Abstract Objective We aimed to prospectively derive and validate a novel 1h-algorithm using high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI) for early rule-out and rule-in of acute myocardial ...infarction. Methods We performed a prospective multicenter diagnostic study enrolling 1811 patients with suspected acute myocardial infarction. The final diagnosis was centrally adjudicated by 2 independent cardiologists using all available information, including coronary angiography, echocardiography, follow-up data, and serial measurements of hs-cTnT (but not hs-cTnI). The hs-cTnI 1h-algorithm, incorporating measurements performed at baseline and absolute changes within 1 hour, was derived in a randomly selected sample of 906 patients (derivation cohort), and then validated in the remaining 905 patients (validation cohort). Results Acute myocardial infarction was the final diagnosis in 18% of patients. After applying the hs-cTnI 1h-algorithm developed in the derivation cohort to the validation cohort, 50.5% of patients could be classified as “rule-out,” 19% as “rule-in,” 30.5% as “observe.” In the validation cohort, the negative predictive value for acute myocardial infarction in the “rule-out” zone was 99.6% (95% confidence interval, 98.4%-100%), and the positive predictive value for acute myocardial infarction in the “rule-in” zone was 73.9% (95% confidence interval, 66.7%-80.2%). Negative predictive value of the 1h-algorithm was higher compared with the classical dichotomous interpretation of hs-cTnI and to the standard of care combining hs-cTnI with the electrocardiogram (both P < .001). Positive predictive value also was higher compared with the standard of care ( P < .001). Conclusion Using a simple algorithm incorporating baseline hs-cTnI values and the absolute change within the first hour allows safe rule-out as well as accurate rule-in of acute myocardial infarction in 70% of patients presenting with suspected acute myocardial infarction.
Objective We aimed to prospectively derive and validate a novel 0-/1-hour algorithm using high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI) for the early “rule-out” and “rule-in” of acute myocardial ...infarction (AMI). Methods In a prospective multicenter diagnostic study, we enrolled 1,500 patients presenting with suspected AMI to the emergency department. The final diagnosis was centrally adjudicated by 2 independent cardiologists blinded to hs-cTnI concentrations. The hs-cTnI (Siemens Vista) 0-/1-hour algorithm incorporated measurements performed at baseline and absolute changes within 1 hour, was derived in the first 750 patients (derivation cohort), and then validated in the second 750 (validation cohort). Results Overall, AMI was the final diagnosis in 16% of patients. Applying the hs-cTnI 0-/1-hour algorithm developed in the derivation cohort to the validation cohort, 57% of patients could be classified as “rule-out”; 10%, as “rule-in”; and 33%, as “observe.” In the validation cohort, the sensitivity and the negative predictive value for AMI in the “rule-out” zone were 100% (95% CI 96%-100%) and 100% (95% CI 99%-100%), respectively. The specificity and the positive predictive value (PPV) for AMI in the “rule-in” zone were 96% (95% CI 94%-97%) and 70% (95% CI 60%-79%), respectively. Negative predictive value and positive predictive value of the 0-/1-hour algorithm were higher compared to the standard of care combining hs-cTnI with the electrocardiogram (both P < .001). Conclusion The hs-cTnI 0-/1-hour algorithm performs very well for early rule-out as well as rule-in of AMI. The clinical implications are that used in conjunction with all other clinical information, the 0-/1-hour algorithm will be a safe and effective approach to substantially reduce time to diagnosis.
