We examined the temporal longitudinal associations of carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (cfPWV), a measure of arterial stiffness, and carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT) with the risk of ...overweight/obesity and elevated blood pressure (BP)/hypertension. We studied 3862 adolescents aged 17.7 years from the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children, followed-up for 7 years. cfPWV and cIMT were measured by ultrasound. Total and trunk fat mass and lean mass were assessed by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry. Body mass index and BP were measured. Data were analyzed using logistic regression, linear mixed-effect, and cross-lagged structural equation models, with covariate adjustments. Among 1719 male and 2143 female participants, higher cfPWV at 17.7 years was associated with the risk of elevated systolic BP/hypertension (odds ratio, 1.20 1.02-1.41;
=0.026), elevated diastolic BP/hypertension (1.77 1.32-2.38;
<0.0001), body mass index-overweight/obesity (1.19 1.01-1.41;
=0.041), and trunk fat mass overweight/obesity (1.24 1.03-1.49;
=0.023) at 24.5 years. Higher cIMT at 17.7 years had no associations with obesity and elevated BP at follow-up. cfPWV progression was directly associated with 7-year increase in systolic BP (effect estimate 16 mm Hg 9-24;
<0.0001) and diastolic BP (28 mm Hg 23-34;
<0.0001). cIMT progression was directly associated with the 7-year increase of all adiposity measures and diastolic BP. In the temporal analysis, baseline cfPWV was directly associated with follow-up systolic and diastolic BP, however, baseline BP was unassociated with follow-up cfPWV. cfPWV but not cIMT was bidirectionally associated with adiposity. Obesity and hypertension prevention from adolescence may require developing novel approaches to mitigate arterial stiffness.
Globally, childhood obesity is on the rise and the effect of objectively measured movement behaviour on body composition remains unclear. Longitudinal and causal mediation relationships of ...accelerometer-based sedentary time (ST), light physical activity (LPA), and moderate-to-vigorous physical activity (MVPA) with dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry-measured fat mass were examined in 6059 children aged 11 years followed-up until age 24 years from the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC), UK birth cohort. Over 13-year follow-up, each minute/day of ST was associated with 1.3 g increase in fat mass. However, each minute/day of LPA was associated with 3.6 g decrease in fat mass and each minute/day of MVPA was associated with 1.3 g decrease in fat mass. Persistently accruing ≥60 min/day of MVPA was associated with 2.8 g decrease in fat mass per each minute/day of MVPA, partly mediated by decrease insulin and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. LPA elicited similar and potentially stronger fat mass-lowering effect than MVPA and thus may be targeted in obesity and ST prevention in children and adolescents, who are unable or unwilling to exercise.
Aims
We examined the longitudinal associations of sedentary time (ST), light physical activity (LPA), and moderate‐to‐vigorous PA (MVPA) from childhood with carotid‐femoral pulse wave velocity ...(cfPWV), a measure of arterial stiffness and carotid intima‐media thickness (cIMT).
Methods
We studied 1339 children, aged 11 years from Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children, UK, followed up for 13 years. Accelerometer‐based ST, LPA, and MVPA were assessed at ages 11, 15, and 24 years clinic visits. cfPWV and cIMT were measured with Vicorder and ultrasound, respectively, at ages 17 and 24 years.
Results
Among 1339 56.4% female participants, mean ST increased from ages 11 through 24 years, while mean LPA and MVPA decreased. Persistently high ST tertile from childhood was associated with increased cfPWV progression, effect estimate 0.047 m/s; (95% CI 0.005 to 0.090); p = 0.030, but not cIMT progression. Persistently high LPA tertile category was associated with decreased cfPWV progression in males −0.022 m/s; (−0.028 to −0.017); p < 0.001 and females −0.027 m/s; (−0.044 to −0.010); p < 0.001. Cumulative LPA exposure decreased the odds of progressively worsening cfPWV Odds ratio 0.994 (0.994–0.995); p < 0.0001 and cIMT. Persistent exposure to ≥60 min/day of MVPA was paradoxically associated with increased cfPWV progression in males 0.053 m/s; (0.030 to 0.077); p < 0.001 and females 0.012 m/s; (0.002 to 0.022); p = 0.016. Persistent exposure to ≥60 min/day of MVPA was inversely associated with cIMT progression in females −0.017 mm; (−0.026 to −0.009); p < 0.001.
Conclusion
LPA >3 h/day from childhood may attenuate progressively worsening vascular damage associated with increased ST in youth.
