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Central Technological Library of the University of Ljubljana (CTK)
  • Uncertainty of precipitation measurements and predictions as an input to flash flood modelling
    Kobold, Mira ...
    Uncertainty of simulated runoff is mainly the result of precipitation uncertainty associated with the basin average precipitation. Therefore it is very important to assure the accurate precipitation ... input, whether from raingauges or other sources such as radar measurements, meteorological forecast, etc. The influence of number of raingauges on areal estimation of precipitation was investigated. On the other hand, radar provides coverage over a large area with high spatial and temporal resolution. The applicabilityof radar precipitation was done for two high water events. For operational flood forecasting the predicted precipitation is input into the rainfall-runoff model. The results of half-yearly runs of HBV-96 model for theSavinja basin are demonstrated using the meteorological forecast of ALADIN/SI model as input into the catchment model. The comparison of computed and observed discharges was done separately for the first day and for the second day of forecast. The deviation of simulated discharge from measured onecan be very large, especially for the mountainous part of the catchment. The floods from August 2005 in Slovenia are presented showing the difficulties of issuing the warnings.
    Type of material - conference contribution
    Publish date - 2006
    Language - english
    COBISS.SI-ID - 30408197