SARS‐CoV‐2 infection has produced high mortality in kidney transplant (KT) recipients, especially in the elderly. Until December 2020, 1011 KT with COVID‐19 have been prospectively included in the ...Spanish Registry and followed until recovery or death. In multivariable analysis, age, pneumonia, and KT performed ≤6 months before COVID‐19 were predictors of death, whereas gastrointestinal symptoms were protective. Survival analysis showed significant increasing mortality risk in four subgroups according to recipient age and time after KT (age <65 years and posttransplant time >6 months, age <65 and time ≤6, age ≥65 and time >6 and age ≥65 and time ≤6): mortality rates were, respectively, 11.3%, 24.5%, 35.4%, and 54.5% (p < .001). Patients were significantly younger, presented less pneumonia, and received less frequently specific anti‐COVID‐19 treatment in the second wave (July–December) than in the first one (March–June). Overall mortality was lower in the second wave (15.1 vs. 27.4%, p < .001) but similar in critical patients (66.7% vs. 58.1%, p = .29). The interaction between age and time post‐KT should be considered when selecting recipients for transplantation in the COVID‐19 pandemic. Advanced age and a recent KT should foster strict protective measures, including vaccination.
Older recipients diagnosed with COVID‐19 in the first 6 months after transplantation present the highest risk for a fatal outcome during the second wave of the COVID‐19 pandemic.
To demonstrate the feasibility of estimating a social tariff free of utility curvature and probability weighting biases and to test transferability between riskless and risky contexts.
Valuations for ...a selection of EQ-5D-3L health states were collected from a large and representative sample (N = 1676) of the Spanish general population through computer-assisted personal interviewing. Two elicitation methods were used: the traditional time trade-off (TTO) and a novel risky-TTO procedure. Both methods are equivalent for better than death states, which allowed us to test transferability of utilities across riskless and risky contexts. Corrective procedures applied are based on rank-dependent utility theory, identifying parameter estimates at the individual level. All corrections are health-state specific, which is a unique feature of our corrective approach.
Two corrected value sets for the EQ-5D-3L system are estimated, highlighting the feasibility of developing national tariffs under nonexpected utility theories, such as rank-dependent utility. Furthermore, transferability was not supported for at least half of the health states valued by our sample.
It is feasible to estimate a social tariff by using interviewing techniques, sample sizes, and sample representativeness equivalent to prior studies designed to generate national value sets for the EQ-5D. Utilities obtained in distinct contexts may not be interchangeable. Our findings caution against routinely taking transferability of utility for granted.
•To date there is no national social tariff or value set fully corrected under nonexpected utility assumptions.•This article presents 2 value sets for the EQ-5D-3L system estimated by applying corrections based on rank-dependent utility theory, identifying parameter estimates at individual level. All corrections done are health-state specific, which is a unique feature of our corrective approach. These findings highlight the feasibility of developing national tariffs under nonexpected utility theories.•Our results suggest that utilities obtained in distinct contexts may not be interchangeable. Transferability across riskless and risky domains was not supported for at least half of the health states valued by our sample. Consequently, it seems that ensuring tariffs are not context dependent is as relevant and challenging as correcting value sets.
Background
The WHO ordinal severity scale has been used to predict mortality and guide trials in COVID-19. However, it has its limitations.
Objective
The present study aims to compare three ...classificatory and predictive models: the WHO ordinal severity scale, the model based on inflammation grades, and the hybrid model.
Design
Retrospective cohort study with patient data collected and followed up from March 1, 2020, to May 1, 2021, from the nationwide SEMI-COVID-19 Registry. The primary study outcome was in-hospital mortality. As this was a hospital-based study, the patients included corresponded to categories 3 to 7 of the WHO ordinal scale. Categories 6 and 7 were grouped in the same category.
Key Results
A total of 17,225 patients were included in the study. Patients classified as high risk in each of the WHO categories according to the degree of inflammation were as follows: 63.8% vs. 79.9% vs. 90.2% vs. 95.1% (
p
<0.001). In-hospital mortality for WHO ordinal scale categories 3 to 6/7 was as follows: 0.8% vs. 24.3% vs. 45.3% vs. 34% (
p
<0.001). In-hospital mortality for the combined categories of ordinal scale 3a to 5b was as follows: 0.4% vs. 1.1% vs. 11.2% vs. 27.5% vs. 35.5% vs. 41.1% (
p
<0.001). The predictive regression model for in-hospital mortality with our proposed combined ordinal scale reached an AUC=0.871, superior to the two models separately.