Background: Little is known about the role of economic recessions in the risk of cancer. Therefore, we evaluated the impact of the severe economic recession in Finland from 1991–1994 on the incidence ...of all cancers and cancer subtypes among a middle-age and older population.Methods: From the Kuopio Ischemic Heart Disease Risk Factor Study (KIHD), a population-based sample of 1,620 women and men aged 53–73 years were examined from 1998–2001. The cancer-free participants completed a questionnaire on the possible impact of the 1990s recession in Finland on their lives. Incident cases of cancer were obtained through record linkage with the Finnish Cancer Registry. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) of incident cancer events after adjusting for possible confounders.Results: A total of 1,096 cancer-free participants had experienced socioeconomic hardships due to the recession at the baseline. During 20 years of follow-up, 473 participants developed cancer. After adjustment for age, baseline socioeconomic position, and lifestyle factors, the risk of all cancers was 32% higher among men who experienced socioeconomic hardships compared to those who did not (HR 1.32; 95% confidence interval CI, 1.00–1.74, P = 0.05). Prostate-genital cancer was 71% higher among men with hardships (n = 103, HR 1.71; 95% CI, 1.06–2.74, P = 0.02). No association was observed between socioeconomic hardships and subsequent risk of total or any subtype of cancer among women.Conclusion: The 1990s economic recession was associated with increased risk of all cancers, especially prostate-genital cancer among Finnish middle-age and older men, but no association with cancer was observed in women.
We examined the longitudinal associations of fat mass, lean mass, and blood pressure (BP) from childhood through young adulthood with changes in carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (cfPWV), a measure ...of arterial stiffness, and carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT). We included 3863 participants from the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children birth cohort. Fat mass and lean mass, measured by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry, and BP were measured at ages 9, 17 and 24 years and classified into low, moderate, and high tertiles. cfPWV and cIMT were measured at 17 and 24 years of age. Associations were examined via linear mixed effect models and adjusted for cardiometabolic and lifestyle factors. Among 1720 44.5% male and 2143 55.5% female participants, cumulative high exposures to lean mass (effect estimate 0.006 m/s 95% CI 0.001 to 0.010; p = 0.022), systolic BP (0.013 m/s 0.009 to 0.017; p < 0.0001) and diastolic BP (0.023 m/s 0.019 to 0.027; p < 0.0001) from 9-24 years of age were positively associated with the 7-year increase in cfPWV. Persistent high exposures to lean mass (0.012 mm; 0.008 to 0.016; p < 0.0001), body mass index (0.007 mm 0.003 to 0.011; p = 0.001), and systolic BP (0.010 mm; 0.006 to 0.014; p < 0.0001) from ages 9-24 years were positively associated with thicker cIMT at 17-24 years of age. Total fat and trunk fat mass from childhood had no association with cfPWV or cIMT progression. In conclusion, increased lean mass and BP but not fat mass from childhood drives arterial remodeling in young adulthood.
Infections are one of the main causes of mortality in elderly due to the decrease of immune response, for which copper (Cu) and zinc (Zn) are claimed to be crucial. High serum copper-to-zinc-ratio
(
...Cu/Zn-ratio) has been reported with infections, but little is known whether it could also predict the incidence of infections. The study cohort consisted of 1975 men aged 42–60 years and free of severe infectious disease at baseline in 1984–1989 from the prospective population-based Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Risk Factor Study. The main outcome was an incident infection leading to hospitalization. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used for statistical analysis. During the average follow-up of 19.2 years, 636 incident first cases of infections were diagnosed. The hazard ratio (HR) of developing an incident infectious disease in the highest compared to the lowest Cu/Zn-ratio quartile after adjustment for age and baseline examination year was 1.35 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.07–1.69,
P
-trend across quartiles = 0.005. The association was slightly attenuated after additional adjustment for potential confounders (HR = 1.21, 95% CI = 0.96–1.53,
P
-trend = 0.054). Furthermore, higher serum Cu concentration was associated with higher risk of an incident infection. The multivariable-adjusted HR was 1.39 (95% CI = 1.10–1.75,
P
-trend = 0.005) in the highest versus the lowest serum Cu quartile. Serum Zn concentration was not associated with the risk (multivariable-adjusted extreme-quartile HR = 0.83, 95% CI = 0.67–1.04,
P
-trend = 0.218). In conclusion, our data suggest that an increased Cu/Zn-ratio and especially serum Cu concentration are associated with increased risk of incident infections in middle-aged and older men in Eastern Finland.
The purpose of this study was to discover how considering multiplicative, additive, and interactive effects modifies results of a prospective cohort study on coronary heart disease (CHD) incidence ...and its main risk factors.
The Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Risk Factor (KIHD) Study provided the study material, 2682 Eastern Finnish middle-aged men, followed since the 1980s. We applied multiplicative and additive survival models together with different statistical metrics and confidence intervals for risk ratios and risk differences to estimate the nature of associations.
