The COPD Assessment Test (CAT) measures quality of life in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) as well as disease impact on activities of daily living. The questionnaire ...consists of 8 items related to breathing (cough, phlegm, chest tightness, and breathlessness) and other symptoms (low energy level, sleep disturbances, limitations on daily activities, and confidence when leaving the home). We investigated the relative impact of respiratory versus nonrespiratory scoring on the total CAT score at different moments in the course of COPD exacerbations: baseline (24 hours before an exacerbation), during the exacerbation, 15 days later, and 2 months later. To assess the influence of the respiratory item score on decisions to hospitalize patients treated for exacerbated COPD in our hospital emergency department (ED).
Prospective cohort study. We recruited patients who came to our ED for symptoms consistent with exacerbated COPD. Sociodemographic and clinical data were recorded. Clinical information, including treatments pleustarted in the ED and CAT scores, were also recorded. The event was defined as highly symptomatic if the patient's score was 3 points or higher on at least 3 of the 4 respiratory items at baseline. The outcome measures for the first objective were the total CAT score and item scores at the 4 time points before (baseline), during (ED), and after the exacerbation. The outcome for the second objective was hospital admission.
A total of 587 patients were included. The mean (SD) total CAT score was 13.48 (7.29) at baseline, 24.86 (7.25) in the ED, 14.7 (7.47) at 15 days, and 13.45 (7.36) at 2 months. The respiratory item scores accounted for a mean 53.4% (20.76%) of the total score at baseline and 48.2% (11.47%) of the total score in the ED. Eighty-two patients (14.0%) were classified as being highly symptomatic. A total of 359 (61.2%) were admitted. Predictors of hospital admission were classification as highly symptomatic, odds ratio (OR, 3.045; 95% CI, 1.585-5.852, P .001), dyspnea at rest (OR, 2.906; 95% CI:1.943-4.346, P .001), and start of the following treatments in the ED: oxygen therapy (OR, 4.550; 95% CI, 3.056-6.773; P .0001), diuretic (OR, 1.754; 95% CI, 1.091-2.819; P = .02), and intravenous antibiotics (OR, 1.536; 95% CI, 1.034-2.281; P = .03). The model achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.80 (95% CI, 0.763-0.836).
Hospital admission from the ED is highly likely in patients with COPD exacerbation who have high baseline CAT scores, dyspnea at rest in the ED, and require oxygen therapy, diuretics, or intravenous antibiotics in the ED. The total CAT score and scores on respiratory items provide a tool for tailoring pharmacalogic and nonpharmacologic treaments and can facilitate follow-up evaluations.
To analyze the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Spanish emergency department (ED) care for patients aged 65 years or older during the first wave vs. a pre-pandemic period.
Retrospective ...cross-sectional study of a COVID-19 portion of the EDEN project (Emergency Department and Elder Needs). The EDEN-COVID cohort included all patients aged 65 years or more who were treated in 52 EDs on 7 consecutive days early in the pandemic. We analyzed care variables, discharge diagnoses, use of diagnostic and therapeutic resources, use of observation units, need for hospitalization, rehospitalization, and mortality. These data were compared with data for an EDEN cohort in the same age group recruited during a similar period the year before the pandemic.
The 52 participating hospital EDs attended 33 711 emergencies during the pandemic vs. 96 173 emergencies in the pre-COVID period, representing a 61.7% reduction during the pandemic. Patients aged 65 years or older accounted for 28.8% of the caseload during the COVID-19 period and 26.4% of the earlier cohort (P .001). The COVID-19 caseload included more men (51.0%). Comorbidity and polypharmacy were more prevalent in the pandemic cohort than in the earlier one (comorbidity, 92.6% vs. 91.6%; polypharmacy, 65.2% vs. 63.6%). More esturesources (analgesics, antibiotics, heparins, bronchodilators, and corticosteroids) were applied in the pandemic period, and common diagnoses were made less often. Observation wards were used more often (for 37.8% vs. 26.2% in the earlier period), and hospital admissions were more frequent (in 56.0% vs. 25.3% before the pandemic). Mortality was higher during the pandemic than in the earlier cohort either in ED (1.8% vs 0.5%) and during hospitalization (11.5 vs 2.9%).
The proportion of patients aged 65 years or older decreased in the participating Spanish EDs. However, more resources were required and the pattern of diagnoses changed. Observation ward stays were longer, and admissions and mortality increased over the numbers seen in the reference period.
To analyze the prognostic accuracy of the scores NEWS, qSOFA, GYM used in hospital emergency department (ED) in the assessment of elderly patients who consult for an infectious disease.
