Back in the early 1990s, economists and policy makers had high expectations about the prospects for domestic capital market development in emerging economies, particularly in Latin America. ...Unfortunately, they are now faced with disheartening results. Stock and bond markets remain illiquid and segmented. Debt is concentrated at the short end of the maturity spectrum and denominated in foreign currency, exposing countries to maturity and currency risk. Capital markets in Latin America look particularly underdeveloped when considering the many efforts undertaken to improve the macroeconomic environment and to reform the institutions believed to foster capital market development. The disappointing performance has made conventional policy recommendations questionable, at best. Emerging Capital Markets and Globalization analyzes where we stand and where we are heading on capital market development. First, it takes stock of the state and evolution of Latin American capital markets and related reforms over time and relative to other countries. Second, it analyzes the factors related to the development of capital markets, with particular interest on measuring the impact of reforms. And third, in light of this analysis, it discusses the prospects for capital market development in Latin America and emerging economies and the implications for the reform agenda.
Rulers and Capital in Historical Perspective explains why modern banking and credit systems emerged in the nineteenth century only in certain countries that then subsequently industrialized and ...became developed. Tracing the contemporaneous cases of India and the United States over time, Abhishek Chatterjee identifies the factors that were crucial to the development and regulation of a modern banking and credit system in the United States during the first third of the nineteenth century. He contrasts this situation with India's, where the state never formally incorporated a sophisticated private credit system, and thus relegated it to the sphere of the informal economy. Chatterjee identifies certain features in both societies, often—though not always—associated with colonialism, that tended to restrict the formation of modern institutionalized money and credit markets. Rulers and Capital in Historical Perspective demonstrates thatnotwithstanding the many other differences between the North American colonies (prior to independence), and India, the same facets of their relationships with Great Britain prevented the emergence of a modern banking system in the two respective societies.
The past twenty years have seen an extraordinary growth in the use of quantitative methods in financial markets. Finance professionals now routinely use sophisticated statistical techniques in ...portfolio management, proprietary trading, risk management, financial consulting, and securities regulation. This graduate-level textbook is intended for PhD students, advanced MBA students, and industry professionals interested in the econometrics of financial modeling. The book covers the entire spectrum of empirical finance, including: the predictability of asset returns, tests of the Random Walk Hypothesis, the microstructure of securities markets, event analysis, the Capital Asset Pricing Model and the Arbitrage Pricing Theory, the term structure of interest rates, dynamic models of economic equilibrium, and nonlinear financial models such as ARCH, neural networks, statistical fractals, and chaos theory.
Each chapter develops statistical techniques within the context of a particular financial application. This exciting new text contains a unique and accessible combination of theory and practice, bringing state-of-the-art statistical techniques to the forefront of financial applications. Each chapter also includes a discussion of recent empirical evidence, for example, the rejection of the Random Walk Hypothesis, as well as problems designed to help readers incorporate what they have read into their own applications
Global Capital and National Governments, first published in 2003, suggests that international financial integration does not mean the end of social democratic welfare policies. Capital market ...openness allows participants to react swiftly and severely to government policy; but in the developed world, capital market participants consider only a few government policies when making decisions. Governments that conform to capital market pressures in macroeconomic areas remain relatively unconstrained in supply-side and micro-economic policy areas. Therefore, despite financial globalization, cross-national policy divergence among advanced democracies remains likely. Still, in the developing world, the influence of financial markets on government policy autonomy is more pronounced. The risk of default renders market participants willing to consider a range of government policies in investment decisions. This inference, however, must be tempered with awareness that governments retain choice. As evidence for its conclusions, Global Capital and National Governments draws on interviews with fund managers, quantitative analyses, and archival investment banking materials.
