In older adults, current equations to estimate glomerular filtration rate (GFR) are not validated and may misclassify elderly persons in terms of their stage of chronic kidney disease.
To derive the ...Berlin Initiative Study (BIS) equation, a novel estimator of GFR in elderly participants.
Cross-sectional. Data were split for analysis into 2 sets for equation development and internal validation.
Random community-based population of a large insurance company.
610 participants aged 70 years or older (mean age, 78.5 years).
Iohexol plasma clearance measurement as gold standard.
GFR, measured as the plasma clearance of the endogenous marker iohexol, to compare performance of existing equations of estimated GFR with measured GFR of the gold standard; estimation of measured GFR from standardized creatinine and cystatin C levels, sex, and age in the learning sample; and comparison of the BIS equations (BIS1: creatinine-based; BIS2: creatinine- and cystatin C-based) with other estimating equations and determination of bias, precision, and accuracy in the validation sample.
The new BIS2 equation yielded the smallest bias followed by the creatinine-based BIS1 and Cockcroft-Gault equations. All other equations considerably overestimated GFR. The BIS equations confirmed a high prevalence of persons older than 70 years with a GFR less than 60 mL/min per 1.73 m2 (BIS1, 50.4%; BIS2, 47.4%; measured GFR, 47.9%). The total misclassification rate for this criterion was smallest for the BIS2 equation (11.6%), followed by the cystatin C equation 2 (15.1%) proposed by the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration. Among the creatinine-based equations, BIS1 had the smallest misclassification rate (17.2%), followed by the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration equation (20.4%).
There was no validation by an external data set.
The BIS2 equation should be used to estimate GFR in persons aged 70 years or older with normal or mild to moderately reduced kidney function. If cystatin C is not available, the BIS1 equation is an acceptable alternative.
Kuratorium für Dialyse und Nierentransplatation (KfH) Foundation of Preventive Medicine.
Frailty is very common in old age and often associated with adverse events. Transitioning between frailty states is possible in both directions (improvement and worsening) offering targets for ...interventions. Frailty is more prevalent in women, but little is known about the impact of gender on frailty transition. The aim of this study is to identify gender differences for frailty transition in older adults and to develop gender-stratified prognostic prediction models for frailty transition. We performed a longitudinal analyses of the Berlin Initiative (cohort) Study with a frailty follow-up of 2.1 years. Description of frailty transition using the frailty phenotype and development of prognostic prediction models using multivariable logistic regressions for transition (improvement or worsening) stratified by gender following the TRIPOD statement were performed. In total, the study population consisted of 1158 community-dwelling adults with a mean age of 84.4 years and of whom 55% were women. Out of 1158 participants 225 (19%) were robust, 532 (46%) prefrail and 401 (35%) frail. After 2.1 (IQR 2.0-2.3) years, half of the participants had transitioned between frailty states. Men worsened more often and those who were already frail died more often than women. Gender-stratified prediction models for frailty transition demonstrated that some predictors (age, self-rated health, cognitive impairment, baseline frailty status) were included in all models. While stroke, diabetes mellitus, smoking and glomerular filtration rate were unique predictors in the models for females, osteoarthritis, hospitalization and education were predictors in the models for males. There are gender differences in frailty transition rates, patterns and prediction. This supports the importance of considering gender when addressing frailty and targeting interventions in old age.
Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and urinary albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR) are associated with cardiovascular events in the general population but their utility among older adults is ...unclear. We investigated the associations of eGFR and UACR with stroke, myocardial infarction (MI), and death among older adults.
Population-based cohort study.
1,581 participants (aged≥70 years) in the Berlin Initiative Study (BIS) without prior stroke or MI.
Serum creatinine- and cystatin C–based eGFR, UACR categories, and measured GFR (n=436).
Stroke, MI, and all-cause mortality.
HRs and 95% CIs derived from multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models for association analyses. Net reclassification improvement (NRI) and C statistic differences comparing the predictive benefit of kidney measures with a traditional cardiovascular risk model.