The mean (SD) follow-up time among men who were free of CHD at baseline (n = 1958) was 21.4 (10.4) years, and 717 (37%) of them had the disease and 301 (15%) died for CHD before the end of follow-up. All tested non-modifiable and modifiable risk factors statistically significantly predicted CHD incidence. We detected three interactions: circulating low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) × age, obesity × age, and obesity × smoking of which LDL-C × age was the most evident one. High LDL-C increased the risk of CHD more among men younger than 50 risk ratio (RR) 2.10 than those older than 50 (RR 1.22). LDL-C status was the only additive covariate. The additive effect of high LDL-C increased almost linearly up to 18 years and then reached a plateau. The simple multiplicative survival model stressed glycemic status as the strongest modifiable risk factor for developing CHD hazard ratio (HR) for diabetes vs. normoglycemia was 2.69, whereas the model considering interactions and time dependence emphasised the role of LDL-C status (HR for high LDL-C vs. lower than borderline was 4.43). Age was the strongest non-modifiable predictor.
Including covariate interactions and time dependence in survival models potentially refine results of epidemiological analyses and ease to define the order of importance across CHD risk factors.
KEY MESSAGES
Including covariate interactions and time dependence in survival models potentially refine results of epidemiological analyses on coronary heart disease.
Including covariate interactions and time dependence in survival models potentially ease to define the order of importance across coronary heart disease risk factors.
There remains a dearth of life-course studies analyzing childhood environment and late-life chronic illness. In particular, few have addressed possible early-life predictors of dementia. This study ...examines relationships between childhood stress and later-age dementia, specifically Alzheimer's disease (AD).
We used data from 2682 men in the population-based Kuopio Ischemic Heart Disease Risk Factor Study who participated in extensive baseline health examinations and interviews between 1984 and 1989, when they were between 42 and 61 years of age. Childhood events were documented in these structured interviews. We created a composite childhood stress variable that included living in custody or an orphanage, experience of crisis in childhood, having problems with teachers and emigrating because of war. Data on incident cases of dementia, including AD, were obtained through 2014 via national health register linkages. Risk of developing dementia was estimated using Cox regression adjusting for age, education, income and prior/existing diseases at baseline.
Childhood stress was associated with increased risk of dementia (HR = 1.86, 95% CI: 1.12-3.10). Associations remained statistically significant after adjustment for age, education, income and other covariates (HR = 1.93, 95% CI: 1.14-3.25). Associations were marginally significant with AD, with HRs of similar magnitude.
Childhood stress plays an important role in late-life dementia risk among men. Support systems should be developed for children suffering from stressful conditions. Further research examining childhood social and environmental effects on later morbidity, in diverse populations, is necessary to develop a holistic understanding of life-course disease burden.
Purpose
To investigate associations of total dietary choline intake and its major dietary form, phosphatidylcholine, with type 2 diabetes risk.
Methods
We included 2332 men aged 42–60 years at ...baseline in 1984–1989 from the Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Risk Factor Study in eastern Finland. Dietary intakes were assessed with 4-d food recording at baseline. Type 2 diabetes diagnosis was based on self-administered questionnaires, fasting and 2-h oral glucose tolerance test blood glucose measurements, or by record linkage to national health registries. Multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression models were used for statistical analysis.
Results
During the mean 19.3-year follow-up, 432 men had type 2 diabetes diagnosis. After multivariable adjustments, those in the highest vs. lowest choline intake quartile had 25% (95% CI 2–43%) lower relative risk
(P
trend across quartiles = 0.02) and those in the highest vs. lowest phosphatidylcholine quartile had 41% (95% CI 22–55%) lower relative risk (
P
trend < 0.001) of type 2 diabetes.
Conclusions
Higher choline intake, especially phosphatidylcholine, was associated with lower type 2 diabetes risk among men.
We hypothesized that controversial results regarding the epidemiological relationship between circulating 25‐hydroxyvitamin D, 25(OH)D, and risk of prostate cancer (PCA) incidence are partly due to ...competing risks. To test the hypothesis, we studied associations across 25(OH)D, PCA and death in 2578 middle‐aged men belonging to the Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Risk Factor Study. The men were free of cancer at baseline, and the mean (SD) follow‐up time was 23.3 (9.1) years. During this period, 296 men had a PCA diagnosis, and 1448 men died without the PCA diagnosis. The absolute risk of developing PCA was highest in the highest 25(OH)D tertile (15%), whereas that of death was highest in the lowest 25(OH)D tertile (67%). A competing risk analysis showed that belonging to the highest 25(OH)D tertile increased the risk of PCA incidence and improved survival with the respective hazard ratios (HR) of 1.35 (95% CI = 1.07−1.70) and 0.79 (95% CI = 0.71−0.89). Adjusting for 10 covariates together with 25(OH)D did not significantly change the results, but the respective adjusted HRs for PCA and death were 1.20 and 0.87. To conclude, the competing risk analysis did not eliminate the direct relationship between 25(OH)D and PCA but rather strengthened it.