Two-thirds of the 111 active volcanoes in Japan are covered with snow for several months during winter and demonstrate high hazard and risk potentials associated with snow-related lahars during and ...after eruptions. On 23 January 2018, a sudden phreatic eruption occurred at the ski field on Kusatsu-Shirane (Mt. Motoshirane) volcano, Japan. This new vent eruption from the snow-clad pyroclastic cone required forecasting of future snow-related lahars and crisis hazards zonation of downslope areas including Kusatsu town, a popular tourist site for skiing and hot springs. In order to achieve a prompt hazard assessment for snow-related lahars, a multidisciplinary approach was carried out involving characterization of proximal tephra deposits, snow surveys, and numerical lahar flow simulations using the Titan2D model. To determine the input parameters for the flow model, the consideration of snow water equivalent (SWE) immediately after the eruption (on 29 January) and in the post-eruptive period (on 12 March), was significant. In the case of Kusatsu-Shirane volcano during the winter of 2018, linear relationships between altitude and SWE, obtained at different elevations, were used to estimate the snow volume around the new vents. Several scenarios incorporating snow and snowmelt (water), with or without the occurrence of a new eruption, were simulated for the prediction of future lahars. Three lahar scenarios were simulated, including A) rain-on-snow triggered, B) ice/snow slurry, and C) full snowmelt triggered by a new eruption, and indicated the flow paths (inundation areas) and travel distances. These were useful for lahar hazard zonation and identification of potential high-risk areas. Since the input parameters required for the Titan2D flow model can be relatively easily determined, the model was suitable for the 2018 eruption at Motoshirane where historical and geological lahar records are not available for calibration. The procedure used in the study will enable rapid lahar prediction and hazard zonation at snow-clad volcanoes. Further consideration for simulating a cohesive-type flow, which was predicted by the primary deposits containing large amounts of clay minerals and could not be expressed in the Titan2D flow model, is necessary.
We performed core drilling at the Yamunai-sawa perennial snow patch (785 m a.s.l.) on Mt. Rishiri, Hokkaido, on September 9-10, 2018. The obtained core was 993 cm long. An ice layer was found at a ...depth of 853-993 cm, which indicates that perennial snow patches nourished by snow avalanches can have a thick ice layer, even at low altitudes. To clarify the transformation process from firn to ice, we investigated the crystal grain size, pore structure and oxygen isotope ratio of the core, and we estimated the depth to which the cold wave penetrated in early winter and the density increase in water-saturated firn in the ablation period. We found that 5-12-cm-thick transparent ice layers are superimposed ice with larger crystal grains and lower oxygen isotope ratios than in adjacent layers. The air temperature in perennial snow patches nourished by snow avalanches at low altitudes is higher than that in perennial snow patches nourished by snow drift. This higher temperature disturbs the refreezing of water-saturated firn that is due to cold wave penetration in early winter. Instead, the thick ice layer at a depth of 853-978 cm was formed by densification of water-saturated firn within two years after snow deposition. Thus, we conclude that the dominant transformation process from firn to ice in the Yamunai-sawa perennial snow patch nourished by avalanches is the same as that in temperate glaciers.
In association with the September 2014 phreatic eruption (VEI 1–2) at Ontake Volcano, a syn-eruptive and two post-eruptive lahars occurred in the Akagawa–Nigorigawa River, southern flank of the ...volcano. The present contribution describes and discusses the contrasting features of the two post-eruptive lahars, which caused a major impact on downstream river morphology, and re-examines the description of the syn-eruptive lahar in the previous study. The first post-eruptive lahar occurred 8 days after the eruption by the rainstorm (October 5, 2014, before the snowy season), and the second lahar was associated with the rain-on-snow (ROS) event on April 20, 2015, in the early spring of the snowmelt season. The October rain-triggered lahar, which can be interpreted as a cohesive debris flow, reached at least ~ 11 km downstream and left muddy matrix-rich sediments with high clay content (10–20 wt% of clay in matrix). The lahar deposits contain hydrothermally altered rock fragments, sulfide/sulfate minerals, and clay minerals and show extremely high total sulfur content (10–14 wt%) in matrix part, indicating source material from the September phreatic eruption deposits. The presence of “rain-triggered” clay-rich lahar and deposits originating from a single small phreatic eruption is important because usually such clay-rich lahars are known to occur in association with large-scale sector collapse and debris avalanches. The April ROS-triggered lahar was caused by the heavy rain and accompanying snow melting. The lahar was dilute and partly erosional and evolved into hyperconcentrated flow, which left fines-depleted sandy and gravelly deposits. Despite these lahars that originated from the same volcanic source and occurring within a 7-month period, the flow and resulting depositional characteristics are totally different. These different types of lahars after a single eruptive event need different simulations and mitigation of lahar hazards with timing (season) of the lahar onset. In comparison with rainfall intensity, snow-melting rate, and the contrasting lahars occurred in 2014/2015, it is postulated that the generation, size, and types of lahars can vary with the timing of eruption, whether it happens during the pre-snow season, snow season, or rainy season.
The present contribution investigates the temporal changes in volcaniclastic sediment transport over the 2-year period after the 2014 eruption of Ontake Volcano in two small drainage basins where ...increased turbidity was observed immediately after the eruption. Two similar-sized catchments on the southern flank of the volcano, the Akagawa River (~ 4.4 km
2
) and the Shirakawa River (~ 2.9 km
2
) catchments, exhibited contrasting sediment delivery patterns and river water characteristics such as acidity and electric conductivity (EC). Increased turbidity, a high rate of suspended sediment supply, and elevated EC values were observed only in the Akagawa River, which hosts volcanic vents in its proximal part. The mineral assemblages and chemical characteristics of suspended sediment from the Akagawa River clearly indicate that the turbidity was derived from the erosion and reworking of primary eruptive material and lahar deposits. Previous airborne and remote surveys suggested the presence of primary ashfall and pyroclastic density currents in the upslope areas and valley heads of both the Akagawa and Shirakawa rivers. However, the river water characteristics and sediment transportation data of the present study clarify that the initial volcanic disturbance of the Shirakawa catchment was minor and limited. The influence of volcanic disturbance on the Akagawa River catchment continued for at least 10 months after the eruption and was also observed for an additional 9 months until the end of the snowmelt season in 2016. In the Akagawa River valley, two post-eruptive lahars that occurred during a 7-month period may have enhanced the removal of volcaniclastic deposits, and this remobilization may have resulted in diminished sediment delivery in the river after the lahar events. The results of this study provide information about the timing of the decline of suspended sediment delivery associated with small-scale eruptive activity, and such information may prove useful for evaluating the effects of other eruptions similar in size and character to the 2014 Ontake eruption. In addition, the approach adopted for monitoring rivers at downstream sites is clearly of utility for evaluating primary pyroclastic deposition and volcanic disturbance near inaccessible vent areas.
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