Falls and fall-related injuries are leading problems in residential aged care facilities. The objective of this study was to provide descriptive data about falls in nursing homes.
Prospective ...recording of all falls over 1 year covering all residents from 528 nursing homes in Bavaria, Germany.
Falls were reported on a standardized form that included a facility identification code, date, time of the day, sex, age, degree of care need, location of the fall, and activity leading to the fall. Data detailing homes' bed capacities and occupancy levels were used to estimate total person-years under exposure and to calculate fall rates. All analyses were stratified by residents' degree of care need.
More than 70,000 falls were recorded during 42,843 person-years. The fall rate was higher in men than in women (2.18 and 1.49 falls per person-year, respectively). Fall risk differed by degree of care need with lower fall risks both in the least and highest care categories. About 75% of all falls occurred in the residents' rooms or in the bathrooms and only 22% were reported within the common areas. Transfers and walking were responsible for 41% and 36% of all falls respectively. Fall risk varied during the day. Most falls were observed between 10 am and midday and between 2 pm and 8 pm.
The differing fall risk patterns in specific subgroups may help to target preventive measures.
High Body-Mass-Index (BMI) is associated with increased all-cause mortality, but little is known about the effect of short- and long-term BMI change on mortality. The aim of the study was to ...determine how long-term weight change affects mortality.
Within a population-based prospective cohort of 42,099 Austrian men and women (mean age 43 years) with at least three BMI measurements we investigated the relationship of BMI at baseline and two subsequent BMI change intervals of five years each with all-cause mortality using Cox proportional Hazard models. During median follow-up of 12 years 4,119 deaths were identified. The lowest mortalities were found in persons with normal weight or overweight at baseline and stable BMI over 10 years. Weight gain (≥0.10 kg/m(2)/year) during the first five years was associated with increased mortality in overweight and obese people. For weight gain during both time intervals mortality risk remained significantly increased only in overweight (Hazard Ratio (HR): 1.39 (95% confidence interval: 1.01; 1.92)) and obese women (1.85 (95% confidence interval: 1.18; 2.89)). Weight loss (< -0.10 kg/m(2)/year) increased all-cause mortality in men and women consistently. BMI change over time assessed using accepted World Health Organisation BMI categories showed no increased mortality risk for people who remained in the normal or overweight category for all three measurements. In contrast, HRs for stable obese men and women were 1.57 (95% CI: 1.31; 1.87) and 1.46 (95% CI: 1.25; 1.71) respectively.
Our findings highlight the importance of weight stability and obesity avoidance in prevention strategy.
Celotno besedilo
Dostopno za:
DOBA, IZUM, KILJ, NUK, PILJ, PNG, SAZU, SIK, UILJ, UKNU, UL, UM, UPUK
Hip fractures are among the most frequently occurring fragility fractures in older adults, associated with a loss of quality of life, high mortality, and high use of healthcare resources. The aim was ...to apply the superlearner method to predict osteoporotic hip fractures using administrative claims data and to compare its performance to established methods.
We devided claims data of 288,086 individuals aged 65 years and older without care level into a training (80%) and a validation set (20%). Subsequently, we trained a superlearner algorithm that considered both regression and machine learning algorithms (e.g., support vector machines, RUSBoost) on a large set of clinical risk factors. Mean squared error and measures of discrimination and calibration were employed to assess prediction performance.
All algorithms used in the analysis showed similar performance with an AUC ranging from 0.66 to 0.72 in the training and 0.65 to 0.70 in the validation set. Superlearner showed good discrimination in the training set but poorer discrimination and calibration in the validation set.
The superlearner achieved similar predictive performance compared to the individual algorithms included. Nevertheless, in the presence of non-linearity and complex interactions, this method might be a flexible alternative to be considered for risk prediction in large datasets.
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Dostopno za:
DOBA, IZUM, KILJ, NUK, PILJ, PNG, SAZU, SIK, UILJ, UKNU, UL, UM, UPUK
The construct of sarcopenia is still discussed with regard to best appropriate measures of muscle volume and muscle function. The aim of this post-hoc analysis of a cross-sectional experimental study ...was to investigate and describe the hierarchy of the association between thigh muscle volume and measurements of functional performance in older women. Thigh muscle volume of 68 independently living older women (mean age 77.6 years) was measured via magnetic resonance imaging. Isometric strength was assessed for leg extension in a movement laboratory in sitting position with the knee flexed at 90° and for hand grip. Maximum and habitual gait speed was measured on an electronic walk way. Leg muscle power was measured during single leg push and during sit-to-stand performance. Thigh muscle volume was associated with sit-to-stand performance power (r = 0.628), leg push power (r = 0.550), isometric quadriceps strength (r = 0.442), hand grip strength (r = 0.367), fast gait speed (r = 0.291), habitual gait speed (r = 0.256), body mass index (r = 0.411) and age (r = -0.392). Muscle power showed the highest association with thigh muscle volume in healthy older women. Sit-to-stand performance power showed an even higher association with thigh muscle volume compared to single leg push power.
