Studies concerning 222Rn emission from soils are growing interest in the Earth Sciences, due to the gas potential as a tracer of natural phenomena. This paper presents a study of radon monitoring in ...two sites of Campi Flegrei caldera (Neaples, Italy) during the period July 1, 2011–December 31, 2017. This area was characterized by several phases of volcanic unrest. A hybrid method based on Multiple Linear Regression + Remote Radon Estimation method + Singular Spectrum Analysis (MLR + RRE + SSA) is developed for the trend extraction and the identification of anomalies in the time series of 222Rn. The results are compared with several routinely used geo-indicators of the caldera unrest. The comparisons show strong correlation among the signals. The present study proves the 222Rn is a potential indicator of the evolution of a volcanic crisis.
•Radon time series at 2 sites of Campi Flegrei caldera (Naples, Italy) are studied.•The time series analysis is performed for the trend and anomalies extraction.•The results are compared with geo-indicators of caldera unrest.•Radon trends follow the dynamic changes in gas flow regime within caldera.•Radon anomalies mimic the evolution of Campi Flegrei volcanic unrest.
The present work concerns a detailed analysis of Radon time series to differentiate endogenous from exogenous phenomena which provide anomalous signals. Two-year data from two sites in Czech Republic ...and in Italy are analyzed in order to contribute to the prevention of natural hazards. A new hybrid forecasting method is implemented and tuned for the identification of Radon anomalies in the time series. It is based on the combination of Multiple Linear Regressions, Empirical Mode Decomposition and Support Vector Regression methods that decompose the signal and analyze the components to distinguish the variations due to Radon originated in depths from those due to environmental parameters. The possible correlations with fumarolic tremors in the Italian site and the faults microdisplacements in the Czech site have been studied, as well as with the earthquakes that have influence on two studied areas. Results show that: (i) the used method is very effective considering the calculated statistical uncertainties; (ii) the outer temperature is the main influencing Radon driving force; (iii) the extracted Radon anomalies due to endogenous phenomena are well correlated with fault displacements, fumarolic tremors, and with earthquakes under a characteristic delay time for each area; (iv) significant correlations among earthquake magnitude and depth with fault displacement and fumarolic tremor are found.
•An hybrid forecasting model for anomaly detection in time series is applied.•Radon concentration anomaly as precursor of earthquake is investigated.•The outer temperature is the main influencing Radon driving force.•Correlations among earthquake magnitude and depth with fault displacement are found.•Radon anomalies are correlated with fault displacement and fumarolic tremor.
The MU-RAY detector for muon radiography of volcanoes Anastasio, A.; Ambrosino, F.; Basta, D. ...
Nuclear Instruments and Methods in Physics Research Section A: Accelerators, Spectrometers, Detectors and Associated Equipment,
12/2013, Letnik:
732
Journal Article, Conference Proceeding
Recenzirano
The MU-RAY detector has been designed to perform muon radiography of volcanoes. The possible use on the field introduces several constraints. First the electric power consumption must be reduced to ...the minimum, so that the detector can be solar-powered. Moreover it must be robust and transportable, for what concerns the front-end electronics and data acquisition. A 1m2 prototype has been constructed and is taking data at Mt. Vesuvius. The detector consists of modules of 32 scintillator bars with wave length shifting fibers and silicon photomultiplier read-out. A dedicated front-end electronics has been developed, based on the SPIROC ASIC. An introduction to muon radiography principles, the MU-RAY detector description and results obtained in laboratory will be presented.
Muon Radiography or muography is based on the measurement of the absorption or scattering of cosmic muons, as they pass through the interior of large scale bodies, In particular, absorption muography ...has been applied to investigate the presence of hidden cavities inside the pyramids or underground, as well as the interior of volcanoes’ edifices. The MURAVES project has the challenging aim of investigating the density distribution inside the summit of Mt. Vesuvius. The information, together with that coming from gravimetric measurements, is useful as input to models, to predict how an eruption may develop. The MURAVES apparatus is a robust and low power consumption muon telescope consisting of an array of three identical and independent muon trackers, which provide in a modular way a total sensitive area of three square meters. Each tracker consists of four doublets of planes of plastic scintillator bars with orthogonal orientation, optically coupled to Silicon photomultipliers for the readout of the signal. The muon telescope has been installed on the slope of the volcano and has collected a first set of data, which are being analyzed.
The interpretation of dynamic processes that occur in volcanic calderas is not simple. The ground deformations and the local seismicity, which in other volcanic contexts are usually regarded as ...precursors to eruption, in caldera environment in many cases are not followed by any eruption. We formulate a general hypothesis that can explain these behaviors. Our hypothesis is that the intrusion of a sill can be responsible for the dynamics observed during unrest at calderas. In order to investigate the reliability of this hypothesis, we developed a dynamic model of sill intrusion in a shallow volcanic environment. In our model, the sill, fed by a deeper magma reservoir, intrudes below a horizontal elastic plate, representing the overlying rocks, and expands with axisymmetric geometry. The model is based on the numerical solution of the equation for the elastic plate, coupled with a Navier‐Stokes equation for simulating the dynamics of the sill intrusion. We performed a number of simulations, with the objective of showing the main features of the model. In the experiments, when the feeding process stops, the vertical movement reverses its trend and the area of maximum uplift undergoes subsidence. Under certain conditions the subsidence can occur even during the intrusion of the sill. The stress field produced by the intrusion is mainly concentrated in a circular zone that follows the sill intrusion front. The features predicted by the model are consistent with many observations carried out on different calderas as reported in the scientific literature.
