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Burghgraef, Thijs A; Bakker, Ilsalien S; Veld, Joyce V; Wijsmuller, Arthur R; Amelung, Femke J; Bemelman, Willem A; Ter Borg, Frank; van Hooft, Jeanin E; Siersema, Peter D; Tanis, Pieter J; Consten, Esther C J
Diseases of the colon & rectum, 10/2023, Letnik: 66, Številka: 10Journal Article
Acute resection for left-sided obstructive colon carcinoma is thought to be associated with higher mortality risk than a bridge to surgery approach using decompressing stoma or self-expandable metal stent, but prediction models are lacking. Determine the influence of treatment strategy on mortality within 90-days from first intervention using a prediction model in patients presenting with left-sided obstructive colon carcinoma. A national multicenter cohort study, using data of a prospective national audit. The study was performed in 75 Dutch hospital. Patients were included if they underwent a resection with curative intent for left-sided obstructive colon carcinoma between 2009 and 2016. First intervention was either acute resection, bridge to surgery with self-expandable metallic stent, or bridge to surgery with decompressing stoma. The main outcome measure was 90-day mortality after first intervention. Risk factors were identified using multivariable logistic analysis. Subsequently a risk model was developed. In total 2395 patients were included, with first intervention consisting of acute resection in 1848 (77%) patients, stoma as bridge to surgery in 332 (14%) patients, and stent as bridge to surgery in 215 (9%) patients. Overall, 152 patients (6.3%) died within 90-days from first intervention. A decompressing stoma was independently associated with a lower 90-day mortality risk (HR: 0.27, CI: 0.094-0.62). Other independent predictors for mortality were age, ASA classification, tumor location, and index levels of serum creatinine and C-reactive protein. The constructed risk model had an area under the curve of 0.84 (CI: 0.81-0.87). Only patients that underwent surgical resection were included. Treatment strategy had a significant impact on 90-day mortality. A decompressing stoma considerably lowers the risk of mortality, especially in older and frail patients. A risk model was developed, which needs further external validation. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/B975.
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JCR | SNIP | JCR | SNIP | JCR | SNIP | JCR | SNIP |
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in: SICRIS
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