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Dostopno za:
DOBA, IZUM, KILJ, NUK, PILJ, PNG, SAZU, SIK, UILJ, UKNU, UL, UM, UPUK
Prospective studies have indicated that elevated blood glucose levels may be linked with increased cancer risk, but the strength of the association is unclear. We examined the association between ...blood glucose and cancer risk in a prospective study of six European cohorts.
The Metabolic syndrome and Cancer project (Me-Can) includes cohorts from Norway, Austria, and Sweden; the current study included 274,126 men and 275,818 women. Mean age at baseline was 44.8 years and mean follow-up time was 10.4 years. Excluding the first year of follow-up, 18,621 men and 11,664 women were diagnosed with cancer, and 6,973 men and 3,088 women died of cancer. We used Cox regression models to calculate relative risk (RR) for glucose levels, and included adjustment for body mass index (BMI) and smoking status in the analyses. RRs were corrected for regression dilution ratio of glucose. RR (95% confidence interval) per 1 mmol/l increment of glucose for overall incident cancer was 1.05 (1.01-1.10) in men and 1.11 (1.05-1.16) in women, and corresponding RRs for fatal cancer were 1.15 (1.07-1.22) and 1.21 (1.11-1.33), respectively. Significant increases in risk among men were found for incident and fatal cancer of the liver, gallbladder, and respiratory tract, for incident thyroid cancer and multiple myeloma, and for fatal rectal cancer. In women, significant associations were found for incident and fatal cancer of the pancreas, for incident urinary bladder cancer, and for fatal cancer of the uterine corpus, cervix uteri, and stomach.
Data from our study indicate that abnormal glucose metabolism, independent of BMI, is associated with an increased risk of cancer overall and at several cancer sites. Our data showed stronger associations among women than among men, and for fatal cancer compared to incident cancer. Please see later in the article for the Editors' Summary.
Celotno besedilo
Dostopno za:
DOBA, IZUM, KILJ, NUK, PILJ, PNG, SAZU, SIK, UILJ, UKNU, UL, UM, UPUK
Abstract Orthogeriatric co-management (OGCM) describes a collaboration of orthopedic surgeons and geriatricians for the treatment of fragility fractures in geriatric patients. While its ...cost-effectiveness for hip fractures has been widely investigated, research focusing on fractures of the upper extremities is lacking. Thus, we conducted a health economic evaluation of treatment in OGCM hospitals for forearm and humerus fractures. In a retrospective cohort study with nationwide health insurance claims data, we selected the first inpatient stay due to a forearm or humerus fracture in 2014–2018 either treated in hospitals that were able to offer OGCM (OGCM group) or not (non-OGCM group) and applied a 1-year follow-up. We included 31,557 cases with forearm (63.1% OGCM group) and 39,093 cases with humerus fractures (63.9% OGCM group) and balanced relevant covariates using entropy balancing. We investigated costs in different health sectors, length of stay, and cost-effectiveness regarding total cost per life year or fracture-free life year gained. In both fracture cohorts, initial hospital stay, inpatient stay, and total costs were higher in OGCM than in non-OGCM hospitals. For neither cohort nor effectiveness outcome, the probability that treatment in OGCM hospitals was cost-effective exceeded 95% for a willingness-to-pay of up to €150,000. We did not find distinct benefits of treatment in OGCM hospitals. Assigning cases to study groups on hospital-level and using life years and fracture-free life years, which might not adequately reflect the manifold ways these fractures affect the patients’ health, as effectiveness outcomes, might have underestimated the effectiveness of treatment in OGCM hospitals.
Celotno besedilo
Dostopno za:
CEKLJ, DOBA, IZUM, KILJ, NUK, PILJ, PNG, SAZU, SIK, UILJ, UKNU, UL, UM, UPUK
The fall risk assessment tool (FRAT-up) is a tool for predicting falls in community-dwelling older people based on a meta-analysis of fall risk factors. Based on the fall risk factor profile, this ...tool calculates the individual risk of falling over the next year. The objective of this study is to evaluate the performance of FRAT-up in predicting future falls in multiple cohorts.
Information about fall risk factors in 4 European cohorts of older people Activity and Function in the Elderly (ActiFE), Germany; English Longitudinal Study of Aging (ELSA), England; Invecchiare nel Chianti (InCHIANTI), Italy; Irish Longitudinal Study on Aging (TILDA), Ireland was used to calculate the FRAT-up risk score in individual participants. Information about falls that occurred after the assessment of the risk factors was collected from subsequent longitudinal follow-ups. We compared the performance of FRAT-up against those of other prediction models specifically fitted in each cohort by calculation of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).
The AUC attained by FRAT-up is 0.562 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.530–0.594 for ActiFE, 0.699 (95% CI 0.680–0.718) for ELSA, 0.636 (95% CI 0.594–0.681) for InCHIANTI, and 0.685 (95% CI 0.660–0.709) for TILDA. Mean FRAT-up AUC as estimated from meta-analysis is 0.646 (95% CI 0.584–0.708), with substantial heterogeneity between studies. In each cohort, FRAT-up discriminant ability is surpassed, at most, by the cohort-specific risk model fitted on that same cohort.
