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  • Costs and financial feasibi...
    Sabot, Oliver, BA; Cohen, Justin M, PhD; Hsiang, Michelle S, MD; Kahn, James G, Prof; Basu, Suprotik, MSH; Tang, Linhua, Prof; Zheng, Bin, PhD; Gao, Qi, PhD; Zou, Linda, BA; Tatarsky, Allison, MPH; Aboobakar, Shahina, MD; Usas, Jennifer, MS; Barrett, Scott, Prof; Cohen, Jessica L, PhD; Jamison, Dean T, Prof; Feachem, Richard GA, Prof

    The Lancet (British edition), 11/2010, Letnik: 376, Številka: 9752
    Journal Article

    Summary The marginal costs and benefits of converting malaria programmes from a control to an elimination goal are central to strategic decisions, but empirical evidence is scarce. We present a conceptual framework to assess the economics of elimination and analyse a central component of that framework—potential short-term to medium-term financial savings. After a review that showed a dearth of existing evidence, the net present value of elimination in five sites was calculated and compared with effective control. The probability that elimination would be cost-saving over 50 years ranged from 0% to 42%, with only one site achieving cost-savings in the base case. These findings show that financial savings should not be a primary rationale for elimination, but that elimination might still be a worthy investment if total benefits are sufficient to outweigh marginal costs. Robust research into these elimination benefits is urgently needed.