The new Version 2.3 of the GPCP Monthly analysis is described in terms of changes made to improve the homogeneity of the product, especially after 2002. These changes include corrections to cross ...calibration of satellite data inputs and updates to the gauge analysis. Over ocean, changes starting in 2003 result in an overall precipitation increase of 1.8% after 2009. Updating the gauge analysis to its final, high quality version increases the global land total by 1.8% for the post-2002 period. These changes correct a small, incorrect dip in the estimated global precipitation over the last decade in the earlier Version 2.2. The GPCP analysis is also used to describe global precipitation for 2017. The general La Nina pattern for 2017 is noted and the evolution from the early 2016 El Nino pattern is described. The 2017 global value is one of the highest for the 19792017 period, exceeded only by 2016 and 1998 (both El Nino years) and reinforces the small positive trend. Results for 2017 also reinforce significant trends in precipitation intensity (on a monthly scale) in the tropics. These results for 2017 indicate the value of the GPCP analysis for climate monitoring in addition to research.
Environmental signatures associated with cholera epidemics Constantin de Magny, Guillaume; Murtugudde, Raghu; Sapiano, Mathew R.P ...
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS,
11/2008, Letnik:
105, Številka:
46
Journal Article
Recenzirano
Odprti dostop
The causative agent of cholera, Vibrio cholerae, has been shown to be autochthonous to riverine, estuarine, and coastal waters along with its host, the copepod, a significant member of the ...zooplankton community. Temperature, salinity, rainfall and plankton have proven to be important factors in the ecology of V. cholerae, influencing the transmission of the disease in those regions of the world where the human population relies on untreated water as a source of drinking water. In this study, the pattern of cholera outbreaks during 1998-2006 in Kolkata, India, and Matlab, Bangladesh, and the earth observation data were analyzed with the objective of developing a prediction model for cholera. Satellite sensors were used to measure chlorophyll a concentration (CHL) and sea surface temperature (SST). In addition, rainfall data were obtained from both satellite and in situ gauge measurements. From the analyses, a statistically significant relationship between the time series for cholera in Kolkata, India, and CHL and rainfall anomalies was determined. A statistically significant one month lag was observed between CHL anomaly and number of cholera cases in Matlab, Bangladesh. From the results of the study, it is concluded that ocean and climate patterns are useful predictors of cholera epidemics, with the dynamics of endemic cholera being related to climate and/or changes in the aquatic ecosystem. When the ecology of V. cholerae is considered in predictive models, a robust early warning system for cholera in endemic regions of the world can be developed for public health planning and decision making.
Background
Despite current blood safety measures, transfusion recipients can experience transfusion‐related adverse reactions. Monitoring these reactions can aid in understanding the effectiveness of ...current transfusion safety measures. Data from the National Healthcare Safety Network Hemovigilance Module were used to quantify adverse reaction risk.
Methods
Facilities reporting at least one month of transfused blood components and transfusion‐related adverse reactions during January 2013–December 2018 were included. Adverse reaction rates (number per 100,000 components transfused) were calculated for transfused components stratified by component type, collection, and modification methods.
Results
During 2013–2018, 201 facilities reported 18,308 transfusion‐related adverse reactions among 8.34 million blood components transfused (220/100,000). Adverse reactions were higher among apheresis (486/100,000) and pathogen‐reduced platelets (579/100,000) than apheresis red blood cells (197/100,000). Allergic reactions (41%) were most common. There were 23 fatalities and 9% of all adverse reactions were serious (severe, life‐threatening, or fatal). Reactions involving pulmonary complications (transfusion‐associated circulatory overload, transfusion‐related acute lung injury and transfusion‐associated dyspnea) accounted for 35% of serious reactions but 65% of fatalities. Most (76%) of the 37 transfusion‐transmitted infections were serious; none involved pathogen‐reduced components.
Conclusions
One in 455 blood components transfused was associated with an adverse reaction although the risk of serious reactions (1 in 6224) or transfusion‐transmitted infections (1 in 225,440) was lower. Some serious reactions identified were preventable, suggesting additional safety measures may be beneficial. Higher reaction rates identified among pathogen‐reduced platelets require further study. These findings highlight the importance of monitoring reactions through national hemovigilance to inform current safety measures and the need for strategies to increase healthcare facility participation.
BACKGROUND
In 2011 and 2013, the National Blood Collection and Utilization Survey (NBCUS) revealed declines in blood collection and transfusion in the United States. The objective of this study was ...to describe blood services in 2015.
STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS
The 2015 NBCUS was distributed to all US blood collection centers, all hospitals performing at least 1000 surgeries annually, and a 40% random sample of hospitals performing 100 to 999 surgeries annually. Weighting and imputation were used to generate national estimates for units of blood and components collected, deferred, distributed, transfused, and outdated.
RESULTS
Response rates for the 2015 NBCUS were 78.4% for blood collection centers and 73.9% for transfusing hospitals. In 2015, 12,591,000 units of red blood cells (RBCs) (95% confidence interval CI, 11,985,000‐13,197,000 units of RBCs) were collected, and 11,349,000 (95% CI, 10,592,000‐11,747,000) were transfused, representing declines since 2013 of 11.6% and 13.9%, respectively. Total platelet units distributed (2,436,000; 95% CI, 2,230,000‐2,642,000) and transfused (1,983,000; 95% CI, 1,816,000 = 2,151,000) declined by 0.5% and 13.1%, respectively, since 2013. Plasma distributions (3,714,000; 95% CI, 3,306,000‐4,121,000) and transfusions (2,727,000; 95% CI, 2,594,000‐2,859,000) in 2015 declined since 2013. The median price paid per unit in 2015—$211 for leukocyte‐reduced RBCs, $524 for apheresis platelets, and $54 for fresh frozen plasma—was less for all components than in 2013.
CONCLUSIONS
The 2015 NBCUS findings suggest that continued declines in demand for blood products resulted in fewer units collected and distributed Maintaining a blood inventory sufficient to meet routine and emergent demands will require further monitoring and understanding of these trends.
This study proposes a method to quantify systematic and random components of the error associated with satellite precipitation products. Specifically, the Precipitation Uncertainties for Satellite ...Hydrology (PUSH) model is expanded to provide an estimate of those components of the root-mean-square error. The framework is tested on the TRMM Multisatellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA) 3B42, real time (3B42RT), and 3B42, version 7 (3B42V7), products over the contiguous United States, using the NOAA Climate Prediction Center (CPC) Unified gauge product as reference. Results show that 3B42V7 exhibits much smaller errors than the real-time product and that the major component of the error associated with both TMPA 3B42 products is random, as the systematic error is almost completely removed by the bias adjustment applied to the two products. A strong dependence of both systematic and random error components on satellite rain rates—with larger error components at larger rain rates—is observed for both satellite products, which suggests that future satellite bias adjustment procedures should account for this dependence. The resulting error estimates and their random and systematic components allow inferences about the accuracy of these datasets and will enhance their deployment in numerous applications, from hydrological modeling and hazard mitigation to climate change studies and water management policy.
Celotno besedilo
Dostopno za:
BFBNIB, DOBA, IZUM, KILJ, NUK, PILJ, PNG, SAZU, UILJ, UKNU, UL, UM, UPUK
Introduction
Previous iterations of National Blood Collection and Utilization Survey (NBCUS) have demonstrated declines in blood collection and transfusion in the United States since 2008, including ...declines of 3.0% and 6.1% in red blood cell (RBC) collections and transfusions between 2015 and 2017, respectively. This study describes results of the 2019 NBCUS.
Methods
The survey was distributed to all US blood collection centers, all hospitals performing ≥1000 surgeries annually, and a 40% random sample of hospitals performing 100–999 surgeries annually. Weighting and imputation were used to generate national estimates for units of blood and components collected, distributed, transfused, and outdated.
Results
In 2019, 11,590,000 RBC units were collected (95% confidence interval CI, 11,151,000–12,029,000 units), a 5.1% decrease compared with 2017, while 10,852,000 RBC units were transfused (95% CI, 10,444–11,259 units), a 2.5% increase from 2017. Between 2017 and 2019, platelet distributions (2,508,000 units; 95% CI, 2,375,000–2,641,000 units) decreased by 2.0%, and plasma distributions (2,679,000 units; 95% CI, 2,525,000–2,833,000 units) decreased by 16.5%. During the same time period, platelet transfusions (2,243,000 units; 95% CI, 1,846,000–2,147,000 units) increased by 15.8% and plasma transfusions (2,185,000 units; 95% CI, 2,068,000–2,301,000 units) decreased by 8.0%.
Conclusion
Utilization of RBC in the United States might have reached a nadir. Between 2017 and 2019, RBC collections declined while RBC transfusions did not significantly change, suggesting a narrowing between blood supply and demand. Monitoring national blood collection and utilization data is integral to understanding trends in blood supply safety and availability.
Introduction
Supplemental data from the 2019 National Blood Collection and Utilization Survey (NBCUS) are presented and include findings on donor characteristics, autologous and directed donations ...and transfusions, platelets (PLTs), plasma and granulocyte transfusions, pediatric transfusions, transfusion‐associated adverse events, cost of blood units, hospital policies and practices, and implementation of blood safety measures, including pathogen reduction technology (PRT).
