To determine the incremental cost-effectiveness of a new telemedicine technician-based assessment relative to an existing model of family physician (FP)-based assessment of diabetic retinopathy (DR) ...in Singapore from the health system and societal perspectives.
Model-based, cost-effectiveness analysis of the Singapore Integrated Diabetic Retinopathy Program (SiDRP).
A hypothetical cohort of patients aged 55 years with type 2 diabetes previously not screened for DR.
The SiDRP is a new telemedicine-based DR screening program using trained technicians to assess retinal photographs. We compared the cost-effectiveness of SiDRP with the existing model in which FPs assess photographs. We developed a hybrid decision tree/Markov model to simulate the costs, effectiveness, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of SiDRP relative to FP-based DR screening over a lifetime horizon. We estimated the costs from the health system and societal perspectives. Effectiveness was measured in terms of quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). Result robustness was calculated using deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.
The ICER.
From the societal perspective that takes into account all costs and effects, the telemedicine-based DR screening model had significantly lower costs (total cost savings of S$173 per person) while generating similar QALYs compared with the physician-based model (i.e., 13.1 QALYs). From the health system perspective that includes only direct medical costs, the cost savings are S$144 per person. By extrapolating these data to approximately 170 000 patients with diabetes currently being screened yearly for DR in Singapore's primary care polyclinics, the present value of future cost savings associated with the telemedicine-based model is estimated to be S$29.4 million over a lifetime horizon.
While generating similar health outcomes, the telemedicine-based DR screening using technicians in the primary care setting saves costs for Singapore compared with the FP model. Our data provide a strong economic rationale to expand the telemedicine-based DR screening program in Singapore and elsewhere.
To examine the efficacy of laser peripheral iridotomy (LPI) in patients who received a diagnosis of primary angle-closure suspect (PACS).
Prospective, randomized controlled trial.
This multicenter, ...randomized controlled trial (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier, NCT00347178) enrolled 480 patients older than 50 years from glaucoma clinics in Singapore with bilateral asymptomatic PACS (defined as having ≥2 quadrants of appositional angle closure on gonioscopy).
Each participant underwent prophylactic LPI in 1 randomly selected eye, whereas the fellow eye served as a control. Patients were followed up yearly for 5 years.
The primary outcome measure was development of primary angle closure (PAC; defined as presence of peripheral anterior synechiae, intraocular pressure IOP of >21 mmHg, or both or acute angle closure AAC) or primary angle-closure glaucoma (PACG) over 5 years.
Of the 480 randomized participants, most were Chinese (92.7%) and were women (75.8%) with mean age of 62.8 ± 6.9 years. Eyes treated with LPI reached the end point less frequently after 5 years (n = 24 5.0%; incidence rate IR, 11.65 per 1000 eye-years) compared with control eyes (n = 45 9.4%; IR, 21.84 per 1000 eye-years; P = 0.001). The adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for progression to PAC was 0.55 (95% confidence interval CI, 0.37-0.83; P = 0.004) in LPI-treated eyes compared with control eyes. Older participants (per year; HR, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.03-1.10; P < 0.001) and eyes with higher baseline IOP (per millimeter of mercury; HR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.22-1.50; P < 0.0001) were more likely to reach an end point. The number needed to treat to prevent an end point was 22 (95% CI, 12.8-57.5).
In patients with bilateral asymptomatic PACS, eyes that underwent prophylactic LPI reached significantly fewer end points compared with control eyes over 5 years. However, the overall incidence of PAC or PACG was low.
Novel anterior segment optical coherence tomography (ASOCT) parameters associated with angle closure include anterior chamber area (ACA), anterior chamber volume (ACV), anterior chamber width (ACW), ...lens vault (LV), iris thickness (IT), iris area (I-area), and iris curvature (I-curv). We aimed to investigate changes in these parameters after laser peripheral iridotomy (LPI) in a cohort of primary angle-closure suspects (PACS).
