•Shape-constrained GAMs are proposed for niche-based species distribution modelling.•Methods are tested and compared via Monte Carlo simulation and using real data.•Results show good balance between ...GOF and agreement with ecological niche theory.•Shape-restricted and non-restricted explanatory variables can be combined.•Spawning habitats of 3 pelagic species are modelled as a multivariate case study.
According to ecological niche theory, species response curves are unimodal with respect to environmental gradients. A variety of statistical methods have been developed for species distribution modelling. A general problem with most of these habitat modelling approaches is that the estimated response curves can display biologically implausible shapes which do not respect ecological niche theory. This work proposes using shape-constrained generalized additive models (SC-GAMs) to build species distribution models under the ecological niche theory framework, imposing concavity constraints in the linear predictor scale. Based on a simulation study and a real data application, we compared performance with respect to other regression models without shape-constraints (such as standard GLMs and GAMs with varying degrees of freedom) and also to models based on so-called “Plateau” climate-envelopes. The imposition of concavity for response curves resulted in a good balance between the goodness of fit (GOF) and agreement with ecological niche theory. The approach has been applied to fit distribution models for three fish species given several environmental variables.
The interaction between zonal flows and turbulence is a self-regulating mechanism. Understanding this interaction is crucial to control plasma confinement. Results presented in this paper aim at ...understanding the conditions under which geodesic acoustic modes (GAMs) influence turbulent transport. This is achieved by performing perturbative experiments where GAMs are stimulated and externally controlled. Experiments on ISTTOK revealed that increasing the GAM shear rate over its natural value leads to a reduction of the turbulent transport and to an enhancement in particle confinement. Taking advantage of our unique experimental tools, it is shown that GAMs play an important role in the regulation of the fluctuations, constituting further evidence that the GAM shear rate is enough to regulate the ambient fluctuations without totally suppressing the turbulence.
This study shows the modeling of the convective drying operation of quinoa (Chenopodium quinoa Willd. var. Hualhuas) grains implemented in the General Algebraic Modeling System (GAMS) software. The ...proposed model was based on Fick’s second law. The drying experiences were carried out using a pilot-scale oven. The drying air conditions were: 40, 60, and 80°C and 0.2 and 0.7 m s-1. The mathematical modeling was employed to describe the behavior of the drying operation according to variations of the average moisture over time. The effective diffusivity of moisture and mass transfer were studied for the different operating conditions. The model was validated by experimental data. It was possible to model the quinoa grains drying process, obtaining a high precision between the experimental and estimated values. Quinoa drying curves can be represented properly by the studied model. In the operating ranges tested, the effective diffusivity values of moisture were between 2.52 10-10 and 1 10-9 m2 s-1 and the mass transfer values were between 7.20 and 11.47 cm s-1. The effective diffusivity (Deff) showed significant differences (P<0.05) with the speed of the drying air, while the mass transfer coefficient (k) was significantly affected (P<0.05) by the temperature of the drying air.
This study proposes a novel framework for smart homes to optimize energy consumption and production, leading to reduced costs and a more reliable grid. The framework schedules the use of controllable ...appliances and renewable energy sources while considering uncertainties in production, real-time market prices, and uncontrollable household loads. By incorporating both incremental and real-time pricing models, the system discourages excessive consumption during peak hours. The core innovation lies in a two-stage scheduling approach implemented using GAMS software. This method minimizes the expected total cost while accounting for limitations on controllable loads, power supply, production resources, battery performance, and overall home energy balance. Additionally, the framework leverages the previous day’s bilateral contract and allows residents to adjust desired lighting levels based on current market fluctuations. Simulations demonstrate the program’s effectiveness in reducing both net energy costs and peak load on the electricity grid.
Crop water requirement and irrigation scheduling in Lower Kulfo Catchment of southern Ethiopia have not assessed under climate change scenarios, and the allocation of crop land also not optimal that ...signifcantly challenges to crop productivity.Therefore, this study was conducted to evaluate the effects of climate change on future crop water requirements, and irrigation scheduling, and to allocate cropland optimally. Bias of projected precipitation and temperature were corrected by utilizing Climate Model data with the hydrologic modeling tool (CMhyd). Alongside, crop water requirements and irrigation scheduling were assessed using Crop Water Assessment Tool. After estimating crop water requirement, crop land were allocated optimally using General Algebraic Modeling System programming with non-negativity constraints (scenario 1), and non-negativity constraints based on farmers adaptation (scenario 2). Average reference evapotranspiration from 2030 to 2050 and 2060 to 2080 was increased by 11.9 %, and 16.2 %, respectively compared with the reference period (2010–2022). The total seasonal crop water requirements were 4,529 mm, 4866.7 mm, and 5272.2 mm under 2010 to 2022, 2030 to 2050, and 2060 to 2080 climate change scenarios, respectively. The meean irrigation interval in 2010–2022, 2030 to 2050, and 2060 to 2080 climate change scenarios were 8 days, 7 days, and 5 days, respectively. This irrigation interval was decreased by 14 % (2030–2050), and 34 % (2060–2080) compared with the reference period. In 2030 to 2050 and 2026 to 2080 climate change scenarios, the required irrigation water at the inlet of main canal increased by 6.8 %, and 18 %, respectively. The optimal allocated area for tomato (60.4 %), maize (20.8 %), and watermelon (18.8 %) in scenario 1 with net benefit of 1.47*108 Ethiopian Birr. The allocated areas in scenario 2 were (48 %) for maize, (31.6 %) for tomato, and (20.4 %) for watermelon with 1.34*108 Ethiopian Birr net benefit it was reduced by 19.1 % compared with the net benefit in scenario 1. Fruit crops alone may not suffice for local food needs and to address this, small farmers should grow maize, tomato, and watermelon. This research aids policymakers in encouraging climate-resilient agriculture and improving small-scale farmers' awareness through conducting workshops and training.