Key Points
We developed a new model for sill intrusion in volcanic calderas
We model the processes associated to the sill intrusion at shallow depth
Model results are consistent with the main observations in volcanic calderas
Open conduit volcanoes like Stromboli can display elusive changes in activity before major eruptive events. Starting on December 2020, Stromboli volcano displayed an increasing eruptive activity, ...that on 19 May 2021 led to a crater-rim collapse, with pyroclastic density currents (PDCs) that spread along the barren NW flank, entered the sea and ran across it for more than 1 km. This episode was followed by lava flow output from the crater rim lasting a few hours, followed by another phase of lava flow in June 2021. These episodes are potentially very dangerous on island volcanoes since a landslide of hot material that turns into a pyroclastic density current and spreads on the sea surface can threaten mariners and coastal communities, as happened at Stromboli on 3 July and 28 August 2019. In addition, on entering the sea, if their volume is large enough, landslides may trigger tsunamis, as occurred at Stromboli on 30 December 2002. In this paper, we present an integration of multidisciplinary monitoring data, including thermal and visible camera images, ground deformation data gathered from GNSS, tilt, strainmeter and GBInSAR, seismicity, SO
2
plume and CO
2
ground fluxes and thermal data from the ground and satellite imagery, together with petrological analyses of the erupted products compared with samples from previous similar events. We aim at characterizing the preparatory phase of the volcano that began on December 2020 and led to the May–June 2021 eruptive activity, distinguishing this small intrusion of magma from the much greater 2019 eruptive phase, which was fed by gas-rich magma responsible for the paroxysmal explosive and effusive phases of July–August 2019. These complex eruption scenarios have important implications for hazard assessment and the lessons learned at Stromboli volcano may prove useful for other open conduit active basaltic volcanoes.
The MURAVES (MUon RAdiography of VESuvius) project is a joint activity participated by INGV, INFN and the Universities of Naples “Federico II” and Florence. The collaboration, following the ...experience gained within the previous INFN R&D project Mu-Ray, is currently completing the production of a robust four square meter low power consumption detector to be installed on the flank of Mount Vesuvius, an active volcano located on the western coast of Italy. The detector is supposed to collect data for at least one year, thus allowing performing a scan of the structure of the Vesuvius volcanic cone. In this work the status of the project and some parallel activities on muon radiography are presented.
Fluids supplied by stored magma at depth are causal factors of volcanic unrest, as they can cause pressurization/heating of hydrothermal systems. However, evidence for links between hydrothermal ...pressurization, CO2 emission and volcano seismicity have remained elusive. Here, we use recent (2010−2020) observations at Campi Flegrei caldera (CFc) to show hydrothermal pressure, gas emission and seismicity at CFc share common source areas and well-matching temporal evolutions. We interpret the recent escalation in seismicity and surface gas emissions as caused by pressure-temperature increase at the top of a vertically elongated (0.3–2 km deep) gas front. Using mass (steam) balance considerations, we show hydrothermal pressurization is causing energy transfer from the fluids to the host rocks, ultimately triggering low magnitude earthquakes within a seismogenetic volume containing the hydrothermal system. This mechanism is probably common to other worldwide calderas in similar hydrothermal activity state.
•Gas-geoindicators indicate an escalation of the hydrothermal P-T Campi Flegrei•Pressurization causes increase of the CO2 emission at Solfatara (up to 5000 t/d)•Increasing hydrothermal P-T and CO2 emission trigger low magnitude earthquakes
Seismic data recorded in the 2–30 s band at Stromboli Volcano, Italy, are analyzed to quantify the source mechanisms of Strombolian explosions during September 1997. To determine the source‐centroid ...location and source mechanism, we minimize the residual error between data and synthetics calculated by the finite difference method for a point source embedded in a homogeneous elastic medium that takes topography into account. Two source centroids are identified, each representative of the distinct event types associated with explosive eruptions from two different vents. The observed waveforms are well reproduced by our inversion, and the two source centroids that best fit the data are offset 220 and 260 m beneath and ∼160 m northwest of the active vents. The source mechanisms include both moment‐tensor and single‐force components. The principal axes of the moment tensor have amplitude ratios 1:1:2, which can be interpreted as representative of a crack, if one assumes the rock matrix at the source to have a Poisson ratio ν = 1/3, a value appropriate for hot rock. Both imaged cracks dip ∼60° to the northwest and strike northeast–southwest along a direction parallel to the elongation of the volcanic edifice and a prominent zone of structural weakness, as expressed by lineaments, dikes, and brittle structures. For our data set, the volume changes estimated from the moments are ∼200 m3 for the largest explosion from each vent. Together with the volumetric source is a dominantly vertical force with a magnitude of 108 N, consistent with the inferred movement of the magma column perched above the source centroid in response to the piston‐like rise of a slug of gas in the conduit.
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