Prospective observational study.
A total of 176 PACS aged ≥ 50 years who underwent LPI in 1 eye.
We analyzed ASOCT images (Visante, Carl Zeiss Meditec, Dublin, CA) from all subjects using customized software before and 1 week after LPI. Multivariate linear regression analysis was performed for predictors of percentage change in mean angle opening distance (AOD750).
Change in ASOCT parameters after LPI.
The mean age of participants was 63 ± 7.3 years. The majority of subjects were Chinese (95.5%) and women (76.7%). Mean angle width (modified Shaffer grade) changed from 0.68 ± 0.54 at baseline to 1.76±0.69 after LPI (P<0.001) with a corresponding increase in mean AOD500 (0.12 vs. 0.19 mm, P<0.001), trabecular iris surface area (TISA500, 0.06 vs. 0.08 mm(2), P<0.001), and angle recess area (ARA, 0.13 vs. 0.17 mm(2), P<0.001). Mean ACA (15.0 vs. 16.0 mm(2), P<0.001) and ACV (91.6 vs. 103.0 mm(3), P<0.001) increased significantly after LPI, but there was no change in ACW, anterior chamber depth (ACD), or LV. Mean I-curv was reduced (0.375 vs. 0.18 mm, P<0.001) after LPI, but there was no significant change in IT or I-area. After multivariate analysis, mean LV (β = 0.286, P = 0.001), mean IT at 2000 μm (IT2000, β = 0.172, P = 0.034), and intraocular pressure (β = 0.159, P = 0.042) at baseline were found to be associated with ΔAOD750.
This study confirms that LPI results in a significant increase in the angle width in PACS. The ACA and ACV increased after LPI, but there was no change in ACD, ACW, LV, IT, or I-area. The increase in ACA/ACV was mainly due to decreased I-curv after LPI.
To determine the incidence and baseline clinical and anterior segment optical coherence tomography (AS-OCT) predictors associated with residual angle closure as assessed by gonioscopy 1 year after ...laser peripheral iridotomy (LPI) in primary angle closure suspects (PACS).
Subanalysis of randomized controlled trial data.
AS-OCT images from 181 PACS subjects ≥50 years of age were analyzed using customized software before and 1 year after LPI. Other parameters assessed were intraocular pressure (IOP) and axial length (Axl). Residual angle closure was defined as the inability to see the posterior trabecular meshwork for at least 2 quadrants on gonioscopy after LPI. Multivariate regression analysis determined the baseline predictors of residual angle closure 1 year after LPI.
The mean age of participants was 62.4 (standard deviation 9.9) years. The majority were female (137, 75.7%) and Chinese (174, 96.1%). At 1 year post LPI, 148 (81.8%) subjects had gonioscopic residual angle closure. Univariate analysis showed that baseline Axl, anterior chamber area, anterior chamber volume, angle opening distance at 750 μm from the scleral spur, and angle recess area were smaller while baseline lens vault and iris curvature were larger in residual angle closure subjects (all P < .05). Multivariate analysis revealed that baseline iris volume (B = −0.08, P = .035) and baseline IOP (B = 0.23, P = .032) were predictors for residual angle closure.
One year after LPI, >80% of PACS had gonioscopic residual angle closure. Greater baseline iris volume and higher IOP at baseline are independent risk factors for residual gonioscopic angle closure.
Deep learning is a novel machine learning technique that has been shown to be as effective as human graders in detecting diabetic retinopathy from fundus photographs. We used a cost-minimisation ...analysis to evaluate the potential savings of two deep learning approaches as compared with the current human assessment: a semi-automated deep learning model as a triage filter before secondary human assessment; and a fully automated deep learning model without human assessment.
