Necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) is a severe multifactorial disease in preterm neonates associated with high morbidity and mortality. Better insight into prognostic values of the many reported factors ...associated with NEC is needed to enable identification of neonates at risk for NEC. The aim was to systematically review the literature to identify independent risk factors for NEC from the literature.
Medline, Cochrane, Embase, Pubmed and Google Scholar were searched systematically for cohort studies reporting prognostic factors for NEC in neonates using multivariable analysis. Studies were scored with the Quality In Prognosis Studies tool (QUIPS).
From 5154 initial hits, 14 prognostic studies were included, with various designs. Study quality was rated high in three studies, moderate or low in the 11 others. Significant prognostic factors for NEC reported in at least two studies were: low birth weight, small for gestational age, low gestational age, assisted ventilation, premature rupture of membranes, black ethnicity, sepsis, outborn, hypotension (all increased risk), surfactant therapy (conflicting results) and cesarean section (lower risk). Meta-analysis was considered not feasible.
High quality studies on prognostic factors for NEC are rare. Several prognostic factors, that are not necessarily causal, are associated with NEC. High quality prognostic research is necessary to establish the predictive values of these factors.
Objective The effect of anesthetic management (general anesthesia GA, conscious sedation, or local anesthesia) on functional outcome and the role of blood pressure management during endovascular ...treatment (EVT) for acute ischemic stroke is under debate. We aimed to determine whether hypotension during EVT under GA is associated with functional outcome at 90 days. Methods We retrospectively collected data from patients with a proximal intracranial occlusion of the anterior circulation treated with EVT under GA. The primary outcome was the distribution on the modified Rankin Scale at 90 days. Hypotension was defined using two thresholds: a mean arterial pressure (MAP) of 70 mm Hg and a MAP 30% below baseline MAP. To quantify the extent and duration of hypotension, the area under the threshold (AUT) was calculated using both thresholds. Results Of the 366 patients included, procedural hypotension was observed in approximately half of them. The occurrence of hypotension was associated with poor functional outcome (MAP <70 mm Hg: adjusted common odds ratio acOR, 0.57; 95% confidence interval CI, 0.35-0.94; MAP decrease greater than or equal to30%: acOR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.48-1.21). In addition, an association was found between the number of hypotensive periods and poor functional outcome (MAP <70 mm Hg: acOR, 0.85 per period increase; 95% CI, 0.73-0.99; MAP decrease greater than or equal to30%: acOR, 0.90 per period; 95% CI, 0.78-1.04). No association existed between AUT and functional outcome (MAP <70 mm Hg: acOR, 1.000 per 10 mm Hg*min increase; 95% CI, 0.998-1.001; MAP decrease greater than or equal to30%: acOR, 1.000 per 10 mm Hg*min; 95% CI, 0.999-1.000). Conclusions Occurrence of procedural hypotension and an increase in number of procedural hypotensive periods were associated with poor functional outcome, whereas the extent and duration of hypotension were not. Randomized clinical trials are needed to confirm our hypothesis that hypotension during EVT under GA has detrimental effects.
Celotno besedilo
Dostopno za:
DOBA, IZUM, KILJ, NUK, PILJ, PNG, SAZU, SIK, UILJ, UKNU, UL, UM, UPUK
The stroke field is inevitably connected with imaging in which radiologists fulfill a central role. Our landmark MR CLEAN trial led to the implementation of baseline computed tomography angiography ...or magnetic resonance angiography in the acute stroke workup and subsequent endovascular treatment (EVT) for ischemic stroke patients with a large vessel occlusion in the anterior circulation, resulting in numerous patients worldwide currently being treated often successfully. A reversal of the pathophysiologic process behind an acute cerebrovascular event was made possible. Subsequently, in the MR CLEAN II trials, the clinical impact of both diagnostic and interventional radiologists remained a cornerstone of our research, which means value-based radiology. Within these MR CLEAN II trials, we proved that aspirin and heparin during EVT should be avoided due to increased symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage risk (MR CLEAN-MED). We concluded there is additional benefit of EVT in the 6-to-24-h window after stroke in the presence of good collaterals on baseline CTA (MR CLEAN-LATE). The impactful success of our stroke trials that changed many guidelines was mainly attributable to (1) the societal burden of the disease, with two thirds of patients dying or being independent at 3 months; (2) the fact that stroke is a common disease, (3) the relatively simple and pragmatic approach of the trials resembling real-world setting; (4) the acceleration of implementation in clinical practice facilitated by a structured approach to guideline development and conditional funding; and foremost (5) the excellent collaboration on a professional level between-disciplines, i.e., diagnostic radiologists, interventionalists, and neurologists.
