To conduct a systematic review of economic models of newer anticoagulants for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation (SPAF).
We searched Medline, Embase, NHSEED and HTA databases and the Tuft's ...Registry from January 1, 2008 through October 10, 2012 to identify economic (Markov or discrete event simulation) models of newer agents for SPAF.
Eighteen models were identified. Each was based on a lone randomized trial/new agent, and these trials were clinically and methodologically heterogeneous. Dabigatran 150 mg, 110 mg and sequentially-dosed were assessed in 9, 8, and 9 models, rivaroxaban in 4 and apixaban in 4. Warfarin was a first-line comparator in 94% of models. Models were conducted from United States (44%), European (39%) and Canadian (17%) perspectives. Models typically assumed patients between 65-73 years old at moderate-risk of stroke initiated anticoagulation for/near a lifetime. All models reported cost/quality-adjusted life-year, 22% reported using a societal perspective, but none included indirect costs. Four models reported an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for a newer anticoagulant (dabigatran 110 mg (n = 4)/150 mg (n = 2); rivaroxaban (n = 1)) vs. warfarin above commonly reported willingness-to-pay thresholds. ICERs vs. warfarin ranged from $3,547-$86,000 for dabigatran 150 mg, $20,713-$150,000 for dabigatran 110 mg, $4,084-$21,466 for sequentially-dosed dabigatran and $23,065-$57,470 for rivaroxaban. Apixaban was found economically-dominant to aspirin, and dominant or cost-effective ($11,400-$25,059) vs. warfarin. Indirect comparisons from 3 models suggested conflicting comparative cost-effectiveness results.
Cost-effectiveness models frequently found newer anticoagulants cost-effective, but the lack of head-to-head trials and the heterogeneous characteristics of underlying trials and modeling methods make it difficult to determine the most cost-effective agent.
Assays monitoring P2Y12 platelet reactivity can accurately predict which patients will have a poor response to clopidogrel. We sought to determine the cost-effectiveness of using platelet reactivity ...assays (PRAs) to select a dual-antiplatelet regimen for patients with acute coronary syndrome. A hybrid decision tree Markov model was developed to determine the cost-effectiveness of universal clopidogrel, ticagrelor, or prasugrel (given to all patients) or PRA-driven ticagrelor or prasugrel (given to patients with high platelet reactivity, defined as >230 on the VerifyNow P2Y12 assay; the others received generic clopidogrel). We assumed a cohort of 65-year-old patients with acute coronary syndrome and an incidence of high platelet reactivity of 32% and 13% at ∼24 to 48 hours after revascularization and 1 month, respectively. The 5-year costs, quality-adjusted life-years, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were calculated for PRA-driven ticagrelor and prasugrel compared with universal clopidogrel, ticagrelor, or prasugrel. PRA-driven ticagrelor and prasugrel were cost-effective compared with universal clopidogrel (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio $40,100 and $49,143/quality-adjusted life-year, respectively); however, universal ticagrelor and prasugrel were not (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio $61,651 and $96,261/quality-adjusted life-year, respectively). Monte Carlo simulation suggested PRA-driven ticagrelor, PRA-driven prasugrel, universal ticagrelor, and universal prasugrel would have an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio <$50,000/quality-adjusted life-year in 52%, 40%, 23%, and 2% of the iterations compared with universal clopidogrel, respectively. Universal ticagrelor and prasugrel were not cost-effective compared with their respective PRA-driven regimens (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio $68,182; $116,875/quality-adjusted life-year, respectively). Monte Carlo simulation suggested universal ticagrelor and prasugrel would have an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio <$50,000/quality-adjusted life-year in 26% and 4% of iterations compared with their respective PRA-driven regimens. The results were most sensitive to differences in agent costs and drug-specific relative risks of death. In conclusion, even with generic clopidogrel, PRA-driven selection of antiplatelet therapy appeared to be a cost-effective strategy with the potential to decrease the overall acute coronary syndrome-associated healthcare costs.
Abstract Introduction Studies suggest a decreasing risk of recurrent venous thromboembolism (rVTE) in relation to time since the index event. We sought to conduct a meta-analysis examining the time ...course of rVTE over the first 3-months of anticoagulation. Materials and Methods A literature search of MEDLINE, EMBASE and CENTRAL (through 4/2013) was conducted to identify randomized trials of acute pharmacologic treatment and prevention of rVTE, enrolling ≥ 200 subjects/treatment arm, requiring anticoagulation for ≥ 3-months and reporting time-to-objectively-confirmed rVTE. Trials assessing extended-duration treatment, randomizing only cancer patients or not in English were excluded. Treatment arms were divided into monthly and weekly time periods for comparison (months 1-3 and weeks 1-12 after the index event). Treatment arm rVTE rates (per person-year) were pooled using a random-effects approach. Results Fifteen trials (31 treatment arms; n = 27,237) were included. Higher rVTE rates were observed during the first month after the index event (0.19, 95%CI = 0.16–0.23) compared to the second (0.05, 95%CI 0.04–0.06; p < 0.001 vs. first month) and third months (0.02, 95%CI = 0.02–0.03; p < 0.001 vs. first month). While the highest rate of rVTE was in week 1 (0.29, 95%CI = 0.21-0.37; p < 0.01 vs. week 2), rates remained high through the fourth week (between 0.15 and 0.10 events/person-year) before decreasing and stabilizing at week 5 (≤ 0.05 events/person-year; p < 0.01 vs. week 4). Conclusions Our findings demonstrate a significant interaction between rVTE rates and time after the index event. High rVTE rates during the 3-4 weeks following the index event emphasize the importance of frequent surveillance during this time and the early optimization of pharmacologic therapy.