This book presents an economic survey of international capital mobility from the late nineteenth century to the present. The authors examine the theory and empirical evidence surrounding the fall and ...rise of integration in the world market. A discussion of institutional developments focuses on capital controls and the pursuit of macroeconomic policy objectives in shifting monetary regimes. The Great Depression emerges as the key turning point in recent history of international capital markets, and offers important insights for contemporary policy debates. Its principal legacy is that the return to a world of global capital is marked by great unevenness in outcomes regarding both risks and rewards of capital market integration. More than in the past, foreign investment flows largely from rich countries to other rich countries. Yet most financial crises afflict developing countries, with costs for everyone.
The first crash Dale, Richard
2004., 20140424, 2014, 2004, 2005-01-01
eBook
For nearly three centuries the spectacular rise and fall of the South Sea Company has gripped the public imagination as the most graphic warning to investors of the dangers of unbridled speculation. ...Yet history repeats itself and the same elemental forces that drove up the price of South Sea shares to dizzying heights in 1720 have in recent years produced the global crash of 1987, the Japanese stock market bubble of the 1980s/90s, and the international dot.com boom of the 1990s.
The First Crashthrows light on the current debate about investor rationality by re-examining the story of the South Sea Bubble from the standpoint of investors and commentators during and preceding the fateful Bubble year. In absorbing prose, Richard Dale describes the trading techniques of London's Exchange Alley (which included 'modern' transactions such as derivatives) and uses new data, as well as the hitherto neglected writings of a brilliant contemporary financial analyst, to show how investors lost their bearings during the Bubble period in much the same way as during the dot.com boom.
The events of 1720, as presented here, offer insights into the nature of financial markets that, being independent of place and time, deserve to be considered by today's investors everywhere. This book is therefore aimed at all those with an interest in the behavior of stock markets.
This study aims to verify the effect of media coverage on the earnings management of Brazilian listed companies. A sample of 284 Brazilian non-financial companies listed on the B3 was used, with ...quarterly data for the period 2011-2022. Media coverage was measured by the natural logarithm of the number of news stories released about the firms, and for earnings management, a detection model with accruals was used (Collins et al., 2017), estimated using an unbalanced panel in GMM 2SLS. The results show a negative association between media coverage and earnings management, indicating that managers tend to manage earnings less in the presence of media visibility, in order to avoid negative effects on the deviation from the real value of earnings. The research reveals that the Brazilian media acts as an external agent of governance, inducing the improvement of accounting information by monitoring management actions. Given the importance of the role played by the media, especially through the rapid dissemination of information, the results show that media coverage contributes to reducing the noise generated by earnings management. This finding could have implications for managers and the capital market, as it shows that the media is an agent that interferes, albeit indirectly, with corporate actions. Therefore, the media influences various organizations, with implications for management practices that seek to improve transparency. The study seeks to fill a gap regarding the effect of Brazilian media coverage on earnings management, shedding light on the media as an external element of corporate governance that contributes to an environment of better accounting information. Keywords: media, earnings management, Brazilian companies. Esta pesquisa tem por objetivo verificar o efeito da cobertura da midia no gerenciamento de resultados das companhias abertas brasileiras. Utilizou-se uma amostra de 284 empresas brasileiras nao financeiras, listadas na B3 com dados trimestrais no periodo de 2011-2022. A cobertura da midia foi mensurada pelo logaritmo natural do numero de noticias publicadas sobre as firmas, e, para o gerenciamento de resultados, empregou-se um modelo de deteccao por meio de accruals (Collins et al., 2017), estimados mediante painel desbalanceado em GMM 2SLS. Os resultados demonstram uma associacao negativa entre a cobertura da midia e o gerenciamento de resultados, indicando que os gestores, mediante a visibilidade midiatica, tendem a gerenciar menos os resultados para evitar desdobramentos negativos sobre o desvio do valor real do lucro. A pesquisa revela que a midia brasileira atua como agente externo de governanca ao induzir, via monitoramento das acoes gerenciais, a melhoria da informacao contabil. Ante a relevancia do papel exercido pela midia, sobretudo pela rapida disseminacao da informacao, os resultados demonstram que a cobertura midiatica contribui na reducao de ruidos oriundos do gerenciamento de resultados. Desdobramentos dessa constatacao podem impactar gestores e o mercado de capitais por explicitarem que a midia e um agente que interfere, ainda que indiretamente, nas acoes corporativas. Tem-se, portanto, que a midia influencia diferentes organizacoes, com efeitos em praticas gerenciais que buscam melhorar a transparencia. O estudo busca preencher uma lacuna quanto ao efeito da cobertura da midia brasileira no gerenciamento de resultados, lancando luz sobre a midia como elemento externo de governanca corporativa que contribui para um ambiente de melhor informacao de natureza contabil. Palavras-chave: midia, gerenciamento de resultados, companhias brasileiras.
