IMPORTANCE: Sepsis is a heterogeneous syndrome. Identification of distinct clinical phenotypes may allow more precise therapy and improve care. OBJECTIVE: To derive sepsis phenotypes from clinical ...data, determine their reproducibility and correlation with host-response biomarkers and clinical outcomes, and assess the potential causal relationship with results from randomized clinical trials (RCTs). DESIGN, SETTINGS, AND PARTICIPANTS: Retrospective analysis of data sets using statistical, machine learning, and simulation tools. Phenotypes were derived among 20 189 total patients (16 552 unique patients) who met Sepsis-3 criteria within 6 hours of hospital presentation at 12 Pennsylvania hospitals (2010-2012) using consensus k means clustering applied to 29 variables. Reproducibility and correlation with biological parameters and clinical outcomes were assessed in a second database (2013-2014; n = 43 086 total patients and n = 31 160 unique patients), in a prospective cohort study of sepsis due to pneumonia (n = 583), and in 3 sepsis RCTs (n = 4737). EXPOSURES: All clinical and laboratory variables in the electronic health record. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Derived phenotype (α, β, γ, and δ) frequency, host-response biomarkers, 28-day and 365-day mortality, and RCT simulation outputs. RESULTS: The derivation cohort included 20 189 patients with sepsis (mean age, 64 SD, 17 years; 10 022 50% male; mean maximum 24-hour Sequential Organ Failure Assessment SOFA score, 3.9 SD, 2.4). The validation cohort included 43 086 patients (mean age, 67 SD, 17 years; 21 993 51% male; mean maximum 24-hour SOFA score, 3.6 SD, 2.0). Of the 4 derived phenotypes, the α phenotype was the most common (n = 6625; 33%) and included patients with the lowest administration of a vasopressor; in the β phenotype (n = 5512; 27%), patients were older and had more chronic illness and renal dysfunction; in the γ phenotype (n = 5385; 27%), patients had more inflammation and pulmonary dysfunction; and in the δ phenotype (n = 2667; 13%), patients had more liver dysfunction and septic shock. Phenotype distributions were similar in the validation cohort. There were consistent differences in biomarker patterns by phenotype. In the derivation cohort, cumulative 28-day mortality was 287 deaths of 5691 unique patients (5%) for the α phenotype; 561 of 4420 (13%) for the β phenotype; 1031 of 4318 (24%) for the γ phenotype; and 897 of 2223 (40%) for the δ phenotype. Across all cohorts and trials, 28-day and 365-day mortality were highest among the δ phenotype vs the other 3 phenotypes (P < .001). In simulation models, the proportion of RCTs reporting benefit, harm, or no effect changed considerably (eg, varying the phenotype frequencies within an RCT of early goal-directed therapy changed the results from >33% chance of benefit to >60% chance of harm). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this retrospective analysis of data sets from patients with sepsis, 4 clinical phenotypes were identified that correlated with host-response patterns and clinical outcomes, and simulations suggested these phenotypes may help in understanding heterogeneity of treatment effects. Further research is needed to determine the utility of these phenotypes in clinical care and for informing trial design and interpretation.
Abstract Objective This study aims to investigate the prognostic significance of inflammatory cytokines and lymphocyte levels in predicting disease progression among patients with COVID-19 infection. ...Methods Ninety-two hospitalized COVID-19 patients were retrospectively included as subjects for this study. General clinical information and various indicators, including lymphocyte count, interleukin-2 (IL-2), interleukin-6 (IL-6), interleukin-8 (IL-8), interleukin-10 (IL-10), tumor necrosis factor (TNF), were collected. All patients received treatment according to the ninth edition of the guidelines for COVID-19. Incidences of endotracheal intubation and mortality within 28 days were observed. Results 1.In the analysis of intubation impact, multivariate analysis identified age, immunoglobulins, lymphocytes, and IL-6 as independent risk factors. When analyzing the impact on patient mortality, multivariate analysis revealed age, prealbumin, and BNP as independent risk factors. 2. Lymphocyte count and inflammatory factors demonstrated predictive value for endotracheal intubation in COVID-19 patients. The critical lymphocyte count value was 0.91, with a sensitivity of 38.8%, specificity of 92.9%, and AUC of 0.687 (95% CI: 0.580–0.795). The critical IL-6 value was 38.21, with a sensitivity of 81%, specificity of 63.3%, and AUC of 0.771 (95% CI: 0.6670.872). The area under the ROC curve for IL-8, IL-10 and TNF is 0.665, 0.712 and 0.648, respectively. 3.Lymphocyte count and inflammatory factors also exhibited predictive value for death in COVID-19 patients. The critical lymphocyte count value was 0.56, with a sensitivity of 71.2%, specificity of 57.5%, and AUC of 0.641 (95% CI: 0.528–0.754). The critical IL-6 value was 53.05, with a sensitivity of 75%, specificity of 71.2%, and AUC of 0.770 (95% CI: 0.6690.870). The area under the ROC curve for IL-8, IL-10 and TNF is 0.687, 0.683 and 0.636, respectively. Conclusion Elevated inflammatory factors and decreased lymphocyte levels have prognostic value for predicting endotracheal intubation and mortality in COVID-19 patients, providing valuable insights for clinicians in anticipating disease progression.
