgery, pathological cause, age at epilepsy onset, age at surgery, epilepsy duration at time of surgery, and surgical side. We designed the models from a development cohort of patients who had resective surgery at the Cleveland Clinic (Cleveland, OH, USA) between 1996 and 2011. We then tested the nomograms in an external validation cohort operated on over a similar period in four epilepsy surgery centres, in Brazil, France, Italy, and the USA. We assessed performance of the nomogram by calculating concordance statistics and assessing the calibration of predicted freedom from seizures with the reported freedom from seizures and Engel score of 1. Findings The development cohort included 846 patients and the validation cohort included 604 patients. Variables included in the nomograms were sex, seizure frequency, secondary seizure generalisation, type of surgery, and pathological cause. In the development cohort, the baseline risk of complete freedom from seizures was 0·57 at 2 years and 0·40 at 5 years. The baseline risk of Engel score of 1 was 0·69 at 2 years and 0·62 at 5 years. In the validation cohort, the models had a concordance statistic of 0·60 for complete freedom from seizures and 0·61 for Engel score of 1. Calibration curves showed adequate calibration (judged by eye) of predicted and reported freedom from seizures, throughout the range of seizure outcomes. Interpretation If validated in prospective cohorts, these nomograms could be used to predict seizure outcomes in patients who have been judged eligible for epilepsy surgery. Funding Cleveland Clinic Epilepsy Center.
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