We compared surgical resection (SR) and radiofrequency ablation (RFA) as first-line treatment in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) based on the risk of microvascular invasion (MVI).
The ...best curative treatment modality between SR and RFA in patients with HCC with MVI remains unclear.
Data from 2 academic cancer center-based cohorts of patients with a single, small (≤3 cm) HCC who underwent SR were used to derive (n = 276) and validate (n = 101) prediction models for MVI using clinical and imaging variables. The MVI prediction model was developed using multivariable logistic regression analysis and externally validated. Early recurrence (<2 years) based on risk stratification between SR (n = 276) and RFA (n = 240) was evaluated via propensity score matching.
In the multivariable analysis, alpha-fetoprotein (≥15 ng/mL), protein induced by vitamin K absence-II (≥48 mAU/mL), arterial peritumoral enhancement, and hepatobiliary peritumoral hypointensity on magnetic resonance imaging were associated with MVI. Incorporating these factors, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the predictive model was 0.87 (95% confidence interval: 0.82-0.92) and 0.82 (95% confidence interval: 0.74-0.90) in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. SR was associated with a lower rate of early recurrence than RFA based on the risk of MVI after propensity score matching (P < 0.05).
Our model predicted the risk of MVI in patients with a small (≤ 3 cm) HCC with high accuracy. Patients with MVI who had undergone RFA were more vulnerable to recurrence than those who had undergone SR.
Exacerbation of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is common. Identification of the exacerbating factors could facilitate interventions for forecastable environmental factors through adjustment of the ...patient's daily routine. We assessed the effect of natural environmental factors on the exacerbation of IBD.
In this systematic review and meta-analysis, studies published from January 1, 1992 to November 3th, 2022 were searched in the MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL Complete and Cochrane Library databases. We extracted data related to the impact of environmental variations on IBD exacerbation, and performed a meta-analysis of the individual studies' correlation coefficient χ2 converted into Cramér's V (φc) with 95% confidence intervals (CI).
A total of 7,346 publications were searched, and 20 studies (sample size 248-84,000 cases) were selected. A meta-analysis with seven studies was performed, and the pooled estimate of the correlation (φc) between the seasonal variations and IBD exacerbations among 4806 cases of IBD exacerbation was 0.11 (95% CI 0.07-0.14; I2 = 39%; p = 0.13). When divided into subtypes of IBD, the pooled estimate of φc in ulcerative colitis (six studies, n = 2649) was 0.07 (95% CI 0.03-0.11; I2 = 3%; p = 0.40) and in Crohn's disease (three studies, n = 1597) was 0.12 (95% CI 0.07-0.18; I2 = 18%; p = 0.30).
There was a significant correlation between IBD exacerbation and seasonal variations, however, it was difficult to synthesize pooled results of other environmental indicators due to the small number of studies and the various types of reported outcome measures. For clinical implications, additional evidence through well-designed follow-up studies is needed.
CRD42022304916.
Age at diagnosis (AAD) and telomerase reverse transcriptase (TERT) promoter mutations are prognostic factors in differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC), and the prevalence of the mutations increases ...with AAD. Considering this correlation, we investigated whether an interaction between AAD and the mutations is present and whether the mutation mediates the effect of AAD on the mortality rate in DTC. The study included 393 patients with DTC who were followed-up after thyroidectomy at a single medical center in Korea from 1994 to 2004. Multivariable Cox regression was used to investigate the interaction of AAD and TERT promoter mutation. Mediation analysis was conducted using a regression-based causal mediation model. The age-associated mortality rate increased progressively in all DTC patients and wild-type TERT group (WT-TERT) with a linear trend (p < 0.001) contrary to mutant TERT group (M-TERT) (p = 0.301). Kaplan-Meier curves declined progressively with increasing AAD in the entire group, but the change was without significance in M-TERT. The effect of AAD on mortality was not significant (adjusted HR: 1.07, 95% CI 0.38-3.05) in M-TERT. An interaction between AAD and TERT promoter mutation (p = 0.005) was found in a multivariable Cox regression. TERT promoter mutations mediated the effect of AAD on the mortality rate by 36% in DTC in a mediation analysis. Considering the mediation of TERT promoter mutation on the effect of AAD on mortality, inclusion of TERT promoter mutation in a stage classification to achieve further individualized prediction in DTC is necessary.
Limited data are available regarding when to start treatment after a diagnosis of nontuberculous mycobacteria-pulmonary disease (NTM-PD) or regarding how achieving culture conversion affects NTM-PD ...outcomes.
Does the time between diagnosis and antibiotic initiation influence culture conversion or all-cause mortality in NTM-PD, and is there any association between achieving culture conversion after antibiotics and reduced all-cause mortality?