Abstract Background Proenkephalin A (PENK) and its receptors are widely distributed. Enkephalins are cardiodepressive and difficult to measure directly. PENK is a stable surrogate analyte of labile ...enkephalins that is correlated inversely with renal function. Cardiorenal syndrome is common in acute heart failure (HF) and portends poor prognosis. Objectives This study assessed the prognostic value of PENK in acute HF, by identifying levels that may be useful in clinical decisions, and evaluated its utility for predicting cardiorenal syndrome. Methods This multicenter study measured PENK in 1,908 patients with acute HF (1,186 male; mean age 75.66 ± 11.74 years). The primary endpoint was 1-year all-cause mortality; secondary endpoints were in-hospital mortality, all-cause mortality or HF rehospitalization within 1 year, and in-hospital worsening renal function, defined as a rise in plasma creatinine ≥26.5 μmol/l or 50% higher than the admission value within 5 days of presentation. Results During 1-year follow-up, 518 patients died. Measures of renal function were the major determinants of PENK levels. PENK independently predicted worsening renal function (odds ratio: 1.58; 95% confidence interval CI: 1.24 to 2.00; p < 0.0005) with a model receiver-operating characteristic area of 0.69. PENK was associated with the degree of worsening renal function. Multivariable Cox regression models showed that PENK level was an independent predictor of 1-year mortality (p < 0.0005) and 1-year death and/or HF (hazard ratio: 1.27; 95% CI: 1.10 to 1.45; p = 0.001). PENK levels independently predicted outcomes at 3 or 6 months and were independent predictors of in-hospital mortality, predominantly down-classifying risk in survivors when added to clinical scores; levels <133.3 pmol/l and >211.3 pmol/l detected low-risk and high-risk patients, respectively. Conclusions PENK levels reflect cardiorenal status in acute HF and are prognostic for worsening renal function and in-hospital mortality as well as mortality during follow-up.
It is unknown whether more sensitive cardiac troponin (cTn) assays maintain their clinical utility in patients with renal dysfunction. Moreover, their optimal cutoff levels in this vulnerable patient ...population have not previously been defined.
In this multicenter study, we examined the clinical utility of 7 more sensitive cTn assays (3 sensitive and 4 high-sensitivity cTn assays) in patients presenting with symptoms suggestive of acute myocardial infarction. Among 2813 unselected patients, 447 (16%) had renal dysfunction (defined as Modification of Diet in Renal Disease-estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL·min(-1)·1.73 m(-2)). The final diagnosis was centrally adjudicated by 2 independent cardiologists using all available information, including coronary angiography and serial levels of high-sensitivity cTnT. Acute myocardial infarction was the final diagnosis in 36% of all patients with renal dysfunction. Among patients with renal dysfunction and elevated baseline cTn levels (≥99th percentile), acute myocardial infarction was the most common diagnosis for all assays (range, 45%-80%). In patients with renal dysfunction, diagnostic accuracy at presentation, quantified by the area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve, was 0.87 to 0.89 with no significant differences between the 7 more sensitive cTn assays and further increased to 0.91 to 0.95 at 3 hours. Overall, the area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve in patients with renal dysfunction was only slightly lower than in patients with normal renal function. The optimal receiver-operator characteristic curve-derived cTn cutoff levels in patients with renal dysfunction were significantly higher compared with those in patients with normal renal function (factor, 1.9-3.4).
More sensitive cTn assays maintain high diagnostic accuracy in patients with renal dysfunction. To ensure the best possible clinical use, assay-specific optimal cutoff levels, which are higher in patients with renal dysfunction, should be considered.
URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00470587.
Short-term infusions of single vasodilators, usually given in a fixed dose, have not improved outcomes in patients with acute heart failure (AHF).
To evaluate the effect of a strategy that emphasized ...early intensive and sustained vasodilation using individualized up-titrated doses of established vasodilators in patients with AHF.
Randomized, open-label blinded-end-point trial enrolling 788 patients hospitalized for AHF with dyspnea, increased plasma concentrations of natriuretic peptides, systolic blood pressure of at least 100 mm Hg, and plan for treatment in a general ward in 10 tertiary and secondary hospitals in Switzerland, Bulgaria, Germany, Brazil, and Spain. Enrollment began in December 2007 and follow-up was completed in February 2019.