Abstract Background As the population ages, senior care for older adults in China has become increasingly important and has attracted the attention of both government and society. This study aimed to ...explore preferences and influencing factors related to senior care among older Chinese adults and thus propose effective and targeted strategies for the development of a comprehensive care system for older adults in the aging Chinese population. Methods Data were obtained from a cross-sectional survey conducted in sixteen communities or villages in Jiangsu Province, China, from July to September 2021. Guided by the Andersen Behavioral Model, multivariate logistic regression was conducted to identify factors associated with preferences for senior care arrangements. Results A total of 870 respondents were included in the study, 60.11% of whom preferred receiving care in their own homes, while only 13.68% chose residential care facilities (RCFs). For predisposing factors, rural respondents preferred receiving care in their own homes compared to urban respondents (children’s home: OR = 0.55, P < 0.01; RCF: OR = 0.58, P < 0.01). Concerning enabling factors, respondents who were not employed (OR = 2.30, P < 0.01) and those without financial support (OR = 2.73, P < 0.05) preferred RCFs to their own homes. Respondents receiving life assistance (sometimes: OR = 2.76, P < 0.001; regularly: OR = 2.57, P < 0.01; every day: OR = 3.57, P < 0.001) preferred their children’s homes to their own homes. In terms of need factors, respondents with noncommunicable diseases (NCDs, OR > 1, P < 0.05), those who knew about RCFs (some: OR = 0.53, P < 0.005; no: OR = 0.10, P < 0.001) and those with a good impression of RCFs (fair: OR = 3.72, P < 0.05; good: OR = 11.91, P < 0.001) preferred receiving care in RCFs compared to their counterparts. Conclusions Older Chinese adults’ senior care preferences were affected by predisposing factors, enabling factors, and need factors. Policy-makers should consider targeted measures to identify more precise senior care services and thus address aging challenges in China.
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Dostopno za:
CEKLJ, DOBA, IZUM, KILJ, NUK, PILJ, PNG, SAZU, SIK, UILJ, UKNU, UL, UM, UPUK
A dual-purpose algorithm is capable of estimating the principal component and minor component from input signals by simply switching the sign of some terms in the same learning rule. Compared with ...single-purpose algorithms, a dual-purpose algorithm has many advantages. In this paper, a novel dual-purpose algorithm is proposed based on the study of some existing algorithms. The dynamic behavior of this dual-purpose algorithm is investigated by the deterministic discrete time method. Some constraint conditions, which provide a way to choose the initial weight vector and learning factor, are also derived to guarantee its convergence. Numerical simulation results not only demonstrate the fast convergence of the proposed algorithm but also demonstrate the correctness of the convergence conditions.
Background: Congenital left circumflex coronary artery fistula (LCX-CAF) is a relatively rare type of coronary artery fistula (CAF); little is known about the outcomes of transcatheter closure (TCC) ...of LCX-CAF.Methods and Results: All consecutive patients admitted to Fuwai Hospital and scheduled for TCC of LCX-CAF between January 2012 and December 2022 were reviewed retrospectively. Of the 25 consecutive patients (mean ±SD age 34±20 years; 48% male) admitted and scheduled for TCC of congenital LCX-CAF, the procedure was feasible in 22 (77.3%). The mean (±SD) diameter of the fistulas was 6.99±2.04 mm; 21 (84%) patients had a large fistula (i.e., diameter >2-fold greater than non-feeding coronary artery). Occluders were deployed via a transarterial approach and arteriovenous loop in 6 (27.3%) and 16 (72.7%) patients, respectively. No procedural complications were recorded. Although the procedural success rates are similar for single LCX-CAF and left anterior descending CAF (81.25% vs. 92.86%; P=0.602), the mean time from initial angiography to first occluder deployment is significantly longer for LCX-CAF (83.06±36.07 vs. 36.00±9.49 min; P<0.001). The mean (±SD) follow-up time was 62.2±45.5 months. The incidence of myocardial infarction and recanalization of the fistula was 4.5% (1/22) and 9.1% (2/22), respectively.Conclusions: TCC of LCX-CAF is a feasible and effective alternative to surgical repair, with comparable outcomes in selected patients. Optimal medical therapy to prevent post-closure myocardial infarction requires further investigation.
In industrial processes, the quality of the product is crucial. The batch partial least squares (PLS) monitoring model can effectively monitor for quality-related faults. In process monitoring, to ...overcome time-varying disturbances, the monitoring model needs to be updated regularly. Efficiently updating the monitoring model represents a serious problem. This paper proposes a recursive concurrent projection to latent structures (RCPLS) algorithm, which can both update models more efficiently with historical model parameters and new data and provide better quality-related fault monitoring results than can static concurrent projection to latent structures (CPLS). Based on RCPLS, a complete set of process monitoring technologies is proposed. These technologies can automatically filter and store modellable data and adaptively update the online monitoring model. The updated computational quantities of the RCPLS model and the CPLS model are compared through the Tennessee Eastman process (TEP). The effectiveness of the RCPLS algorithm is verified, and a comprehensive comparison of the quality-related fault detection capabilities of RCPLS and CPLS is performed. The results show that RCPLS can significantly reduce the computational burden and increase the monitoring performance.