Conclusions
The present study proposes a new severity grading scale for COVID-19 hospitalized patients. In our opinion, it is the most informative, representative, and predictive scale in COVID-19 patients to date.
Background: The incidence of SPM in transplant eligible MM patients (pts) receiving lenalidomide maintenance is ≥ 12% and is associated with inferior overall survival (OS). Recent evidence suggests ...that while clonal hematopoiesis does not increase the risk of SPM, specific TP53 mutant HPC may expand under lenalidomide treatment and give rise to therapy related myeloid neoplasms and acute lymphoblastic leukemia. Genetic screening may facilitate personalized treatment to minimize the risk of SPM. However, there are no longitudinal studies in purified HPC to inform on the evolution of specific gene mutations and its association with clinical outcomes.
Aim: Analyze the mutational landscape of HPC at diagnosis and throughout lenalidomide based regimens.
Methods: This study included 335 pts: 43 with high risk smoldering MM, 223 transplant eligible and 69 ineligible active MM respectively enrolled in the CESAR, GEM2012MENOS/GEM2014MAIN and CLARIDEX clinical trials. Of the 335 pts analyzed at diagnosis, 60 were further investigated after induction, 30 at day 100 after autologous transplant (ASCT) and 47 during maintenance. Two or more studies were available throughout treatment in 36 pts. Fluorescence activated cell sorting of CD34+ HPC was performed in a total of 500 bone marrow aspirates. DNA was analyzed with a panel of 55 genes recurrently mutated in myeloid neoplasms. Sequencing depth was >1000x in 95% of nucleotides. Criteria to filter out included synonymous, intronic, invalid-transcript, 5'UTR, panel error and single nucleotide polymorphisms. The criteria to filter in was a AMP/ACMG classification of uncertain significance, likely pathogenic or pathogenic. Only the latter two were included in downstream analysis.
Results: HPC from 184 of the 335 (55%) pts were mutated. The frequency in high-risk smoldering MM, transplant eligible and ineligible active MM was 46%, 26% and 35%, respectively. The genes more frequently mutated were DNMT3A (n=94, 52%), TP53 (n=29, 16%) and TET2 (n=28, 15%). The median variant allele frequency was 4.9, 7.5 and 7.0, respectively.
In a pt-paired analysis between diagnosis and induction, 8 mutations were present in both time points, 25 became undetectable and 22 were acquired during treatment. The latter (eg, PPM1D and SF3B1) were observed in 14 of the 60 (23%) pts. In the 30 pts with paired samples at diagnosis and at day 100 after ASCT, 4 mutations were present in both time points, 48 became undetectable and only 3 were acquired during treatment ( ATRX, MPL and SAMDL9). Thus, the frequency of mutant HPC was higher at diagnosis vs ASCT (23% vs 5%, P <.001). In a pt-paired analysis between diagnosis and maintenance, 13 mutations were present in both time points, 12 became undetectable and 30 were acquired during treatment. The latter (eg, PPM1D and SF3B1) were observed in 24 of the 47 (51%) pts screened at both time points, and after a median of 5 years since diagnosis.
With a median follow-up of 6 years, 17 of the 335 (5%) pts developed SPM. Mutant HPC were detected in 13 of the 17 pts. Accordingly, presence of mutant HPC was associated with a 2-fold increased risk of SPM (OR: 2.3; P = .03). Of the 13 pts, 3 showed mutations at diagnosis and in 8 these emerged during maintenance. The only case developing a myeloid neoplasm had a TP53 mutation present during maintenance that was undetectable at diagnosis.
Pts with mutant vs non-mutated HPC at diagnosis showed similar OS (6y rates of 86% and 81%, respectively; P =.46). Similarly, there were no differences in OS of pts with emerging mutations vs those without mutant HPC after treatment (6y rates of 85% and 83%, respectively; P =.65). Specific mutations in DNMT3A, TP53 and TET2 and were not associated with inferior OS.
Conclusions: To our knowledge this is the first study analyzing the mutational landscape of purified HPC throughout lenalidomide based regimens in high risk smoldering MM as well as transplant eligible and ineligible active MM. Deep sequencing of CD34+ HPC uncovered that the frequency of mutations is similar between precursor and malignant disease, and that TP53 is amongst the top mutated genes.
There was considerable volatility with presence of both transient and emerging mutations throughout treatment. Importantly, the detection of mutant HPC was associated with increased risk of SPM without differences in survival. Thus, this study supports the longitudinal screening of HPC for the identification of patients at risk of developing SPM.
