Underweight, overweight, and obesity in childhood and adolescence are associated with adverse health consequences throughout the life-course. Our aim was to estimate worldwide trends in mean ...body-mass index (BMI) and a comprehensive set of BMI categories that cover underweight to obesity in children and adolescents, and to compare trends with those of adults.
We pooled 2416 population-based studies with measurements of height and weight on 128·9 million participants aged 5 years and older, including 31·5 million aged 5–19 years. We used a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate trends from 1975 to 2016 in 200 countries for mean BMI and for prevalence of BMI in the following categories for children and adolescents aged 5–19 years: more than 2 SD below the median of the WHO growth reference for children and adolescents (referred to as moderate and severe underweight hereafter), 2 SD to more than 1 SD below the median (mild underweight), 1 SD below the median to 1 SD above the median (healthy weight), more than 1 SD to 2 SD above the median (overweight but not obese), and more than 2 SD above the median (obesity).
Regional change in age-standardised mean BMI in girls from 1975 to 2016 ranged from virtually no change (−0·01 kg/m2 per decade; 95% credible interval −0·42 to 0·39, posterior probability PP of the observed decrease being a true decrease=0·5098) in eastern Europe to an increase of 1·00 kg/m2 per decade (0·69–1·35, PP>0·9999) in central Latin America and an increase of 0·95 kg/m2 per decade (0·64–1·25, PP>0·9999) in Polynesia and Micronesia. The range for boys was from a non-significant increase of 0·09 kg/m2 per decade (−0·33 to 0·49, PP=0·6926) in eastern Europe to an increase of 0·77 kg/m2 per decade (0·50–1·06, PP>0·9999) in Polynesia and Micronesia. Trends in mean BMI have recently flattened in northwestern Europe and the high-income English-speaking and Asia-Pacific regions for both sexes, southwestern Europe for boys, and central and Andean Latin America for girls. By contrast, the rise in BMI has accelerated in east and south Asia for both sexes, and southeast Asia for boys. Global age-standardised prevalence of obesity increased from 0·7% (0·4–1·2) in 1975 to 5·6% (4·8–6·5) in 2016 in girls, and from 0·9% (0·5–1·3) in 1975 to 7·8% (6·7–9·1) in 2016 in boys; the prevalence of moderate and severe underweight decreased from 9·2% (6·0–12·9) in 1975 to 8·4% (6·8–10·1) in 2016 in girls and from 14·8% (10·4–19·5) in 1975 to 12·4% (10·3–14·5) in 2016 in boys. Prevalence of moderate and severe underweight was highest in India, at 22·7% (16·7–29·6) among girls and 30·7% (23·5–38·0) among boys. Prevalence of obesity was more than 30% in girls in Nauru, the Cook Islands, and Palau; and boys in the Cook Islands, Nauru, Palau, Niue, and American Samoa in 2016. Prevalence of obesity was about 20% or more in several countries in Polynesia and Micronesia, the Middle East and north Africa, the Caribbean, and the USA. In 2016, 75 (44–117) million girls and 117 (70–178) million boys worldwide were moderately or severely underweight. In the same year, 50 (24–89) million girls and 74 (39–125) million boys worldwide were obese.
The rising trends in children's and adolescents' BMI have plateaued in many high-income countries, albeit at high levels, but have accelerated in parts of Asia, with trends no longer correlated with those of adults.
Wellcome Trust, AstraZeneca Young Health Programme.
