The Wide Field InfraRed Survey Telescope (WFIRST) was the highest-ranked large space-based mission of the 2010 New Worlds, New Horizons decadal survey. It is now a NASA mission in formulation with a ...planned launch in the mid 2020s. A primary mission objective is to precisely constrain the nature of dark energy through multiple probes, including Type Ia supernovae (SN Ia). Here, we present the first realistic simulations of the WFIRST SN survey based on current hardware specifications and using open-source tools. We simulate SN light curves and spectra as viewed by the WFIRST wide-field channel (WFC) imager and integral field channel (IFC) spectrometer, respectively. We examine 11 survey strategies with different time allocations between the WFC and IFC, two of which are based upon the strategy described by the WFIRST Science Definition Team, which measures SN distances exclusively from IFC data. We propagate statistical and, crucially, systematic uncertainties to predict the Dark Energy Task Force figure of merit (FoM) for each strategy. Of the strategies investigated, we find the most successful to be WFC focused. However, further work in constraining systematics is required to fully optimize the use of the IFC. Even without improvements to other cosmological probes, the WFIRST SN survey has the potential to increase the FoM by more than an order of magnitude from the current values. Although the survey strategies presented here have not been fully optimized, these initial investigations are an important step in the development of the final hardware design and implementation of the WFIRST mission.
Hyperglycemia resolves quickly after bariatric surgery, but the underlying mechanism and the most effective type of surgery remains unclear.
To examine glucose metabolism and beta-cell function in ...patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) after two types of bariatric intervention; Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) and gastric restrictive (GR) surgery.
Prospective, nonrandomized, repeated-measures, 4-week, longitudinal clinical trial.
In all, 16 T2DM patients (9 males and 7 females, 52+/-14 years, 47+/-9 kg m(-2), HbA1c 7.2+/-1.1%) undergoing either RYGB (N=9) or GR (N=7) surgery.
Glucose, insulin secretion, insulin sensitivity at baseline, and 1 and 4 weeks post-surgery, using hyperglycemic clamps and C-peptide modeling kinetics; glucose, insulin secretion and gut-peptide responses to mixed meal tolerance test (MMTT) at baseline and 4 weeks post-surgery.
At 1 week post-surgery, both groups experienced a similar weight loss and reduction in fasting glucose (P<0.01). However, insulin sensitivity increased only after RYGB, (P<0.05). At 4 weeks post-surgery, weight loss remained similar for both groups, but fasting glucose was normalized only after RYGB (95+/-3 mg 100 ml(-1)). Insulin sensitivity improved after RYGB (P<0.01) and did not change with GR, whereas the disposition index remained unchanged after RYGB and increased 30% after GR (P=0.10). The MMTT elicited a robust increase in insulin secretion, glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) levels and beta-cell sensitivity to glucose only after RYGB (P<0.05).
RYGB provides a more rapid improvement in glucose regulation compared with GR. This improvement is accompanied by enhanced insulin sensitivity and beta-cell responsiveness to glucose, in part because of an incretin effect.
The ERA‐40 re‐analysis Uppala, S. M.; KÅllberg, P. W.; Simmons, A. J. ...
Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society,
October 2005 Part B, Letnik:
131, Številka:
612
Journal Article
With the advent of new wide-field, high-cadence optical transient surveys, our understanding of the diversity of core-collapse supernovae has grown tremendously in the last decade. However, the ...pre-supernova evolution of massive stars, which sets the physical backdrop to these violent events, is theoretically not well understood and difficult to probe observationally. Here we report the discovery of the supernova iPTF 13dqy = SN 2013fs a mere ∼3 h after explosion. Our rapid follow-up observations, which include multiwavelength photometry and extremely early (beginning at ∼6 h post-explosion) spectra, map the distribution of material in the immediate environment (<, ~1015 cm) of the exploding star and establish that it was surrounded by circumstellar material (CSM) that was ejected during the final ∼1 yr prior to explosion at a high rate, around 10-3 solar masses per year. The complete disappearance of flash-ionized emission lines within the first several days requires that the dense CSM be confined to within <, ~1015 cm, consistent with radio non-detections at 70-100 days. The observations indicate that iPTF 13dqy was a regular type II supernova; thus, the finding that the probable red supergiant progenitor of this common explosion ejected material at a highly elevated rate just prior to its demise suggests that pre-supernova instabilities may be common among exploding massive stars.