In this economic analysis modelling study, using 39 006 consecutive patients with diabetes in a national diabetic retinopathy screening programme in Singapore in 2015, we used a decision tree model and TreeAge Pro to compare the actual cost of screening this cohort with human graders against the simulated cost for semi-automated and fully automated screening models. Model parameters included diabetic retinopathy prevalence rates, diabetic retinopathy screening costs under each screening model, cost of medical consultation, and diagnostic performance (ie, sensitivity and specificity). The primary outcome was total cost for each screening model. Deterministic sensitivity analyses were done to gauge the sensitivity of the results to key model assumptions.
From the health system perspective, the semi-automated screening model was the least expensive of the three models, at US$62 per patient per year. The fully automated model was $66 per patient per year, and the human assessment model was $77 per patient per year. The savings to the Singapore health system associated with switching to the semi-automated model are estimated to be $489 000, which is roughly 20% of the current annual screening cost. By 2050, Singapore is projected to have 1 million people with diabetes; at this time, the estimated annual savings would be $15 million.
This study provides a strong economic rationale for using deep learning systems as an assistive tool to screen for diabetic retinopathy.
Ministry of Health, Singapore.
To assess the effect of prophylactic laser peripheral iridotomy (LPI) on corneal endothelial cell density (ECD) and morphology in primary angle closure suspects (PACS) over 3 years.
In this ...prospective cohort study, subjects underwent LPI in one eye, while the fellow eye was untreated. Specular microscopy was performed at baseline and after 1 and 3 years. Central corneal ECD and morphology of both eyes were assessed using non-contact specular microscopy (Konan SP-9000LC, Konan Inc, Hyogo, Japan).
230 subjects completed 3-year follow-up. The mean age was 62.5 ± 8.0 years, and the majority of subjects were Chinese (92.3%) and women (75.4%). In eyes that underwent LPI, ECD was significantly lower at year 1 (2462.3, 95% CI 2414.5 to 2510.0, p<0.0001) and year 3 (2510.6, 95% CI 2462.1 to 2559.2, p=0.0006) compared with baseline (2609.1, 95% CI 2551.4 to 2666.7). There was also a significant decrease in ECD in fellow untreated eyes from baseline to year 1 (p<0.0001) and year 3 (p=0.01). The decrease in ECD at 3 years compared with the baseline in treated and untreated eyes was similar (2.1% vs 0.9%, p=0.20).
In PACS eyes, there was decrease in ECD in LPI-treated and control eyes over 3 years, with no significant difference between groups.
Despite the potential usefulness of optical coherence tomography angiography in retinal and optic disc conditions, the reliability of the imaging modality remains unclear. This study set out to ...measure the microvascular density of macula and optic disc by mean of optical coherence tomography angiography and report the repeatability of the vessel density measurements.
Cross sectional observational cohort study. Subjects with normal eyes were recruited. Two sets of optical coherence tomography angiography images of macula and optic nerve head were acquired during one visit. Novel in-house developed software was used to count the pixels in each images and to compute the microvessel density of the macula and optic disc. Data were analysed to determine the measurement repeatability.
A total of 176 eyes from 88 consecutive normal subjects were recruited. For macular images, the mean vessel density at superficial retina, deep retina, outer retina and choriocapillaries segment was OD 0.113 and OS 0.111, OD 0.239 and OS 0.230, OD 0.179 and OS 0.164, OD 0.237 and OS 0.215 respectively. For optic disc images, mean vessel density at vitreoretinal interface, radial peripapillary capillary, superficial nerve head and disc segment at the level of choroid were OD 0.084 and OS 0.085, OD 0.140 and OS 0.138, OD 0.216 and OS 0.209, OD 0.227 and OS 0.236 respectively. The measurement repeatability tests showed that the coefficient of variation of macular scans, for right and left eyes, ranged from 6.4 to 31.1% and 5.3 to 59.4%. Likewise, the coefficient of variation of optic disc scans, for right and left eyes, ranged from 14.3 to 77.4% and 13.5 to 75.3%.