Data from the ...EDEN (Emergency Department and Elderly Need) cohort were used. This retrospective cohort included all patients aged ≥65 years seen in 52 Spanish EDs during two weeks (from 1-4-2019 to 7-4-2019 and 30/3/2020 to 5/4/2020) with an infectious disease diagnosis in the emergency department. Demographic variables, demographic variables, comorbidities, Charlson and Barthel index and needed scores parameters were recorded. The predictive capacity for 30-day mortality of each scale was estimated by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and sensitivity and specificity were calculated for different cut-off points. The primary outcome variable was 30-day mortality.
6054 patients were analyzed. Median age was 80 years (IQR 73-87) and 45.3% women. 993 (16,4%) patients died. NEWS score had better AUC than qSOFA (0.765, 95CI: 0.725-0.806, versus 0.700, 95%CI: 0.653-0.746; P < .001) and GYM (0.716, 95%CI: 0.675-0.758; P = .024), and there was no difference between qSOFA and GYM (P = .345). The highest sensitivity scores for 30-day mortality were GYM ≥ 1 point (85.4%) while the qSOFA score ≥2 points showed high specificity. In the case of the NEWS scale, the cut-off point ≥4 showed high sensitivity, while the cut-off point NEWS ≥ 8 showed high specificity.
NEWS score showed the highest predictive capacity for 30-day mortality. GYM score ≥1 showed a great sensitivity, while qSOFA ≥2 scores provide the highest specificity but lower sensitivity.
To investigate the relationship between the age of an urgently hospitalized patient and his or her probability of admission to an intensive care unit (ICU).
Observational, retrospective, multicenter ...study.
42 Emergency Departments from Spain.
April 1-7, 2019.
Patients aged ≥65 years hospitalized from Spanish emergency departments.
None.
ICU admission, age sex, comorbidity, functional dependence and cognitive impairment.
6120 patients were analyzed (median age: 76 years; males: 52%. 309 (5%) were admitted to ICU (186 from ED, 123 from hospitalization). Patients admitted to the ICU were younger, male, and with less comorbidity, dependence and cognitive impairment, but there were no differences between those admitted from the ED and from hospitalization. The OR for ICU-admission adjusted by sex, comorbidity, dependence and dementia reached statistical significance >83 years (OR: 0.67; 95%CI: 0.45-0.49). In patients admitted to the ICU from ED, the OR did not begin to decrease until 79 years, and was significant >85 years (OR: 0.56, 95%CI: 0.34-0.92); while in those admitted to ICU from hospitalization, the decrease began 65 years of age, and were significant from 85 years (OR: 0.55, 95%CI: 0.30-0.99). Sex, comorbidity, dependency and cognitive deterioration of the patient did not modify the association between age and ICU-admission (overall, from the ED or hospitalization).
After taking into account other factors that influence admission to the ICU (comorbidity, dependence, dementia), the chances of admission to the ICU of older patients hospitalized on an emergency basis begin to decrease significantly after 83 years of age. There may be differences in the probability of admission to the ICU from the ED or from hospitalization according to age.
To validate a simple risk score to predict bacteremia (MPB5-Toledo) in patients seen in the emergency departments (ED) due to infections.
Prospective and multicenter observational cohort study of the ...blood cultures (BC) ordered in 74 Spanish ED for adults (aged 18 or older) seen from October 1, 2019, to February 29, 2020.
The predictive ability of the model was analyzed with the area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve (AUC-ROC). The prognostic performance for true bacteremia was calculated with the cut-off values chosen for getting the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value.
A total of 3.843 blood samples wered cultured. True cases of bacteremia were confirmed in 839 (21.83%). The remaining 3.004 cultures (78.17%) were negative. Among the negative, 172 (4.47%) were judged to be contaminated. Low risk for bacteremia was indicated by a score of 0–2 points, intermediate risk by 3–5 points, and high risk by 6–8 points. Bacteremia in these 3 risk groups was predicted for 1.5%, 16.8%, and 81.6%, respectively. The model’s area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.930 (95% CI, 0.916−0.948). The prognostic performance with a model’s cut-off value of ≥5 points achieved 94.76% (95% CI: 92.97−96.12) sensitivity, 81.56% (95% CI: 80.11−82.92) specificity, and negative predictive value of 98.24% (95% CI: 97.62−98.70).
The 5MPB-Toledo score is useful for predicting bacteremia in patients attended in hospital emergency departments for infection.
Validar un modelo sencillo de riesgo para predecir bacteriemia (5MPB-Toledo) en los pacientes atendidos en los servicios de urgencias hospitalarios (SUH) por un episodio de infección.