During a median follow-up of 8.2 years, 193 strokes, 125 MIs, and 531 deaths occurred. Independent of UACR, when GFR was estimated using the creatinine- and cystatin C–based BIS equation, eGFR of 45 to 59mL/min/1.73m2 (vs eGFR>60mL/min/1.73m2) was associated with stroke (HR, 2.23; 95% CI, 1.55-3.21) but not MI or all-cause mortality. For those with eGFR<45mL/min/1.73m2, the HRs were 1.99 (95% CI, 1.23-3.20) for stroke, 1.38 (95% CI, 0.81-2.36) for MI, and 1.57 (95% CI, 1.20-2.06) for mortality. Compared with UACR<30mg/g, UACR of 30 to 300mg/g was not associated with stroke (HR, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.63-1.33) but was associated with MI (HR, 1.65; 95% CI, 1.09-2.51) and all-cause mortality (HR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.34-1.98). Prediction analysis for stroke showed significant positive NRI for eGFR calculated using the cystatin C–based Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation and the creatinine- and cystatin C–based BIS and Full Age Spectrum equations. UACR demonstrated significant positive NRIs for MI and mortality.
eGFR and UACR categorization based on single assessments; lack of cause-specific death data.
eGFR of 45 to 59mL/min/1.73m2 without albuminuria was associated with stroke but not MI or all-cause mortality in older adults. In contrast, UACR of 30 to 300mg/g was associated with MI and all-cause mortality but not with stroke. Furthermore, cystatin C–based eGFR improved risk prediction for stroke in this cohort of older adults.
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Although CKD is said to increase among older adults, epidemiologic data on kidney function in people ≥70 years of age are scarce. The Berlin Initiative Study (BIS) aims to fill this gap by evaluating ...the CKD burden in older adults.
The BIS is a prospective population-based cohort study whose participants are members of Germany's biggest insurance company. This cross-sectional analysis (i) gives a detailed baseline characterization of the participants, (ii) analyses the representativeness of the cohort's disease profile, (iii) assesses GFR and albuminuria levels across age categories, (iv) associates cardiovascular risk factors with GFR as well as albuminuria and (v) compares means of GFR values according to different estimating equations with measured GFR.
A total of 2069 participants (52.6% female, mean age 80.4 years) were enrolled: 26.1% were diabetic, 78.8% were on antihypertensive medication, 8.7% had experienced a stroke, 14% a myocardial infarction, 22.6% had cancer, 17.8% were anaemic and 26.5% were obese. The distribution of comorbidities in the BIS cohort was very similar to that in the insurance 'source population'. Creatinine and cystatin C as well as the albumin:creatinine ratio (ACR) increased with increasing age. After multivariate adjustments, reduced GFR and elevated ACR were associated with most cardiovascular risk factors. The prevalence of a GFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m 2 ranged from 38 to 62% depending on the estimation equation used.
The BIS is a very well-characterized, representative cohort of older adults. Participants with an ACR ≥30 had significantly higher odds for most cardiovascular risk factors compared with an ACR <30 mg/g. Kidney function declined and ACR rose with increasing age.
CKD: A Call for an Age-Adapted Definition Delanaye, Pierre; Jager, Kitty J; Bökenkamp, Arend ...