We evaluated 712 patients who received antibiotics for 6 or more months after diagnosis of NTM-PD between July 1997 and December 2013. Data on the waiting period, defined as the interval between diagnosis and treatment initiation, and on outcomes such as culture conversion by 6 months or death were collected. Factors associated with outcomes were analyzed after adjusting for disease severity, using the BMI, age, cavity, erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), and sex (BACES) system.
Thirty-eight percent of study patients had mild disease, 48% had moderate disease, and 14% had severe disease. The median waiting period without antibiotics among all patients was 4.8 (interquartile range, 1.3-20.8) months. After treatment initiation, 479 (67%) patients achieved culture conversion within 6 months, and 135 (19%) patients died. In univariable and multivariable models adjusted for BACES severity, no association between the waiting period and 6-month culture conversion or death was identified. However, 6-month culture conversion demonstrated a significant negative correlation with death (crude hazard ratio HR, 0.46, 95% CI, 0.33-0.65; adjusted HR, 0.51, 95% CI, 0.35-0.74). In the subgroup treated for more than 12 months, 12-month culture conversion was also associated with reduced death (adjusted HR, 0.51; 95% CI, 0.33-0.78).
It may be reasonable to start antibiotics according to the “watchful waiting” strategy for NTM-PD, but given the survival benefits, achieving culture conversion is an important goal for patients in need of treatment.
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Background:This study compared myocardial injury after non-cardiac surgery (MINS) and mortalities between patients under and over the age of 45 years.Methods and Results:From January 2010 and June ...2019, patients with cardiac troponin measurement within 30 days after non-cardiac surgery were enrolled and divided into groups according to age: >45 (≥45 years) and <45 (<45 years). Further analyses were conducted only in patients who were diagnosed with MINS. The outcomes were MINS and 30-day mortality. Of the 35,223 patients, 31,161 (88.5%) patients were in the >45-year group and 4,062 (11.5%) were in the <45-year group. After adjustment with inverse probability of weighting, the <45-years group showed a lower incidence of MINS and cardiovascular mortality (16.6% vs. 11.7%; odds ratio, 0.77; 95% confidence interval CI, 0.69–0.84; P<0.001 and 0.4% vs. 0.2%; hazard ratio HR, 0.41; 95% CI, 0.19–0.88; P=0.02, respectively). In a comparison of only the <45-years group, MINS was associated with increased 30-day mortality (0.7% vs. 10.3%; HR, 10.48; 95% CI, 6.18–17.78; P<0.001), but the mortalities of patients with MINS did not differ according to age.Conclusions:MINS has a comparable prognostic impact in patients aged under and over 45 years; therefore, future studies need to also consider patients aged <45 years regarding risk factors of MINS and screening of perioperative troponin elevation.
It is unclear if various types and domains of exercise have an identical effect on non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Thus, this study aimed to investigate associations of different physical ...activity domains and muscle strength exercise with NAFLD using a nation-wide cohort database. Adults aged 20-79 years who participated in the Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey between 2014 and 2018 were analyzed. Hepatic steatosis index was used to identify NAFLD. Physical activity was assessed with the Global Physical Activity Questionnaire. Of 21,015 participants, 4942 (23.5%) had NAFLD. Participants with ≥ 150 min/week of total physical activity had a lower risk of NAFLD than those with < 150 min/week (the fully adjusted OR: 0.86, 95% CI 0.78-0.95). When the individual domain of physical activity was assessed, ≥ 150 min/week of recreation activity was associated with a reduced risk of NAFLD (OR: 0.77, 95% CI 0.67-0.88), whereas ≥ 150 min/week of travel or work activity was not. The fully adjusted OR for NAFLD comparing participants with ≥ 2/week to those with < 2/week of muscle strength exercise was 0.83 (95% CI 0.73-0.94). Muscle strength exercise ≥ 2/week showed a lower risk of NAFLD for all levels of total and each specific domains of physical activity except for ≥ 150 min/week of work activity. An increased level of physical activity and muscle strength exercise was associated with a reduced risk of NAFLD, albeit the effect varied depending on domains of physical activity. Thus, physical activity should be differentiated by domains for the management of NAFLD. Muscle strength exercise could also be a good option for individuals who could not perform moderate-to-vigorous physical activity.
Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is an idiopathic inflammatory disorder characterized by chronic and relapsing manifestations. Several environmental factors are known as triggers for exacerbation of ...IBD. However, an association between exacerbation of IBD and ambient temperature is uncertain. This study aimed to estimate the risk of acute exacerbation of IBD due to ambient temperature. We performed a bidirectional case-crossover study using a nationwide claim data from South Korea. The external validation was conducted with a large prospective cohort in the United Kingdom. We confirmed significant associations between acute exacerbation of IBD and the short-term ambient temperature changes toward severe temperatures, in the cold weather (-19.4°C-4.3°C) (odd ratio OR = 1.13, 95% confidence interval CI: 1.13-1.14) and in the hot weather (21.3°C-33.5°C) (OR = 1.16, 95% CI: 1.15-1.17). However, the association was not significant in the moderate weather (4.3°C-21.3°C). The external validation suggested consistent results with additional elevation of acute exacerbation risk in the colder weather (-13.4°C to 2.6°C) (OR = 1.90, 95% CI: 1.62-2.22) and in the hotter weather (15.7°C-28.4°C) (OR = 1.41, 95% CI: 1.32-1.51). We observed and validated that the short-term ambient temperature changes were associated with acute exacerbation of IBD in the cold and hot weathers. Our findings provide evidence that temperature changes are associated with the acute exacerbation of IBD.
We aimed to investigate the age-related glaucoma progression rates in myopic normal tension glaucoma (NTG). In this long-term retrospective cohort (7.2 ± 3.5 years), we grouped patients based on ...their age at initial presentation: group A (age < 30 years, 60 eyes), group B (30 ≤ age < 40, 66 eyes), and group C (40 ≤ age < 50 years, 63 eyes). We used a linear mixed-effects model to estimate retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) defect width enlargement rates. Group A showed a significantly faster rate of RNFL defect progression (3.01 ± 1.74°/year) than those of groups B and C (2.05 ± 1.55°/year and 2.06 ± 1.29°/year, P = 0.004 and 0.002). The difference was more marked when calculated for the first 10 years of follow-up in group A, B, and C (3.95 ± 2.70°/year, 2.39 ± 1.64°/year, and 1.98 ± 1.31°/year), and between the periods of age < 30 years, 30 ≤ age < 40 years, and 40 ≤ age < 50 years within group A. This is the first evidence of rapid glaucoma progression in the young adulthood and stabilization in older age in myopic NTG. Clinicians should consider the potentially aggressive course of glaucoma, especially in younger patients with myopic NTG, in contrast to the general slow progression in adulthood.
Highlights • Prognostic value of the proposed eighth edition AJCC TNM in DTC is uncertain. • The eighth edition resulted in down-staging in 40% of patients than the seventh. • The eighth edition can ...lead to superior prognostication for long-term CSS.
Robust and accurate prediction of severity for patients with COVID-19 is crucial for patient triaging decisions. Many proposed models were prone to either high bias risk or low-to-moderate ...discrimination. Some also suffered from a lack of clinical interpretability and were developed based on early pandemic period data. Hence, there has been a compelling need for advancements in prediction models for better clinical applicability.
The primary objective of this study was to develop and validate a machine learning-based Robust and Interpretable Early Triaging Support (RIETS) system that predicts severity progression (involving any of the following events: intensive care unit admission, in-hospital death, mechanical ventilation required, or extracorporeal membrane oxygenation required) within 15 days upon hospitalization based on routinely available clinical and laboratory biomarkers.
We included data from 5945 hospitalized patients with COVID-19 from 19 hospitals in South Korea collected between January 2020 and August 2022. For model development and external validation, the whole data set was partitioned into 2 independent cohorts by stratified random cluster sampling according to hospital type (general and tertiary care) and geographical location (metropolitan and nonmetropolitan). Machine learning models were trained and internally validated through a cross-validation technique on the development cohort. They were externally validated using a bootstrapped sampling technique on the external validation cohort. The best-performing model was selected primarily based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), and its robustness was evaluated using bias risk assessment. For model interpretability, we used Shapley and patient clustering methods.
Our final model, RIETS, was developed based on a deep neural network of 11 clinical and laboratory biomarkers that are readily available within the first day of hospitalization. The features predictive of severity included lactate dehydrogenase, age, absolute lymphocyte count, dyspnea, respiratory rate, diabetes mellitus, c-reactive protein, absolute neutrophil count, platelet count, white blood cell count, and saturation of peripheral oxygen. RIETS demonstrated excellent discrimination (AUROC=0.937; 95% CI 0.935-0.938) with high calibration (integrated calibration index=0.041), satisfied all the criteria of low bias risk in a risk assessment tool, and provided detailed interpretations of model parameters and patient clusters. In addition, RIETS showed potential for transportability across variant periods with its sustainable prediction on Omicron cases (AUROC=0.903, 95% CI 0.897-0.910).
RIETS was developed and validated to assist early triaging by promptly predicting the severity of hospitalized patients with COVID-19. Its high performance with low bias risk ensures considerably reliable prediction. The use of a nationwide multicenter cohort in the model development and validation implicates generalizability. The use of routinely collected features may enable wide adaptability. Interpretations of model parameters and patients can promote clinical applicability. Together, we anticipate that RIETS will facilitate the patient triaging workflow and efficient resource allocation when incorporated into a routine clinical practice.
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