Summary Background Raised blood pressure is an important risk factor for cardiovascular diseases and chronic kidney disease. We estimated worldwide trends in mean systolic and mean diastolic blood ...pressure, and the prevalence of, and number of people with, raised blood pressure, defined as systolic blood pressure of 140 mm Hg or higher or diastolic blood pressure of 90 mm Hg or higher. Methods For this analysis, we pooled national, subnational, or community population-based studies that had measured blood pressure in adults aged 18 years and older. We used a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate trends from 1975 to 2015 in mean systolic and mean diastolic blood pressure, and the prevalence of raised blood pressure for 200 countries. We calculated the contributions of changes in prevalence versus population growth and ageing to the increase in the number of adults with raised blood pressure. Findings We pooled 1479 studies that had measured the blood pressures of 19·1 million adults. Global age-standardised mean systolic blood pressure in 2015 was 127·0 mm Hg (95% credible interval 125·7–128·3) in men and 122·3 mm Hg (121·0–123·6) in women; age-standardised mean diastolic blood pressure was 78·7 mm Hg (77·9–79·5) for men and 76·7 mm Hg (75·9–77·6) for women. Global age-standardised prevalence of raised blood pressure was 24·1% (21·4–27·1) in men and 20·1% (17·8–22·5) in women in 2015. Mean systolic and mean diastolic blood pressure decreased substantially from 1975 to 2015 in high-income western and Asia Pacific countries, moving these countries from having some of the highest worldwide blood pressure in 1975 to the lowest in 2015. Mean blood pressure also decreased in women in central and eastern Europe, Latin America and the Caribbean, and, more recently, central Asia, Middle East, and north Africa, but the estimated trends in these super-regions had larger uncertainty than in high-income super-regions. By contrast, mean blood pressure might have increased in east and southeast Asia, south Asia, Oceania, and sub-Saharan Africa. In 2015, central and eastern Europe, sub-Saharan Africa, and south Asia had the highest blood pressure levels. Prevalence of raised blood pressure decreased in high-income and some middle-income countries; it remained unchanged elsewhere. The number of adults with raised blood pressure increased from 594 million in 1975 to 1·13 billion in 2015, with the increase largely in low-income and middle-income countries. The global increase in the number of adults with raised blood pressure is a net effect of increase due to population growth and ageing, and decrease due to declining age-specific prevalence. Interpretation During the past four decades, the highest worldwide blood pressure levels have shifted from high-income countries to low-income countries in south Asia and sub-Saharan Africa due to opposite trends, while blood pressure has been persistently high in central and eastern Europe. Funding Wellcome Trust.
Change in the prevalence of raised blood pressure could be due to both shifts in the entire distribution of blood pressure (representing the combined effects of public health interventions and ...secular trends) and changes in its high-blood-pressure tail (representing successful clinical interventions to control blood pressure in the hypertensive population). Our aim was to quantify the contributions of these two phenomena to the worldwide trends in the prevalence of raised blood pressure.
We pooled 1018 population-based studies with blood pressure measurements on 88.6 million participants from 1985 to 2016. We first calculated mean systolic blood pressure (SBP), mean diastolic blood pressure (DBP) and prevalence of raised blood pressure by sex and 10-year age group from 20-29 years to 70-79 years in each study, taking into account complex survey design and survey sample weights, where relevant. We used a linear mixed effect model to quantify the association between (probit-transformed) prevalence of raised blood pressure and age-group- and sex-specific mean blood pressure. We calculated the contributions of change in mean SBP and DBP, and of change in the prevalence-mean association, to the change in prevalence of raised blood pressure.
In 2005-16, at the same level of population mean SBP and DBP, men and women in South Asia and in Central Asia, the Middle East and North Africa would have the highest prevalence of raised blood pressure, and men and women in the high-income Asia Pacific and high-income Western regions would have the lowest. In most region-sex-age groups where the prevalence of raised blood pressure declined, one half or more of the decline was due to the decline in mean blood pressure. Where prevalence of raised blood pressure has increased, the change was entirely driven by increasing mean blood pressure, offset partly by the change in the prevalence-mean association.
Change in mean blood pressure is the main driver of the worldwide change in the prevalence of raised blood pressure, but change in the high-blood-pressure tail of the distribution has also contributed to the change in prevalence, especially in older age groups.
Glycine amide inhibitors of human liver glycogen phosphorylase A with improved potency in vivo are reported.