Abstract Aim To conduct a meta-analysis evaluating the effect of pharmacist intervention on glycemic control. Methods A systematic search of Medline and CENTRAL was conducted from the earliest ...possible date through June 2010. Trials were included if they were randomized controlled trials in a diabetic population, evaluated any form of pharmacist intervention and reported data on hemoglobin A1C (A1C). A random-effects model was used to calculate weighted mean differences (WMDs) and 95% confidence intervals. Results Fourteen trials ( n = 2073) evaluating the effect of pharmacist intervention on glycemic control were identified. Pharmacist intervention significantly lowered A1C ( n = 14 trials, WMD −0.76%, 95%CI −1.06 to −0.47) and fasting blood glucose (FBG) ( n = 4 trials, WMD −29.32 mg/dL, 95%CI −39.54 to −19.10). A moderate to high degree of statistical heterogeneity was observed in these analyses ( I2 ≥ 44.1% for both). Conclusions Our findings demonstrate statistically and clinically significant associations between pharmacist intervention and improvement in glycemic control.
Background
Adverse health impacts of cystic fibrosis (CF) can be present in children before respiratory complications are observed. Children with CF show progressive health decline, with increasing ...lung function decline in adolescence. This study aims to quantify the healthcare resource utilization (HCRU) and costs attributable to CF by comparing children with CF with the general pediatric population.
Methods
This retrospective, cross‐sectional, observational study compared HCRU and costs among children with CF in the US with demographically similar children without CF (comparison group) over a 12‐month period using administrative claims data spanning 2010–2017. Analyses were conducted by insurance type (commercially insured COM and Medicaid insured MED) and stratified by age (<2 years, 2 to <6 years, 6 to <12 years, and 12–17 years).
Results
Children with CF (2831 COM and 1896 MED) were matched to children in the comparison group (8493 COM and 5688 MED). Higher prevalence of comorbidities was seen in children with CF versus the comparison group across all ages. Across all ages, HCRU attributable to CF was substantial (higher hospitalization rates, more outpatient and emergency room visits, and greater use of prescription medications), and there were higher associated costs (all p values < .05), in COM and MED populations. HCRU and costs attributable to CF were highest for children aged 12–17 years.
Conclusions
Substantial HCRU and costs are evident among children with CF across all ages, starting as young as infancy, with highest HCRU and costs among adolescents. Effective treatments from an early age are needed for children with CF.
To conduct an analysis describing clinical characteristics, pulmonary exacerbation (PEx) events, and health care resource utilization among Medicaid-insured patients with cystic fibrosis (CF).
A ...retrospective analysis of the Truven Health MarketScan
Medicaid Multi-State administrative claims database (2010-2014) was undertaken. Patients aged ≥6 years with a CF diagnosis, continuously enrolled for 12 months, were identified. Demographics, comorbidities, PEx events, and health care resource utilization and costs over a 12-month enrollment period were analyzed for all patients and by age groups.
In total, 1196 patients with CF aged ≥6 years were identified from a sample size of approximately 10 million Medicaid patients. Mean (SD) age was 16.1 (8.8) years. A greater proportion of patients were in younger age groups (6-11 years: 35.5%, 12-17 years: 29.1%, 18-26 years: 25.6%, 27-34 years: 6.7%, ≥35 years: 3.2%). Across all age groups, approximately 90% of patients had at least 1 PEx event; 50.7% of those had a PEx event involving treatment with intravenous antibiotics, and 42.8% required hospitalization. PEx recurrence was frequent: 55.7% of all patients experienced ≥3 PEx events during 1 year. Mean (SD) health care expenditures during a PEx event rose with increasing age, ranging from US$44,589 (US$139,024) to US$116,169 (US$387,752). Overall health care resource utilization was high among patients with CF; 47.2% of the population required an inpatient admission, and 26.8% had subsequent hospitalizations totaling 29.1 days per year in hospital.
High rates of PEx, hospitalizations, and time spent in hospital demonstrate the significant health care burden of CF among Medicaid beneficiaries.
Trials have not assessed the effect of dalfampridine-extended release (dalfampridine-ER) on health utility. We sought to evaluate the effect of dalfampridine-ER tablets (prolonged-release fampridine ...in Europe) on health utility in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) by mapping subjects' individual item scores from the 12-Item Multiple Sclerosis Walking Scale (MSWS-12) onto the Euroqol 5-Dimension (EQ-5D) health utility index.