The atmospheric methane burden is increasing rapidly, contrary to pathways compatible with the goals of the 2015 United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change Paris Agreement. Urgent action ...is required to bring methane back to a pathway more in line with the Paris goals. Emission reduction from “tractable” (easier to mitigate) anthropogenic sources such as the fossil fuel industries and landfills is being much facilitated by technical advances in the past decade, which have radically improved our ability to locate, identify, quantify, and reduce emissions. Measures to reduce emissions from “intractable” (harder to mitigate) anthropogenic sources such as agriculture and biomass burning have received less attention and are also becoming more feasible, including removal from elevated‐methane ambient air near to sources. The wider effort to use microbiological and dietary intervention to reduce emissions from cattle (and humans) is not addressed in detail in this essentially geophysical review. Though they cannot replace the need to reach “net‐zero” emissions of CO2, significant reductions in the methane burden will ease the timescales needed to reach required CO2 reduction targets for any particular future temperature limit. There is no single magic bullet, but implementation of a wide array of mitigation and emission reduction strategies could substantially cut the global methane burden, at a cost that is relatively low compared to the parallel and necessary measures to reduce CO2, and thereby reduce the atmospheric methane burden back toward pathways consistent with the goals of the Paris Agreement.
Plain Language Summary
Methane is a powerful climate warmer, and the amount of methane in the air is growing rapidly. Reducing human‐caused methane emissions is urgent if the 2015 United Nations Paris Agreement to limit climate warming is to succeed. There is hope, though the problem of methane mitigation is very wide and complex. Much of the task is in finding, identifying, and quantifying emissions. Rapid technical advances are making it much easier to locate and thus cut emissions from fossil fuel industries (gas, coal, and oil). Assessing emissions from landfill and sewage facilities is also becoming easier. In particular, poorly regulated landfills in fast‐growing tropical megacities need attention. Agricultural emissions are less tractable but may also be reduced to some extent, especially by improving manure management. Many methane mitigation options offer cost‐effective approaches to cut global warming and bring the amount of methane in the air back to a pathway that is consistent with the aims of the Paris Agreement.
Key Points
The atmospheric methane burden is rising fast; this growth is an increasing threat to the Paris Agreement of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC)
New gas measurement technologies, on the ground and in the air, have greatly improved our ability to locate and quantify emissions and to identify mitigation targets
Emissions can be cut by ending fossil fuel emissions, cutting biomass burning, improving landfills, especially in the tropics, and changing cattle farming practice
Submillimetre Common-User Bolometer Array 2 (SCUBA-2) is an innovative 10 000 pixel bolometer camera operating at submillimetre wavelengths on the James Clerk Maxwell Telescope (JCMT). The camera has ...the capability to carry out wide-field surveys to unprecedented depths, addressing key questions relating to the origins of galaxies, stars and planets. With two imaging arrays working simultaneously in the atmospheric windows at 450 and 850 μm, the vast increase in pixel count means that SCUBA-2 maps the sky 100-150 times faster than the previous SCUBA instrument. In this paper, we present an overview of the instrument, discuss the physical characteristics of the superconducting detector arrays, outline the observing modes and data acquisition, and present the early performance figures on the telescope. We also showcase the capabilities of the instrument via some early examples of the science SCUBA-2 that have already been undertaken. In 2012 February, SCUBA-2 began a series of unique legacy surveys for the JCMT community. These surveys will take 2.5 yr and the results are already providing complementary data to the shorter wavelength, shallower, larger area surveys from Herschel. The SCUBA-2 surveys will also provide a wealth of information for further study with new facilities such as ALMA, and future telescopes such as CCAT and SPICA.
