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Monti, Remo; Eick, Lisa; Hudjashov, Georgi; Läll, Kristi; Kanoni, Stavroula; Wolford, Brooke N.; Wingfield, Benjamin; Pain, Oliver; Wharrie, Sophie; Jermy, Bradley; McMahon, Aoife; Hartonen, Tuomo; Heyne, Henrike; Mars, Nina; Lambert, Samuel; Hveem, Kristian; Inouye, Michael; van Heel, David A.; Mägi, Reedik; Marttinen, Pekka; Ripatti, Samuli; Ganna, Andrea; Lippert, Christoph
American journal of human genetics, 07/2024, Letnik: 111, Številka: 7Journal Article
Methods of estimating polygenic scores (PGSs) from genome-wide association studies are increasingly utilized. However, independent method evaluation is lacking, and method comparisons are often limited. Here, we evaluate polygenic scores derived via seven methods in five biobank studies (totaling about 1.2 million participants) across 16 diseases and quantitative traits, building on a reference-standardized framework. We conducted meta-analyses to quantify the effects of method choice, hyperparameter tuning, method ensembling, and the target biobank on PGS performance. We found that no single method consistently outperformed all others. PGS effect sizes were more variable between biobanks than between methods within biobanks when methods were well tuned. Differences between methods were largest for the two investigated autoimmune diseases, seropositive rheumatoid arthritis and type 1 diabetes. For most methods, cross-validation was more reliable for tuning hyperparameters than automatic tuning (without the use of target data). For a given target phenotype, elastic net models combining PGS across methods (ensemble PGS) tuned in the UK Biobank provided consistent, high, and cross-biobank transferable performance, increasing PGS effect sizes (β coefficients) by a median of 5.0% relative to LDpred2 and MegaPRS (the two best-performing single methods when tuned with cross-validation). Our interactively browsable online-results and open-source workflow prspipe provide a rich resource and reference for the analysis of polygenic scoring methods across biobanks. Display omitted Systematic evaluation of polygenic scoring methods in 1.2 million individuals across five biobanks finds that no single method performs best. Performance varied more between biobanks than between methods, suggesting that future research should address between-biobank variability. Ensembles provided high, robust, and transferable performance. Workflow and results browser are open source.
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JCR | SNIP | JCR | SNIP | JCR | SNIP | JCR | SNIP |
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in: SICRIS
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