A major goal in harmful algal bloom (HAB) research has been to identify mechanisms underlying interannual variability in bloom magnitude and impact. Here the focus is on variability in Alexandrium ...fundyense blooms and paralytic shellfish poisoning (PSP) toxicity in Maine, USA, over 34 years (1978–2011). The Maine coastline was divided into two regions – eastern and western Maine, and within those two regions, three measures of PSP toxicity (the percent of stations showing detectable toxicity over the year, the cumulative amount of toxicity per station measured in all shellfish (mussel) samples during that year, and the duration of measurable toxicity) were examined for each year in the time series. These metrics were combined into a simple HAB Index that provides a single measure of annual toxin severity across each region. The three toxin metrics, as well as the HAB Index that integrates them, reveal significant variability in overall toxicity between individual years as well as long-term, decadal patterns or regimes. Based on different conceptual models of the system, we considered three trend formulations to characterize the long-term patterns in the Index – a three-phase (mean-shift) model, a linear two-phase model, and a pulse-decline model. The first represents a “regime shift” or multiple equilibria formulation as might occur with alternating periods of sustained high and low cyst abundance or favorable and unfavorable growth conditions, the second depicts a scenario of more gradual transitions in cyst abundance or growth conditions of vegetative cells, and the third characterizes a ”sawtooth” pattern in which upward shifts in toxicity are associated with major cyst recruitment events, followed by a gradual but continuous decline until the next pulse. The fitted models were compared using both residual sum of squares and Akaike's Information Criterion. There were some differences between model fits, but none consistently gave a better fit than the others. This statistical underpinning can guide efforts to identify physical and/or biological mechanisms underlying the patterns revealed by the HAB Index. Although A. fundyense cyst survey data (limited to 9 years) do not span the entire interval of the shellfish toxicity records, this analysis leads us to hypothesize that major changes in the abundance of A. fundyense cysts may be a primary factor contributing to the decadal trends in shellfish toxicity in this region. The HAB Index approach taken here is simple but represents a novel and potentially useful tool for resource managers in many areas of the world subject to toxic HABs.
The characteristics of a persistent gyre in the mouth of the Bay of Fundy are studied using model simulations. A set of climatological runs are conducted to evaluate the relative importance of the ...different forcing mechanisms affecting the gyre. The main mechanisms are tidal rectification and density‐driven circulation. Stronger circulation of the gyre occurs during the later part of the stratified season (July–August and September–October). The density‐driven flow around the gyre is set up by weak tidal mixing in the deep basin in the central Bay of Fundy and strong tidal mixing on the shallow flanks around Grand Manan Island and western Nova Scotia. Spring river discharge has an important influence on near‐surface circulation but only a small effect when averaged over the entire water column. Retention of particles in the gyre is controlled by the residual tidal circulation, increased frontal retention during stratified periods, wind stress, and interactions with the adjacent circulation of the Gulf of Maine. Residence times longer than 30 days are predicted for particles released in the proximity of the gyre.
Climatic changes have decreased the stability of the Gulf Stream (GS), increasing the frequency at which its meanders interact with the Mid‐Atlantic Bight (MAB) continental shelf and slope region. ...These intrusions are thought to suppress biological productivity by transporting low‐nutrient water to the otherwise productive shelf edge region. Here we present evidence of widespread, anomalously intense subsurface diatom hotspots in the MAB slope sea that likely resulted from a GS intrusion in July 2019. The hotspots (at ∼50 m) were associated with water mass properties characteristic of GS water (∼100 m); it is probable that the hotspots resulted from the upwelling of GS water during its transport into the slope sea, likely by a GS meander directly intruding onto the continental slope east of where the hotspots were observed. Further work is required to unravel how increasingly frequent direct GS intrusions could influence MAB marine ecosystems.
Plain Language Summary
As the climate has warmed, the changing large‐scale circulation of the northwest Atlantic has resulted in increasing western boundary current instability. As a consequence, onshore intrusions of Gulf Stream (GS) water into the Northeast U.S. continental shelf have become increasingly frequent. The impacts of this shift on marine ecosystems have yet to be resolved. While these intrusions of low‐nutrient GS water have been thought to potentially diminish biological productivity, we present evidence of an unexpectedly productive subsurface diatom bloom resulting from the direct intrusion of a GS meander toward the continental shelf. These results suggest that changing large‐scale circulation has consequences for regional productivity that are not detectable by satellites by virtue of their occurrence well below the surface.
