Surface water temperatures are warming in many lakes across the globe, and this is widely attributed to warming air temperatures. Yet two lakes in Pennsylvania (USA) have shown long‐term increases in ...surface water temperatures over the past 27 summers during a period with no significant increase in regional air temperature. We examined the relationship between long‐term trends in seven metrics of whole‐lake thermal structure in two lakes and several potential driver variables. Driver variables included water transparency, lake pH, and meteorological variables. Both lakes exhibited significant surface warming and hypolimnetic cooling, resulting in stronger thermal stratification that further reduced mixing and heat transfer to deep waters. During this time period, there were no long‐term trends in solar radiation or in thawing degree days, but annual precipitation and lake pH increased. Water transparency greatly decreased due to increased dissolved organic matter quantity and color, most likely due to increased precipitation and recovery from anthropogenic acidification. In both lakes, the changes in lake thermal structure and heat distribution were strongly related to the decreases in water transparency and increases in dissolved organic matter. This transparency‐mediated mechanism may augment the effects of air temperature‐driven lake warming in other regions where decreasing transparency is also prevalent, further enhancing increases in surface water temperature and thermal stratification. These results have important ecological and biogeochemical implications, highlighting the need for investigations of multiple drivers to fully understand how lakes will respond to future climate change.
Plain Language Summary
Lakes provide key services to society ranging from drinking water and food to recreation and increased property value. But lakes are vulnerable to many environmental threats, including climate change. Two study lakes in Pennsylvania have experienced decreases in water clarity as the water has become more brown over the past three decades. As a result, sunlight and heat are more completely absorbed near the surface of the lake, with less light and heat reaching deeper waters. This leads to warmer surface waters and cooler deep waters. We attribute the reduced water clarity and changes in lake temperature to recovery from acid rain following the Clean Air Act amendments in the 1990s, combined with climate change‐induced increases in precipitation and storm events in the northeastern United States that increase runoff of organic matter into lakes. These changes are influencing other aspects of the lake ecosystem by accelerating oxygen depletion and altering the abundance of and habitat availability for algae, zooplankton, and fish.
Key Points
Increases in dissolved organic matter and decreases in water transparency led to surface water warming and deep water cooling in two small temperate lakes
Decreases in water transparency can lead to strong changes in lake thermal structure at rates similar to changes driven by warming air temperature
The clear lake showed more pronounced changes in water transparency and in lake thermal structure compared to the darker lake
As the lowest point in the surrounding landscape, lakes act as sensors in the landscape to provide insights into the response of both terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems to climate change. Here a ...novel suite of climate forcing optical indices (CFOI) from lakes across North America is found to respond to changes in air temperature, precipitation, and solar radiation at timescales ranging from a single storm event to seasonal changes to longer‐term interdecadal trends with regression r2 values ranging from 0.73 to 0.89. These indices are based on two optical metrics of dissolved organic carbon (DOC) quality: DOC specific absorbance (a*320) and spectral slope (S275–295), where the ratio a*320 to S275–295 gives a composite climate forcing index. These indices of DOC quality are more responsive to climate forcing than is DOC concentration. A similar relationship between the component indices a*320 and S275–295 is observed across a wide range of lake types. A conceptual model is used to examine the similarities and differences in DOC‐related mechanisms and ecological consequences due to increased temperature vs. precipitation. While both warmer and wetter conditions increase thermal stratification, these two types of climate forcing will have opposite effects on water transparency as well as many ecological consequences, including oxygen depletion, the balance between autotrophy and heterotrophy, and depth distributions of phytoplankton and zooplankton.
Sediment organic carbon (C) burial and CO2 fluxes in inland waters are quantitatively important in regional and global carbon budgets. Estimates of C fluxes from inland waters are typically based on ...limited temporal resolution despite potential large variations with season and weather events. Further, most freshwater C budget studies have focused on natural soft‐water lakes, while reservoirs and hard‐water systems are globally numerous. Our study quantifies C fluxes in two hard‐water, human constructed reservoirs (Ohio, USA) of contrasting watershed land use (agriculture vs. forest) using high‐resolution mass balance budgets. We show that during a dry summer, C retention and export via the dam were reduced compared to a wet summer. Both reservoirs were net CO2 sources during a wet summer, but CO2 sinks during a dry summer. Despite weather‐related summer differences, annual C fluxes within each reservoir were similar between years. Both reservoirs appear to be net autotrophic despite often being CO2 sources based on budgets. This is likely because CO2 fluxes in our hard‐water reservoirs were more strongly associated with DIC than DOC. Using our C fluxes and statewide watershed land use, we determined the regional importance of Ohio reservoirs in OC burial and CO2 emissions. We estimate that Ohio reservoirs bury up to 4 times more OC, but emit <25% of CO2, than predicted based on their area and recent global mean estimates in lentic ecosystems. Our results provide evidence that moderately old (~50 years), temperate hard‐water reservoirs are important OC sinks but contribute little to CO2 emissions.
