The Open Global Glacier Model (OGGM) v1.1 Maussion, Fabien; Butenko, Anton; Champollion, Nicolas ...
Geoscientific Model Development,
03/2019, Letnik:
12, Številka:
3
Journal Article
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Despite their importance for sea-level rise, seasonal water availability, and
as a source of geohazards, mountain glaciers are one of the few remaining
subsystems of the global climate system for ...which no globally applicable,
open source, community-driven model exists. Here we present the Open Global
Glacier Model (OGGM), developed to provide a modular and open-source
numerical model framework for simulating past and future change of any
glacier in the world. The modeling chain comprises data downloading tools
(glacier outlines, topography, climate, validation data), a preprocessing
module, a mass-balance model, a distributed ice thickness estimation model,
and an ice-flow model. The monthly mass balance is obtained from gridded
climate data and a temperature index melt model. To our knowledge, OGGM is
the first global model to explicitly simulate glacier dynamics: the model
relies on the shallow-ice approximation to compute the depth-integrated flux
of ice along multiple connected flow lines. In this paper, we describe and
illustrate each processing step by applying the model to a selection of
glaciers before running global simulations under idealized climate forcings.
Even without an in-depth calibration, the model shows very realistic
behavior. We are able to reproduce earlier estimates of global glacier volume
by varying the ice dynamical parameters within a range of plausible values.
At the same time, the increased complexity of OGGM compared to other
prevalent global glacier models comes at a reasonable computational cost:
several dozen glaciers can be simulated on a personal computer, whereas
global simulations realized in a supercomputing environment take up to a few
hours per century. Thanks to the modular framework, modules of various
complexity can be added to the code base, which allows for new kinds of model
intercomparison studies in a controlled environment. Future developments will
add new physical processes to the model as well as automated calibration
tools. Extensions or alternative parameterizations can be easily added by the
community thanks to comprehensive documentation. OGGM spans a wide range of
applications, from ice–climate interaction studies at millennial timescales
to estimates of the contribution of glaciers to past and future sea-level
change. It has the potential to become a self-sustained community-driven
model for global and regional glacier evolution.
Frontal ablation is a major component of the mass budget of calving glaciers, strongly affecting their dynamics.
Most global-scale ice volume estimates to date still suffer from considerable ...uncertainties related to (i) the implemented frontal ablation parameterization or (ii) not accounting for frontal ablation at all in the glacier model. To improve estimates of the ice thickness distribution of glaciers, it is thus important to identify and test low-cost and robust parameterizations of this process. By implementing such parameterization into the ice thickness estimation module of the Open Global Glacier Model (OGGM v1.1.2), we conduct a first assessment of the impact of accounting for frontal ablation on the estimate of ice stored in glaciers in Alaska.
We find that inversion methods based on mass conservation systematically underestimate the mass turnover and, therefore, the thickness of tidewater glaciers when neglecting frontal ablation. This underestimation can amount to up to 19 % on a regional scale and up to 30 % for individual glaciers. The effect is independent of the size of the glacier.
Additionally, we perform different sensitivity experiments to study the influence of (i) a constant of proportionality (k) used in the frontal ablation parameterization, (ii) Glen's temperature-dependent creep parameter (A) and (iii) a sliding velocity parameter (fs) on the regional dynamics of Alaska tidewater glaciers. OGGM is able to reproduce previous regional frontal ablation estimates, applying a number of combinations of values for k, Glen's A and fs.
Our sensitivity studies also show that differences in thickness between accounting for and not accounting for frontal ablation occur mainly at the lower parts of the glacier, both above and below sea level. This indicates that not accounting for frontal ablation will have an impact on the estimate of the glaciers' potential contribution to sea-level rise. Introducing frontal ablation increases the volume estimate of Alaska marine-terminating glaciers from 9.18±0.62 to 10.61±0.75 mm s.l.e, of which 1.52±0.31 mm s.l.e (0.59±0.08 mm s.l.e when ignoring frontal ablation) are found to be below sea level.
The Open Global Glacier Model (Author abstract) Maussion, Fabien; Butenko, Anton; Champollion, Nicolas ...
Geoscientific model development,
03/2019, Letnik:
12, Številka:
3
Journal Article
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