Akademska digitalna zbirka SLovenije - logo
E-viri
Celotno besedilo
Odprti dostop
  • Verikios, George; McCaw, James; McVernon, Jodie; Harris, Anthony

    IDEAS Working Paper Series from RePEc, 01/2010
    Paper

    Early 2009 saw the emergence of an H1N1 influenza epidemic in North America that spread to eventually become a global pandemic. Previous work has suggested that pandemics can have large macroeconomic effects on highly affected regions; here we estimate what those effects might be for Australia. Our analysis applies the MONASH-Health model: a quarterly computable general equilibrium model of the Australian economy. We simulate the effects of two H1N1 epidemics; the relatively mild 2009 outbreak and also a more severe episode. The analysis supports the assertion that an H1N1 epidemic could have significant short-run macroeconomic effects.