Critical relevance statement
The MR CLEAN and MR CLEAN II trials have had tremendous impact on clinical practice, directly by more patients being treated with an effective intervention and indirectly through adoption of evidence-based guidelines. It is in this setting of stroke treatment that diagnostic and interventional radiologists have played a crucial role and created clinical impact.
Key points
• Endovascular treatment for stroke caused by a large vessel occlusion in the anterior circulation reduces disability significantly.
• Our landmark MR CLEAN trial led to the implementation in daily practice of computed tomography angiography or magnetic resonance angiography in the acute stroke workup and subsequent endovascular treatment.
• The key to a successful trial and fast implementation in clinical practice was the excellent collaboration between disciplines, i.e., radiologists and neurologists, in all stroke centers in the Netherlands.
• Performance of a multicenter trial, multidisciplinary guideline adaptation recommending endovascular treatment, and reimbursement were important steps resulting in treatment of 8% of all ischemic stroke patients annually.
Background
Even days after treatment of acute ischemic stroke due to a large vessel occlusion, the infarct lesion continues to grow. This late, subacute growth is associated with unfavorable ...functional outcome. In this study, we aim to identify patient characteristics that are risk factors of late, subacute lesion growth.
Methods
Patients from the MR CLEAN trial cohort with good quality 24 h and 1-week follow up non-contrast CT scans were included. Late Lesion growth was defined as the difference between the ischemic lesion volume assessed after 1-week and 24-h. To identify risk factors, patient characteristics associated with lesion growth (categorized in quartiles) in univariable ordinal analysis (
p
< 0.1) were included in a multivariable ordinal regression model.
Results
In the 226 patients that were included, the median lesion growth was 22 (IQR 10–45) ml. In the multivariable model, lower collateral capacity aOR: 0.62 (95% CI: 0.44–0.87);
p
= 0.01, longer time to treatment aOR: 1.04 (1–1.08);
p
= 0.04, unsuccessful recanalization aOR: 0.57 (95% CI: 0.34–0.97);
p
= 0.04, and larger midline shift aOR: 1.18 (95% CI: 1.02–1.36);
p
= 0.02 were associated with late lesion growth.
Conclusion
Late, subacute, lesion growth occurring between 1 day and 1 week after ischemic stroke treatment is influenced by lower collateral capacity, longer time to treatment, unsuccessful recanalization, and larger midline shift. Notably, these risk factors are similar to the risk factors of acute lesion growth, suggesting that understanding and minimizing the effects of the predictors for late lesion growth could be beneficial to mitigate the effects of ischemia.
An in silico trial simulates a disease and its corresponding therapies on a cohort of virtual patients to support the development and evaluation of medical devices, drugs, and treatment. In silico ...trials have the potential to refine, reduce cost, and partially replace current in vivo studies, namely clinical trials and animal testing. We present the design and implementation of an in silico trial for treatment of acute ischemic stroke. We propose an event-based modelling approach for the simulation of a disease and injury, where changes to the state of the system (the events) are assumed to be instantaneous. Using this approach we are able to combine a diverse set of models, spanning multiple time scales, to model acute ischemic stroke, treatment, and resulting brain tissue injury. The in silico trial is designed to be modular to aid development and reproducibility. It provides a comprehensive framework for application to any potential in silico trial. A statistical population model is used to generate cohorts of virtual patients. Patient functional outcomes are also predicted with a statistical model, using treatment and injury results and the patient's clinical parameters. We demonstrate the functionality of the event-based modelling approach and trial framework by running proof of concept in silico trials. The proof of concept trials simulate the same cohort of patients twice: once with successful treatment (successful recanalisation) and once with unsuccessful treatment (unsuccessful treatment). Ways to overcome some of the challenges and difficulties in setting up such an in silico trial are discussed, such as validation and computational limitations.
