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An empirical analysis of voting patterns in four battleground states of the 2016 US presidential electionKokotović, Filip ; Kurečić, PetarThe results of the 2016 US Presidential Election showed the inaccuracy of the polls and the unexpected victories of the Republican candidate in Michigan, Florida and Pennsylvania, thereby allowing ... Donald Trump to carry the electoral vote. By using a standard Ordinary Least Squares regression, we designed predictive models for four battleground states and assessed their accuracy. The model proposed by Lewis-Beck and Tien is used as the foundation for proposing secondary models that consider macroeconomic variables. While most of these models fail to provide accurate results, the models which use macroeconomic variables correctly identify the results for Pennsylvania and Ohio.Source: Teorija in praksa : revija za družbena vprašanja. - ISSN 0040-3598 (Letn. 54, št. 5, sep.-okt. 2017, str. 747-764, 910)Type of material - article, component partPublish date - 2017Language - englishCOBISS.SI-ID - 35260765
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source: Teorija in praksa : revija za družbena vprašanja. - ISSN 0040-3598 (Letn. 54, št. 5, sep.-okt. 2017, str. 747-764, 910)
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Kokotović, Filip | ![]() |
Kurečić, Petar | ![]() |
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