Key Points
Highly productive subsurface diatom hotspots were observed on the Mid‐Atlantic Bight continental slope in July 2019
The hotspots were associated with the temperature‐salinity signature of Gulf Stream (GS) water
The hotspots appear to have resulted from the onshore intrusion and upwelling of GS water from a GS meander
Eddies Masquerade as Planetary Waves McGillicuddy, Dennis J.
Science (American Association for the Advancement of Science),
10/2011, Letnik:
334, Številka:
6054
Journal Article
Recenzirano
Variabilities in sea-level and upper-ocean chlorophyll reveal the systematic influence of nonlinear eddies.
The advent of satellite-based remote sensing of ocean color in the late 1970s (
1
) ...provided the first largescale views of chlorophyll distributions in the upper ocean. These distributions are a proxy for the biomass of phytoplankton, which drive oceanic productivity. More recently, ocean color measurements have been combined with satellite data on sea-surface height (SSH) and other physical properties of the ocean to elucidate the processes that regulate primary production in the sea. On page 328 of this issue, Chelton
et al.
(
2
) further advance this field by showing that ocean eddies exert a strong influence on near-surface chlorophyll.
•Satellite data show a warm-core ring in 2019 impinging onto a shelf edge and forming a shelf water streamer that persisted for 5 months.•Field observations show streamer subsurface structure and its ...enhanced biological productivity relative to surrounding slope/ring waters.•The shelf water streamer carries a significant amount of water, heat, salt and materials across the shelf break into the slope sea.
Significant exchanges between the Mid-Atlantic Bight (MAB) continental shelf and the neighboring open ocean can be induced by shelf water streamers, submesoscale filaments of shelf water entrained into the open ocean by Gulf Stream warm-core rings (WCRs) impinging onto the MAB continental shelf. Shelf water streamers have distinctive surface temperature and chlorophyll signals, and are thus visible from space. Satellite-measured sea surface height, temperature and chlorophyll show the evolution of a WCR over its 6-month lifespan in February-August 2019 and the persistent shelf water streamer it generated on its outskirt. In situ measurements from a two-week cruise in July 2019 were analyzed to investigate the physical, biological and biogeochemical characteristics of the shelf water streamer below the surface, and to quantify the associated cross-shelf transport of volume, heat, salt, carbon and oxygen. The analyses demonstrated that offshore transport of shelf water by the streamer, which was presumably balanced by either onshore intrusion of ring water or enhanced transport of shelf water from upstream, represented a major form of exchange between the MAB continental shelf and the open ocean. The streamer caused significant net onshore transport of heat and salt, and a significant net offshore transport of organic carbon and oxygen. Primary productivity in the streamer was higher than the surrounding slope and ring waters on the surface, which likely resulted from subsurface nutrients in the offshore-flowing shelf water being gradually consumed as the overlying water became clearer. WCR-induced shelf water streamers thus enhanced surface biological productivity in the slope sea.
Plain Language Summary: Waters of the shallow Mid-Atlantic Bight continental shelf and the neighboring deep slope sea have distinctly different physical, biological and chemical properties. Mixing between them can affect the shelf ecosystem and the dispersal of coastal materials into the deep ocean. One type of cross-shelf-edge mixing process results from strong clockwise-rotating vortices – so-called warm-core rings – formed from meanders of the Gulf Stream. As a warm-core ring intrudes onto the shelf edge, it often draws shelf water offshore, forming a thin filament in the slope sea. This filament is called a shelf-water streamer and has distinctive surface temperature and chlorophyll signals that are visible from space. Warm-core rings can also push offshore water onto the shallow shelf. This study examines the evolution of a warm-core ring over its 6-month lifespan in 2019 and the shelf-water streamer the ring induced in 5 of the 6 months. Interdisciplinary measurements from a field expedition in July 2019 were examined to assess the subsurface patterns of the streamer and to quantify the induced cross-shelf fluxes of heat, salt, organic carbon and oxygen. The analysis showed that the streamer represented a major form of cross-shelf mixing and caused a substantial onshore transport of heat and salt, as well as a substantial offshore transport of organic carbon and oxygen.