•Details the implementation of an in silico clinical trial for acute ischemic stroke and demonstrates proof of concept trials.•Event-based modelling approach combines a diverse set of models for simulating acute ischemic stroke injury and therapies.•A generalisable modular framework has been developed for running in silico clinical trials for event-based simulations.•A challenge for in silico trials is proving credibility, including access to in vitro and clinical data for trial validation.
Current guidelines for ischaemic stroke treatment recommend a strict, but arbitrary, upper threshold of 185/110 mm Hg for blood pressure before endovascular thrombectomy. Nevertheless, whether ...admission blood pressure influences the effect of endovascular thrombectomy on outcome remains unknown. Our aim was to study the influence of admission systolic blood pressure (SBP) on functional outcome and on the effect of endovascular thrombectomy.
We used individual patient data from seven randomised controlled trials (MR CLEAN, ESCAPE, EXTEND-IA, SWIFT PRIME, REVASCAT, PISTE, and THRACE) that randomly assigned patients with anterior circulation ischaemic stroke to endovascular thrombectomy (predominantly using stent retrievers) or standard medical therapy (control) between June 1, 2010, and April 30, 2015. We included all patients for whom SBP data were available at hospital admission. The primary outcome was functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale) at 90 days. We assessed the association of SBP with outcome in both the endovascular thrombectomy group and the control group using multilevel regression analysis and tested for non-linearity and for interaction between SBP and effect of endovascular thrombectomy, taking into account treatment with intravenous thrombolysis.
We included 1753 patients (867 assigned to endovascular thrombectomy, 886 assigned to control) after excluding 11 patients for whom SBP data were missing. We found a non-linear association between SBP and functional outcome with an inflection point at 140 mm Hg (732 42% of 1753 patients had SBP <140 mm Hg and 1021 58% had SBP ≥140 mm Hg). Among patients with SBP of 140 mm Hg or higher, admission SBP was associated with worse functional outcome (adjusted common odds ratio acOR 0·86 per 10 mm Hg SBP increase; 95% CI 0·81–0·91). We found no association between SBP and functional outcome in patients with SBP less than 140 mm Hg (acOR 0·97 per 10 mm Hg SBP decrease, 95% CI 0·88–1·05). There was no significant interaction between SBP and effect of endovascular thrombectomy on functional outcome (p=0·96).
In our meta-analysis, high admission SBP was associated with worse functional outcome after stroke, but SBP did not seem to negate the effect of endovascular thrombectomy. This finding suggests that admission SBP should not form the basis for decisions to withhold or delay endovascular thrombectomy for ischaemic stroke, but randomised trials are needed to further investigate this possibility.
Medtronic.
In silico trials aim to speed up the introduction of new devices in clinical practice by testing device design and performance in different patient scenarios and improving patient stratification for ...optimizing clinical trials. In this paper, we demonstrate an in silico trial framework for thrombectomy treatment of acute ischemic stroke and apply this framework to compare treatment outcomes in different subpopulations and with different thrombectomy stent-retriever devices. We employ a novel surrogate thrombectomy model to evaluate the thrombectomy success in the in silico trial.
The surrogate thrombectomy model, built using data from a fine-grained finite-element model, is a device-specific binary classifier (logistic regression), to estimate the probability of successful recanalization, the outcome of interest. We incorporate this surrogate model within our previously developed in silico trial framework and demonstrate its use with three examples of in silico clinical trials. The first trial is a validation trial for the surrogate thrombectomy model. We then present two exploratory trials: one evaluating the performance of a commercially available device based on the fibrin composition in the occluding thrombus and one comparing the performance of two commercially available stent retrievers.
