Julius Weitzdörfer analysiert die Ursachen und Folgen organisierter Kreditkriminalität in Japan sowie Lösungswege aus rechtssoziologischer und rechtsökonomischer Sicht. Denn seit der Jahrtausendwende ...hat sich Japans Verbraucherkreditwesen durch intensive Regulierung, extensive Rechtsprechung und forcierte Strafverfolgung grundlegend gewandelt. Der Autor zeichnet ein lebendiges Bild der Rechtstatsachen und leistet so auch einen Beitrag zur Beleuchtung der Schattenseiten der jüngeren Wirtschafts- und Sozialgeschichte Japans, einschließlich des illegalen Inkassos und der Schuldnersuizide. Dabei wird nicht nur eine letzte Forschungslücke im Bereich der Finanzmarktreformen seit Beginn der Japankrise vor 30 Jahren geschlossen. Auch die Aufarbeitung der weltweiten Neuregulierung von Verbraucherkrediten nach der globalen Finanzkrise wird um Japan ergänzt. Dabei entsteht ein empirisch reichhaltiges Bild des japanischen Zivil-, Straf- und Aufsichtsrechts bis zum Ende der Heisei -Periode.
Classifying global catastrophic risks Avin, Shahar; Wintle, Bonnie C.; Weitzdörfer, Julius ...
Futures,
September 2018, 2018-09-00, 20180901, Letnik:
102
Journal Article
Recenzirano
Odprti dostop
•A novel classification of risks according to critical system affected, global spread mechanism, and prevention and mitigation failure.•The classification system highlights convergent risk factors ...that merit prioritisation and uncovers potential knowledge gaps.•The classification system can structure an ongoing, dynamic process of knowledge aggregation and horizon scanning.•We propose a methodology that has policy implications for research agendas and prevention and mitigation prioritisation.
We present a novel classification framework for severe global catastrophic risk scenarios. Extending beyond existing work that identifies individual risk scenarios, we propose analysing global catastrophic risks along three dimensions: the critical systems affected, global spread mechanisms, and prevention and mitigation failures. The classification highlights areas of convergence between risk scenarios, which supports prioritisation of particular research and of policy interventions. It also points to potential knowledge gaps regarding catastrophic risks, and provides an interdisciplinary structure for mapping and tracking the multitude of factors that could contribute to global catastrophic risks.
•Crowdsourcing: 51 participants assessed 10,001 publications that are potentially relevant to the study of existential risk.•Machine learning: new publications are automatically assessed by a neural ...network and verified by participants.•The “living bibliography” is updated every month, and it is freely available online at www.x-risk.net.
The study of existential risk — the risk of human extinction or the collapse of human civilization — has only recently emerged as an integrated field of research, and yet an overwhelming volume of relevant research has already been published. To provide an evidence base for policy and risk analysis, this research should be systematically reviewed. In a systematic review, one of many time-consuming tasks is to read the titles and abstracts of research publications, to see if they meet the inclusion criteria. We show how this task can be shared between multiple people (using crowdsourcing) and partially automated (using machine learning), as methods of handling an overwhelming volume of research. We used these methods to create The Existential Risk Research Assessment (TERRA), which is a living bibliography of relevant publications that gets updated each month (www.x-risk.net). We present the results from the first ten months of TERRA, in which 10,001 abstracts were screened by 51 participants. Several challenges need to be met before these methods can be used in systematic reviews. However, we suggest that collaborative and cumulative methods such as these will need to be used in systematic reviews as the volume of research increases.