Detection of prognostic factors associated with patients' survival outcome helps gain insights into a disease and guide treatment decisions. The rapid advancement of high-throughput technologies has ...yielded plentiful genomic biomarkers as candidate prognostic factors, but most are of limited use in clinical application. As the price of the technology drops over time, many genomic studies are conducted to explore a common scientific question in different cohorts to identify more reproducible and credible biomarkers. However, new challenges arise from heterogeneity in study populations and designs when jointly analyzing the multiple studies. For example, patients from different cohorts show different demographic characteristics and risk profiles. Existing high-dimensional variable selection methods for survival analysis, however, are restricted to single study analysis. We propose a novel Cox model based two-stage variable selection method called "Cox-TOTEM" to detect survival-associated biomarkers common in multiple genomic studies. Simulations showed our method greatly improved the sensitivity of variable selection as compared to the separate applications of existing methods to each study, especially when the signals are weak or when the studies are heterogeneous. An application of our method to TCGA transcriptomic data identified essential survival associated genes related to the common disease mechanism of five Pan-Gynecologic cancers.
To alleviate the metal corrosion problem caused by incomplete acid discharge during pickling or acidification, a corrosion inhibitor, long chain fatty hydrazides (LCFH), with a significant corrosion ...inhibition effect was synthesized from natural grease. The corrosion inhibition and adsorption properties of LCFH on carbon steel in 1 M HCl solution were studied by static sample weight loss test, electrochemical impedance spectroscopy, and potentiodynamic polarization curve. The results showed that LCFH exhibits excellent corrosion inhibition performance in HCl solution. The inhibition efficiency increases with the increase of inhibitor concentration. When the concentration of LCFH is 40 mg/L, the inhibition efficiency can reach 97.9%. The potentiodynamic polarization curve shows that LCFH is a corrosion inhibitor that mainly inhibits the cathodic reaction. The corrosion inhibitor is spontaneously adsorbed on the surface of low-carbon steel in physical form, which conforms to the Langmuir isothermal adsorption model.
Modified partial least squares (MPLS) is an efficient tool widely used in multivariate statistical process monitoring. To properly describe slow time-varying processes, the method commonly used in ...model updating is data expansion. However, when the number of lagged variables grows, the modeling order and computational load increase significantly. A recursive structure that has a low computational complexity is an efficient way to update models. However, the recursive structure fails to reduce the false alarm rates (FARs) of quality-unrelated faults when model updating. To cope with this problem, a recursive MPLS (RMPLS) detection approach based on orthogonal signal correction (OSC), named OSC-RMPLS here, is proposed. OSC-RMPLS removes the variation orthogonal to the output space Y from the input space X before MPLS modeling, decomposes X into two orthogonal subspaces, and further updates the RMPLS model adaptively. Compared with the data expansion method, the proposed algorithm has a lower computational load and more robust performance. Numerical simulation experiments and Tennessee Eastman experiments (TEP) are used to verify the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm.
(1) Background: the indications for transcatheter closure of large patent ductus arteriosus (PDA) with severe pulmonary hypertension (PH) are still unclear, and scholars have not fully elucidated the ...factors that affect PH prognosis. (2) Methods: we retrospectively enrolled 134 consecutive patients with a PDA diameter ≥10 mm or a ratio of PDA and aortic >0.5. We collected clinical data to explore the factors affecting follow-up PH. (3) Results: 134 patients (mean age 35.04 ± 10.23 years; 98 women) successfully underwent a transcatheter closure, and all patients had a mean pulmonary artery pressure (mPAP) >50 mmHg. Five procedures were deemed to have failed because their mPAP did not decrease, and the patients experienced uncomfortable symptoms after the trial occlusion. The average occluder (pulmonary end) size was almost twice the PDA diameter (22.33 ± 4.81 mm vs. 11.69 ± 2.18 mm). Left ventricular end-diastolic dimension (LVEDD), mPAP, and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) significantly reduced after the occlusion, and LVEF recovered during the follow-up period. In total, 42 of the 78 patients with total pulmonary resistance >4 Wood Units experienced clinical outcomes, and all of them had PH in the follow-up, while 10 of them had heart failure, and 4 were hospitalized again because of PH. The results of a logistic regression analysis revealed that the postoperative mPAP had an independent risk factor (odds ratio = 1.069, 95% confidence interval: 1.003 to 1.140, p = 0.040) with a receiver operating characteristic curve cut-off value of 35.5 mmHg (p < 0.001). (4) Conclusions: performing a transcatheter closure of large patent ductus arteriosus is feasible, and postoperative mPAP was a risk factor that affected the follow-up PH. Patients with a postoperative mPAP >35.5 mmHg should be considered for targeted medical therapy or should undergo right heart catheterization again after the occlusion.