The Validation Trial showed the surrogate thrombectomy model was able to reproduce a similar recanalization rate as the real-life MR CLEAN trial (p=0.6). Results from the first exploratory trial showed that the chance of successful thrombectomy increases with higher blood cell concentrations in the thrombi, which is in line with observations from clinical data. The second exploratory trial showed improved recanalization success with a newer stent retriever device; however, these results require further investigation as the surrogate model for the newer stent retriever device has not yet been validated.
In this novel study, we have shown that in silico trials have the potential to help inform medical device developers on the performance of a new device and may also be used to select populations of interest for a clinical trial. This would reduce the time and costs involved in device development and traditional clinical trials.
Evidence on the clinical effectiveness of probiotics in the prevention of necrotising enterocolitis (NEC) in preterm infants is conflicting and cohort studies lacked adjustment for time trend and ...feeding type. This study investigated the association between the introduction of routine probiotics (Lactobacillus acidophilus and Bifidobacterium bifidum; Infloran(®)) on the primary outcome 'NEC or death'. Preterm infants (gestational age <32 weeks or birth weight <1500 gram) admitted before (Jan 2008-Sep 2012; n = 1288) and after (Oct 2012-Dec 2014; n = 673) introduction of probiotics were compared. Interrupted time series logistic regression models were adjusted for confounders, effect modification by feeding type, seasonality and underlying temporal trends. Unadjusted and adjusted analyses showed no difference in 'NEC or death' between the two periods. The overall incidence of NEC declined from 7.8% to 5.1% (OR 0.63, 95% CI 0.42-0.93, p = 0.02), which was not statistically significant in the adjusted models. Introduction of probiotics was associated with a reduced adjusted odds for 'NEC or sepsis or death' in exclusively breastmilk-fed infants (OR 0.43, 95% CI 0.21-0.93, p = 0.03) only. We conclude that introduction of probiotics was not associated with a reduction in 'NEC or death' and that type of feeding seems to modify the effects of probiotics.
Optimal blood pressure (BP) management in the acute phase of ischemic stroke remains an unresolved issue. It is uncertain whether guidelines for BP management during and after intravenous alteplase ...can be extrapolated to endovascular treatment (EVT) for stroke due to large artery occlusion in the anterior circulation. We evaluated the associations between systolic BP (SBP) in the first 6 hours following EVT and functional outcome as well as symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage.
Patients of 8 MR CLEAN (Multicenter Randomized Controlled Trial of Endovascular Treatment for Acute Ischemic Stroke in the Netherlands) Registry centers, with available data on SBP in the 6 hours following EVT, were analyzed. We evaluated maximum, minimum, and mean SBP. Study outcomes were functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale) at 90 days and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage. We used multivariable ordinal and binary regression analysis to adjust for important prognostic factors and studied possible effect modification by successful reperfusion.
Post-EVT SBP data were available for 1161/1796 patients. Higher maximum SBP (per 10 mm Hg increments) was associated with worse functional outcome (adjusted common odds ratio, 0.93 95% CI, 0.88–0.98) and a higher rate of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (adjusted odds ratio, 1.17 95% CI, 1.02–1.36). The association between minimum SBP and functional outcome was nonlinear with an inflection point at 124 mm Hg. Minimum SBP lower and higher than the inflection point were associated with worse functional outcomes (adjusted common odds ratio, 0.85 per 10 mm Hg decrements 95% CI, 0.76–0.95 and adjusted common odds ratio, 0.81 per 10 mm Hg increments 95% CI, 0.71–0.92). No association between mean SBP and functional outcome was observed. Successful reperfusion did not modify the relation of SBP with any of the outcomes.
Maximum SBP in the first 6 hours following EVT is positively associated with worse functional outcome and an increased risk of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage. Both lower and higher minimum SBP are associated with worse outcomes. A randomized trial to evaluate whether modifying post-intervention SBP results in better outcomes after EVT for ischemic stroke seems justified.
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