E-resources
-
Xian, Peng; Reid, Jeffrey S.; Hyer, Edward J.; Sampson, Charles R.; Rubin, Juli I.; Ades, Melanie; Asencio, Nicole; Basart, Sara; Benedetti, Angela; Bhattacharjee, Partha S.; Brooks, Malcolm E.; Colarco, Peter R.; da Silva, Arlindo M.; Eck, Tom F.; Guth, Jonathan; Jorba, Oriol; Kouznetsov, Rostislav; Kipling, Zak; Sofiev, Mikhail; Perez Garcia‐Pando, Carlos; Pradhan, Yaswant; Tanaka, Taichu; Wang, Jun; Westphal, Douglas L.; Yumimoto, Keiya; Zhang, Jianglong
Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, September 2019, Volume: 145, Issue: S1Journal Article
Since the first International Cooperative for Aerosol Prediction (ICAP) multi‐model ensemble (MME) study, the number of ICAP global operational aerosol models has increased from five to nine. An update of the current ICAP status is provided, along with an evaluation of the performance of ICAP‐MME over 2012–2017, with a focus on June 2016–May 2017. Evaluated with ground‐based Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET) aerosol optical depth (AOD) and data assimilation quality MODerate‐resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) retrieval products, the ICAP‐MME AOD consensus remains the overall top‐scoring and most consistent performer among all models in terms of root‐mean‐square error (RMSE), bias and correlation for total, fine‐ and coarse‐mode AODs as well as dust AOD; this is similar to the first ICAP‐MME study. Further, over the years, the performance of ICAP‐MME is relatively stable and reliable compared to more variability in the individual models. The extent to which the AOD forecast error of ICAP‐MME can be predicted is also examined. Leading predictors are found to be the consensus mean and spread. Regression models of absolute forecast errors were built for AOD forecasts of different lengths for potential applications. ICAP‐MME performance in terms of modal AOD RMSEs of the 21 regionally representative sites over 2012–2017 suggests a general tendency for model improvements in fine‐mode AOD, especially over Asia. No significant improvement in coarse‐mode AOD is found overall for this time period. International Cooperative for Aerosol Predictions (ICAP) model 550 nm total AOD RMSE of the 72 h forecast versus corresponding mean AODs for AERONET sites listed in Table 2. Large black dots are ICAP multi‐model ensemble consensus means. Individual models are in small coloured dots. Validation of fine‐ and coarse‐modal AODs and dust AOD is also available in Figure 2.
Author
![loading ... loading ...](themes/default/img/ajax-loading.gif)
Shelf entry
Permalink
- URL:
Impact factor
Access to the JCR database is permitted only to users from Slovenia. Your current IP address is not on the list of IP addresses with access permission, and authentication with the relevant AAI accout is required.
Year | Impact factor | Edition | Category | Classification | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JCR | SNIP | JCR | SNIP | JCR | SNIP | JCR | SNIP |
Select the library membership card:
If the library membership card is not in the list,
add a new one.
DRS, in which the journal is indexed
Database name | Field | Year |
---|
Links to authors' personal bibliographies | Links to information on researchers in the SICRIS system |
---|
Source: Personal bibliographies
and: SICRIS
The material is available in full text. If you wish to order the material anyway, click the Continue button.