Estudio observacional de cohortes prospectivo y multicéntrico de los hemocultivos (HC) obtenidos en 74 SUH españoles en los pacientes adultos (≥18 años) atendidos por infección desde el 1 de octubre de 2019 hasta el 29 de febrero de 2020. Se analizó la capacidad predictiva del modelo con el área bajo la curva (ABC) de la característica operativa del receptor (COR) y se calculó el rendimiento diagnóstico de los puntos de corte (PC) del modelo elegidos con los cálculos de la sensibilidad, la especificidad, el valor predictivo positivo y el valor predictivo negativo.
Se incluyeron 3.843 episodios de HC extraídos. De ellos, se consideraron como bacteriemias verdaderas 839 (21,83%) y como HC negativos 3.004 (78,17%). Entre los negativos, 172 (4,47%) se consideraron contaminados. Se categorizó a los pacientes en bajo (0–2 puntos), moderado (3–5 puntos) y alto (6–8 puntos) riesgo, con una probabilidad de bacteriemia de 1,5%, 16,8% y 81,6%, respectivamente. El ABC-COR del modelo tras remuestreo fue de 0,930 (IC 95%: 0,916−0,948). El rendimiento diagnóstico del modelo con un PC ≥ 5 puntos consigue una sensibilidad de 94,76% (IC 95%: 92,97−96,12), especificidad de 81,56% (IC 95%: 80,11–82,92) y un valor predictivo negativo de 98,24% (IC 95%: 97,62–98,70).
El modelo 5MPB-Toledo es de utilidad para predecir bacteriemia en los pacientes atendidos en el SUH por un episodio de infección.
To assess the prognostic value of procalcitonin (PTC), C-reactive protein (CRP), N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), and mid-regional pro-adrenomedullin (MR-proADM) in ...patients with influenza syndrome.
Prospective study in patients admitted from the emergency department with influenza syndrome. Biomarker concentrations were measured in the first 24 h after admission and a test for influenza. The results were analyzed for ability to predict a hospital stay longer than 7 days, intensive care unit admission, or in-hospital death.
Ninety-eight patients were included; the prognosis of 44 (44.9%) was classified as poor. The areas under the receiving operator characteristic curve were 0.68 (95% CI, 0.56-0.80) for NT-proBNP, 0.73 (95% CI, 0.62-0.84) for MR-proADM, and nonsignificant for PCT and CRP. The following variables were independently associated with a poor prognosis: pneumonia (OR, 7.46 95% CI, 2.08-26.73; P=.002), heart failure (OR, 5.16 95% CI, 1.35-19.74; P=.016), and NT-proBNP > 580 pg/mL (OR, 4.68 95% CI, 1.53-14.26; P=.006). In the 53 patients with confirmed A(H1N1) influenza, only NT-proBNP was an independent predictor of prognosis (adjusted OR, 5.75 95% CI, 1.46- 22.61; P=.012).
NT-proBNP and MR-proADM were the only biomarkers with prognostic value. Only NT-proBNP was a useful predictor in patients with confirmed influenza.
To develop a nomograph to predict a poor outcome (death during hospitalization or a hospital stay longer than 15 days) in emergency patients with sepsis and at low risk of organ damage according to ...Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA).
Prospective, observational study carried out in a single universitary hospital. All patients admitted from the emergency department with sepsis and SOFA scores of 6 or lower were enrolled. We used bivariate logistic regression analysis to develop a predictive nomogram.
A total of 174 patients were included. Seventeen patients (9.8%) died during hospitalization and the average hospital stay was greater than 15 days in 29 (16.7%) patient. The outcome was poor in a total of 42 patients (24.1%);. Independent variables that were significantly associated with a poor outcome were SOFA score (odds ratio OR, 1.3; 95% CI, 1.06-1.71; P<.05), C-reactive protein (CRP) concentration (OR, 1.04; 95% CI, 1.0-1.09; P<.05), N-terminal fragment of brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) concentration over 1330 ng/mL (OR, 2.64; 95% CI, 1.17-6.22; P<.05), and septic shock (OR, 8.3; 95% CI, 1.16-166.5; P<.05). For a SOFA score of 2 or more the crude OR was 4.44 (95%, CI, 1.91-10.34) and the OR adjusted for other variables was 3.08 (95% CI, 1.24-7.69).
A high percentage of patients predicted to be at low risk of organ failure had poor outcomes, associated with SOFA score, the presence of septic shock, CRP concentration, and elevated NT-proBNP concentration. The SOFA score by itself is an inadequate prognostic tool in patients at low risk of organ damage. Other clinical and analytical variables are required to complement the SOFA score.
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