Both remotely sensed and in situ observations in austral summer of early 2012 in the Ross Sea suggest the presence of cold, low-salinity, and high-biomass eddies along the edge of the Ross Ice Shelf ...(RIS). Satellite measurements include sea surface temperature and ocean color, and shipboard data sets include hydrographic profiles, towed instrumentation, and underway acoustic Doppler current profilers. Idealized model simulations are utilized to examine the processes responsible for ice shelf eddy formation. 3-D model simulations produce similar cold and fresh eddies, although the simulated vertical lenses are quantitatively thinner than observed. Model sensitivity tests show that both basal melting underneath the ice shelf and irregularity of the ice shelf edge facilitate generation of cold and fresh eddies. 2-D model simulations further suggest that both basal melting and downwelling-favorable winds play crucial roles in forming a thick layer of low-salinity water observed along the edge of the RIS. These properties may have been entrained into the observed eddies, whereas that entrainment process was not captured in the specific eddy formation events studied in our 3-D model—which may explain the discrepancy between the simulated and observed eddies, at least in part. Additional sensitivity experiments imply that uncertainties associated with background stratification and wind stress may also explain why the model underestimates the thickness of the low-salinity lens in the eddy interiors. Our study highlights the importance of incorporating accurate wind forcing, basal melting, and ice shelf irregularity for simulating eddy formation near the RIS edge. The processes responsible for generating the high phytoplankton biomass inside these eddies remain to be elucidated.
•Low-salinity, high-biomass eddies were observed along the Ross Ice Shelf.•Numerical simulations are performed to understand eddy dynamics.•Both basal melting and ice shelf irregularity facilitate eddy formation.•Thickness of the low-salinity layer is sensitive to the background stratification.
A two‐dimensional (cross‐shelf) numerical model of the mean seasonal circulation offshore of southern New England predicts upwelling at the shelfbreak front. Expected ramifications of this upwelling ...include enhancement of nutrient supply, phytoplankton biomass, and productivity. However, seasonal climatologies of chlorophyll based on both in situ data and satellite observations show no mean enhancement at the front. We investigate this apparent discrepancy with a four‐component planktonic ecosystem model coupled to the two‐dimensional physical model. Nutrient fields are restored to climatological values at depth, and upper ocean values evolve freely according to physical and biological forcing. Vertical diffusivity is based on seasonally averaged surface and bottom mixed layer depths compiled from in situ observations. The model reproduces the general pattern of the observed cross‐shelf and seasonal variations of the chlorophyll distribution. It predicts a local enhancement of phytoplankton productivity at the shelfbreak in spring and summer as a result of the persistently upwelled nutrient‐rich slope water. In the model, zooplankton grazing prevents accumulation of phytoplankton biomass at the site of the upwelling. The predicted enhancement of primary productivity (but not phytoplankton biomass) at the shelfbreak constitutes a hypothesis that could be tested in the future with suitable measurements from regional long‐term observatories, such as the Ocean Observatories Initiative Pioneer Array.
Key Points
A model predicts upwelling and enhanced productivity at the shelfbreak front
Climatologies show no enhancement of chlorophyll at the front
Zooplankton grazing can prevent frontal phytoplankton accumulation in the model
Phytoplankton production in the Ross Sea is regulated by the availability of dissolved iron (dFe), a limiting micro-nutrient, whose sources include Circumpolar Deep Water, sea ice melt, glacial melt, ...and benthic sources (sediment efflux and remineralization). We employ a passive tracer dye to model the benthic dFe sources and track pathways from deep areas of the continental shelf to the surface mixed layer in simulations with and without tidal forcing, and at 5 and 1.5km horizontal resolution. This, combined with dyes for each of the other dFe sources, provides an estimate of total dFe supply to surface waters. We find that tidal forcing increases the amount of benthic dye that covers the banks on the continental shelf. Calculations of mixed layer depth to define the surface ocean give similar average values over the shelf, but spatial patterns differ between simulations, particularly along the ice shelf front. Benthic dFe supply in simulations shows an increase with tidal forcing and a decrease with higher resolution. The changes in benthic dFe supply control the difference in total supply between simulations. Overall, the total dFe supply from simulations varies from 5.60 to 7.95μmolm−2year−1, with benthic supply comprising 32–50%, comparing well with recent data and model synthesis. We suggest that including tides and using high horizontal resolution is important, especially when considering spatial variability of iron supply on the Ross Sea shelf.
•Dissolved iron (dFe) sources are tracked using a regional ocean model.•dFe supply increases with tides and decreases with horizontal resolution.•Tides and resolution affect dFe supply primarily through the benthic source.•Ross Sea dFe supply has high spatial variability.
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