This study aims to verify the effect of media coverage on the earnings management of Brazilian listed companies. A sample of 284 Brazilian non-financial companies listed on the B3 was used, with ...quarterly data for the period 2011-2022. Media coverage was measured by the natural logarithm of the number of news stories released about the firms, and for earnings management, a detection model with accruals was used (Collins et al., 2017), estimated using an unbalanced panel in GMM 2SLS. The results show a negative association between media coverage and earnings management, indicating that managers tend to manage earnings less in the presence of media visibility, in order to avoid negative effects on the deviation from the real value of earnings. The research reveals that the Brazilian media acts as an external agent of governance, inducing the improvement of accounting information by monitoring management actions. Given the importance of the role played by the media, especially through the rapid dissemination of information, the results show that media coverage contributes to reducing the noise generated by earnings management. This finding could have implications for managers and the capital market, as it shows that the media is an agent that interferes, albeit indirectly, with corporate actions. Therefore, the media influences various organizations, with implications for management practices that seek to improve transparency. The study seeks to fill a gap regarding the effect of Brazilian media coverage on earnings management, shedding light on the media as an external element of corporate governance that contributes to an environment of better accounting information.
The squam lake report French, Kenneth R; Baily, Martin N; Campbell, John Y ...
2010., 20100525, 2010, 2010-05-25
eBook
In the fall of 2008, fifteen of the world's leading economists--representing the broadest spectrum of economic opinion--gathered at New Hampshire's Squam Lake. Their goal: the mapping of a long-term ...plan for financial regulation reform.
The Squam Lake Reportdistills the wealth of insights from the ongoing collaboration that began at these meetings and provides a revelatory, unified, and coherent voice for fixing our troubled and damaged financial markets. As an alternative to the patchwork solutions and ideologically charged proposals that have dominated other discussions, the Squam Lake group sets forth a clear nonpartisan plan of action to transform the regulation of financial markets--not just for the current climate--but for generations to come.
Arguing that there has been a conflict between financial institutions and society, these diverse experts present sound and transparent prescriptions to reduce this divide. They look at the critical holes in the existing regulatory framework for handling complex financial institutions, retirement savings, and credit default swaps. They offer ideas for new financial instruments designed to recapitalize banks without burdening taxpayers. To lower the risk that large banks will fail, the authors call for higher capital requirements as well as a systemic regulator who is part of the central bank. They collectively analyze where the financial system has failed, and how these weak points should be overhauled.
Combining an immense depth of academic, private sector, and public policy experience,The Squam Lake Reportcontains urgent recommendations that will positively influence everyone's financial well-being--all who care about the world's economic health need to pay attention.
Prior research suggests that business groups (BGs) in developing economies have emerged as alternatives to poorly developed economic institutions in these countries. In this paper, we argue that this ...does not imply they are always substitutes. Specifically, we consider the case of capital markets, a key economic institution: while the absence of well-developed capital markets may indeed have stimulated the emergence of business groups, we propose that BG affiliation and the scrutiny that maturing capital markets impose on firms that participate actively in them nevertheless can play a complementary role in influencing a firm's performance. We find support for our predictions in a novel longitudinal data set of Indian firms that contain both listed and unlisted BG affiliated as well as unaffiliated firms.