We conclude that FRAT-up is a valid approach to estimate risk of falls in populations of community-dwelling older people. However, further studies should be performed to better understand the reasons for the observed heterogeneity across studies and to refine a tool that performs homogeneously with higher accuracy measures across different populations.
To investigate the relationship between physical activity and two measures of fall incidence in an elderly population using person-years as well as hours walked as denominators and to compare these ...two approaches.
Prospective cohort study with one-year follow-up of falls using fall calendars. Physical activity was defined as walking duration and recorded at baseline over one week using a thigh-worn uni-axial accelerometer (activPAL; PAL Technologies, Glasgow, Scotland). Average daily physical activity was extracted from these data and categorized in low (0-59 min), medium (60-119 min) and high (120 min and more) activity.
The ActiFE Ulm study located in Ulm and adjacent regions in Southern Germany.
1,214 community-dwelling older people (≥65 years, 56.4% men).
Negative-binomial regression models were used to calculate fall rates and incidence rate ratios for each activity category each with using (1) person-years and (2) hours walked as denominators stratified by gender, age group, fall history, and walking speed. All analyses were adjusted either for gender, age, or both.
No statistically significant association was seen between falls per person-year and average daily physical activity. However, when looking at falls per 100 hours walked, those who were low active sustained more falls per hours walked. The highest incidence rates of falls were seen in low-active persons with slow walking speed (0.57 (95% confidence interval (95% CI): 0.33 to 0.98) falls per 100 hours walked) or history of falls (0.60 (95% CI: 0.36 to 0.99) falls per 100 hours walked).
Falls per hours walked is a relevant and sensitive outcome measure. It complements the concept of incidence per person years, and gives an additional perspective on falls in community-dwelling older people.
Celotno besedilo
Dostopno za:
DOBA, IZUM, KILJ, NUK, PILJ, PNG, SAZU, SIK, UILJ, UKNU, UL, UM, UPUK
Physical activity is an important component of health. Recommendations based on sensor measurements are sparse in older people. The aim of this study was to analyse the effect of objectively measured ...walking and sedentary duration on four-year mortality in community-dwelling older people.
Between March 2009 and April 2010, physical activity of 1271 participants (≥65 years, 56.4% men) from Southern Germany was measured over one week using a thigh-worn uni-axial accelerometer (activPAL; PAL Technologies, Glasgow, Scotland). Mortality was assessed during a four-year follow-up. Cox-proportional-hazards models were used to estimate the associations between walking (including low to high intensity) and sedentary duration with mortality. Models were adjusted for age and sex, additional epidemiological variables, and selected biomarkers.
An inverse relationship between walking duration and mortality with a minimum risk for the 3rd quartile (102.2 to128.4 minutes walking daily) was found even after multivariate adjustment with HRs for quartiles 2 to 4 compared to quartile 1 of 0.45 (95%-CI: 0.26; 0.76), 0.18 (95%-CI: 0.08; 0.41), 0.39 (95%-CI: 0.19; 0.78), respectively. For sedentary duration an age- and sex-adjusted increased mortality risk was observed for the 4th quartile (daily sedentary duration ≥1137.2 min.) (HR 2.05, 95%-CI: 1.13; 3.73), which diminished, however, after full adjustment (HR 1.63, 95%-CI: 0.88; 3.02). Furthermore, our results suggest effect modification between walking and sedentary duration, such that in people with low walking duration a high sedentary duration was noted as an independent factor for increased mortality.
In summary, walking duration was clearly associated with four-year overall mortality in community-dwelling older people.
Celotno besedilo
Dostopno za:
DOBA, IZUM, KILJ, NUK, PILJ, PNG, SAZU, SIK, UILJ, UKNU, UL, UM, UPUK
Falls are common in nursing homes and cause a high burden of injuries. The objective of this study was to analyze factors associated with serious consequences of falls in nursing home residents.
...Prospective observational study.
Falls were recorded over 1 year, covering all residents from 528 nursing homes in Bavaria, Germany.
The database consisted of 70,196 falls.
The standardized form included information about date, time, sex, age, functional status, location of fall, activity leading to the fall, footwear, and about potential consequences, such as transfer to hospital or a suspected fracture. Transfer to hospital was the main outcome and served as surrogate for a serious fall. The association of potential risk factors with hospital transfer after a fall was estimated in multiple logistic regression models.
Serious falls were associated with increasing age, being female, and less restricted functional status. Walking compared with transferring, and particularly the morning hours were also associated with a serious fall. Compared with midday, for example, the time period between 6 am and 8 am was associated with a more than 60% increased chance of transfer to hospital. Inappropriate footwear and weekends were associated with serious falls only in women.
Some observed factors or indicators associated with transfer to hospital are modifiable and targeted interventions may reduce injuries or costs after a fall.
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