Optical coherence tomography angiography is a useful modality to visualise the microvasculature plexus of macula and optic nerve head. The vessel density measurement of macular scan by mean of optical coherence tomography angiography demonstrated good repeatability. The optic disc scan, on the other hand, showed a higher coefficient of variation indicating a lower measurement repeatability than macular scan. Interpretation of optical coherence tomography angiography should take into account test-retest repeatability of the imaging system.
National Healthcare Group Domain Specific Review Board ( NHG DSRB ) Singapore. DSRB Reference: 2015/00301.
Objective: To systematically review the efficacy and tolerability of 4 prostaglandin analogues (PGAs) as first-line monotherapies for intraocular pressure (IOP) lowering in adult patients with ...primary open-angle glaucoma or ocular hypertension. Data Sources: A literature search was performed in PubMed (1965-June 2013) and the Cochrane Library (1980-June 2013) using the search terms ocular hypertension, open-angle glaucoma, prostaglandin analogues, bimatoprost, latanoprost, tafluprost, and travoprost. Additional studies were searched from the reference lists of identified publications. Study Selection and Data Extraction: In all, 32 randomized controlled trials comparing between PGAs (bimatoprost 0.03%, latanoprost 0.005%, tafluprost 0.0015%, and travoprost 0.004%) or PGA with timolol were selected. Data Synthesis: A network meta-analysis was conducted. Using timolol as reference, the relative risks (RRs) of achieving treatment success, defined as the proportion of patients achieving at least 30% IOP reduction, with 95% CIs, were as follows: bimatoprost, 1.59 (1.28-1.98); latanoprost, 1.32 (1.00-1.74); travoprost, 1.33 (1.03-1.72); and tafluprost, 1.10 (0.85-1.42). The mean IOP reductions after 1 month were 1.98 (1.50-2.47), 1.01 (0.55-1.46), 1.08 (0.59-1.57), and 0.46 (−0.41 to 1.33) mm Hg, respectively, and the results were sustained at 3 months. Bimatoprost was associated with the highest risk of developing hyperemia, whereas latanoprost had the lowest risk, with RRs (95% CI) of 4.66 (3.49-6.23) and 2.30 (1.76-3.00), respectively. Conclusions: Bimatoprost achieved the highest efficacy in terms of IOP reduction, whereas latanoprost had the most favorable tolerability profile. This review serves to guide selection of the optimal PGA agent for individual patient care in clinical practice.
To determine the prevalence of plateau iris in a cohort of primary angle closure suspects (PACSs) using ultrasound biomicroscopy (UBM).
Cross-sectional observational study.
Subjects over the age of ...50 years diagnosed as PACSs.
Subjects were randomized to undergo laser peripheral iridotomy (LPI) in one eye. Ultrasound biomicroscopy was performed before and a week after LPI.
Ultrasound biomicroscopy images were qualitatively assessed using standardized criteria. Plateau iris was defined in a quadrant by the presence of an anteriorly directed ciliary body, an absent ciliary sulcus, a steep iris root from its point of insertion followed by a downward angulation from the corneoscleral wall, presence of a central flat iris plane, and irido-angle contact. At least 2 quadrants had to fulfil the above criteria for an eye to be defined as plateau iris.
Two hundred five subjects were enrolled; UBM images of 167 subjects were available for analysis. Plateau iris was found in 54 of 167 (32.3%) PACS eyes after LPI. Quadrantwise analysis showed that 44 of 167 (26.3%) eyes had plateau iris in 1 quadrant, 36 (21.5%) in 2 quadrants, 16 (9.5%) in 3 quadrants, and 2 (1.2%) in all 4 quadrants. Plateau iris was most commonly observed in the superior and inferior quadrants.
Using standardized UBM criteria, plateau iris was found in about a third of PACS eyes after LPI. Prospective longitudinal studies are required to determine the clinical significance of this finding for the management of PACSs.
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