Key PointsTemperate reservoirs are large sediment carbon sinksTemperate reservoirs are small carbon dioxide sourcesWeather events important for carbon budget interpretation
Winter conditions, such as ice cover and snow accumulation, are changing rapidly at northern latitudes and can have important implications for lake processes. For example, snowmelt in the watershed—a ...defining feature of lake hydrology because it delivers a large portion of annual nutrient inputs—is becoming earlier. Consequently, earlier and a shorter duration of snowmelt are expected to affect annual phytoplankton biomass. To test this hypothesis, we developed an index of runoff timing based on the date when 50% of cumulative runoff between January 1 and May 31 had occurred. The runoff index was computed using stream discharge for inflows, outflows, or for flows from nearby streams for 41 lakes in Europe and North America. The runoff index was then compared with summer chlorophyll‐a (Chl‐a) concentration (a proxy for phytoplankton biomass) across 5–53 years for each lake. Earlier runoff generally corresponded to lower summer Chl‐a. Furthermore, years with earlier runoff also had lower winter/spring runoff magnitude, more protracted runoff, and earlier ice‐out. We examined several lake characteristics that may regulate the strength of the relationship between runoff timing and summer Chl‐a concentrations; however, our tested covariates had little effect on the relationship. Date of ice‐out was not clearly related to summer Chl‐a concentrations. Our results indicate that ongoing changes in winter conditions may have important consequences for summer phytoplankton biomass and production.
Summer chlorophyll‐a (Chl‐a) in north temperate lakes has a positive relationship with winter–spring runoff timing (a), indicating that years with early runoff have lower summer Chl‐a. Summer Chl‐a is also positively related to the volume of winter–spring runoff (b), that is, years with high stream discharge volume have higher Chl‐a. Duration of winter–spring runoff is negatively related to runoff timing (c), and runoff timing is positively related to runoff volume (d), indicating that years with early runoff also have more protracted runoff and lower stream discharge volume.
Lakes and reservoirs bury large quantities of organic carbon (C) and nutrients (nitrogen, N; phosphorus, P) in their sediments, especially when expressed relative to the small area they occupy. ...Global estimates of C and nutrient burial rates in reservoirs require a quantitative understanding of the wide variation in the rates and ratios at which C, N and P are sequestered in sediments. We examined how catchment and reservoir characteristics relate to sediment organic C, N and P concentrations, stoichiometric burial ratios (C : P, C : N, N : P) and burial rates in 13 small reservoirs across a catchment land use gradient in the Midwestern United States. Sediment P concentrations were positively correlated with urban catchment land use and negatively correlated with agricultural catchment land use. Stoichiometric burial ratios varied with catchment land use. Both N : P and C : P were positively correlated with agricultural land use, while these ratios were negatively correlated with urban land use and forested land use. In general, rates of C, N and P burial per unit lake area were not related to land use in the catchment, but were all positively correlated with catchment area to lake area ratios. Results from our study reservoirs suggest that reservoir burial rates are more tightly coupled with morphometric catchment characteristics than with land use. Our results suggest that small reservoirs are regionally and globally significant for biogeochemical processing. However, regional variation requires that much more comprehensive sampling is needed for accurate estimates of global element burial rates.
Widespread long‐term increases in dissolved organic carbon (DOC) concentrations (i.e., “browning”) have been observed in many lakes, but the ecological consequences are poorly understood. Some ...studies suggest a unimodal relationship between DOC and primary productivity, with peak productivity at intermediate DOC concentrations. This peak is hypothesized to result from the tradeoff between light absorbing properties of DOC, and increases in limiting nutrients with browning. Nevertheless, it is unclear whether nutrient stoichiometry is constant as lakes brown. Across both regional and national surveys, we found a positive linear relationship between DOC and both total and organic forms of nitrogen and phosphorus. However, long‐term data from a suite of browning lakes indicates that total nutrients do not increase as DOC increases through time. Our results show that DOC and limiting nutrients are coupled spatially, but not temporally, and that this temporal mismatch challenges previous conceptualizations of the long‐term effects of browning on productivity.