Methods
National estimates were produced using weighting and imputation methods for a number of donors, donations, donor deferrals, autologous and directed donations and transfusions, PLT and plasma collections and transfusions, a number of crossmatch procedures, a number of units irradiated and leukoreduced, pediatric transfusions, and transfusion‐associated adverse events.
Results
Between 2017 and 2019, there was a slight decrease in successful donations by 1.1%. Donations by persons aged 16–18 decreased by 10.1% while donations among donors >65 years increased by 10.5%. From 2017 to 2019, the median price paid for blood components by hospitals for leukoreduced red blood cell units, leukoreduced apheresis PLT units, and for fresh frozen plasma units continued to decrease. The rate of life‐threatening transfusion‐related adverse reactions continued to decrease. Most whole blood/red blood cell units (97%) and PLT units (97%) were leukoreduced.
Conclusion
Blood donations decreased between 2017 and 2019. Donations from younger donors continued to decline while donations among older donors have steadily increased. Prices paid for blood products by hospitals decreased. Implementation of PRT among blood centers and hospitals is slowly expanding.
INTRODUCTION
The National Blood Collection and Utilization Survey (NBCUS) has demonstrated declines in blood collection and transfusion in the United States since 2008, including declines of 11.6% in ...red blood cell (RBC) collections and 13.9% in RBC transfusions during 2013‐2015. This study described the 2017 NBCUS results.
METHODS
The 2017 NBCUS was distributed to all US blood collection centers, all hospitals performing at least 1000 surgeries annually, and a 40% random sample of hospitals performing 100 to 999 surgeries annually. Weighting and imputation were used to generate national estimates for units of blood and components collected, deferred, distributed, transfused, and outdated.
RESULTS
Response rates for the 2017 NBCUS were 88% for blood collection centers and 86% for transfusing hospitals. Compared with 2015, the number of RBC units collected during 2017 (12,211,000; 95% confidence interval CI, 11,680,000‐12,742,000) declined by 3.0%, and transfused RBC units (10,654,000, 95% CI, 10,314,000‐10,995,000) declined by 6.1%. Distributed platelet (PLT) units (2,560,000; 95% CI, 2,391,000‐2,730,000 units) increased by 5.1%, and transfused PLT units (1,937,000, 95% CI, 1,794,000‐2,079,000) declined by 2.3%. Distributed plasma units (3,209,000; 95% CI, 2,879,000‐3,539,000) declined by 13.6%, and transfused plasma units (2,374,000; 95% CI, 2,262,000‐2,487,000) declined by 12.9%.
CONCLUSION
The 2017 NBCUS suggests a continued but slowing decline in demand for RBCs. The decline in blood collection and use will likely continue. Despite decreasing demand and increasing manufacturing costs of blood products, the US blood industry has met the regular and emergent needs of the country.
National Blood Collection and Utilization Surveys (NBCUS) have reported decreases in U.S. blood collections and transfusions since 2008. The declines began to stabilize in 2015-2017, with a ...subsequent increase in transfusions in 2019. Data from the 2021 NBCUS were analyzed to understand the current dynamics of blood collection and use in the United States.
In March 2022, all community-based (53) and hospital-based (83) blood collection centers, a randomly selected 40% of transfusing hospitals performing 100-999 annual inpatient surgeries, and all transfusing hospitals performing ≥1000 annual inpatient surgeries were sent a 2021 NBCUS survey to ascertain blood collection and transfusion data. Responses were compiled, and national estimates were calculated for the number of units of blood and blood components collected, distributed, transfused, and outdated in 2021. Weighting and imputation were applied to account for non-responses and missing data, respectively.
Survey response rates were 92.5% (49/53) for community-based blood centers, 74.7% (62/83) for hospital-based blood centers, and 76.3% (2102/2754) for transfusing hospitals. Overall, 11,784,000 (95% confidence interval CI, 11,392,000-12,177,000) whole blood and apheresis red blood cell (RBC) units were collected in 2021, a 1.7% increase from 2019; 10,764,000 (95% CI, 10,357,000-11,171,000) whole blood-derived and apheresis RBC units were transfused, a 0.8% decrease. Total platelet units distributed increased by 0.8%; platelet units transfused decreased by 3.0%; plasma units distributed increased by 16.2%; and plasma units transfused increased by 1.4%.
The 2021 NBCUS findings demonstrate a stabilization in U.S. blood collections and transfusions, suggesting a plateau has been reached for both.