The synthesis, in vitro, and in vivo biological characterization of a series of achiral ...5-chloroindoloyl glycine amide inhibitors of human liver glycogen phosphorylase A are described. Improved potency over previously reported compounds in cellular and in vivo assays was observed. The allosteric binding site of these compounds was shown by X-ray crystallography to be the same as that reported previously for 5-chloroindoloyl norstatine amides.
This article describes and illustrates a novel method of microarray data analysis that couples model-based clustering and binary classification to form clusters of `response-relevant' genes; that is, ...genes that are informative when discriminating between the different values of the response. Predictions are subsequently made using an appropriate statistical summary of each gene cluster, which we call the `meta-covariate' representation of the cluster, in a probit regression model. We first illustrate this method by analysing a leukaemia expression dataset, before focusing closely on the meta-covariate analysis of a renal gene expression dataset in a rat model of salt-sensitive hypertension. We explore the biological insights provided by our analysis of these data. In particular, we identify a highly influential cluster of 13 genes--including three transcription factors (Arntl, Bhlhe41 and Npas2)--that is implicated as being protective against hypertension in response to increased dietary sodium. Functional and canonical pathway analysis of this cluster using Ingenuity Pathway Analysis implicated transcriptional activation and circadian rhythm signalling, respectively. Although we illustrate our method using only expression data, the method is applicable to any high-dimensional datasets. Expression data are available at ArrayExpress (accession number E-MEXP-2514) and code is available at http://www.dcs.gla.ac.uk/inference/metacovariateanalysis/.
CpG-C are a novel class of CpG motif-containing immunostimulatory sequences (ISS) that includes both a 5'-TCG element and a CpG-containing palindrome. CpG-C drive all known ISS activities and, in ...particular, are potent enhancers of IFN-alpha from plasmacytoid dendritic cells (PDCs). In our examination of CpG-C sequence requirements, we determined that optimal IFN-alpha-inducing activity could be achieved with longer palindromes. Longer palindromes also correlated with maintenance of the double-stranded (ds) form despite concentration and pH changes, indicating a preference for ds oligodeoxynucleotides (ODNs) by the ISS-induced signaling mechanism for IFN-alpha synthesis. This correlation did not hold for all arms of the ISS-induced immune response, since we did not observe increased B cell activity with the longer palindrome CpG-C ODNs. We further demonstrated that CpG-C retained activity in an in vitro primate system and induced the expression of several cytokines and IFN-alpha-inducible genes when CpG-C were administered in vivo to mice and primates. In conclusion, we have shown CpG-C to exert several types of immune functions across multiple species, and this novel class is thus an attractive candidate for ISS-based therapeutic strategies.
Background —Low-dose alteplase with standard-dose abciximab enhances reperfusion 90 minutes after acute myocardial infarction (MI). We combined standard-dose abciximab with low-dose reteplase for ...acute MI in 2 phases. Two heparin doses were also explored. Methods and Results —Phase A patients were randomized 4:1 to receive an abciximab bolus with infusion alone (n=63) or with 5 U, 7.5 U, 10 U, 5 U+2.5 U, or 5 U+5 U of reteplase (total n=241). Phase B tested the best phase A strategy (abciximab plus 5 U+5 U reteplase, expressed as abciximab-reteplase 5+5 U; n=115) against 10 U+10 U reteplase alone (n=109). The primary end point was Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) grade 3 flow at 60 to 90 minutes. In phase A, 62% of the abciximab-reteplase 5+5 U group had TIMI grade 3 flow versus 27% of the abciximab-only patients ( P =0.001). In phase B, 54% of the abciximab-reteplase 5+5 U group had grade 3 flow versus 47% of the reteplase-only patients ( P =0.32). Grade 3 flow rates were 61% for a 60 U/kg heparin bolus and abciximab-reteplase 5+5 U, 51% for a 40 U/kg heparin bolus and abciximab-reteplase 5+5 U ( P =0.22), and 47% for reteplase alone ( P =0.05 versus the 60 U/kg heparin group). Major bleeding rates in phase A were 3.3% for abciximab alone and 5.3% for abciximab-reteplase 5+5 U; rates in phase B were 9.8% for abciximab-reteplase 5+5 U and 3.7% for reteplase alone. Major bleeding was similar with standard- or low-dose heparin (6.3% versus 10.5%, P =0.30). Conclusions —In this phase II trial, adding reteplase to abciximab treatment of acute MI versus reteplase alone enhanced the incidence of early complete reperfusion after the initiation of therapy in the emergency department.