The late survival of archaic hominin populations and their long contemporaneity with modern humans is now clear for southeast Asia. In Europe the extinction of the Neanderthals, firmly associated ...with Mousterian technology, has received much attention, and evidence of their survival after 35 kyr bp has recently been put in doubt. Here we present data, based on a high-resolution record of human occupation from Gorham's Cave, Gibraltar, that establish the survival of a population of Neanderthals to 28 kyr bp. These Neanderthals survived in the southernmost point of Europe, within a particular physiographic context, and are the last currently recorded anywhere. Our results show that the Neanderthals survived in isolated refuges well after the arrival of modern humans in Europe.
Celotno besedilo
Dostopno za:
DOBA, IJS, IZUM, KILJ, NUK, PILJ, PNG, SAZU, SIK, UILJ, UKNU, UL, UM, UPUK
There is increasing evidence of weight regain in patients after bariatric surgery (BS), generally occurring from 12 to 24 months postoperatively. Postoperative exercise has been suggested to ad ...long-term weight maintenance and to improve physical function in BS patients. However, there are a limited number of intervention studies investigating the possible benefits of exercise in this population. The aim of the current report is to provide a comprehensive CERT (Consensus on Exercise Reporting Template)-based description of the rationale and details of the exercise programme implemented in the EFIBAR Study (Ejercicio FÍsico tras cirugía BARiátrica), a randomised controlled trial investigating the effects of a 16-week supervised concurrent (aerobic and strength) exercise intervention program on weight loss (primary outcome), body composition, cardiometabolic risk, physical fitness, physical activity and quality of life (secondary outcomes) in patients with severe/morbid obesity following bariatric surgery.
A total of 80 BS patients 60-80% expected women, aged 18 to 60 years, body mass index (BMI) ≥ 40 kg/m
or ≥ 35 kg/m
with comorbid conditions) will be enrolled in the EFIBAR Randomized Control Trial (RCT). Participants allocated in the exercise group (n = 40) will undertake a 16-week supervised concurrent (strength and aerobic) exercise programme (three sessions/week, 60 min/session), starting 7 to 14 days after surgery. The rationale of the exercise programme will be described following the CERT criteria detailing the 16 key items. The study has been reviewed and approved by the Ethics Committee of the Torrecárdenas University Hospital (Almería, Spain) (ref. N° 76/2016).
The present study details the exercise programme of the EFIBAR RCT, which may serve: 1) exercise professionals who would like to implement an evidence-based exercise programme for BS patients, and 2) as an example of the application of the CERT criteria.
The trial was prospectively registered at Clinicaltrials.gov NCT03497546 on April 13, 2018.
The emergence of tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α)-targeted therapies as a key therapeutic option for patients with rheumatic, digestive, and dermatologic autoimmune diseases has been associated with ...increasing reports of liver damage in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. We studied the current evidence on the use of anti-TNF agents in patients with HBV through a systematic analysis of cases reported in the MEDLINE and EMBASE databases using the MeSH term "hepatitis B virus" combined with the terms "infliximab," "etanercept," "adalimumab," "certolizumab," "golimumab," and "anti-TNF agents," and summarize the results here. We analyzed 257 patients with positive HBV markers who received anti-TNF therapy (255 identified in the search strategy and 2 new cases), 89 HBsAg+ carriers, and 168 anti-HBc+ persons. HBV reactivation was reported in 35 (39%) HBsAg+ carriers. The percentage of reactivation was higher in patients previously treated with immunosuppressive agents (96% vs. 70%, p=0.033) and lower in those who received antiviral prophylaxis (23% vs. 62%, p=0.003). Acute liver failure was reported in 5 patients, 4 of whom died. Infliximab was associated with a higher rate of induced liver disease (raised transaminase levels, clinical signs, viral reactivation, and acute liver failure) compared with etanercept. In anti-HBc+ persons, reactivation was reported in 9 (5%) cases, including 1 patient who died due to fulminant liver failure.In summary, our search of the current evidence identified 257 reported HBV+ patients treated with anti-TNF agents, with a significant percentage of liver damage in HBsAg+ carriers, including raised transaminase levels (42%), signs and symptoms of liver disease (16%), reappearance of serum HBV-DNA (39%), and death related to liver failure (5%). The rate of reactivation in anti-HBc+ persons was 7-fold lower than in HBsAg+ carriers. The increasing number of reported cases of HBV reactivation following TNF-targeted therapies and the associated morbidity and mortality demand specific preventive strategies.
Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) in Parkinson's disease have increased the scope of biological knowledge about the disease over the past decade. We aimed to use the largest aggregate of GWAS ...data to identify novel risk loci and gain further insight into the causes of Parkinson's disease.
We did a meta-analysis of 17 datasets from Parkinson's disease GWAS available from European ancestry samples to nominate novel loci for disease risk. These datasets incorporated all available data. We then used these data to estimate heritable risk and develop predictive models of this heritability. We also used large gene expression and methylation resources to examine possible functional consequences as well as tissue, cell type, and biological pathway enrichments for the identified risk factors. Additionally, we examined shared genetic risk between Parkinson's disease and other phenotypes of interest via genetic correlations followed by Mendelian randomisation.
Between Oct 1, 2017, and Aug 9, 2018, we analysed 7·8 million single nucleotide polymorphisms in 37 688 cases, 18 618 UK Biobank proxy-cases (ie, individuals who do not have Parkinson's disease but have a first degree relative that does), and 1·4 million controls. We identified 90 independent genome-wide significant risk signals across 78 genomic regions, including 38 novel independent risk signals in 37 loci. These 90 variants explained 16–36% of the heritable risk of Parkinson's disease depending on prevalence. Integrating methylation and expression data within a Mendelian randomisation framework identified putatively associated genes at 70 risk signals underlying GWAS loci for follow-up functional studies. Tissue-specific expression enrichment analyses suggested Parkinson's disease loci were heavily brain-enriched, with specific neuronal cell types being implicated from single cell data. We found significant genetic correlations with brain volumes (false discovery rate-adjusted p=0·0035 for intracranial volume, p=0·024 for putamen volume), smoking status (p=0·024), and educational attainment (p=0·038). Mendelian randomisation between cognitive performance and Parkinson's disease risk showed a robust association (p=8·00 × 10−7).
These data provide the most comprehensive survey of genetic risk within Parkinson's disease to date, to the best of our knowledge, by revealing many additional Parkinson's disease risk loci, providing a biological context for these risk factors, and showing that a considerable genetic component of this disease remains unidentified. These associations derived from European ancestry datasets will need to be followed-up with more diverse data.
The National Institute on Aging at the National Institutes of Health (USA), The Michael J Fox Foundation, and The Parkinson's Foundation (see appendix for full list of funding sources).
Two sites of the Neandertal-associated Middle Paleolithic of Iberia, dated to as early as approximately 50,000 years ago, yielded perforated and pigment-stained marine shells. At Cueva de los ...Aviones, three umbo-perforated valves of Acanthocardia and Glycymeris were found alongside lumps of yellow and red colorants, and residues preserved inside a Spondylus shell consist of a red lepidocrocite base mixed with ground, dark red-to-black fragments of hematite and pyrite. A perforated Pecten shell, painted on its external, white side with an orange mix of goethite and hematite, was abandoned after breakage at Cueva Antón, 60 km inland. Comparable early modern human-associated material from Africa and the Near East is widely accepted as evidence for body ornamentation, implying behavioral modernity. The Iberian finds show that European Neandertals were no different from coeval Africans in this regard, countering genetic/cognitive explanations for the emergence of symbolism and strengthening demographic/social ones.
Malnutrition has a negative impact on patients with chronic diseases and its early identification is a priority. The primary objective of this diagnostic accuracy study was to assess the performance ...of the phase angle (PhA), a bioimpedance analysis (BIA)-derived parameter, for malnutrition screening using the Global Leadership Initiative for Malnutrition (GLIM) criteria as the reference standard in patients with advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) waiting for kidney transplantation (KT); criteria associated with low PhA in this population were also analyzed. Sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, positive and negative likelihood ratios, predictive values, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve were calculated for PhA (index test) and compared with GLIM criteria (reference standard). Of 63 patients (62.9 years old; 76.2% men), 22 (34.9%) had malnutrition. The PhA threshold with the highest accuracy was ≤4.85° (sensitivity 72.7%, specificity 65.9%, and positive and negative likelihood ratios 2.13 and 0.41, respectively). A PhA ≤ 4.85° was associated with a 3.5-fold higher malnutrition risk (OR = 3.53 (CI95% 1.0-12.1)). Considering the GLIM criteria as the reference standard, a PhA ≤ 4.85° showed only fair validity for detecting malnutrition, and thus cannot be recommended as a stand-alone screening tool in this population.
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