•Semi-supervised approach to condition monitoring of compressors is proposed.•Problem of a large vibration data set without prior class definitions is addressed.•Method combines feature extraction, ...statistical analysis, and classification.•Properly designed nonlinear classifiers are recommended for industrial application.•Extreme learning machines are a useful tool for vibration-based classification.
Semi-supervised vibration-based classification and condition monitoring of the reciprocating compressors installed in refrigeration appliances is proposed in this paper. The method addresses the problem of industrial condition monitoring where prior class definitions are often not available or difficult to obtain from local experts. The proposed method combines feature extraction, principal component analysis, and statistical analysis for the extraction of initial class representatives, and compares the capability of various classification methods, including discriminant analysis (DA), neural networks (NN), support vector machines (SVM), and extreme learning machines (ELM). The use of the method is demonstrated on a case study which was based on industrially acquired vibration measurements of reciprocating compressors during the production of refrigeration appliances. The paper presents a comparative qualitative analysis of the applied classifiers, confirming the good performance of several nonlinear classifiers. If the model parameters are properly selected, then very good classification performance can be obtained from NN trained by Bayesian regularization, SVM and ELM classifiers. The method can be effectively applied for the industrial condition monitoring of compressors.
Display omitted
•Methodology for 48-hour multi-step heat demand forecasting in a DH system.•Gaussian process regression outperforms considered machine learning methods.•Accurate temperature forecasts ...are important, solar irradiation forecasts are not.•Forecasting errors for 48 h ahead below 3% of the max. heating power.•Proposed forecasting solution can be fitted to different DH systems.
Short-term heat demand forecasting in district heating (DH) systems is essential for a sufficient heat supply and optimal operation of the DH. In this study, a machine learning based multi-step short-term heat demand forecasting approach using the data of the largest Slovenian DH system is considered. The proposed approach involved feature extraction and comparative analysis of different representative machine learning based forecasting models. Nonlinear models performed better than linear models, and the best forecasting results were obtained by Gaussian process regression (GPR), where the mean absolute normalized error was 2.94% of the maximum heating power of the DH system. The analysis confirmed the importance of accurate temperature forecasts but did not confirm the relevance of using future solar irradiation forecasts. The optimal length of training data is shown to be 3 years, and past data of up to 4 days can be used as input to increase the forecasting accuracy. The forecasting model (GPR) proposed in this study can be fitted to different DH systems. In the presented case study, it was selected to implement the online forecasting solution for the DH of Ljubljana and has been generating forecasts with a mean absolute normalized error of 2.70% since November 2019.
The main result of this paper is that, if
Γ
is a finite connected 4-valent vertex- and edge-transitive graph, then either
Γ
is part of a well-understood family of graphs, or every non-identity ...automorphism of
Γ
fixes at most 1/3 of the vertices. As a corollary, we get a similar result for 3-valent vertex-transitive graphs.
Forecasting the residential natural gas demand for large groups of buildings is extremely important for efficient logistics in the energy sector. In this paper different forecast models for ...residential natural gas demand of an urban area were implemented and compared. The models forecast gas demand with hourly resolution up to 60 h into the future. The model forecasts are based on past temperatures, forecasted temperatures and time variables, which include markers for holidays and other occasional events. The models were trained and tested on gas-consumption data gathered in the city of Ljubljana, Slovenia. Machine-learning models were considered, such as linear regression, kernel machine and artificial neural network. Additionally, empirical models were developed based on data analysis. Two most accurate models were found to be recurrent neural network and linear regression model. In realistic setting such trained models can be used in conjunction with a weather-forecasting service to generate forecasts for future gas demand.
•Application of machine learning models to the problem of forecasting residential natural gas demand.•Development of empirical models that stem from the analysis of historical data.•Comparison of models considering various criteria for different forecasting horizons.•Linear regression and recurrent neural network are best under different criteria.•Models are usable in conjunction with weather-forecasting service for real world problems.
A connected graph of order
n
admitting a semiregular automorphism of order
n
/
k
is called a
k
-multicirculant. Highly symmetric multicirculants of small valency have been extensively studied, and ...several classification results exist for cubic vertex- and arc-transitive multicirculants. In this paper, we study the broader class of cubic vertex-transitive graphs of order
n
admitting an automorphism of order
n
/3 or larger that may not be semiregular. In particular, we show that any such graph is either a
k
-multicirculant for some
k
≤
3
, or it belongs to an infinite family of graphs of girth 6.
Abstract The relative fixity of a digraph $$\Gamma $$ Γ is defined as the ratio between the largest number of vertices fixed by a nontrivial automorphism of $$\Gamma $$ Γ and the number of vertices ...of $$\Gamma $$ Γ . We characterize the vertex-primitive digraphs whose relative fixity is at least $$\frac{1}{3}$$ 1 3 , and we show that there are only finitely many vertex-primitive digraphs of bounded out-valency and relative fixity exceeding a positive constant.
•Various model structures are compared for natural gas consumption forecasting.•Data sets include local distribution company data and individual house data.•Linear (ARX) and nonlinear (neural ...networks, SVM) forecasting models are applied.•Impact of solar radiation in improving the forecasting accuracy is investigated.•Results confirm that solar radiation clearly improves the forecasting accuracy.
Natural gas is known as a clean energy source used for space heating in residential buildings. Residential sector is a major natural gas consumer that usually demands significant amount of total natural gas supplied in distribution systems. Since demands of all consumers should be satisfied and distribution systems have limited capacity, accurate planning and forecasting in high seasons has become critical and important. In this paper, the influence of solar radiation on forecasting residential natural gas consumption was investigated. Solar radiation impact was tested on two data sets, namely on natural gas consumption data of a model house, and on natural gas consumption data of a local distribution company. Various forecasting models with one day ahead forecasting horizon were compared in this study, including linear models (auto-regressive model with exogenous inputs, stepwise regression) and nonlinear models (neural networks, support vector regression). Results confirmed that solar radiation clearly influences natural gas consumption, and included as input variable in the forecasting model improves the forecasting results. Consequently it is recommended to use solar radiation as input variable in building forecasting models.
The theory of voltage graphs has become a standard tool in the study of graphs admitting a semiregular group of automorphisms. We introduce the notion of a cyclic generalised voltage graph to extend ...the scope of this theory to graphs admitting a cyclic group of automorphisms that may not be semiregular. We use this new tool to classify all cubic graphs admitting a cyclic group of automorphisms with at most three vertex-orbits and we characterise vertex-transitivity for each of these classes. In particular, we show that a cubic vertex-transitive graph admitting a cyclic group of automorphisms with at most three orbits on vertices either belongs to one of 5 infinite families or is isomorphic to the well-known Tutte–Coxeter graph.
In this paper we investigate orders, longest cycles and the number of cycles of automorphisms of finite vertex-transitive graphs. In particular, we show that the order of every automorphism of a ...connected vertex-transitive graph with n vertices and of valence d, d≤4, is at most cdn where c3=1 and c4=9. Whether such a constant cd exists for valencies larger than 4 remains an unanswered question. Further, we prove that every automorphism g of a finite connected 3-valent vertex-transitive graph Γ, Γ≇K3,3, has a regular orbit, that is, an orbit of 〈g〉 of length equal to the order of g. Moreover, we prove that in this case either Γ belongs to a well understood family of exceptional graphs or at least 5/12 of the vertices of Γ belong to a regular orbit of g. Finally, we give an upper bound on the number of orbits of a cyclic group of automorphisms C of a connected 3-valent vertex-transitive graph Γ in terms of the number of vertices of Γ and the length of a longest orbit of C.