Carbon emissions and their ocean impactsAnthropogenic CO2 emissions directly affect atmospheric chemistry but also have a strong influence on the oceans. Gattuso et al. review how the physics, ...chemistry, and ecology of the oceans might be affected based on two CO2 emission trajectories: one business as usual and one with aggressive reductions. Ocean warming, acidification, sea-level rise, and the expansion of oxygen minimum zones will continue to have distinct impacts on marine communities and ecosystems. The path that humanity takes regarding CO2 emissions will largely determine the severity of these phenomena.Science, this issue 10.1126/science.aac4722 The ocean moderates anthropogenic climate change at the cost of profound alterations of its physics, chemistry, ecology, and services. Here, we evaluate and compare the risks of impacts on marine and coastal ecosystems-and the goods and services they provide-for growing cumulative carbon emissions under two contrasting emissions scenarios. The current emissions trajectory would rapidly and significantly alter many ecosystems and the associated services on which humans heavily depend. A reduced emissions scenario-consistent with the Copenhagen Accord's goal of a global temperature increase of less than 2 degree C-is much more favorable to the ocean but still substantially alters important marine ecosystems and associated goods and services. The management options to address ocean impacts narrow as the ocean warms and acidifies. Consequently, any new climate regime that fails to minimize ocean impacts would be incomplete and inadequate.
Ambient air monitoring as part of the US Environmental Protection Agency's (US EPA's) Clean Air Status and Trends Network (CASTNet) currently uses filter packs to measure weekly integrated ...concentrations. The US EPA is interested in supplementing CASTNet with semi-continuous monitoring systems at select sites to characterize atmospheric chemistry and deposition of nitrogen and sulfur compounds at higher time resolution than the filter pack. The Monitor for AeRosols and GAses in ambient air (MARGA) measures water-soluble gases and aerosols at an hourly temporal resolution. The performance of the MARGA was assessed under the US EPA Environmental Technology Verification (ETV) program. The assessment was conducted in Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, from 8 September to 8 October 2010 and focused on gaseous SO2, HNO3, and NH3 and aerosol SO42-, NO3-, and NH4+. Precision of the MARGA was evaluated by calculating the median absolute relative percent difference (MARPD) between paired hourly results from duplicate MARGA units (MUs), with a performance goal of ≤ 25%. The accuracy of the MARGA was evaluated by calculating the MARPD for each MU relative to the average of the duplicate denuder/filter pack concentrations, with a performance goal of ≤ 40%. Accuracy was also evaluated by using linear regression, where MU concentrations were plotted against the average of the duplicate denuder/filter pack concentrations. From this, a linear least squares line of best fit was applied. The goal was for the slope of the line of best fit to be between 0.8 and 1.2. The MARGA performed well in comparison to the denuder/filter pack for SO2, SO42−, and NH4+, with all three compounds passing the accuracy and precision goals by a significant margin. The performance of the MARGA in measuring NO3- could not be evaluated due to the different sampling efficiency of coarse NO3- by the MUs and the filter pack. Estimates of "fine" NO3- were calculated for the MUs and the filter pack. Using this and results from a previous study, it is concluded that if the MUs and the filter pack were sampling the same particle size, the MUs would have good agreement in terms of precision and accuracy. The MARGA performed moderately well in measuring HNO3 and NH3, though neither met the linear regression slope goals. However, recommendations for improving the measurement of HNO3 and NH3 are discussed. It is concluded that SO42-, SO2, NO3-, HNO3, NH4+, and NH3 concentrations can be measured with acceptable accuracy and precision when the MARGA is operated in conjunction with the recommendations outlined in the manuscript.
Background
The current standard of care in locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) is neoadjuvant long‐course chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) followed by total mesorectal excision (TME). Surgery is ...conventionally performed approximately 6–8 weeks after nCRT. This study aimed to determine the effect on outcomes of extending this interval.
Methods
A systematic search was performed for studies reporting oncological results that compared the classical interval (less than 8 weeks) from the end of nCRT to TME with a minimum 8‐week interval in patients with LARC. The primary endpoint was the rate of pathological complete response (pCR). Secondary endpoints were recurrence‐free survival, local recurrence and distant metastasis rates, R0 resection rates, completeness of TME, margin positivity, sphincter preservation, stoma formation, anastomotic leak and other complications. A meta‐analysis was performed using the Mantel–Haenszel method.