The deposition of the β amyloid peptide in neuritic plaques and cerebral blood vessels is a hallmark of Alzheimer's disease (AD) pathology. The major component of the amyloid deposit is a 4.2-kDa ...polypeptide termed amyloid β-protein of 39–43 residues, which is derived from processing of a larger amyloid precursor protein (APP). It is hypothesized that a chymotrypsin-like enzyme is involved in the processing of APP.
We have discovered a new serine protease from the AD brain by polymerase chain reaction amplification of DNA sequences representing active site homologous regions of chymotrypsin-like enzymes. A cDNA clone was identified as one out of one million that encodes Zyme, a serine protease. Messenger RNA encoding Zyme can be detected in some mammalian species but not in mice, rats, or hamster. Zyme is expressed predominantly in brain, kidney, and salivary gland. Zyme mRNA cannot be detected in fetal brain but is seen in adult brain. The Zyme gene maps to chromosome 19q13.3, a region which shows genetic linkage with late onset familial Alzheimer's disease.
When Zyme cDNA is co-expressed with the APP cDNA in 293 (human embryonic kidney) cells, amyloidogenic fragments are detected using C-terminal antibody to APP. These co-transfected cells release an abundance of truncated amyloid β-protein peptide and shows a reduction of residues 17–42 of Aβ (P3) peptide. Zyme is immunolocalized to perivascular cells in monkey cortex and the AD brain. In addition, Zyme is localized to microglial cells in our AD brain sample. The amyloidogenic potential and localization in brain may indicate a role for this protease in amyloid precursor processing and AD.
LE Prescott, DM MacDonald, F Davidson, J Mokili, DI Pritchard, DE Arnot, EM Riley, BM Greenwood, S Hamid, AA Saeed, MO McClure, DB Smith and P Simmonds
Department of Medical Microbiology, University ...of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH8 9AG, UK
TT virus (TTV) is a newly discovered DNA virus originally classified as a
member of the Parvoviridae. TTV is transmitted by blood transfusion where
it has been reported to be associated with mild post-transfusion hepatitis.
TTV can cause persistent infection, and is widely distributed
geographically; we recently reported extremely high prevalences of viraemia
in individuals living in tropical countries (e.g. 74% in Papua New Guinea,
83% in Gambia; Prescott & Simmonds, New England Journal of Medicine
339, 776, 1998). In the current study we have compared nucleotide sequences
from the N22 region of TTV (222 bases) detected in eight widely dispersed
human populations. Some variants of TTV, previously classified as genotypes
1a, 1b and 2, were widely distributed throughout the world, while others,
such as a novel subtype of type 1 in Papua New Guinea, were confined to a
single geographical area. Five of the 122 sequences obtained in this study
(from Gambia, Nigeria, Papua New Guinea, Brazil and Ecuador) could not be
classified as types 1, 2 or 3, with the variant from Brazil displaying only
46--50% nucleotide (32--35% amino acid) sequence similarity to other
variants. This study provides an indication of the extreme sequence
diversity of TTV, a characteristic which is untypical of parvoviruses.
Summary
We report the case of a 30‐year‐old pregnant woman with an Arnold‐Chiari malformation, who presented with severe pregnancy‐induced hypertension at 30 weeks gestation. She was known to have ...had a difficult tracheal intubation during a previous general anaesthetic. Caesarean section was performed under an incremental epidural anaesthetic block.