Data from study MS-F203, a randomized trial of dalfampridine-ER tablets, 10 mg twice daily, in patients with MS, were used to calculate the health utility scores with two MSWS-12 to EQ-5D mapping equations (one derived in a North American NA registry, the other a United Kingdom UK registry). MS-F203 participants were categorized as dalfampridine-ER 20%-responders (achieving ≥20% improvement on the Timed 25-Foot Walk), dalfampridine-ER 20%-nonresponders (<20% improvement), or placebo patients. Mean change in health utility scores from baseline to each double-blind treatment evaluation (visits 3-6 occurring at post-randomization weeks 2, 6, 10, and 14) and each off-drug follow-up evaluation (visits 7-8 occurring at weeks 16 and 18) were calculated and reported as effect sizes (ESs).
Using the NA-derived equation, dalfampridine-ER 20%-responders demonstrated improvement in health utility vs. placebo; starting at week 6 (mean difference in ES = 0.44, p = 0.002) and maintained at weeks 10 (ES = 0.41, p = 0.01) and 14 (ES = 0.71, p < 0.001). These improvements were no longer evident after dalfampridine-ER was discontinued (p > 0.05 at weeks 16 and 18). Dalfampridine-ER 20%-nonresponders did not show improvement vs. placebo at any visit (p > 0.05 for all). When using the UK-derived equation, improvement was seen in dalfampridine-ER 20%-responders vs. placebo at weeks 2, 6, 10, and 14 (ESs = 0.49, 0.55, 0.59, and 0.99; p < 0.03 for all), but not when dalfampridine-ER was discontinued (weeks 16 and 18; p > 0.05 for both). Dalfampridine-ER 20%-nonresponders showed no improvement at any visit (p > 0.05 for all).
Regardless of the equation used, dalfampridine-ER response was associated with an improvement in health utility.
Platelet reactivity assays (PRAs) can predict patients' likely response to clopidogrel. As ticagrelor and prasugrel are typically considered first-line agents for acute coronary syndrome in Europe, ...we assessed the cost-effectiveness of universal compared to PRA-driven selection of these agents. A Markov model was used to calculate five-year costs (2013£/€), quality-adjusted life-years and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) for one-year of universal ticagrelor or prasugrel (given to all) compared to each agents' corresponding PRA-driven strategy (ticagrelor/prasugrel in those with high platelet reactivity HPR, >208 on the VerifyNow P2Y12 assay, others given generic clopidogrel). We assumed patients had their index event at 65-70 years of age and had a 42.7% incidence of HPR 24-48 hours post-revascularisation. The analysis was conducted from the perspective of six countries (France, Germany, Italy, Spain, the Netherlands and United Kingdom) and used a one-year cycle length. Event data for P2Y12 inhibitors were taken from multinational randomised trials and adjusted using country-specific epidemiologic data. Neither universal ticagrelor nor prasugrel were found to be cost-effective (all ICERs >40,250€ or £36,600/QALY) compared to their corresponding PRA-driven strategies in any of the countries evaluated. Results were sensitive to differences in P2Y12 Inhibitors costs and drug-specific relative risks of major adverse cardiac events. Monte Carlo simulation suggested universal ticagrelor or prasugrel were cost-effective in only 25-44% and 11-17% of 10,000 iterations compared to their respective PRA-driven strategies, when applying a willingness-to-pay threshold = €30,000 or £20,000/QALY. In conclusion, the universal use of newer P2Y12 inhibitors is not likely cost-effective compared to PRA-driven strategies.
Ranolazine has been shown to decrease angina pectoris frequency and nitroglycerin consumption. We assessed the cost-effectiveness of ranolazine when added to standard-of-care (SoC) antianginals ...compared with SoC alone in patients with stable coronary disease experiencing ≥3 attacks/week. A Markov model utilizing a societal perspective, a 1-month cycle length, and a 1-year time horizon was developed to estimate costs (2013 US$) and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) for patients receiving and not receiving ranolazine. Patients entered the model in 1 of the 4 angina frequency health states based upon Seattle Angina Questionnaire angina frequency (SAQAF) scores (100 = no; 61 to 99 = monthly; 31 to 60 = weekly; and 0 to 30 = daily angina) and were allowed to transition between states or to death based upon probabilities derived from the Efficacy of Ranolazine in Chronic Angina and other studies. Patients not responding to ranolazine in month 1 (not improving ≥1 SAQAF health state) were assumed to discontinue ranolazine and behave like SoC patients. Ranolazine patients lived a mean of 0.700 QALYs at a cost of $15,661. Those not receiving ranolazine lived 0.659 QALYs and at a cost of $14,321. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for the addition of ranolazine was $32,682/QALY. The ICER was most sensitive to ranolazine cost but only exceeded $50,000/QALY when the cost of ranolazine increased >32% above base case. The ICER remained <$50,000/QALY when indirect costs were excluded, and mortality rates were assumed equivalent between SAQAF health states. Monte Carlo simulation found ranolazine cost-effective in 97% of 10,000 iterations at a $50,000/QALY willingness-to-pay threshold. In conclusion, ranolazine added to SoC is cost-effective in patients with weekly or daily angina.
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