Understanding the influence and impact of environmental factors on manta ray sightings is critical to understanding the spatial and temporal ecology of a highly mobile species. Therefore, this study ...aims to determine the influence and impact of environmental factors as indicated by the parameters of wind speed, chlorophyll-a, SST, salinity, pH, dissolved oxygen, and the number of phytoplankton and zooplankton species. The mapped chlorophyll-a was re-analyzed based on the seasonal period throughout 2021 downloaded from marine copernicus and analyzed by kriging method. The influence and effects of environmental parameters on the short-term appearance of eye rays were studied using an adaptive model (GAM). The analysis showed a significant influence of environmental factors on manta ray sightings in Raja Ampat, namely Calanoid spp, Oithona nana, Acartia clausi, Calanus helgoladicus, and Oithona brevicornis. Based on this model, zooplankton is an important parameter that can describe the influence of environmental parameters on manta ray sightings at observation points in Raja Ampat MPA. The results of the reanalysis of chlorophyll-a concentrations were highest in the eastern to transitional seasons, which were scattered on the west side of Raja Ampat waters. Meanwhile, chlorophyll-a concentrations were low in the west to transitional season on the east side. This mechanism may drive the foraging strategy of manta rays, which visit shallow waters where zooplankton density and biomass are abundant. Adopting the BHS MPA network concept, as it has been implemented, would be in line with broader conservation expectations for the sustainability of manta rays in Raja Ampat.
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•A methodological design framework for Hydrogen and Methane Supply Chains based on Power-to-Gas systems is proposed.•A bi-objective optimization is developed to provide effective ...support for the study of deployment scenarios.•Carbon dioxide sources stem from methanization and gasification processes.•The objectives to be minimized simultaneously are the Total Annual Cost and the Global Warming Potential.•Thecontribution of hydrogen and synthetic methane to to the energy mix depends on the policy implemented and the drivers considered.
This paper presents a methodological design framework for Hydrogen and Methane Supply Chains (HMSC) based on Power-to-Gas (PtG) systems. The novelty of the work is twofold, first considering a specific demand for hydrogen for electromobility in addition to the hydrogen demand required as a feedstock to produce synthetic methane from the methanation process and performing a bi-objective optimization of the HMSC to provide effective support for the study of deployment scenarios. The approach is based on a Mixed Integer Linear Programming (MILP) approach with augmented epsilon-constraint implemented in the GAMS environment according to a multi-period approach (2035–2050) with several available energy sources (wind, PV, hydro, national network) for hydrogen production. Carbon dioxide sources stem mainly from methanization and gasification processes. The objectives to be minimized simultaneously are the Total Annual Cost and the greenhouse gas emissions related to the whole HMSC over the entire period studied.
•A novel method for performing Decoupled Harmonic Load Flow (DHLF) analysis in radial distribution systems is presented•The proposed method involves solving load flow equations for both fundamental ...and higher frequencies as constrained minimization problems•The effectiveness of the proposed method is assessed across three IEEE test systems: 18-bus, 33-bus, and 69-bus.•Five cases of DHLF analysis are taken into consideration – cases with distributed generators (DGs), shunt capacitors (SCs), simultaneous DGs and SCs, and electric vehicles (EVs).
In this article, a novel method for performing Decoupled Harmonic Load Flow (DHLF) analysis in radial distribution systems is presented. The proposed method involves solving load flow equations for both fundamental and higher frequencies as constrained minimization problems utilizing a nonlinear programming (NLP) CONOPT solver integrated into the General Algebraic Modeling Systems (GAMS) environment. The effectiveness of the proposed method is assessed across three IEEE test systems: 18-bus, 33-bus, and 69-bus. Five cases of DHLF analysis are taken into consideration. DHLF was performed on standard test systems with incorporated non-linear loads in the first case. Cases two through five examine the DHLF in the presence of distributed generators (DGs), shunt capacitors (SCs), simultaneous DGs and SCs, and electric vehicles (EVs). Comparing the obtained results to those of DHLF analysis tools ETAP and DigSilent, as well as to those found in the literature, proved that the proposed CONOPT solver provides precise solutions.
This paper presents an optimization model for the layout of a branching water distribution system. The goal is to minimize construction costs while meeting the system's demands. The study utilizes ...the general algebraic modeling system (GAMS) to optimize a non-looping water distribution system. The methodology involves determining the existence and diameter of connections between demand nodes. The optimization problem is formulated as a mixed-integer non-linear programming (MINLP) problem. A simplified layout is used to illustrate the constraints and validate the model. The explicit model implemented in GAMS yields optimal solutions and demonstrates the effectiveness of the approach. The results highlight the decisions on connection existence, flow, and pipe diameter, contributing to cost minimization. The findings from this study provide insights for optimizing the design of branching water distribution systems and reducing construction costs.