Patients were randomized 1:1 to a strategy of early intensive and sustained vasodilation throughout the hospitalization (n = 386) or usual care (n = 402). Early intensive and sustained vasodilation was a comprehensive pragmatic approach of maximal and sustained vasodilation combining individualized doses of sublingual and transdermal nitrates, low-dose oral hydralazine for 48 hours, and rapid up-titration of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, angiotensin receptor blockers, or sacubitril-valsartan.
The primary end point was a composite of all-cause mortality or rehospitalization for AHF at 180 days.
Among 788 patients randomized, 781 (99.1%; median age, 78 years; 36.9% women) completed the trial and were eligible for primary end point analysis. Follow-up at 180 days was completed for 779 patients (99.7%). The primary end point, a composite of all-cause mortality or rehospitalization for AHF at 180 days, occurred in 117 patients (30.6%) in the intervention group (including 55 deaths 14.4%) and in 111 patients (27.8%) in the usual care group (including 61 deaths 15.3%) (absolute difference for the primary end point, 2.8% 95% CI, -3.7% to 9.3%; adjusted hazard ratio, 1.07 95% CI, 0.83-1.39; P = .59). The most common clinically significant adverse events with early intensive and sustained vasodilation vs usual care were hypokalemia (23% vs 25%), worsening renal function (21% vs 20%), headache (26% vs 10%), dizziness (15% vs 10%), and hypotension (8% vs 2%).
Among patients with AHF, a strategy of early intensive and sustained vasodilation, compared with usual care, did not significantly improve a composite outcome of all-cause mortality and AHF rehospitalization at 180 days.
ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00512759.
The MEESSI-AHF (Multiple Estimation of risk based on the Emergency department Spanish Score In patients with AHF) score was developed to predict 30-day mortality in patients presenting with acute ...heart failure (AHF) to emergency departments (EDs) in Spain. Whether it performs well in other countries is unknown.
To externally validate the MEESSI-AHF score in another country.
Prospective cohort study. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01831115).
Multicenter recruitment of dyspneic patients presenting to the ED.
The external validation cohort included 1572 patients with AHF.
Calculation of the MEESSI-AHF score using an established model containing 12 independent risk factors.
Among 1572 patients with adjudicated AHF, 1247 had complete data that allowed calculation of the MEESSI-AHF score. Of these, 102 (8.2%) died within 30 days. The score predicted 30-day mortality with excellent discrimination (c-statistic, 0.80). Assessment of cumulative mortality showed a steep gradient in 30-day mortality over 6 predefined risk groups (0 patients in the lowest-risk group vs. 35 28.5% in the highest-risk group). Risk was overestimated in the high-risk groups, resulting in a Hosmer-Lemeshow P value of 0.022. However, after adjustment of the intercept, the model showed good concordance between predicted risks and observed outcomes (P = 0.23). Findings were confirmed in sensitivity analyses that used multiple imputation for missing values in the overall cohort of 1572 patients.
External validation was done using a reduced model. Findings are specific to patients with AHF who present to the ED and are clinically stable enough to provide informed consent. Performance in patients with terminal kidney failure who are receiving long-term dialysis cannot be commented on.
External validation of the MEESSI-AHF risk score showed excellent discrimination. Recalibration may be needed when the score is introduced to new populations.
The European Union, the Swiss National Science Foundation, the Swiss Heart Foundation, the Cardiovascular Research Foundation Basel, the University of Basel, and University Hospital Basel.
Aims
Treatment goals in acute heart failure (AHF) are poorly defined. We aimed to characterize further the impact of in‐hospital haemoconcentration and worsening renal function (WRF) on short‐ and ...long‐term mortality.
