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  • Factors Predicting Outcomes...
    Chinnakotla, Srinath; Beilman, Gregory J; Dunn, Ty B; Bellin, Melena D; Freeman, Martin L; Radosevich, David M; Arain, Mustafa; Amateau, Stuart K; Mallery, J Shawn; Schwarzenberg, Sarah J; Clavel, Alfred; Wilhelm, Joshua; Robertson, R Paul; Berry, Louise; Cook, Marie; Hering, Bernhard J; Sutherland, David E.R; Pruett, Timothy L

    Annals of surgery, 2015-October, Letnik: 262, Številka: 4
    Journal Article

    OBJECTIVE:Our objective was to analyze factors predicting outcomes after a total pancreatectomy and islet autotransplantation (TP-IAT). BACKGROUND:Chronic pancreatitis (CP) is increasingly treated by a TP-IAT. Postoperative outcomes are generally favorable, but a minority of patients fare poorly. METHODS:In our single-centered study, we analyzed the records of 581 patients with CP who underwent a TP-IAT. Endpoints included persistent postoperative “pancreatic pain” similar to preoperative levels, narcotic use for any reason, and islet graft failure at 1 year. RESULTS:In our patients, the duration (mean ± SD) of CP before their TP-IAT was 7.1 ± 0.3 years and narcotic usage of 3.3 ± 0.2 years. Pediatric patients had better postoperative outcomes. Among adult patients, the odds of narcotic use at 1 year were increased by previous endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) and stent placement, and a high number of previous stents (>3). Independent risk factors for pancreatic pain at 1 year were pancreas divisum, previous body mass index >30, and a high number of previous stents (>3). The strongest independent risk factor for islet graft failure was a low islet yield—in islet equivalents (IEQ)—per kilogram of body weight. We noted a strong dose-response relationship between the lowest-yield category (<2000 IEQ) and the highest (≥5000 IEQ or more). Islet graft failure was 25-fold more likely in the lowest-yield category. CONCLUSIONS:This article represents the largest study of factors predicting outcomes after a TP-IAT. Preoperatively, the patient subgroups we identified warrant further attention.