Results
Twenty‐six publications, including four RCTs, with 25 445 patients were identified. A minimum 8‐week interval was associated with increased odds of pCR (odds ratio (OR) 1·41, 95 per cent c.i. 1·30 to 1·52; P < 0·001) and tumour downstaging (OR 1·18, 1·05 to 1·32; P = 0·004). R0 resection rates, TME completeness, lymph node yield, sphincter preservation, stoma formation and complication rates were similar between the two groups. The increased rate of pCR translated to reduced distant metastasis (OR 0·71, 0·54 to 0·93; P = 0·01) and overall recurrence (OR 0·76, 0·58 to 0·98; P = 0·04), but not local recurrence (OR 0·83, 0·49 to 1·42; P = 0·50).
Conclusion
A minimum 8‐week interval from the end of nCRT to TME increases pCR and downstaging rates, and improves recurrence‐free survival without compromising surgical morbidity.
Antecedentes
El tratamiento estándar actual del cáncer de recto localmente avanzado (locally advanced rectal cancer, LARC) consiste en quimiorradioterapia neoadyuvante de ciclo largo (neoadjuvant, long‐course chemoradiation, nCRT) seguida de exéresis total del mesorrecto (total mesorectal excision, TME). De forma convencional, la cirugía se realiza a las 6‐8 semanas después de la nCRT. Este estudio tuvo como objetivo determinar el efecto sobre los resultados de ampliar este intervalo.
Métodos
Se realizó una búsqueda sistemática de los estudios que analizaban los resultados oncológicos, comparando el intervalo clásico (< 8 semanas) desde el final de la nCRT hasta la TME con un intervalo mínimo de 8 semanas, en pacientes con LARC. El criterio de valoración principal fue la tasa de respuesta patológica completa (pathologic complete response, pCR). Los criterios de valoración secundarios fueron las tasas de supervivencia sin recidiva (recurrence‐free survival, RFS), recidiva local (local recurrence, LR) y metástasis a distancia (distant metastasis, DM), tasas de resección R0, integridad (completeness) del mesorrecto, afectación del margen de resección, preservación esfinteriana, formación de estoma, fuga anastomótica y otras complicaciones. Se realizó un metaanálisis utilizando el método de Mantel‐Haenszel.
Resultados
Se identificaron 26 publicaciones, incluidos cuatro ensayos clínicos aleatorizados, con 17.220 pacientes. Un intervalo mínimo de 8 semanas se asoció con un aumento de la razón de oportunidades (odds ratio, OR) de pCR (OR, 1,68, i.c. del 95% 1,37‐2,06, P < 0,001) y de disminución del estadio tumoral (OR 1,18, i.c. del 95% 1,05‐1,32, P = 0,004). Los porcentajes de resección R0, integridad del mesorrecto, ganglios linfáticos identificados, preservación esfinteriana, formación de estoma y complicaciones fueron similares entre los dos grupos. El aumento del porcentaje de pCR se tradujo en una disminución de las DM (OR 0,71, i.c. del 95% 0,54‐0,93, P = 0,01) y de la recidiva global (OR 0,76, i.c. del 95% 0,58‐0,98, P = 0,04), pero no de la LR (OR 0,83, i.c. del 95% 0,49‐1,42, P = 0,50).
Conclusión
Un intervalo mínimo de 8 semanas entre el final de la nCRT y la TME aumenta las tasas de pCR y la reducción del estadio tumoral, así como mejora la RFS sin comprometer la morbilidad quirúrgica.
This meta‐analysis of 26 publications, including four RCTs, of 17 221 patients with rectal cancer found an enhanced rate of pathological complete response with a minimum 8‐week wait interval from the end of neoadjuvant long‐course chemoradiotherapy to total mesorectal excision, with improved recurrence‐free survival and similar morbidity compared with the classical interval of less than 8 weeks.
Longer better
PDF
