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  • The South Asian Monsoon Res...
    Shawki, D.; Voulgarakis, A.; Chakraborty, A.; Kasoar, M.; Srinivasan, J.

    Journal of geophysical research. Atmospheres, 27 October 2018, Letnik: 123, Številka: 20
    Journal Article

    The South Asian summer monsoon has been suggested to be influenced by atmospheric aerosols, and this influence can be the result of either local or remote emissions. We have used the Hadley Centre Global Environment Model Version 3 (HadGEM3) coupled atmosphere‐ocean climate model to investigate for the first time the centennial‐scale South Asian precipitation response to emissions of sulfur dioxide (SO2), the dominant anthropogenic precursor of sulfate aerosol, from different midlatitude regions. Despite the localized nature of the regional heating that results from removing SO2 emissions, all experiments featured a similar large‐scale precipitation response over South Asia, driven by ocean‐modulated changes in the net cross‐equatorial heat transport and an opposing cross‐equatorial northward moisture transport. The effects are linearly additive, with the sum of the responses from the experiments where SO2 is removed from the United States, Europe, and East Asia resembling the response seen in the experiment where emissions are removed from the northern midlatitudes as a whole, but with East Asia being the largest contributor, even per unit of emission or top‐of‐atmosphere radiative forcing. This stems from the fact that East Asian emissions can more easily influence regional land‐sea thermal contrasts and sea level pressure differences that drive the monsoon circulation, compared to emissions from more remote regions. Our results suggest that radiative effects of remote pollution should not be neglected when examining changes in South Asian climate and that and it is important to examine such effects in coupled ocean‐atmosphere modeling frameworks. Plain Language Summary Atmospheric aerosols have been shown to exert a strong influence on global and regional climate through their radiative effects. The South Asian summer monsoon, a climate phenomenon on which billions of lives depend, has been suggested to be influenced by aerosols, and this influence can be the result of either local or remote emissions. We have used a global climate model to investigate how sensitive is the monsoon to emissions from remote industrialized regions such as Europe, the North America, and East Asia. Despite the localized nature of the regional heating that results from removing emissions in these regions, all of them featured a similar large‐scale rainfall change remotely over South Asia. This similarity reflects a common underlying mechanism, which involves a displacement of the tropical rain belt driven by aerosol effects on the temperature contrast between the two hemispheres of the Earth. We find that the effects of the different regions on South Asia are linearly additive, with East Asia being the largest contributor. This stems from the fact that its emissions can more easily influence regional land‐sea thermal contrasts and sea level pressure differences over Asia that drive the summer monsoon circulation, compared to emissions from more remote regions. Our results suggest that influences of remote pollution should not be neglected when examining changes in South Asian climate and can help inform policy on the cobenefits and side effects of ongoing strategies that control regional air pollution in extratropical regions. Key Points Indian monsoon responses are qualitatively similar irrespective of the specific location of remote aerosol emissions Still, East Asia is the strongest contributor to monsoon changes among remote regions The primary control of these responses is the large‐scale temperature gradient, with regional circulation features also modulating them