Journal of the American Society of Nephrology,
10/2019, Letnik:
30, Številka:
10
Journal Article
Recenzirano
Odprti dostop
Current criteria for the diagnosis of CKD in adults include persistent signs of kidney damage, such as increased urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio or a GFR below the threshold of 60 ml/min per 1.73 m
...This threshold has important caveats because it does not separate kidney disease from kidney aging, and therefore does not hold for all ages. In an extensive review of the literature, we found that GFR declines with healthy aging without any overt signs of compensation (such as elevated single-nephron GFR) or kidney damage. Older living kidney donors, who are carefully selected based on good health, have a lower predonation GFR compared with younger donors. Furthermore, the results from the large meta-analyses conducted by the CKD Prognosis Consortium and from numerous other studies indicate that the GFR threshold above which the risk of mortality is increased is not consistent across all ages. Among younger persons, mortality is increased at GFR <75 ml/min per 1.73 m
, whereas in elderly people it is increased at levels <45 ml/min per 1.73 m
Therefore, we suggest that amending the CKD definition to include age-specific thresholds for GFR. The implications of an updated definition are far reaching. Having fewer healthy elderly individuals diagnosed with CKD could help reduce inappropriate care and its associated adverse effects. Global prevalence estimates for CKD would be substantially reduced. Also, using an age-specific threshold for younger persons might lead to earlier identification of CKD onset for such individuals, at a point when progressive kidney damage may still be preventable.
The number of patients ≥65 years of age suffering from advanced chronic kidney disease and transitioning to end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) is increasing. However, elderly patients often have poor ...outcomes once haemodialysis is initiated, including high mortality within the first year as well as fast cognitive and functional decline and diminished quality of life. The question is how we can smooth this transition to ESKD in older patients who also exhibit much higher proportions of frailty when compared with community-dwelling non-dialysis older adults and who are generally more vulnerable to invasive treatment such as kidney replacement therapy. To avoid early death and poor quality of life, a carefully prepared smooth transition should precede the initiation of treatment. This involves pre-dialysis physical and educational care, as well as mental and psychosocial preparedness of the patient to enable an informed and shared decision about the individual choice of treatment modality. Communication between a healthcare professional and patient plays a pivotal role but can be challenging given the high rate of cognitive impairment in this particular population. In order to practise patient-centred care, adapting treatment tailored to the individual patient should include comprehensive conservative care. However, structured treatment pathways including multidisciplinary teams for such conservative care are still rare and may be difficult to establish outside of large cities. Generally, geriatric nephrology misses data on the comparative effectiveness of different treatment modalities in this population of old and very old age on which to base recommendations and decisions.
Abstract
Zinc-alpha 2-glycoprotein (AZGP1) is a serum protein with postulated functions in metabolism, cancer and cardiovascular disease. We developed new prediction models for mortality or ...cardiovascular events investigating the predictive potential of serum AZGP1 in a community-based cohort of older adults. We measured AZGP1 (μg/ml) in stored serum samples of 930 individuals of the Berlin Initiative Study, a prospective, population-based cohort of adults aged ≥ 70. We determined the prognostic potential of 20 knowledge-based predictors including AZGP1 for the outcomes of mortality or the composite endpoint of death and cardiovascular events (stroke, myocardial infarction (MI)) using Cox models; their model fit was evaluated with calibration plots, goodness-of-fit tests and c-indices. During median follow-up of 48.3 months, 70 incident strokes, 38 incident MI and 234 deaths occurred. We found no associations or correlations between AZGP1 and other candidate variables. After multivariable Cox regression with backward-selection AZGP1 remained in both models for mortality (HR = 0.44, 95%CI: 0.24–0.80) and for the composite endpoint (HR = 0.43, 95%CI: 0.23–0.82). Within newly built prediction models, we found that increased AZGP1 levels were predictive for lower risk of mortality and the composite endpoint in older adults. AZGP1 as a predictor warrants further validation in older adults.
To assess whether blood pressure (BP) values below 140/90 mmHg during antihypertensive treatment are associated with a decreased risk of all-cause mortality in community-dwelling older adults.