Lake surface water temperatures are warming worldwide, raising concerns about the future integrity of valuable lake ecosystem services. In contrast to surface water temperatures, we know far less ...about what is happening to water temperature beneath the surface, where most organisms live. Moreover, we know little about which characteristics make lakes more or less sensitive to climate change and other environmental stressors. We examined changes in lake thermal structure for 231 lakes across northeastern North America (NENA), a region with an exceptionally high density of lakes. We determined how lake thermal structure has changed in recent decades (1975–2012) and assessed which lake characteristics are related to changes in lake thermal structure. In general, NENA lakes had increasing near-surface temperatures and thermal stratification strength. On average, changes in deepwater temperatures for the 231 lakes were not significantly different than zero, but individually, half of the lakes experienced warming and half cooling deepwater temperature through time. More transparent lakes (Secchi transparency >5 m) tended to have higher near-surface warming and greater increases in strength of thermal stratification than less transparent lakes. Whole-lake warming was greatest in polymictic lakes, where frequent summer mixing distributed heat throughout the water column. Lakes often function as important sentinels of climate change, but lake characteristics within and across regions modify the magnitude of the signal with important implications for lake biology, ecology and chemistry.
Aquatic ecosystem management requires knowledge of the links among landscape-level anthropogenic disturbances and aquatic ecosystem properties. With large catchment area to surface area ratios ...(CA:SA), reservoirs often receive substantial terrestrial subsidies and can be particularly sensitive to eutrophication. Reservoir numbers and attendant management problems are increasing, and tools are needed to categorize their eutrophication status. We analyzed a dataset of 109 reservoirs in Ohio (USA) in an effort to classify eutrophication status using landscape-level features and reservoir morphometry. These predictor variables were selected because they are relatively stable and easily measured. We employed regression tree analysis and used a composite eutrophication variable as our response variable. Our regression tree analysis accurately divided 67% of Ohio reservoirs into 4 eutrophication status groups using 3 predictor variables: percentage of catchment area composed of agriculture versus forest; maximum reservoir depth; and CA:SA. We can infer that reservoirs with catchments containing >71% forest will likely be oligotrophic to mesotrophic. For reservoirs with <71% catchment forest, trophic status is determined by the relative extent of catchment row crops and either CA:SA or maximum depth. We applied our regression tree to a subset of reservoirs in the Environmental Protection Agency's National Lakes Assessment (NLA; n = 339 reservoirs). With a few exceptions, we categorized NLA reservoirs by eutrophication status despite their broad geographical range across the contiguous USA. Our results show that a few easily measured, stable parameters can classify reservoir eutrophication status. Models like ours may be useful for broad-scale management decisions.
Herbivores can have both direct (consumptive) and indirect (nutrient-mediated) effects on primary producer biomass and nutrient stoichiometry. Ecological stoichiometry theory predicts that herbivores ...of contrasting body stoichiometry will differentially remineralize nutrients, resulting in feedbacks on producer stoichiometry. We experimentally separated direct and indirect effects of aquatic vertebrate grazers on periphyton by manipulating grazer abundance and identity in mesocosms, and using grazer exclusion cages to expose periphyton to recycled nutrients in the absence of direct grazing. In experiment 1, we used a catfish with high body phosphorus (low body N:P), Ancistrus triradiatus, to assess consumptive versus nutrient-mediated effects of grazer density on periphyton. In experiment 2, we compared the nutrient-mediated effects of grazing by Ancistrus triradiatus and Rana palmipes, a tadpole with low body phosphorus and high body N:P. In experiment 1, we found that increasing catfish density led to lower biomass and particulate nutrients in periphyton through direct consumptive effects, but that nutrient-mediated indirect effects enhanced periphyton biomass when grazers were experimentally separated from direct contact with periphyton. As predicted by stoichiometry theory, nutrient recycling by this P-rich grazer tended to increase algal C:P and N:P (although effects were not statistically significant), while their consumptive effects reduced algal C:P and N:P. In experiment 2, grazer identity had strong effects on dissolved water nutrient concentrations, N recycling (measured with a ¹⁵N tracer), and periphyton stoichiometry. In accordance with stoichiometry theory, catfish increased N concentrations and recycling rates leading to higher periphyton N:P, while tadpoles had greater effects on P availability leading to lower periphyton N:P. Our experiments elucidate the importance of both the density and identity of grazers in controlling periphyton biomass and stoichiometry through consumptive and nutrient-mediated effects, and support the power of ecological stoichiometry theory to predict feedbacks on producer stroichiometry arising from consumer stoichiometry through nutrient recycling.