Methods and results
Haematocrit, haemoglobin, total protein, serum creatinine, and albumin levels were measured serially in 1019 prospectively enrolled AHF patients. Haemoconcentration was defined as an increase in at least three of four of the haemoconcentration‐defining parameters above admission values at any time during the hospitalization. Patients were divided into early (Day 1–4) and late haemoconcentration (>Day 4). Ninety‐day mortality was the primary endpoint. Haemoconcentration occurred in 392 (38.5%) patients, with a similar incidence of the early (44.6%) and late (55.4%) phenotype. Signs of decongestion (reduction in BNP blood concentrations, P = 0.003; weight loss, P = 0.002) were significantly more pronounced in haemoconcentration patients. WRF was more common in haemoconcentration patients (P = 0.04). After adjustment for established risk factors for AHF mortality, including WRF and HF therapy at discharge, haemoconcentration was significantly associated with a reduction in 90‐day mortality hazard ratio (HR) 0.59, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.37–0.95, P = 0.01. The beneficial effect of haemoconcentration seemed to be exclusive for late haemoconcentration (late vs. early: adjusted HR 0.41, 95% CI 0.19–0.90, P = 0.03) and persisted in patients with or without WRF.
Conclusions
Haemoconcentration represents an inexpensive and easily assessable pathophysiological signal of adequate decongestion in AHF and is associated with lower mortality. WRF in the setting of haemoconcentration does not appear to offset the benefits of haemoconcentration.
Proenkephalin A (PENK) and its receptors are widely distributed. Enkephalins are cardiodepressive and difficult to measure directly. PENK is a stable surrogate analyte of labile enkephalins that is ...correlated inversely with renal function. Cardiorenal syndrome is common in acute heart failure (HF) and portends poor prognosis.
This study assessed the prognostic value of PENK in acute HF, by identifying levels that may be useful in clinical decisions, and evaluated its utility for predicting cardiorenal syndrome.
This multicenter study measured PENK in 1,908 patients with acute HF (1,186 male; mean age 75.66 ± 11.74 years). The primary endpoint was 1-year all-cause mortality; secondary endpoints were in-hospital mortality, all-cause mortality or HF rehospitalization within 1 year, and in-hospital worsening renal function, defined as a rise in plasma creatinine ≥26.5 μmol/l or 50% higher than the admission value within 5 days of presentation.
During 1-year follow-up, 518 patients died. Measures of renal function were the major determinants of PENK levels. PENK independently predicted worsening renal function (odds ratio: 1.58; 95% confidence interval CI: 1.24 to 2.00; p < 0.0005) with a model receiver-operating characteristic area of 0.69. PENK was associated with the degree of worsening renal function. Multivariable Cox regression models showed that PENK level was an independent predictor of 1-year mortality (p < 0.0005) and 1-year death and/or HF (hazard ratio: 1.27; 95% CI: 1.10 to 1.45; p = 0.001). PENK levels independently predicted outcomes at 3 or 6 months and were independent predictors of in-hospital mortality, predominantly down-classifying risk in survivors when added to clinical scores; levels <133.3 pmol/l and >211.3 pmol/l detected low-risk and high-risk patients, respectively.
PENK levels reflect cardiorenal status in acute HF and are prognostic for worsening renal function and in-hospital mortality as well as mortality during follow-up.
Aims
Obese patients have lower natriuretic peptide concentrations. We hypothesized that adjusting the concentration of N‐terminal pro‐B‐type natriuretic peptide (NT‐proBNP) for obesity could further ...increase its clinical utility in the early diagnosis of acute heart failure (AHF).