Within ...the Berlin Initiative Study, we assembled a cohort of patients ≥70 years treated with antihypertensive drugs at baseline (November 2009-June 2011). End of prospective follow-up was December 2016. Cox proportional hazards models yielded adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of all-cause mortality associated with normalized BP systolic BP (SBP) <140 mmHg and diastolic BP (DBP) <90 mmHg compared with non-normalized BP (SBP ≥140 mmHg or DBP ≥90 mmHg) overall and after stratification by age or previous cardiovascular events. Among 1628 patients (mean age 81 years) on antihypertensive drugs, 636 exhibited normalized BP. During 8853 person-years of follow-up, 469 patients died. Compared with non-normalized BP, normalized BP was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality (incidence rates: 60.3 vs. 48.5 per 1000/year; HR 1.26; 95% CI 1.04-1.54). Increased risks were observed in patients ≥80 years (102.2 vs. 77.5 per 1000/year; HR 1.40; 95% CI 1.12-1.74) and with previous cardiovascular events (98.3 vs. 63.6 per 1000/year; HR 1.61; 95% CI 1.14-2.27) but not in patients aged 70-79 years (22.6 vs. 22.7 per 1000/year; HR 0.83; 95% CI 0.54-1.27) or without previous cardiovascular events (45.2 vs. 44.4 per 1000/year; HR 1.16, 95% CI 0.90-1.48).
Blood pressure values below 140/90 mmHg during antihypertensive treatment may be associated with an increased risk of mortality in octogenarians or elderly patients with previous cardiovascular events.
Age and the Course of GFR in Persons Aged 70 and Above Schaeffner, Elke S; Ebert, Natalie; Kuhlmann, Martin K ...
Clinical journal of the American Society of Nephrology,
08/2022, Letnik:
17, Številka:
8
Journal Article
Recenzirano
Odprti dostop
In older adults, data on the age-related course of GFR are scarce, which might lead to misjudgment of the clinical relevance of reduced GFR in old age.
To describe the course of eGFR in older adults ...and derive reference values in population-based individuals, we used the longitudinal design of the Berlin Initiative Study (BIS) with a repeated estimation of GFR over a median of 6.1 years of follow-up. In 2069 community-dwelling older individuals (mean inclusion age 80 years, range 70-99), GFR was estimated biennially with the BIS-2 equation, including standardized creatinine and cystatin C levels, sex, and age. We described the crude and adjusted course using a mixed-effects model and analyzed the influence of death on the GFR course applying joint models. GFR slopes were compared using GFR equations on the basis of creatinine and/or cystatin C.
We observed a decreasing, thus nonlinear, eGFR decline with increasing age in a population of old adults. The estimated 1-year slope for ages 75 and 90 diminished for men from -1.67 to -0.99 and for women from -1.52 to -0.97. The modeled mean eGFR for men aged ≥79 and women ≥78 was below 60 ml/min per 1.73 m
. Multivariable adjustment attenuated slopes only minimally. Taking death into account by applying joint models did not alter the nonlinear eGFR decline. Using eGFR equations on the basis of creatinine only showed linear slope patterns in contrast to nonlinear patterns for equations including cystatin C.
The eGFR decline depended on sex and age and changed only marginally after multivariable adjustment but decelerated with increasing age. Equations including cystatin C demonstrated a nonlinear slope challenging the previously assumed linearity of the decline of eGFR in old age.
Plasma clearance of iohexol is a pivotal metric to quantify glomerular filtration rate (GFR), but the optimal timing and frequency of plasma sampling remain to be assessed. In this study, we ...evaluated the impact of a Bayesian estimation procedure on iohexol clearance estimates, and we identified an optimal sampling strategy based on data in individuals aged 70+. Assuming a varying number of random effects, we re-estimated previously developed population pharmacokinetic two- and three-compartment models in a model development group comprising 546 patients with iohexol concentration data up to 300 min post injection. Model performance and optimal sampling times were assessed in an evaluation group comprising 104 patients with reduced GFR and concentration data up to 1440 min post injection. Two- and three-compartment models with random effects for all parameters overestimated clearance values (bias 5.07 and 4.40 mL/min, respectively) and underpredicted 24-h concentrations (bias - 14.5 and - 12.0 µg/ml, respectively). Clearance estimates improved distinctly when limiting random effects of the three-compartment model to clearance and central volume of distribution. Two blood samples, one early and one 300 min post injection, were sufficient to estimate iohexol clearance. A simplified three-compartment model is optimal to estimate iohexol clearance in elderly patients with reduced GFR.
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