Methods and results
This hypothesis was tested in a prospective diagnostic study enrolling unselected patients presenting to the emergency department with acute dyspnoea. Two independent cardiologists/internists centrally adjudicated the final diagnosis using all individual patient information including cardiac imaging. NT‐proBNP plasma concentrations were applied: first, using currently recommended cut‐offs; second, using cut‐offs lowered by 33% with body mass index (BMI) of 30–34.9 kg/m2 and by 50% with BMI ≥ 35 kg/m2. Among 2038 patients, 509 (25%) were obese, of which 271 (53%) had AHF. The diagnostic accuracy of NT‐proBNP as quantified by the area under the receiver‐operating characteristic curve was lower in obese versus non‐obese patients (0.890 vs. 0.938). For rapid AHF rule‐out in obese patients, the currently recommended cut‐off of 300 pg/ml achieved a sensitivity of 96.7% (95% confidence interval CI 93.8–98.2%), ruling out 29% of patients and missing 9 AHF patients. For rapid AHF rule‐in, the age‐dependent cut‐off concentrations (age <50 years: 450 pg/ml; age 50–75 years: 900 pg/ml; age >75 years: 1800 pg/ml) achieved a specificity of 84.9% (95% CI 79.8–88.9%). Proportionally lowering the currently recommended cut‐offs by BMI increased sensitivity to 98.2% (95% CI 95.8–99.2%), missing 5 AHF patients; reduced the proportion of AHF patients remaining in the ‘gray zone’ (48% vs. 26%; p = 0.002), achieving a specificity of 76.5% (95% CI 70.7–81.4%).
Conclusions
Adjusting NT‐proBNP concentrations for obesity seems to further increase its clinical utility in the early diagnosis of AHF.
Obese patients ruled out and ruled in or remaining in the ‘gray zone’ after: (A) applying the currently recommended N‐terminal pro‐B‐type natriuretic peptide cut‐offs, or (B) reducing these cut‐offs by one third in patients with a body mass index 30–34.9 kg/m2 and by half in those with a body mass index ≥35 kg/m2. Red figures represent patients with acute heart failure (AHF) and black figures show patients without AHF as a final diagnosis. One full figure represents 2% of all obese patients. Golden arrows indicate the number (and %) of reclassified patients. For instance, when applying the reduced cut‐offs, 37 AHF patients (7.2% of the overall patient population) in the ‘gray zone’ were ruled in with their correct diagnosis. The red arrow represents the most common immediate consequences of ‘rule‐in’ of AHF in the emergency department; specifically, bolus of 40 mg intravenous furosemide and ordering an echocardiogram.
Aims
Sex‐specific differences in acute heart failure (AHF) are both relevant and underappreciated. Therefore, it is crucial to evaluate the risk/benefit ratio and the implementation of novel AHF ...therapies in women and men separately.
Methods and results
We performed a pre‐defined sex‐specific analysis in AHF patients randomized to a strategy of early intensive and sustained vasodilatation versus usual care in an international, multicentre, open‐label, blinded endpoint trial. Inclusion criteria were AHF with increased plasma concentrations of natriuretic peptides, systolic blood pressure ≥100 mmHg, and plan for treatment in a general ward. Among 781 eligible patients, 288 (37%) were women. Women were older (median 83 vs. 76 years), had a lower body weight (median 64.5 vs. 77.6 kg) and lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (median 48 vs. 54 ml/min/1.73 m2). The primary endpoint, a composite of all‐cause mortality or rehospitalization for AHF at 180 days, showed a significant interaction of treatment strategy and sex (p for interaction = 0.03; hazard ratio adjusted for female sex 1.62, 95% confidence interval 1.05–2.50; p = 0.03). The combined endpoint occurred in 53 women (38%) in the intervention group and in 35 (24%) in the usual care group. The implementation of rapid up‐titration of renin–angiotensin–aldosterone system (RAAS) inhibitors was less successful in women versus men in the overall cohort and in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (median discharge % target dose in patients randomized to intervention: 50% in women vs. 75% in men).
Conclusion
Rapid up‐titration of RAAS inhibitors was less successfully implemented in women possibly explaining their higher rate of all‐cause mortality and rehospitalization for AHF.
Clinical Trial Registration:
ClinicalTrials.gov, unique identifier NCT00512759.
In patients randomized to a strategy of early intensive and sustained vasodilatation or usual care, the combined primary endpoint showed a significant interaction of treatment strategy and sex. Women randomized to intervention significantly more often experienced the combined endpoint when comapred to standard of care. AHF, acute heart failure. Correction added on 15 January 2024, after first online publication: abbreviation has been added in this version.
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